SOYBN/USD and GBP/CHF on watch for me today.Good morning all,
I hope that you had a great weekend and that you're feeling suitably refreshed and focused.
On the subject of focus I missed the AUD/JPY trade on Friday which I said on here as early as Thursday morning might be ready by Friday, because my mum bought herself a new phone last week and I was busy transferring all of her details and data over from her old phone and unfortunately I allowed myself to be distracted when the market didn't initially give me the entry that I was anticipating and then I took my eye off of the ball and then of course the market provided me with my entry and had I not taken my eye off of the ball then this trade would currently be running at +4.50% which would in terms of unrealised profit would be one of my most profitable live trades ever. Was I annoyed by this? Yes, initially. But not because I'd missed the trade, these things happen in trading and once you're experienced enough to know what you're doing, to know that trading opportunities are like buses and to know that FOMO and trying to catch any and every trade is one of the biggest reasons why most traders blow their trading accounts you just dust yourself off, document and move on. In fact all I was annoyed about is that I'd allowed myself to be distracted, because not only is this only the fifth time in thirteen months that I've missed a trade, but it's the first time that I've ever missed a trade because I'd allowed myself to be distracted, with three of my other four missed trades being due to me being asleep and the remaining missed trade being due to the fact that I was snowed under with trading related work when I was far less experienced and less organised according to my 'Missed Trades' folder.
But it is what it is. In my ASR (Advanced Self Review) which I completed as I always do on Saturday morning I made a note of the improvements that I need to make to ensure that I don't allow myself to be distracted again and now we simply move on to the next trading opportunity.
Where this week is concerned I think NZD/USD is looking good for a potential short trade investment opportunity which I think might be ready by tomorrow. But where today is concerned below is what I'll be looking for from the market...
Have a great day!
SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back up followed by a tight one flag and then I'll be looking to get long either with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/CHF:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above the upper trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll once again be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it but I'll be hiding my stop loss above our upper ascending trend line for extra protection.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SOYBNUSD trade ideas
CHF/JPY, AUD/NZD and SOYBN/USD on watch for me today.CHF/JPY:
• If price impulses down below our upper rayline, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/NZD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below the lower trend line of our most recent piece of structure and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes down to our previous low and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price pushes down to our previous low and the last part of the move is impulsive, then I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD, EUR/USD, EUR/NZD and SOYBN/USD on watch for me today.NZD/USD:
• If price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just above a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price pushes up above our middle rayline, it does so impulsively and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD:
• If price corrects and a tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD:
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry either after a phase line break, or just below a one hour or a fifteen minute rejection from it.
• If price pushes down above our lower rayline, it does so impulsively and a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SOYBN/USD:
• If price pushes up, it does so impulsively a subsequent tight one hour flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
SOYF Buy with short-term targetJust bought some Soy futures as it is bounced from the major support @1370 and the trendline. RSI pointing upwards and above 50% line therefore a good signal for continuation of the move. Soy just bounced from the daily pivot if you'll like to look at that as well. Target is around 1420 next big resistance where it can slow down, so I will close my position there and will see if the trend will continue. See you later!
Soybeans - Short IdeaI see price has had a great run up, this is the 4H chart but the daily is speaking to me. Price has confirmed by a small pullback and now showing rejection at the 50-61.8% Fib levels, price showing an engulfing pattern at those levels.
Soybeans is a touchy commodity, I would think.. like all commodities right now, more upside.. but certainly room for a relaxation of price here, 2:1 tucked in before hitting the 4H 200 EMA.
Its a solid short setup... that is all we can do, take good setups and manage risk...rinse & repeat.
1% Risk.
Soybeans - Short IdeaLove me some Soy.
I see the short, price has rolled over, price did pop really strongly, I would not have longed, the technical picture has advanced and I see the doji on the weekly chart.
The short 2:1 can be tucked in here on the retest of that support area. Let's see what we get here.
Remember, break even is still a good trade.
1% risked.
-Happy Trading!
Soybeans - Short IdeaI have "bean" watching Soybeans for sometime now. I see price has entered an area of resistance, has hit a whole number of $12 and my heatmap indicator is showing divergence.
Price has fallen through my trendline.
I will be going short.
On the daily charts, a couple of shooting stars are present.
Enjoy!
Getting on the sideline with SoybeanI just exited half of my position on Soybean because we are hitting the resistance. This being said, I am still bullish and I want to explain my plans according to the different scenarios that I see.
Scenario 1: Price could go straight up to the next resistance, in which case I will have left some money on the table.
Scenario 2: We bounce to the downside from the current resistance and I get to buy again with a better price while using a wide stop below the previous neckline of the reversed head and shoulder. For this scenario I can either buy the falling knife or buy a breakout from a continuation pattern that might form. We'll see.
Scenario 3: Price pierces through resistance conservatively and tests the zone, at which point I can a) buy back on support and/or b) buy the breakout of a continuation pattern like a flag or a pennant.
Now short Soybeans...what a run. I have been reading the marco drivers on it's run up and the marco on why I think it will drop. man oh man... serious momo behind this commodity.
Ok, now at a pivot point, previous resistance, for an engulfing on daily. heatmap indicator overbought all day.
2:1 RR 1% risked.
Off the top of my head... I have had a couple great wins with this bean.. then a few small losses.
Let's see what happens.
SOYBEAN Higher Time Frame Outlook on structureHello traders:
Looking at soybeans from the higher time frame perspective and its price action structures.
We see strong bearish impulse down from mid of 2018, and has been in this larger channel like structure ever since.
Price has been consolidating for these few years, and finally breaking to the top in the recent times.
What I like about the price from a structure point of view is that we just broke the previous top, but on the lower time frame the price broke up in a corrective structure.
I see this type of price action over and over again. Price breaks up, catching a lot of buyers, then see a strong sell momentum down.
I wouldn't be surprise to see some bearish impulse from the lower time frame, to bring the price right back into this larger channel structure, and we can potentially see the next bearish move from the top.
For now, happy to be a bit more patient, and wait for price to develop a bit more.
thank you
SOYBEANS keeping pushing higher - another great RJT catchCaught using my RJT averages tool this SOYBEANS trade keeps moving higher.
84 points locked in (pink line - 0.8*ATR).
Currently 569 points in profit.
Waiting for exit signal (close cross of upper channel).
Continuation trade also executed and closed (continuation indication - TP white line) for 85 points profit (0.8 *ATR).
DM for more info/access.