SOL buy setup 12H TFSolana has not yet formed a bearish structure on higher timeframes. There is a support zone on the chart from which the price may bounce upward.
The targets are marked on the chart.
A daily candle closing below the invalidation level will invalidate this analysis.
Do not enter the position without capital management and stop setting
Comment if you have any questions
thank you
SOLUST trade ideas
$SOL - Parabolic Curve BreakdownSOLANA daily structure is still look intact, holding its daily parabolic curve, though it looks like it wants to roll over, to be honest.
SOL/BTC chart is showing the same setup that ETH/BTC had before losing strength to Bitcoin — a long consolidation before the inevitable breakdown.
If we're going to lose $180, we can see it dropping to $150 or could go lower to $115 (demand zone)
SOL Explosive Breakout? Key Levels to Watch Now!SOL is currently trading within a falling wedge pattern after making a new All-Time High. The price is consolidating between the $189.89 support level and the $207 resistance level. A confirmed breakout above the falling wedge and resistance at $207 could push the price towards the next resistance zone, marked in green, between $218.76 and $223.12.
If SOL tests the support at $189.89, followed by a bullish Internal Change of Character (I-CHoCH), this would present a high-probability, low-risk entry. If momentum continue, SOL could rise to new highs.
However, if SOL breaks down and closes below the support zone (Yellow) between $174.28 and $177.23, the bullish setup would be invalidated. In this case, it’s best to remain patient and wait for clearer price action before considering an entry.
Solana-ETF Hopes and Price OutlookVanEck's Matthew Sigel and Patrick Bush recently shared their Solana price prediction on X (formerly known as Twitter). I will copy their text for you here.
VanEck
Our Solana Price Target by the End of 2025 is $520
We value Solana (SOL) based on its projected year-end market share within the smart contract platform (SCP) market. Our SCP market cap forecast is derived from U.S. M2 money supply growth, given its strong historical correlation with crypto market capitalization.
We project M2 to reach $22.3T by the end of 2025, maintaining its 3.2% annualized growth rate since its last trough in October 2023. Using regression analysis, we estimate total SCP market capitalization will grow 43% to $1.1T by year-end 2025 (vs. $770B today), surpassing its 2021 peak of $989B. Historical data shows a strong correlation between M2 and SCP market cap, with a 12-month moving average R² of 0.36 and a t-statistic of 5.7 (p < 0.0001).
Currently, Solana holds 15% of SCP market cap, but we forecast its share to rise to 22% by EOY 2025. This projection is supported by Solana’s developer dominance, increasing market share in DEX volumes, revenues, and active users. Using an autoregressive (AR) forecast model, we estimate Solana’s market cap will reach ~$250B, implying a SOL price of $520 based on ~486M floating tokens.
The $520 price target is unlikely to be achievable without the approval of a Solana-based spot ETF in the U.S. Therefore, we should assess the likelihood of such approval and when it might occur.
ETF Approval Date
Currently, there is some misleading information circulating on social media claiming that BlackRock CEO Larry Fink stated that the SEC will approve a spot ETF in the U.S. as early as February 2025. In reality, Larry Fink never made such a statement. The creators of these fake screenshots likely used Photoshop to fabricate them.
According to official information, the SEC is expected to make a decision on the Solana-based ETF between October 2 and October 18. Now that the timeline is clear, let's discuss the odds.
ETF Approval Odds
Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas have estimated the likelihood of approval for various cryptocurrency ETFs in 2025. Data from their table indicates that they estimate a 70% chance of a Solana ETF being approved in 2025.
We can gauge market expectations using the Polymarket platform. Currently, there are two betting options available. Only 36% of participants are betting that SEC approval will be granted in the first half of 2025.
Meanwhile, 84% of participants are betting on SEC approval occurring at some point in 2025.
Based on this data, it is more likely that approval will be granted, but only in the second half of 2025.
Technical Analysis
On the chart, we can clearly see the channel within which the price has been moving for several months.
At the moment, the market is bearish in the short term. For this reason, it is highly likely that the price will approach the lower boundary of this channel in the coming months. This roughly corresponds to a price of $170. Buying at $170 or even lower would be an excellent opportunity to open a long position. However, for the trade to be successful, the price needs to remain above the lower boundary of the channel.
Why I Took This Winning Trade on SOLUSDT (Short)
Trade Summary:
Pair: SOL/USDT
Trade Type: Short
Leverage: 30x
Entry Price: 195.688
Exit Price: 194.510
Profit: +18.06%
The Setup 🔍
This trade was based on a confluence of technical indicators and market structure analysis. Looking at the 15-minute chart, several factors aligned perfectly, creating a high-probability setup. My goal was to capitalise on a short-term retracement before a potential upward move.
Why I Took This Trade
Market Structure & Key Levels
The LOD (Low of the Day) was breached earlier, giving a strong signal that price would likely retrace to test lower support levels before making a move upward.
The 50% H/LOD level acted as a magnet, suggesting a bounce from these zones.
Session Timing
The trade was taken near the transition between the Asian and UK sessions, a period known for higher volatility and increased movement.
The timing aligned with the London session’s breakout patterns, where price often sweeps lows before retracing.
EMA Strategy
The alignment of multiple EMAs indicated a bearish trend continuation in the short term.
Price rejection at the IHOD (Initial High of the Day) further confirmed the short setup.
Order Block Detection
The chart showed a bearish order block, providing an additional layer of confirmation. The expectation was that price would fill that block before reversing.
Execution ⚡️
Once these criteria aligned, I entered the trade at 195.688 with a tight stop above the recent high. My target was just above the 193.18 support level, ensuring a favourable risk-to-reward ratio.
Reflection & Outcome 🎯
The trade played out beautifully, reaching my target with minimal drawdown. The +18.06% profit on 30x leverage is a solid reminder that sticking to a strategy and trusting the setup pays off.
Key Takeaways ✍️
Patience is key: Waiting for confirmation from multiple indicators increases the probability of success.
Session timing matters: Transitions between sessions often bring strong moves.
Focus on high-probability setups and avoid overtrading.
Trading Plan for SOLUSDT Long EntryTrading Plan for SOLUSDT Long Entry
1. Entry Point:
Your entry seems to be around 191.46 - 188.00 USDT, which is within a demand zone (highlighted in blue).
The price is currently consolidating near the 4H Order Block (OB), indicating a potential bullish reversal.
2. Stop Loss (SL):
A reasonable SL would be placed slightly below the 185.25 USDT level to avoid being stopped out by market noise while still protecting capital.
3. Take Profit (TP) Targets:
TP1: 203.55 USDT – First target to secure partial profits and de-risk.
TP2: 222.09 - 222.17 USDT – Major resistance zone, ideal for closing the position.
4. Risk-to-Reward (R:R) Ratio:
Entry: ~191.46 USDT
SL: ~185.25 USDT (Risk: ~6.21 USDT)
TP1: ~203.55 USDT (Reward: ~12.09 USDT) → 1:2 R:R
TP2: ~222.09 USDT (Reward: ~30.63 USDT) → 1:5 R:R
5. Confirmation & Trade Execution:
Break of Downtrend Line: Watch for a strong bullish candle breaking the descending trendline for confirmation.
Volume Analysis: Increasing buy volume at support strengthens the bullish case.
Market Conditions: Ensure Bitcoin and the overall crypto market sentiment align with the long setup.
6. Risk Management:
Risk per Trade: Keep it between 1-2% of your trading capital.
Trailing Stop: Move SL to breakeven once TP1 is hit.
SOL → The coin may get a chance for growthBINANCE:SOLUSDT is testing trend support and at the same time bulls are trying to hold their defenses above the intermediate bottom and enter the buy zone.
SOL both fundamentally and technically has good potential. Bitcoin is consolidating at this time and it can give strong coins a chance.
Technically, solana tested the trend support with a touch and is trying to consolidate. I don't exclude the possibility of a false breakdown of the trend support before further growth, but at the moment the focus is on the resistance 200 - 203. If the bulls hold the defense above this area, the coin could strengthen to 245 - 270 - 290 in the medium term.
Resistance levels: 203, 200
Support levels: 188, trend
Emphasis on the local boundaries of the range. The market is struggling for the zone 200-205, bitcoin at this time is forming a local bullish momentum, which can also become a driver for the cryptocurrency market.
Regards R. Linda!
long trade Mon 10th Feb 25
7.30 pm (NY time)
Pair SOLUSDT
Entry 2min TF
Observed 30i=min TF
RSI cross (directional bias)
Entry 201.822
Profit level 205.861 (2.00%)
Stop level 201.161 (0.33%)
RR 6.11
Reason: Mapping SOLUSDT on the 30min TF suggested a buyside trade based on the narrative of supply and demand.
SOL About to EXPLODE? Key Pattern Signals a Massive Move!Yello, Paradisers! Is SOLUSDT gearing up for a breakout, or will the market shake out weak hands before the real move? Let’s break it down!
💎SOLUSDT has completed a triple zig-zag pattern, which significantly increases the probability of a bullish move. This structure often marks the end of corrective phases, setting the stage for a strong reversal.
💎Adding to the bullish case, SOL has broken out of a falling wedge pattern—a textbook bullish reversal signal. However, to manage risk effectively, scaling into positions rather than entering all at once is the smarter play.
💎Further confluence comes from a bullish divergence, reinforcing the likelihood of upward momentum. That said, we could still see some consolidation or even a liquidity grab before the next major move. If SOL sweeps the lows for inducement and then prints a bullish I-CHoCH (Internal Change of Character), that would present a high-probability, low-risk entry.
💎However, if SOL breaks down and closes candle below the support zone, it would invalidate this bullish setup. In that case, the best approach would be to stay patient and wait for clearer price action before taking any new positions.
🎖 The market rewards patience and precision. Let the liquidity games play out, and only strike when the setup is at its highest probability. Trade smart, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Comprehensive Technical Analysis of SOLANASolana has emerged as one of the digital currencies that attract traders’ attention due to its high price volatility and advanced technical capabilities. In this article, we will present a technical analysis of the SOLUSDT.P pair, relying on a variety of technical tools and indicators to provide a comprehensive outlook on the potential trends and short-term price movements.
1. Market Overview
Solana has experienced both upward and downward movements over the recent period, oscillating between critical support and resistance levels. Its price movement is affected by several factors, including:
Price Volatility:
Given the nature of the cryptocurrency market, volatility is an inherent part of the price action, requiring close monitoring of key technical levels.
Economic Factors and News:
In addition to technical analysis, news related to technological developments and institutional endorsements can play a significant role in determining market direction.
2. Support and Resistance Levels
Identifying support and resistance levels is a crucial step in understanding market dynamics:
Support Levels:
Some technical readings indicate the presence of strong support in the lower price area, with potential support levels ranging around $150-$155. Maintaining this level is important for traders, as a break below could lead to deeper corrections.
Resistance Levels:
On the upside, the asset faces major resistance typically located between $250 to $300. A breakthrough above these levels may signal the continuation of bullish momentum. Conversely, failure to break through may prompt traders to anticipate potential trend reversals.
3. Technical Indicators and Tools
A. Moving Averages
Moving averages are useful tools for determining the overall price trend:
Moving Average Crossovers:
The crossover between shorter-term moving averages (such as the EMA25) and longer-term ones (such as the EMA99) signals potential changes in direction. A shorter-term average crossing above a longer-term average is considered positive, while the opposite may indicate weakening momentum.
B. Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI is used to measure overbought or oversold conditions:
RSI Readings:
An RSI reading near 70 indicates overbought conditions, while a reading below 30 suggests oversold conditions. Monitoring the RSI helps in assessing the strength of the current momentum.
C. MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence)
The MACD analyzes momentum and identifies potential turning points in the market:
MACD Crossovers:
Crossovers between the MACD line and the signal line are indicators that often precede potential trend reversals, whether bullish or bearish.
4. Chart Patterns and Price Formations
The SOLUSDT.P chart exhibits several technical patterns that may reveal market tendencies:
Cup and Handle Pattern:
In certain time frames, a “cup and handle” pattern can emerge—a classic bullish formation. If this pattern meets all its criteria, it may indicate a continuation of the upward trend following a period of consolidation.
Other Reversal Patterns:
Patterns such as the “head and shoulders” or descending channels should be monitored, as they can indicate a possible reversal toward a downtrend if momentum weakens.
5. Potential Scenarios
Bullish Continuation Scenario:
Support and Breakout:
If the price maintains its key support levels (around $150-$155) and manages to break through the upper resistance levels (between $250-$300), bullish momentum may resume.
Positive Indicators:
The appearance of positive moving average crossovers along with neutral to overbought RSI readings can support this bullish scenario.
Bearish Reversal Scenario:
Break of Support:
Should the price break below its primary support level, the market could enter a deeper downtrend.
Negative Indicators:
The emergence of bearish moving average crossovers and low RSI readings may indicate weakening bullish momentum, increasing the likelihood of a more significant correction.
6. Risk Management and Investor Tips
Traders should consider the following points:
Use of Stop-Loss Orders:
Setting stop-loss levels is crucial for limiting risk, particularly in highly volatile markets.
Portfolio Diversification:
It is advisable not to rely on a single asset but to diversify investments to mitigate risk.
Staying Updated with News:
Keeping track of technological developments and economic news is essential, as these factors can directly impact price movements.
Conclusion
The analysis of SOLUSDT.P shows that the asset is oscillating between critical support and resistance levels, with the potential for continued bullish momentum if resistance is broken, or a reversal toward a downtrend if support is breached. The future direction of the asset depends on several technical and market factors, necessitating close monitoring of daily changes and the use of diverse technical indicators to make informed trading decisions.
Breaking: Solana Reclaims $200 MarkIn a surprising turn of events, Solana (SOL) has surged past the $200 resistance level, defying the broader crypto market's cooling trend. While Bitcoin (BTC) dipped to the $95,000 support level and the Crypto Fear & Greed Index slumped to 35—indicating a fearful market—Solana has emerged as a standout performer.
Why Solana Stands Out
Solana, launched in March 2020 by the Solana Foundation, has quickly risen to prominence as a high-performance blockchain platform. Designed to facilitate decentralized application (DApp) development, Solana combines proof-of-history (PoH) with proof-of-stake (PoS) to achieve unparalleled scalability and speed. This hybrid consensus model allows Solana to process thousands of transactions per second (TPS) at a fraction of the cost of competitors like Ethereum.
Key Fundamentals Driving SOL's Growth:
1. Decentralized Finance (DeFi) Accessibility: Solana's focus on making DeFi accessible to a broader audience has attracted both retail and institutional investors.
2. Institutional Interest: Solana's ability to handle high-volume transactions without compromising decentralization positions it as a viable long-term player in the blockchain space.
3. Ecosystem Growth: The Solana ecosystem continues to expand, with projects ranging from decentralized exchanges (DEXs) like Serum to NFT marketplaces and gaming platforms.
Technical Analysis
As of the time of writing, Solana is trading at $205, up 2.29% in the last 24 hours.
Key Technical Indicators:
1. Relative Strength Index (RSI): SOL's RSI is currently at 45, indicating a neutral to slightly bearish sentiment. While this suggests the potential for a trend reversal, the recent candlestick patterns hint at a possible bullish surge.
2. Candlestick Patterns: The recent closing prices and candlestick formations suggest a bullish momentum. If this trend continues, CRYPTOCAP:SOL could target the $248 resistance level, which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
3. Support and Resistance Levels: The $200 level has now flipped from resistance to support, providing a strong foundation for further upward movement. However, a slight downtick could see CRYPTOCAP:SOL retesting its 1-month low, serving as a cooling-off zone before another potential rally.
4. Volume and Liquidity: With a 24-hour trading volume of nearly $4 billion, Solana is experiencing significant liquidity. This high volume indicates strong market participation, which is often a precursor to sustained price movements.
The Road Ahead: Bullish or Bearish?
While Solana's recent performance is impressive, the crypto market remains highly volatile. Here are the key factors to watch:
Bullish Case:
- If SOL maintains its momentum and breaks above the $210 resistance, it could target the $248 level, representing a 20% upside from current prices.
- Continued ecosystem growth and institutional adoption could drive long-term demand for SOL, pushing it to new all-time highs.
Bearish Risks:
- A failure to hold the $200 support level could lead to a retracement to the 1-month low, potentially cooling off recent gains.
- Broader market conditions, including Bitcoin's performance, could impact SOL's trajectory. If BTC experiences further downside, it could drag SOL along with it.
Conclusion
As the "Ethereum killer," Solana continues to prove its worth in the blockchain space. Keep an eye on this altcoin—it may just be getting started.
The key is whether the price can be maintained above 202.45
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
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Have a nice day today.
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(SOLUSDT 1M chart)
In order to turn into a downtrend, it is expected to start by falling below 147.74.
Since the BW(100) indicator was formed at 231.77, the point to watch is whether it can rise above this point.
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(1W chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 202.45.
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(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 194.46, the HA-Low indicator point, and rise above 202.45.
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The charts that do not display support and resistance points and the charts that do are displayed are displayed separately for each time frame chart.
The basic chart for trading is the 1D chart.
Therefore, if you want to trade by looking at charts below 1D charts, it is recommended to mark at least the support and resistance points of the 1D chart.
As traders, the reason we analyze charts is to trade.
Therefore, chart analysis is to select key support and resistance points.
Therefore, you must select key support and resistance points in any way.
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Thank you for reading to the end.
I hope you have a successful trade.
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- Big picture
I used TradingView's INDEX chart to check the entire range of BTC.
(BTCUSD 12M chart)
Looking at the big picture, it seems to have been maintaining an upward trend following a pattern since 2015.
In other words, it is a pattern that maintains a 3-year upward trend and faces a 1-year downward trend.
Accordingly, it is expected that the upward trend will continue until 2025.
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(LOG chart)
Looking at the LOG chart, you can see that the upward trend is decreasing.
Accordingly, the 46K-48K range is expected to be a very important support and resistance range from a long-term perspective.
Therefore, we expect that we will not see prices below 44K-48K in the future.
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The Fibonacci ratio on the left is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2015.
In other words, it is the Fibonacci ratio of the first wave of the uptrend.
The Fibonacci ratio on the right is the Fibonacci ratio of the uptrend that started in 2019.
Therefore, it is expected that this Fibonacci ratio will be used until 2026.
-
No matter what anyone says, the chart has already been created and is already moving.
How to view and respond to this is up to you.
When the ATH is updated, there are no support and resistance points, so the Fibonacci ratio can be used appropriately.
However, although the Fibonacci ratio is useful for chart analysis, it is ambiguous when used as support and resistance.
This is because the user must directly select the important selection points required to create Fibonacci.
Therefore, since it is expressed differently depending on how the user specifies the selection points, it can be useful for chart analysis, but it can be seen as ambiguous when used for trading strategies.
1st : 44234.54
2nd : 61383.23
3rd : 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (Overshooting)
4th : 134018.28
151166.97-157451.83 (Overshooting)
5th : 178910.15
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SOLUSDT Wave Count Analysis!📉 SOL has broken out of the falling wedge and is now in a clear Elliott Wave structure!
🔹 Wave 1 & 2 completed with a strong breakout.
🔹 Wave 3 reached its peak around $207.62.
🔹 Currently in Wave 4 correction, possibly finding support near the trendline.
🔹 Expecting a Wave 5 push towards $218.35! 📈🔥
💡 If price holds the support zone, this could be a high-probability long setup!
📊 Stay patient, wait for confirmations, and trade smart!
🔔 What’s your target for SOL? Comment below! 👇🚀
#SOL #CryptoTrading #ElliottWave #PriceAction #SOLUSDT