SOYF trade ideas
Soybean - Daily - Near the strong area of resistance.Trade Alert
This is something for those, who likes to trade commodities.
Soybeans are near their key area of resistance between 8.960 and 9.055. For us to take the side of the bulls, we would need to see a strong move above 9.055, in order to position ourselves for higher levels. The next longer-term potential area of resistance could be around 9.570, which is also not far from the 200 EMA. The area could prove itself as good resistance that could the price down for a bit.
Alternatively, a break below the short-term upside support line could invite more bears to the table, where the move could lead to a test of the 8.680 zone, marked by the low of the 3rd of August. A break below that level could set the stage for the 8.400, which was the low of the 24th of July.
Don't forget your SL !
Soy LongAs I said above with regards to a possible Retracement of this move.
- has broken a downtrend
- this could be a short squeeze?
- Volume profile suggests support building between 8.7 and 8.32(refer to RHS - 1Day chart)
- I will keep and eye on DXY TVC:DXY for weakness in the coming week to make a decision
- yes yes, trade wars this... and trade war that...*internet sarcasm* please refer to Macroeconomics - Terms of Trade and not noise :)
5 Day returns(last week): - we can see that Soy, Wheat and Corn did quite well
1 Month returns:
6 Month returns:
YTD return:
SoyI found looking at a the last 15 years of data rather revealing.
Why?
-in this time there have been 3 major Drawdowns >50%
-each of these was followed by Drawdowns <33%
-vast majority of exchange is done at prices between 11 and 8.5 a Retracement may be in order?
-Might get ugly if it breaks the 2005 Trendline (lowest blue-line)
-Not sure what that equates to, interesting Rytthem of the cycle nevertheless.
Soybeans: Time For Some UpsideComments on the chart. Will only get long if price closes above 9.65 on this chart. When that happens price will also be above the 2 EMAs which will be another bullish technicality. If price takes out the low of the bullish candle whether I get an entry price or not the idea is off
Soybeans: It takes time to make a moveIf we look to two patterns, the triangles green and red the both need some time to finish the pattern.
If we look on fractal basis we can come to an other conclusion. The fractal comparison of this pattern could give some indication in what direction we could go but this is not an outcome for sure... but it can help for decision making.
In 2015/2016 we can see a little triangle which breaks out in the spring of 2016...
If we extrapolate this pattern to the timeframe in 2017 the big triangles look very promising and we could foresee much higher prices ...
Time will tell...