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SP500 trade ideas

SPX500 ,,, Probability of BreakoutUptrend As seen in the chart, the S&P 500 has been in a prolonged uptrend. By focusing on key highs and lows, my prediction is that the index will break out of its current level this week. The next target level is 6270, after which I anticipate a pullback to the newly broken level. Overall, I remain optimistic about the market and recommend identifying stocks with strong upward momentum. Consider establishing new buy positions following the breakout. Good luck.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by pardis
4
SPX Losing Steam As RRP Runs to ZeroSP:SPX has been enjoying lots of liquidity from the reverse repo facility at the Fed recently, but this balance is soon going to zero as indicated by the trend shown in the chart. The orange line is an inverted RRP chart to show the correlation with SPX going up. As liquidity in RRP runs out, the monthly SPX MACD also looks as if it's ready to swing down. The timing for when SPX rolls over is a challenge due to many factors, but RRP is on track to be zero within a month, and this will take away one major liquidity source driving markets. This event will be one to keep an eye on.
TVC:SPXShort
by DarklyEnergized
S&P500 retesting ATH,The Week Ahead 17th Feb 25The S&P (US500) index price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. However, since reaching an all-time high on Friday 24th Jan the S&P index price action is consolidating in a sideways trading range. The key trading level is at 6012, which is the current swing low. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6012 level could target the upside resistance at 6080 followed by the 6117 and 6130 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed loss of 6012 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook targeting a further retracement and a retest of 5964 support level followed by 5925. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 10.2-14.2 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 5th week of the base cycle (average of 20 weeks). Monday opened with a traditional gap down. Unfortunately, the gap was too brief to close the short position with a profit. On Wednesday, the extreme forecast on February 11 pushed the market upward after a brief dip on inflation data. Two long cycles remain open, as I have discussed in previous posts. ⚠️ By Friday’s close, there are signs of a triple top forming at the December 9 and January 29 extreme forecast levels. The next pivot forecast is February 24. The most interesting part is expected at the extreme forecast on March 3, coinciding with the start of the retrograde Venus period, which I mentioned in early December.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
SP500 vs. US intrest rateInterest rate hikes correlated with SP500 growth. Recent growth from the bottom of the March 21' COVID crash was financed by printing trillions US dollars. It allowed to mitigate unemployment rate spike. Inflation started to rise rapidly and interest rates are expected to grow. Will SP500 growth continue? Or is it overpriced by now? Maybe, Shiller P/E ratio for SP500 is now around 39 with median at 16 and maxiumum at 44 on Dec 1999. But how similar is current economics to previous decades? What to expect with unprecedented money supply and modern technologies? Is it time of Modern Monetary Theory? Maybe I would be able to answer any of the questions if I had any formal economic education ;) tradingeconomics.com www.multpl.com
SP:SPXLong
by greater_fool_
Market SnapshotHow do you see the economic future of America? www.youtube.com www.saferbankingresearch.com "As such, as of Q3 2023, the total equity of the banks participating in the 2024 stress test was already lower than their loans to shadow bankers. Given that on-balance sheet loans to shadow bankers have increased by nearly 20% since Q3 2023, and assuming off-balance sheet loan commitments have grown at the same rate, total loan commitments to shadow bankers from the largest banks are now even higher. This makes shadow banking lending one of the largest segments—and, for some, already the largest—of these banks' credit books."
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 14, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 effectively reached and tested the critical Key Resistance level at 6083. It retested the completed Outer Index Rally at 6120, indicating a potential continuation of the bullish trend toward the intermediate target of 6233. However, a market pullback is anticipated due to this price action. Current analyses suggest that the designated downward target is set at the Mean Support level of 6049, with potential extensions to 5995, 5936, and the Outer Index Dip at 5878.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day Traders Feb 14 Ok so where are we at. We broke out above the downtrend yesterday just under ATH’s. 35MEA is underneath the implied move which often signals too fast to soon and a pull back is normal before moving higher. 30min 200MA is underneath both days implied move and you can see that for CPI and PPI that 35EMA bounced on the 30min 200 after 3 weeks of consolidation. All right, ATH’s on deck. Let’s see what happens. I did put on an IRON SPYDER which works well after big moves for a more neutral day - the flatter the better for me today.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
S&P 500 (SPX500USD) | Breakout or Rejection? Key Levels to Watch📊 S&P 500 (SPX500USD) – Key Technical Outlook (4H Chart) 🔹 Price Action: The market is consolidating around the 6,107 - 6,122 resistance zone (ATH area). A decisive breakout or rejection from this zone will dictate the next move. 🔹 Bias: As long as the price holds above 6,031, the bullish momentum remains intact within the ascending channel. 🔥 Potential Bullish Scenario: ✅ A 4H close above 6,127 = Breakout confirmation 🚀 📌 Targets: 📍 6,168 (first resistance) 📍 6,224 - 6,279 (next key resistance zone) ⚠️ Potential Bearish Scenario: ❌ A 4H close below 6,098 could trigger a retracement 🔻 📌 Targets: 📍 6,077 (minor support) 📍 6,031 (major support & channel base) 📍 6,010 - 5,979 (next demand zone) 🔑 Key Levels: 📍 Pivot Point: 6,098 📌 Resistance: 6,127, 6,168, 6,224-6,279 📌 Support: 6,077, 6,031, 6,010 Conclusion: 📈 Bullish bias remains intact unless price breaks below 6,098 with confirmation. 🔥 Breakout above 6,127 = new bullish leg targeting fresh highs! ⚠️ Rejection from 6,122 - 6,127 may trigger a retracement to 6,031 - 6,010 before further upside. 💬 What’s your bias? Are we breaking ATH or pulling back? Drop your thoughts below! 👇
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
SPX Finally Pops - But Will It Stick?SPX Finally Pops – But Will It Stick? | SPX Market Analysis 14 Feb 2025 Well, pop the champagne, sound the victory bells, and maybe slap my thigh and call me Rodger—SPX has finally broken out! The only thing missing is a trumpet fanfare and maybe a ticker-tape parade. But before we get too carried away, the real question remains—will this breakout hold strong or collapse into another Friday sell-off? Let’s break it down… SPX Deeper Dive Analysis: 🎉 The Market Has Moved – But Will It Last? After days of tedious range-bound trading, SPX finally decided to pick a direction. But if history is anything to go by, we can’t get too comfortable just yet. 🔻 Friday Sell-Off Risk If the last few weeks are anything to go by, we’ve seen: A break higher, only for it to reverse sharply by Friday A hard and fast flush that wipes out the week’s gains A market that keeps traders on their toes 📉 Bear Trades Expire Today My bearish positions are expiring We never quite got the drop to range lows A last-minute sell-off could help—but I won’t be holding my breath 🔄 What’s Next? ✅ Option 1: Look for a fresh swing trade entry today ✅ Option 2: Sit back, relax, and enjoy a long romantic weekend 😉 📌 Final Takeaway? The range is finally broken, but we’ve been burned before by Friday sell-offs. Patience is key—there’s always another trade, but a long weekend is also tempting. 📢 Did you know? The biggest one-day stock market gain in history happened on March 24, 2020, when the Dow surged 2,113 points. 💡 The Lesson? Even record-breaking rallies can happen after massive crashes. Markets move in cycles—so while sell-offs seem endless, breakouts eventually happen… and vice versa.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton