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Analyzing Key Forex Patterns and IndicatorsAnalyzing the SPX500 chart reveals several key patterns and indicators critical for forex trading 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Resistance Zone: The blue-shaded area around the 6,071 level is a significant resistance zone where the price has struggled to break through. Support Level: The horizontal blue line at approximately 5,840 (labeled "SMS") represents a notable support level where buying interest has emerged in the past. 2. Swing High (SH): The red horizontal line marked "SH" around the 6,077 level highlights a failed swing high, indicating a previous peak in price. 3. Price Movements: There is a notable decline from the resistance zone around 6,020 to a low near 5,770, followed by a recovery towards the 6,000 level. 4. Volume: The volume, indicated as "Vol 7.14K" at the top of the chart, provides insight into the trading activity during this period. Potential Effectiveness of this Technical Signals: Resistance Zone: If the price breaks above this level with strong volume, it could signal a bullish trend continuation. However, failure to break through may indicate a reversal or consolidation. Support Level: Maintaining above this support level is crucial for a bullish outlook. A break below could signal a bearish trend and further downside potential which the break has occured. Swing High (SH): The swing high at 6,020 serves as a reference point for potential resistance. Approaching this level again will be a key area for observing either a breakout or a reversal. These technical signals are effective in predicting market movements as they reflect historical price action and trader behavior. However, they may fail due to unexpected news, economic events, or changes in market sentiment that can cause deviations from historical patterns. In summary, the chart offers valuable insights into support and resistance levels, swing highs, and price movements, which are essential for making informed trading decisions in the forex market.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by BFUFX_MARKETS
US Stocks Surge as Trump Takes Office: Will the Rally Continue?The US stock market is buzzing with excitement as President-elect Donald Trump's inauguration on January 20 approaches. On Friday, January 17, the major indices saw significant gains, with: ● S&P 500 SP:SPX rose 59 points, or 1% ● Dow Jones Industrial Average TVC:DJI increased 335 points, or 0.8% ● Nasdaq composite NASDAQ:IXIC surged 292 points, or 1.5% ◉ Major Sector Driving Gains The technology sector, particularly the "Magnificent Seven" stocks, has been instrumental in this upward momentum. ◉ Investor Sentiment Investors are optimistic about Trump's policies, but concerned about potential inflationary pressures. Experts believe Trump's administration could lead to significant growth due to: 1. Increased Government Stimulus: Trump's background as a real estate developer may result in policies designed to stimulate economic growth. 2. Technological Innovation: Rapid advancements in technology are expected to create new industries and opportunities. 3. Lower Interest Rates: There is speculation that Trump may implement lower interest rates to further encourage economic expansion. Overall, the market is cautiously optimistic, with investors closely monitoring Trump's policies.
SP:SPXLong
by NaranjCapital
US100 Breakout Incoming US-500 Analysis Weekly Chart Overview • Trend: The US-500 is firmly in an uptrend, trading within a larger ascending channel since July. Price action continues to respect this channel, with the most recent weekly candle forming a bullish engulfing pattern off a key Fibonacci retracement level. • Volume Profile: Price remains in a medium-volume zone, with the weekly POC at 5,562, marking a critical level of interest for institutional participation. • Indicators: • EMAs: All EMAs are aligned upward with significant spacing, highlighting the strength of the current trend. • Ichimoku Cloud: Price is well above the weekly cloud, confirming bullish momentum. • RSI and MACD: RSI has climbed from 53 to 59, aligning with the recent bounce, while MACD shows waning bearish momentum, supporting a potential continuation of the uptrend. • Fibonacci Insights: • The retracement from the 5th August to 2nd December wave suggests the 0.236 level played a role in the recent bounce, indicating that the current higher-low formation aligns with broader trend dynamics. • Using the breakout point from 9th September, the 38.2% retracement level aligns precisely with the recent reversal, providing additional confluence. Daily Chart Overview • Trend: On the daily chart, price action has been in a consolidation phase since breaking below an ascending channel on 17th December. However, the price has repeatedly bounced off a daily order block at 5,874 to 5,828, establishing a robust support zone. • Key Developments: • Recent price action shows a breakout above the daily POC at 5,919, with the price now above the 20 EMA and 50 EMA. • Bollinger Bands: Price is within the upper band, signaling renewed strength. • Fibonacci Insights: • The bounce aligns with the 0.786 retracement level, suggesting the potential formation of a higher-low structure, which is often a precursor to trend continuation. • Fibonacci retracements and extensions provide insights into market liquidity levels, where institutional activity is likely to cluster. • Indicators: • RSI is back above 50, confirming a shift in momentum. • MACD has turned green, and CMF is positive at 0.03. • ADX at 30.57 shows a weakening bearish trend, while DI lines converge, indicating diminishing bearish pressure. 4-Hour Chart Overview • Trend: Price action recently broke out of a descending wedge, which had been characterized by lower-lows and lower-highs during the consolidation phase. This breakout aligns with bullish sentiment seen on higher timeframes. • Key Levels: • Price is testing a daily order block, showing initial rejection, with potential for short-term retracement. • Fibonacci extensions reveal the move has reached a 100% retracement of the previous downtrend, a critical level for monitoring potential liquidity grabs. • Indicators: • RSI is at 67.93, nearing overbought territory, suggesting possible short-term exhaustion. • MACD remains above zero, though bullish momentum is waning. • CMF is increasing at 0.16, signaling accumulation. Exclusive Indicator Insights Our custom indicators provide a critical edge in identifying key zones: • Weekly Buy Region: The first green bar since consolidation appeared last week, signaling a shift in sentiment and potential alignment with broader bullish momentum. • Daily Buy Region: Currently unshaded, reflecting a lack of confirmation on the daily timeframe, underscoring the importance of higher timeframe alignment. Summary and Outlook • Weekly Chart: The higher-low formation, supported by Fibonacci retracements and a bullish engulfing candle, points to strong bullish momentum. • Daily Chart: The breakout above the POC and key EMAs signals a potential end to the consolidation phase, with order blocks and retracements offering critical areas to monitor. • 4-Hour Chart: While the breakout is promising, near-term corrections are possible as the RSI approaches overbought levels and momentum wanes. Stay Tuned Our exclusive indicators, particularly the Weekly Buy Region and Daily Buy Region, are designed to highlight actionable zones with precision, making them invaluable tools for indices like the US-500. Stay connected to our Minds channel and follow our ideas to gain access to specific entries and further updates as we refine our setups.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by EliteMarketAnalysis
Blood on the Street Next Week, S&P Drop incomingI had expected to see the index start falling this past week, so it was surprising to see it rise in such aggressive bursts, even leaving gaps preceding the last three days' openings. This displayed great strength which, Im expecting, induced many investors to go long. This in my view is just as intended to trap them and close them out on a loss this upcoming week by breaking down sharply and filling out the gaps left behind. As a confirmation of this I'm awaiting to see it move below Friday's low which should really tip the price pressure lower after initially catching some of Friday's longs and generating momentum on those liquidations. Ideally, the price won't revisit the high at 6,055 but the ultimate invalidation point is at the all-time high. Happy Trading :)
SP:SPXShort
by HydraFinance
Down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD came into the Daily FVG and rejected from there to the upside. It could be that the WXY correction is finished and price is now going up again to a new ATH. Next week we could see a (corrective) move down and after that more upside. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a bigger correction down to finish. After that you could trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USD
by EduwaveTrading
3
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 17, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent trading session, the S&P 500 attained our designated downside target of Mean Support at 5775, which initiated a robust rally. This rally enabled the index to reach our target of Mean Resistance at 5920 and advance further to the newly identified Mean Resistance at 6035. The market is currently exhibiting strong and consistent upward movement. The bullish trend appears poised to continue towards our subsequent target, the Outer Index Rally at 6123, which will be approached via Key Resistance at 6090. Following that, additional targets of 6233 and 6418 are also anticipated. However, it is essential to acknowledge that reaching the initial rally level and the subsequent targets will result in a price pullback. Such a pullback is expected to prepare the market for the next phase of the bullish trend.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
[Education] The Truth About Why You Still Can't Manage You know you should risk only 1% per trade. You understand the math behind proper position sizing. You’ve read all the books about risk management. Yet somehow, you still find yourself breaking these rules “just this once.” I get it. I’ve been there. Even after blowing multiple accounts and losing over $10,000, I still struggled with risk management. Not because I didn’t understand it, but because understanding isn’t enough. Let me share something embarrassing. Last year, I was managing a $200,000 funded account. I had my risk management rules clearly written down. Never risk more than 1%. Never hold through high-impact news. Never average down on losing trades. Then one day, I saw what looked like the perfect setup. Everything aligned. Multiple timeframe confluence, key level, perfect structure. Instead of my usual 1% risk, I convinced myself this trade deserved 3%. After all, with my experience and track record, surely I could handle larger position sizes now? That one decision wiped out two months of profits in 15 minutes. The Psychology Behind Our Self-Sabotage Here’s what makes risk management so tricky. We can intellectually understand its importance while emotionally rejecting it. It’s like knowing exactly how many calories are in a chocolate cake but eating it anyway. The problem isn’t knowledge. When you’re trading a $10,000 account and risking 1% per trade, you’re only risking $100. Even with a 2R winner, that’s just $200 profit. It’s just a day’s worth of salary. Proper risk management feels like you’re making slow progress. When you’re scrolling through social media. you see other traders posting insane gains. Your friend tells you that he turned $1,000 into $10,000 in a week trading crypto. Your mind knows these are likely fake or cherry-picked results, but your emotional mind starts whispering: “Maybe just this once…” The Hidden Cost of “Special” Trades We all have them. Those trades that feel different. The setup looks so perfect that our normal risk management rules seem too conservative. We tell ourselves this is a “special situation” that deserves special treatment. I learned this lesson the hard way with prop firm challenges. I would be up 6% on a challenge, nearly at the profit target. Then I’d see a “perfect setup” and increase my risk to “speed things up.” Almost every time, these “special” trades would end up failing the challenge. What’s worse, even when these larger positions worked out, they reinforced bad habits. Each successful oversized trade became ammunition for my brain to justify breaking rules in the future. The Compound Effect of Risk Management Violations The real danger isn’t just the immediate loss from one oversized trade. It’s the psychological damage that comes from breaking your own rules. Each time you violate your risk management rules and survive, you reinforce the behavior. This is even worse when you violate your rules and profit from the market. You will think that you’re invincible. Think about your last few trades. How many times did you do these? Move your stop loss to “give the trade room”? Add to a losing position because the price looked “even better”? Increase your position size because you were sure about the setup? Each of these decisions might seem small at the moment. But they create a compound effect that eventually leads to huge losses. The Professional’s Reality Want to know what real professional trading looks like? It’s mind-numbingly systematic. I now manage multiple six-figure funded accounts, and my risk management is completely automated. Before each trading day, I calculate my maximum position size based on 1% risk. I set up my position calculator with my account size. I write down my maximum loss for the day. During trading, I input my stop loss distance into my calculator. I take the position size it gives me. No exceptions I set my orders and walk away This isn’t exciting. It’s not flexible. It doesn’t allow for “special situations.” But it works. Building Systems Instead of Relying on Discipline The solution to risk management isn’t more knowledge or better discipline. It’s building systems that make it impossible to break your rules. After losing enough money, I finally created a system that works: First, I removed the trading app from my phone. This prevents me from making unnecessary trades during my non-trading hours. It is also difficult to trade using a phone as I do not have the tools needed for my analysis. Second, I use a position size calculator. It automatically calculates my maximum position size based on stop loss distance with my account size. Third, I track every risk management violation in a journal. This forces me to confront my mistakes instead of ignoring them. The Reality of Recovery Let’s talk about something most traders don’t want to face. The mathematics of recovery. A 20% loss requires a 25% gain to break even A 30% loss requires a 43% gain to break even A 50% loss requires a 100% gain to break even But knowing these numbers isn’t enough. You need to experience first hand the pain of trying to recover from a large drawdown. Only then, will you truly understand why risk management matters. I’m sure you have experienced it one way or another. Wins and losses are not made equally. I remember sitting at my desk, staring at a 40% drawdown in my account. I was entering all sorts of entries on my entry time frame, without considering the context of the higher time frames. I needed a 67% return just to break even. The feeling of wanting to break even led me to take even bigger risks, trying to recover faster. Instead, I dug myself into an even deeper hole and eventually lost my account. The Path to Consistent Risk Management The hardest part about proper risk management isn’t understanding what to do. It’s being satisfied with the results when you do it correctly. When you’re risking 1% per trade, a good month might only yield 5–10% returns. This feels painfully slow compared to the potential returns of larger position sizes. But here’s what I’ve learned: those “slow” months compound into significant returns over time, while aggressive trading eventually leads to blown accounts or even giving up on trading forever. Taking Action: Building Your Risk Management Framework I know it’s not easy to adhere to your risk management rules. You know this skill is essential for your growth in your trading career. If you’re still struggling with risk management, here’s what you need to do: First, accept that your current approach isn’t working. If you’re consistently breaking your rules, you need a complete system overhaul, not just better discipline. Second, automate everything you can. Use position calculators, set up your orders in advance, remove the ability to trade from your phone. Third, create accountability. Share your trades with a mentor or trading community before entering them. Make it embarrassing to break your rules. The Choice Ahead You already know proper risk management is crucial. The question is: Are you ready to build systems that force you to trade properly? This means accepting that: Your returns might look “small” compared to aggressive traders. You’ll have to watch others take risks you “know” would work. Your account will grow slower than you’d like. Your trading will become boring and systematic Want to learn how to build these systems and finally master risk management? My newsletter focuses on creating frameworks that make proper risk management automatic. No relying on discipline, no room for “special” trades, just systematic execution. The market doesn’t care about your knowledge. It only cares about your actions.
SP:SPX
by Keeleytwj
S&P500 Only buy above this level.S&P500 is trading on a Channel Up and today crossed over the MA50 (1d) again. In order to confirm any bullish sentiment, it has to cross above the Falling Resistance coming from the previous high. If it does, it can technically follow the growth % of the previous bullish waves that was +7.15%. Trading Plan: 1. Buy if the price crosses above the Falling Resistance. Targets: 1. 6180 (+7.15% from the bottom). Tips: 1. The RSI (1d) has already crossed over its MA trendline. Already a strong bullish breakout. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingBrokersView
SPX: MTF Cluster Support at 5,810 with EMA Confirmation StrategyCurrent Technical Setup The SP:SPX is testing a significant cluster support level at 5,810, identified by FibExtender Pro with multiple timeframe confluence. The price has shown a clear reaction at this level, making it a potential launching point for a bullish move. Entry Conditions Primary Triggers Required: 8 EMA crossing above 34 EMA on 30-minute chart (currently bearish) Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Price holding above cluster support at 5,810 Price Targets First target: 6,000 (psychological level and major cluster resistance - 4 levels) Second target: 6,170 (cluster resistance - 3 levels) Risk Management Stop Loss Parameters: Place stops below 5,810 cluster support Exit if price fails to hold above EMAs after entry Cancel setup if entry triggers aren't activated Timeframe Analysis 30-Minute Chart: Currently bearish configuration 8 EMA below 34 EMA Waiting for bullish crossover and Price breaking above last swing high at 5,850 Weekly Chart: Strong bullish structure Moving averages stacked positively 5,810 cluster support adds confluence 50 EMA > 200 EMA (bullish) Time-Based Considerations The January 13 time cluster provides an additional layer of confluence for potential trend reversal. This timing aligns with Fibonacci principles suggesting higher probability setups when time and price zones converge. Special Notes The mixed signals between timeframes require patience. The weekly chart provides a strong bullish foundation, but entry must wait for 30-minute confirmation signals to align. The setup becomes invalid if price breaks below cluster support without triggering entry conditions.
SP:SPXLong
by TradeVizion
S&P 500 / Consolidation with Bearish and Bullish PotentialS&P 500 Analysis The price needs to stabilize below 5,969 to target 5,937, and breaking this level would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend towards 5,893. Alternatively, the price must break above 5,969 by closing a 4-hour or 1-hour candle to signal a bullish trend, with potential upside targets at 6,022. Currently, the market is consolidating between 5,937 and 5,969. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5,969 Resistance Levels: 6,000, 6,022, 6,057 Support Levels: 5,937, 5,908, 5,864 Trend Outlook: Consolidation is observed between 5,937 and 5,969.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
Can a breakthrough to the upside be maintained of S&P500?From the technical side, we are seeing a small push higher, breaking above a short-term downside line. Despite this being a somewhat positive occurrence, we would rather wait to see where we close at the end of Friday. For more information, please see the video. MARKETSCOM:US500 RISK DISCLAIMER 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
MARKETSCOM:US500
by Marketscom
[b]SA Markets – January 17th, 2025[/b]Market Overview: Asia: Markets started red but turned green later in the day. China: Up for the fourth consecutive day. Nikkei (Japan): Trading in its lower range with a slight bounce, but not significant. Europe: EU50: Reached an all-time high, coming out of a long base stretching back to March 28th, 2024. Positive sentiment driven by lower inflation data and expectations of reduced rates. Germany and France: Both showing strength, with Germany also reaching a new all-time high. STOXX 600: Still trading below the range it has been stuck under since May 15th, 2024. Bitcoin and Cryptocurrencies: Bitcoin: Trading above $100,000, currently at $102,000. Last time it was at this level (January 6th), it was quickly rejected. Ethereum: Third inside day. Solana: Testing highs from January 6th, with news that it might be included in Trump’s reserve holdings. IBD 250 Pre-market: Mixed bag with some red names but many showing green and gapping up pre-market. Screener Results: 20% Gainers (Past Week): 31 names, led by Constellation Energy . Sectors include health technology and commercial services. 8% Gainers (Past Week): 294 names, with notable strength in luxury names, Bitcoin-related stocks, and finance. Louis Vuitton: Stands out, up 10%. 8% Losers (Past Week): 156 names, including Toyota , Porsche , Las Vegas Sands , Snap , and GameStop . Dominated by health technology, electronic technology, services, and utilities. 20% Losers (Past Week): 31 names, primarily in health technology. Notable losers include Moderna and FDA Aviation . ETF Highlights (Yesterday): Strongest: XLU (Utilities), XLRE (Real Estate), and Broker-Dealer ETFs. Weakest: Regional Banks, Oil, and Uranium ETFs. Additional Observations: Rate-sensitive sectors showed strong performance yesterday, benefiting from recent inflation data. RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P): Above the 50 EMA, showing strength and indicating that breadth is holding up despite weakness in large-cap names. VIX: At 16, showing an inside day with no major moves lower. Plan of Action: Exercise caution with new trades after several strong days in the market. Await a pullback before adding positions, focusing on names with potential for strong 3-5 day moves. Start small with any new positions as the market might need time to cool off. Upcoming Events to Watch: Monday: U.S. markets closed for a holiday. Next Week: Potential market movements with the inauguration of a new president.
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by GreenBkk