Wave 3 in S&P500 materials indexThe S&P 500 Materials index set out an impulse move(1) in October last year and completed the up move move by Jan 2023.
The index thereon was in a corrective phase throughout most of the current year until recent oct. low.
The correction according to Elliot wave model can be categorized as a "flat". The constantly rising dollar index can also be linked to the underperformance of this sector throughout 2023.
The projected wave 3 target for the index should be(min.) close to 600 zone(20% from current levels).
Note*- This is not a buy/sell advice. The chart is for educational purpose only.
S5MATR trade ideas
Materials Sector approaching critical highsWithin the US sectors space, we are seeing continued strength and outperformance (relative to the SP500 Index) in Energy, Financials and Industrials.
However, there are early signs of improvement now appearing in the Materials sector, as prices extend the break above the 310.18 high of August. Focus is now on the 327.33 contract high of 2015, and whilst consolidation is likely to appear beneath here, expectations in the coming months are for a break, as momentum studies continue to improve and our proprietary Tension Indicator (not shown) also strengthens.
The anticipated break higher will be delayed if prices close below 310.18, but downside risks are expected to remain limited as investors move towards a buy-into-weakness strategy.
A later post will highlight specific US stocks which we believe will benefit from this development.