Spx Bear case to 5700Spx following the trend line down. With volume poc and last support near 5700 it looks much more reasonable to expect a visit to 5700 before resuming the up trend.
SP500 trade ideas
"US500 / SPX500" Indices Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "US500 / SPX500" Indices market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull trade after the breakout of MA level 5960 (OR) Entry in Pullback 5820
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level.
Goal 🎯: 6100 (or) escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️
Based on the fundamental analysis, I would conclude that the US500 / SPX500 is : Bullish
Reasons:
US economic growth: The US economy is expected to grow at a rate of 2.5% in 2023, driven by a strong labor market, increasing business investment, and a rebound in the housing market.
Monetary policy support: The Federal Reserve has kept interest rates at a low level of 1.5%, which is expected to support borrowing and spending in the economy.
Fiscal policy support: The US government has announced a series of fiscal stimulus measures, including tax cuts and infrastructure spending, which are expected to support economic growth.
Corporate earnings growth: US companies are expected to report increasing earnings in 2023, driven by a strong global economy and a competitive dollar.
Valuation: The US500 / SPX500 is currently trading at a relatively high valuation, with a price-to-earnings ratio of 20, but this is still below its historical average.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth could reduce demand for US stocks and drive down the index.
Trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and other countries, particularly China, could impact the US trade balance and economic growth.
Inflation concerns: Rising inflation could lead to higher interest rates, which could negatively impact the economy and the stock market.
Key Fundamental Indicators:
US GDP growth: 2.5% (2023 estimate)
Unemployment rate: 3.5% (2023 estimate)
Inflation rate: 2.0% (2023 estimate)
Interest rates: 1.5% (2023 estimate)
Corporate earnings growth: 10.0% (2023 estimate)
Market Sentiment:
Bullish sentiment: 75%
Bearish sentiment: 25%
Neutral sentiment: 0%
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
US500 in a Possible Bullish ABC WaveUS500 in a Possible Bullish ABC Wave
Since January 6th, the price has decreased by nearly 2.45%, from 6018 to 5871. This decline formed a 5-wave movement. It appears the bottom was completed at 5871, and the price may now start forming the C wave of the ABC pattern.
If everything proceeds as expected, US500 should develop as shown in the chart, with resistance areas found near 5927, 5962, and 5994.
You may find more details in the chart!
Thank you and Good Luck!
❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️
US500 SHORT For the US100 the market has broken the Daily Market structure line that had been established and has broken through the 50SMA and been consolidating here, forming a symmetric Triangle pattern.
We are testing the 100SMA on the daily which is providing support, The Fib Retracement level for US500 for the weekly Move is at around 5300-5600, which is where we will target our short on clear break down of the symmetric triangle.
Please like share and comment if you like the Idea and do tell me what else youd like to see! My Goal is to equip traders with the knowledge and ideas that will make them financially Free!
What do you think?Hello guys
We came with the analysis of us500.
There are two scenarios:
1- From here, open a long trade and move to the resistance range, and in case of a further drop, add volume at the second point.
2- Wait until the price reaches the resistance range and open a sale transaction in the two specified ranges.
What do you think?
*Trade safely with us*
Bearish drop?S&P500 (US500) has reacted off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 5,924.14
1st Support: 5,838.66
1st Resistance: 5,964.07
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Looking for a Double CorrectionShort Term Elliott Wave view in S&P 500 (SPX) suggests the rally to 6099.6 ended wave ((3)). Pullback in wave ((4)) is currently in progress to correct cycle from December 22, 2022 low. Internal subdivision of the pullback is unfolding as a double three Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave ((3)), wave A ended at 6029.89 and wave B rally ended at 6092.59. The Index then resumed lower in wave C towards 5832.3. This completed wave (W) in higher degree. From there, Index corrected in wave (X). Up from wave (W), wave A ended at 5982.06 and wave B ended at 5902.57. Wave C higher ended at 6049.75 which completed wave (X).
The Index has resumed lower in wave (Y). Down from wave (X), wave W ended at 5869.16. Wave X unfolded as an expanded flat structure. Up from wave W, wave ((a)) ended at 5940.79, and wave ((b)) pullback ended at 5829.53. Wave ((c)) higher ended at 6021.04 which completed wave X in higher degree. Index then resumed lower in wave Y. Down from wave X, wave ((a)) ended at 5874.78. Near term, as far as pivot at 6099.65 high stays intact, expect rally to fail in 3, 7, 11 swing for further downside. Potential target lower is 100% – 161.8% Fibonacci extension of wave (W). This area comes at 5616 -5782 where support can be seen.
SP500 LOGI am going in long in the SP500, I am waiting for a breakout of the structure to increase my position and if I get out I would look for a re-entry according to the visible patterns.
US500 SELL?hello guys
Due to the failure of the ascending structure and hitting a lower floor, we expect to have a fall from the specified box range to the specified targets.
Note that this analysis is technically reviewed.
Be successful and profitable.
US500 We will conduct a top Down analysis for the US500.
The US500 us currently In a large Bull run, it is forming a Series of Higher highs and higher lows on the Weekly Time frame. We are currently at the 100 Fib extensions Level taken from the 2020 Covid Low.
Both Capital Inflows and Volume remain positive but at the highs right now seem to be decreasing but remains positive. Market has made a HH and is now testing the Market structure line that has been strong this entire bull run.
Moving below to the Daily we can see clear weakness in the markets with multiple tests of the 50SMA and 10SMA now below the 50SMA. Whether this region holds is yet to be seen. We have a clear break of market structure from the bullish Wave that started on 6th of September with a retest of that took place on the 26th of December with a failure to break back above.
Currently on the Daily TF, the markets are losing money with CMF below zero indicating distribution and OBV decreasing aswell. The break of market structure of this bullish Wave allows us to Identify retracement Zones where we can see 0.5 ot 0.618 level being of Importance.
If we come down to the 4H we can see that currently the zone is range bound with ranging price action with the bottom of the range around the 5870 level, albeit with a succession of LH that have formed. The price in this Range has broken the 200SMA multiple times indicating market weakness in the intermediate Term. WIth price below the 20SMA we also see weakness. We have Resistance Trend Line that is forming with the LH on the 4H.
On the 1H we remain firmly Bearish with immediate price action. This market seems like it has reached a top on the Weekly and needs resetting and the 4H and Daily price action confirm this with a break of the Large trend line. We are testing the Weekly Trend line that has been established For over 2 years.
We are reactive and not predictive so we will wait to see what the market does, on breaks of the Range Zone the market will cool off on the Daily bullish Wave, but if this Daily bullish Cooldown breaks the Weekly Market structure we may be in for a large bear market this year.
Long US IndicesGoing long on US Indices on the back of a resilient US economy especially the services sector which is a big part of the US economy. I anticipate higher prices for US Indices even though the upside might be limited unlike the bull run we saw in 2024 since the FED will turn more hawkish. Near term target of 6172 on US500.
SP 500 forming one of two count triangle or wave B low The chart posted is that of the sp 500 . I have taken profit in each rally and moved back to cash as the structure and model are in a opposition .I have now taken a minor long calls in QQQ and spy at a 20 % position . support for me is 5880 and 508.9 in QQQ I am in only long term Calls
Bulls and Bears zone for 01-08-2025Yesterday S&P 500 sold off and closed near LOD which could caution momentum traders.
Any test of ETH session High could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch: 5956 --- 5958
News to watch:
US FOMC Minutes --- 2:00PM EST
Wishing everyone Happy, Healthy and Wealthy Year !!!
S&P 500 rangeThe S&P 500 Index has been ranging sideways since the US Election gap up on November 6th 2024. SPX support is by the October 2024 high 5850 area. Resistance is by the 6050 zone, even though there was an attempt to hit 6100 in the beginning of December before the FOMC rate cut and government shutdown fear drop on December 18th. Trading a range simplifies long and short entries and exits. However, it only works while the trading range continues. If there's a breakout or breakdown then this range will be invalidated. For the time being, my trade idea is straightforward on SPX. Go long at 5850 and go short at 6050. I think the market is in wait and see mode until Mega Cap earnings in a few weeks. A note of caution, options data is currently extremely bearish through the end of this month.
Mega Cap earnings dates:
1/28
MSFT 4:05pm
GOOG 4:05pm
1/29
TSLA 4:05
1/30
AMZN 4pm
META 4:05pm
AAPL 4:30pm
SPX options data:
1/10 expiry
Put Volume Total 152,200
Call Volume Total 69,422
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.19
Put Open Interest Total 425,831
Call Open Interest Total 108,857
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.91
1/17 expiry
Put Volume Total 129,140
Call Volume Total 97,195
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33
Put Open Interest Total 1,917,625
Call Open Interest Total 1,013,708
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 1.89
1/24 expiry
Put Volume Total 11,864
Call Volume Total 8,911
Put/Call Volume Ratio 1.33
Put Open Interest Total 156,526
Call Open Interest Total 46,537
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.36
1/31 expiry
Put Volume Total 36,487
Call Volume Total 12,299
Put/Call Volume Ratio 2.97
Put Open Interest Total 449,738
Call Open Interest Total 116,092
Put/Call Open Interest Ratio 3.87
S&P Long1)Trend defined. 4h Uptrend.
2)Contradictory limit order entry. At the last point of stall.
3)Default loss. A bit lower .
4)Default target level. 5.
5)Risk <= 3%.
6)Singular trade.
7)Trades placed today <= 5.
Stock market correction in 2025??I personally believe we'll see a stock market correction in 2025.
1. 30yr treasury yield going higher while FED cut interest rates. Similar situation in 1970s and 1980s where we say a 50% correction in just 2 years in the 1970s (can't remember exact dates)
2. US 10yr/3m yield curve has turned positive. Last times it's done this has been 2000, 2008 and 2020. I'm guessing you know what happened each of those times.
3. Institutional investors increasing long contracts in the yen. The Japanese Yen is a 'risk-off' investment and investors tend to favour it when they don't have much faith in the stock market.
4. US have a volatile president in Trump. The power also seems to be getting to his head a bit - he disagrees with Fed Chair Powell over interest rates, despite not being as educated in economics. He has a lot of power right now and I don't think he will be able to stop a potential market crash for the first year or 2 of his presidency.
5. Back-to-back 20%+ years from the S&P500, could be due a pullback.
These are some reasons, I have some more but I don't want to be sat here writing all day.
Important to note that if you're a long term investor it's best to just ignore this. "Time in the markets beats timing the markets" as they say.
But if you're a day trader I wouldn't be taking many long positions on stocks this year. Could be better to start looking at opportunities in the currency markets.
Then again - you don't have to trust me. This isn't financial advice, just my opinion.
August SPY seasonalitySPY is seasonally weak in August. Thus the pullback is timely, especially after such a rally.
Levels to look out for is 5200-5300 which constitutes about 5-8% DD.
If it drops to 5100, then it's truly a gift to start leveraging into the EOY election rally.
Bullish Continuation for SPX500After Trading in a small consolidation SPX looks to pick back up on its Bullish movement.
- Price has broken and now retesting bearish trendline.
-Price swept the lows of the liquidity and is now retesting the previous resistance of the zone.
The Retest is taking place at the H1 lvl resistance 5,903
- Rejection wick with an inside bar pattern
- There's a weak bullish divergence with the previous low.
-Wait for your entry signal
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 01.08.2025🔮
📅 Wed Jan 8
⏰ 8:15am
🧑🌾 ADP Non-Farm Employment Change: 139K (prev: 146K)
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Unemployment Claims: 214K (prev: 211K)
🎙️ FOMC Member Waller Speaks
⏰ 10:30am
🛢️ Crude Oil Inventories: -1.8M (prev: -1.2M)
⏰ 2:00pm
📜 FOMC Meeting Minutes
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
Slight rally higher and then chop out.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
A little more upside and then faced by some old-fashioned bearishness.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Everyone will eat up this drop; definitely look to position bullish here.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SPX500 H4 | Sideways price actionSPX500 is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 6,004.61 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 6,060.00 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 5,825.91 which is a multi-swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#SPX Remember trend is your friend until it ends. After examining this instrument on multiple tf and with no drawings on my chart is was evident that we are in a W4 triangle on Dtf. We breakout long this week! #indices #trading
The USA S&P 500 Indexthe USA S&P 500 Index (15-minute timeframe), highlighting a recent price action scenario. It shows a rising wedge pattern followed by a significant bearish breakout. The price retraced to a resistance zone around 5984.20 and is now consolidating. Two potential paths are illustrated: either a continuation upwards toward the 6000 level or a rejection that could lead to a further decline toward 5940 support.
Fundamental Note: Investors might be cautious due to mixed economic data or upcoming Federal Reserve commentary, which could influence volatility and overall market sentiment.
