SPX heading for daily 200 or weekly 50 in next week or twoTargeting 5700-5730 in next week or two. This is still only about 5-7% correction from peak. Ideally we need a10% correction. Which means 5650 should be doable.
SP500 trade ideas
2000 TP next collapse long term projection This how market cycle works once all stocks or mother of stock blow off top it tends to dropp this drop if history repeat it self it drop to 2000 area to find support
as per fibo retracement see chart areas to likely to trade
Market Update: S&P Reacts to Trump’s Tariff Announcement The S&P remains fragile below the 55-day moving average (6000), with key support levels in focus:
📌 200-day MA at 5723
📌 Mid-2024 peaks at 5651/70
📌 55-week MA at 5603
If the 55-week MA breaks, there’s little support until the 2022 peak at 4818. Volatility ahead!
Disclaimer:
The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for March 3rd
Alright, y’all… I am still sick and still dealing with the fatigue so I’m not going to write a whole lot but here are the levels.
You know what to do with them… lol
And we will go over it all tonight.
Don’t forget to hit the “Grab this Chart” button under this chart is you want to use it.
S&P500 Is Nearing The Daily TrendHey Traders. in today's trading session we are monitoring US500 for a buying opportunity around 5850 zone, S&P500 is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 5850 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bollinger Bands: Basics and Breakout Strategy🔵 What are Bollinger Bands?
Bollinger Bands are a popular technical analysis tool developed by John Bollinger in the early 1980s. They help traders analyze price volatility and potential price levels for buying or selling. The indicator consists of three lines plotted over a price chart:
Middle Band: A simple moving average (SMA), typically set to a 20-period average.
Upper Band: The middle band plus two standard deviations.
Lower Band: The middle band minus two standard deviations.
🔵 How Are Bollinger Bands Calculated?
Middle Band (MB): MB = 20-period SMA of the closing price.
Upper Band (UB): UB = MB + (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods).
Lower Band (LB): LB = MB - (2 × standard deviation of the last 20 periods).
The bands expand when volatility increases and contract when volatility decreases.
length = 20
basis = ta.sma(src, length)
dev = mult * ta.stdev(src, length)
upper = basis + dev
lower = basis - dev
🔵 How to Use Bollinger Bands in Trading
Bollinger Bands provide insights into market volatility and potential price reversals. Traders often use them to:
Identify overbought (price near the upper band) and oversold (price near the lower band) conditions.
Spot volatility contractions, which often precede significant price moves.
Confirm trend strength and potential reversals.
🔵 Bollinger Bands Breakout Strategy
One effective strategy involves preparing for breakouts when the upper and lower bands contract, indicating low price momentum.
Strategy Steps:
Identify Low Volatility Zones: Look for periods when the bands are close together, signaling a potential breakout.
Prepare for a Breakout: Monitor price action as it approaches either the upper or lower band.
Entry Signal: Enter a trade when the price closes above the upper band (for a long position) or below the lower band (for a short position).
Stop Loss Placement:
For long entries (break above upper band): Set stop loss at the lower band.
For short entries (break below lower band): Set stop loss at the upper band.
Profit Target: Use a risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2 or close the position when price shows signs of reversal.
Example Charts:
🔵 Final Thoughts
This Bollinger Bands breakout strategy is simple yet effective. By recognizing periods of low volatility and preparing for breakouts, traders can capitalize on significant price movements. Always complement this strategy with proper risk management and confirmation indicators for optimal results.
This article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Trading involves risk, and traders are solely responsible for their own decisions and actions.
Bounce Doesn't Look Convincing SPX made a bit of a bounce off the support levels but it's not shown the strong properties I'd have expected to see in the bat D leg or the C leg I spoke of.
All trailing stops on longs hit.
If we can continue to break out to the upside I'll probably have to buy breaks with tight stops but I think the more likely looking setup here is we make a new low.
If a new low comes from the setup we have a butterfly forms just under the last lows. This is a big inflection point. Either a low is made or we trend down strong under it.
This would also agree with the big 1.61 inflection area.
Starting to think I was wrong about the bigger bull trap idea and we might see a break. Back in shorts.
Spy Path?With the market in extreme fear at the moment (2/28/25) with only a slight 2% pull back I wonder what a 20% would look like.. A golden opportunity while everybody will be predicting the end? Or it bounces Monday for a blow off top and new highs? Guess we shall see..
Possible Bat Forming In my initial mention and entry at the low I posted the Elliot ABC corrective pattern.
Then I remembered we live in the age of eternal stop hunting. Upon some further consideration, I suspect if my bear thesis is correct we'll likely see a new high first.
Probably the short being 6160.
The difference between the ABC and the bat D leg does not matter at this point. Both are strong buys to the retracement levels.
Just a heads up because the possible bat pattern changes the way we go about fading the rally (And I will be trying to fade a rally if it comes).
At things stand, I suspect 6160 is the destination for SPX.
All long stops are in profit now, just waiting to see if we can break up.
S&P Retest of IMPORTANT support, The week ahead 03rd March '25 The S&P 500 (US500) index maintains a bullish bias within the broader long-term uptrend. However, recent price action suggests a period of consolidation following the retest of the all-time high on February 19, 2025. The market is currently at a critical juncture, with the 5918 level acting as a key support zone.
Bullish Scenario:
The 5918 level serves as a newly established support, aligning with the consolidation range and prior resistance.
A corrective pullback towards this level, followed by a bullish bounce, could confirm continued upside momentum.
Upside targets include:
6000 (50-day moving average)
6055 (20-day moving average)
6100 over the longer term
Bearish Scenario:
A confirmed loss of 5918 support with a daily close below this level would invalidate the bullish outlook.
This could trigger a deeper retracement, exposing the following downside levels:
5854 (next key support)
5800, with a potential extension to 5777 if selling pressure accelerates
Market Outlook:
The 5918 level remains pivotal—holding above this support sustains the bullish bias, while a decisive break below it signals potential downside continuation. Traders should closely monitor price action and volume around this key level to assess the market’s next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
"SPX500USD" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "SPX500USD" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Sell below (5930) then make your move - Bearish profits await!"
however I advise placing Sell Stop Orders below the breakout MA or Place Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 6025 (swing Trade Basis) Using the 4H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯:
Primary Target - 5875 (or) Escape Before the Target
Secondary Target - 5750 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
"SPX500USD" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Earnings Growth: The SPX500 earnings growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Valuation: The SPX500 forward P/E ratio is around 17.5, slightly below the historical average.
Dividend Yield: The SPX500 dividend yield is around 2.0%, relatively attractive compared to other asset classes.
👉Macro Economics
GDP Growth: The US GDP growth rate is expected to slow down in 2025, driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Inflation: The US inflation rate is expected to remain around 2.0% in 2025, slightly above the Federal Reserve's target.
Interest Rates: The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates relatively stable in 2025, with a possible rate cut in the second half of the year.
👉COT Data
Commitment of Traders: The COT data shows that large speculators are net short SPX500, indicating a bearish sentiment.
Open Interest: The open interest in SPX500 futures is decreasing, indicating a declining interest in the market.
👉Market Sentimental Analysis
Bearish Sentiment: The market sentiment is currently bearish, with many investors expecting the SPX500 to continue its downward trend.
Risk Aversion: The market is experiencing high risk aversion, with investors seeking safe-haven assets such as bonds and gold.
👉Positioning
Short Positions: Many investors are holding short positions in SPX500, expecting the index to continue its downward trend.
Long Positions: Some investors are holding long positions in SPX500, expecting a potential bounce or reversal.
👉Next Trend Move
Bearish Trend: The current trend is bearish, with the SPX500 expected to continue its downward trend driven by economic uncertainty and trade tensions.
Support Levels: The next support levels are seen at 5700 and 5600.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bearish Outlook: The overall outlook for SPX500 is bearish, driven by economic uncertainty, trade tensions, and slowing earnings growth.
Volatility: The market is expected to remain volatile, with investors closely watching economic data, earnings reports, and geopolitical developments.
👉Real-Time Market Feed
SPX500 Price: 5990.0
24-Hour Change: -1.2%
24-Hour High: 6050.0
24-Hour Low: 5950.0
Trading Volume: 2.2 billion
👉Prediction Next Target
T1: 5875 (short-term target)
T2: 5750 (medium-term target)
T3: 5650 (long-term target)
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
7 DTE SPX Iron Condor, expires 2/28/2025The legs -6190+6195 -5835+5830
8.2% gain (premium) on capital invested on this trade.
Expecting the side ways action on SPX the next week to stay with in this range, will adjust if price hits either of the yellow lines.
Gaban Trading
US500 SHORT TRADEYestersday's price action in alignment with the previous week's consolidation is more than enough reasons for price to short
I plan to take the trade on the 15min FVG. I also plan to do so by 8:30 NY Time. If price breaches the FVG before that time, the trade is invalidated for me
S&P INTRADAY previous support new resistance?S&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after a retest of an all-time high on 19th Feb ‘25.
The key trading level is at the 5918 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous support is now a newly formed resistance zone. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bullish breakout above the 5918 level could target the upside resistance at 5967 followed by the 6014 and 6056 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed rejection at the 5918 resistance and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 5853 support level followed by 5827 and 5780.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SP500USD| BEARISH CONFIRMATION AND KEY SUPPORT LEVELSHello traders,
The price has stabilised below the support zone, reinforcing the bearish trend as long as it continues to trade beneath this level. Remaining below this zone is likely to drive the price down to 5,947. If this level is breached, the price will encounter the channel, which must be broken with a 4-hour candle close to confirm the bearish trend. Beyond this, a strong support zone lies ahead, which may cause multiple upward rebounds before the price eventually breaks through.
The bullish trend is activated by passing the three main levels of 6002, 6074, and 6102.
SPX afternoon analysisProposed top with ending diagonal (5) of ((c)) of y of B, with anticipated impulsive price action towards October 2022 lows.
For ((c)), (1) > (3) > (5), count valid below price of 6172.35.
Shorting the S&P at 6000We previously picked the turning point of the S&P at the all time high.
We now expect this to continue with the downtrend as it approaches the strong 6000 resistance.
1) There is pattern
2) H4 and D1 are down
3) M15 is overbought, awaiting divergence
We target the low of 5915 which will give a 1:2.5 R:R
S&P 500 Index Wave Analysis – 27 February 2025
- S&P 500 index broke support zone
- Likely to fall support level 5800.00
S&P 500 index recently broke the support zone between the key support level 5925.00 (low of the previous waves a and c), the support trendline of the daily up channel from September and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from January.
The breakout of this support zone accelerated the active short-term correction ii – which belongs to the higher raves 3 and (C).
S&P 500 index can be expected to fall to the next support level 5800.00, a low of the previous minor corrections a and 2.
The stock market is not "Crashing"!I keep hearing people saying the stock market is crashing, a mild pullback is hardly a crash, we are not crashing, at least not yet, and maybe not for an extended period.
We use the S&P 500 because it is the best gauge of our markets with the most diverse representation of any of our indices.
A short history of the trend of our stock marker since 1992, correlated to presidencies.
1992-1999 Clinton: Stock market transitioned from fairly flat to a steady ascending path, we reduced our yearly deficit 6 years and had a budget surplus 2 years.
2000-2007 George Bush Jr: Descending or neutral trend most of the 8 years, we broke our 15 year ascending trend and started an overall descending trend. Deregulation led to the recession via predatory lending giving Walmart cashiers $300k loans, banks labeling bad debt as Grade A and banks leveraging 80% of all of Americans money on risky investments. 2008 was devastating for the US Stock market. Increased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years.
2008-2015 Obama: Converted descending trend back to ascending trend and trended up in a tight ascending channel for the rest of his presidency, while implementing an array of regulations to prevent banks from doing this to America again. Decreased the yearly deficit 6 of 8 years.
2016-2020 Trump.v1: Maintained tight ascending channel and broke out of 15 year resistance, introduced a lot of lot of volatility and uncertainty, ultimately ended term with the market on the same trajectory it was when he took office. Diluted all US Dollars by 50%, 25% of the dilution was in 2020, coupled with $3T of quantitative easing in a single year (2020) and more than $2T direct stimulus, this dilution and excessive stimulus during a supply chain crunch directly conveyed into rising inflation the following 2 years. Increased our yearly deficit every year in office.
2021-2024 Biden: Broke out of ascending path to a much steeper and unsustainable ascending path, likely due to all the stimulus pumped into the market in 2020 & 2021. Hard pull back in 2021/2022 as Interest rates were increased to deter spending to reduce interest rates which skyrocketed to 10% in 2021 and was brought back down to just above 2% by 2024. We saw a volatile and sharp ascending channel form. At the end of his term, the market was at top of channel and well above all time highs with some of the most growth in the stock market ever witnessed anywhere on earth, ever, as seen in the charts, nearly doubling the S&P 500 in 4 years, the American economy was booming! Decreased the yearly deficit 2 of 4 years.
2025-2038 Trump.v2: Inherited the market at all time highs on the steepest incline we have witnessed to date, and at a point the market is expected to retract based on the charts. Currently it looks like the S&P could lose 15% or so of its value and still be in our ascending channel of 6 years now. As you can see recent pullbacks don’t even register on a weekly candle. Yes these tariffs and subsequent tariff wars will almost certainly wreak havoc on markets as we already see increase in unemployment, significant drops in consumer confidence, increase in debt ceiling, increase in debt through corporate tax breaks, uptick in inflation and uncertainty in policy but --- we still have a long way to fall before we can call this a bear market or a crash. If we do breakdown from the ascending channel, we can expect the S&P to eye around 3200, or nearly half of its current value. If this administration takes over the federal reserve, they can stimulate the economy to fight the decline and prolong the consequences but those measures will involve further dilution, further debt, further smoke in mirrors, further uncertainty and will likely ignite a ticking time bomb with even greater consequences then outlined here.
So in short, stop saying the market is crashing, it is not. But, be vigilant, there is a high probability of short term pullback and a long term crash based on the charts, historical precedence and current administrations activities.
SPX: Buyers are thereOn SPX as you can see on the chart buyers are present. An upward trend is expected.
17 Year cycle for SPXThis is a seventeen year cycle chart for the SPX. Data earlier in the century is adapted from the DOW.
It shows a consistent topping pattern every 17 years.
S&P 500 - What after 6010 – Key GDP Data in FocusS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 27, 2025
The S&P 500 has declined to 5937, as expected , after rejecting the 6010 pivot zone. Market sentiment remains mixed following Nvidia’s earnings, which were neither overly bullish nor bearish, while investors now shift focus to today’s GDP release:
If GDP comes in below 2.3%, a bullish reaction is likely.
A stronger-than-expected GDP could reinforce downside pressure on indices.
Technical Outlook
📉 Bearish Scenario:
As long as the price remains below 6010, the downtrend remains active, with the next key support at 5979 and 5937.
A 1H or 4H candle close below 5937 would accelerate the decline toward 5920.
📈 Bullish Scenario:
A break and 1H or 4H close above 6010 would indicate a bullish shift, targeting 6031.
Stability above 6031 would strengthen momentum toward 6055 and 6086.
⚠️ Market Impact:
GDP data will drive today’s market movement—watch for increased volatility.
Key Levels to Watch
🔸 Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102
🔹 Pivot: 6010
🔻 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920
📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 6010, but a confirmed break above 6010 could trigger a bullish shift.
