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SP500 trade ideas

NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025 Glass Half Full -NVDA is a revenue monster -Earnings trend continues to point higher -Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty) -19% weight on SMH -7% weight on SPY -8% weight on QQQ -NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite Glass Half Empty -NVDA is overvalued -NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025) -NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race -NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
SPX500USD Will Go Higher! Long! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 5,987.7. The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,125.2 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
SPX Distribution day? I made an analysis on the SPX chart, and will be cautious about the latest index movement. I’ve been studying the SPX chart since the bull run began in October 2023, and the recent daily candlestick action with rising volume is concerning. Over the last 1.5 years, I identified five major distribution days. In the previous four, we didn’t see a follow-up surge in volume despite the price dropping below the 50-day SMA, nor did we see divergences in S5FI (S&P 500 trading above their 50-day simple moving average) or S5TH (S&P 500 trading above their 200-day SMA). However, from late December until now, SPX hasn’t made a higher high and seems stuck in a range. Over the last four sessions, all red candles showed increasing volume, each surpassing the 50-day average volume. I also see a divergence in S5FI and S5TH since September, which could signal either a simple bull-run pullback or a larger correction. For now, I’m sitting on cash, monitoring potential catalysts, and ready to initiate a small short position if more bearish signals appear.
SP:SPXShort
by Matthew852
S&P500 Bearish Strengthens Amid US-China Tech War EscalationMarket Overview: US-China Tech War Intensifies Amid Global Market Decline European and Global Market Outlook – February 25, 2025 A wave of risk sentiment is sweeping across Asian markets as tensions between the United States and China escalate. The U.S. has intensified its technology war with China, targeting sectors including artificial intelligence, quantum computing, and aerospace. This geopolitical pressure is contributing to a broad risk-off sentiment across global financial markets. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The S&P 500 has confirmed its bearish momentum, despite cutting 2.3% since Last Friday as we mentioned , with the price stabilizing below the 6,010 level, reinforcing the likelihood of testing 5,979. A confirmed 4H or 1H candle close below 5,979 would validate a further bearish extension toward 5,920. Bullish Reversal Scenario: For the S&P 500 to shift towards a bullish structure, it must reclaim and break above the pivot zone (6,010 - 6,031). A successful breakout above this range could lead the index toward 6,068 and 6,102. Key Levels to Watch: Resistance: 6031 | 6068 | 6102 Pivot Zone: 6010 Support: 5979 | 5952 | 5920 Directional Bias: Bearish – The trend remains downward as long as the price continues to trade below 6,010. Breaking below 5,979 will open the door for further declines toward 5,920. ⚠️ Market Outlook: Geopolitical tensions between the U.S. and China could further fuel volatility in equity markets, with investors remaining cautious in response to ongoing economic and technological disputes.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
1
SPX Analysis chart update. The chart contains multiple technical patterns, indicating a bearish market structure. Here are the key patterns identified: 1. *Rising Wedge* – This is a bearish reversal pattern where price moves upward within a narrowing range before breaking down. It suggests weakening bullish momentum and potential selling pressure. 2. *Double Top* – A classic reversal pattern that signals a potential trend change from bullish to bearish. The price reaches a resistance level twice but fails to break higher, leading to a decline. 3. *Break of Structure (BOS) & Change of Character (CHOCH)* – These confirm a market shift from bullish to bearish. BOS signals trend continuation, while CHOCH indicates potential reversals. 4. *Fair Value Gap (FVG)* – This is an imbalance in price action, where price might retrace before continuing downward. 5. *Support Area & Liquidity Zone (LQD)* – The price is expected to target these areas, possibly finding support or continuing the downtrend. # Conclusion: - The chart suggests a bearish outlook following the breakdown of the *rising wedge* and *double top*. - If the price retraces to the *FVG*, it could offer a short-selling opportunity before continuing lower toward the support area. Would you like help identifying possible trade setups based on this structure? Write in comment section.
SP:SPX
by David_1_8
SPX 23% - 36% Market Crash From Recent Highs (~6,147)Structural Breakdown & Key Observations Recent High: $6,147.43 (ATH level) Bearish Momentum Indicators: MACD: -40.98 (Bearish momentum increasing) RSI: 45.11 (Weakening strength but not yet oversold) Volume Increase: $14.18B → Indicates potential distribution. Wyckoff Distribution Pattern Confirmation: Potential Upthrust & Distribution Phase around 6,147 - 6,000. If SPX loses 5,700 - 5,600, it will confirm a markdown phase → Bearish. What Could Trigger a 23% - 36% Crash? Macroeconomic Risks: Rising interest rates (Liquidity tightening). Earnings recession (Corporate profits declining). Geopolitical risks (Oil, China, etc.). Bond market stress → Inverted yield curve impact. Technical Market Triggers: Break of 5,600 → Strong Bearish Confirmation. 5,400 - 5,200 = Critical "Mid-Crash" Zone → If lost, crash risk accelerates. VIX spikes above 30+ would confirm a volatility explosion. ✅ Bearish bias confirmed → If SPX breaks below 5,600, crash potential is HIGH. ✅ A 23-36% drawdown aligns with macro & technical risks. ✅ Watch for Fed intervention at ~4,300 - 4,750 levels → This will dictate if the market stabilizes. 🚨 Conclusion: If SPX holds 5,600, expect a bounce → Otherwise, full markdown into a 23-36% crash is possible. Key level to watch: 5,400 - 5,200 → This is the TRUE danger zone for a full market selloff.
SP:SPXShort
by JavierXBT
Black Monday is Coming – Time to Short This Beast!Alright, listen up, traders! The storm is brewing, the signs are clear, and if you haven't noticed yet—wake up! Black Monday is knocking, and the market is looking ripe for a proper dump. Now, I'm not saying sell your grandma’s jewelry and go all-in, but if you're looking for a juicy short entry, this might just be it. Ideally, you want to get in around that sweet spot in the yellow zone (check the chart) or even from the current levels if you're feeling extra spicy. Risk? What Risk? (Just Kidding, Manage It!) Stop-loss? Yeah, slap that bad boy above $6,150 on the 4-hour close. If price secures above that level, it's a no-go—cut it and move on. Take profits? Scale out as price nosedives. No need to be greedy; let the market pay you in chunks. The Big Picture This ain't financial advice—just a battle plan from someone who's seen enough bloodbaths in the markets to smell the fear. High risk? Absolutely. But hey, no risk, no champagne. Remember, risk management is king. Play it smart, lock in profits, and let the market do the heavy lifting-because when the dust settles, only disciplined traders will be left standing.
SP:SPXShort
by TottiVincenzo
Update S&P 500, Continuesly in selling pressureThis chart represents a technical analysis of the S&P 500 Index (SPX) on the 1-hour timeframe. It illustrates a bearish market structure, with key levels of resistance and support, as well as a projected price movement. 1. Market Structure & Trend Analysis The price is moving within a well-defined descending channel, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a prevailing downtrend. The price has recently rebounded from the lower boundary of the channel and is approaching a key resistance zone. 2. Key Technical Levels Resistance Zone (5,816 – 5,829): Highlighted in red, this zone represents a potential supply area where selling pressure is expected. A rejection from this level could reinforce the ongoing bearish trend. Support Zone (5,658 – 5,765): Marked in gray, this area represents a potential demand zone where buyers may step in. If price reaches this level, a reversal or further downside continuation could occur. 3. Projected Price Movement Based on the chart annotations, the expectation is for price to test the resistance zone (5,816 – 5,829), face rejection, and decline toward the support zone (5,658 – 5,765). The black arrow represents the anticipated downward movement following a rejection at resistance. The descending channel’s upper trendline further reinforces the likelihood of a bearish reaction. 4. Additional Technical Indicators The orange line appears to be a dynamic resistance level, possibly a moving average or an indicator tracking trend shifts. The right-hand labels indicate key price levels, including the recent high (6,100.96), current price (5,766.18), and support levels. 5. Conclusion & Trade Implications If the price rejects the resistance zone, it could present a short-selling opportunity with a target toward the support zone. A break above the 5,829 resistance level could invalidate the bearish setup and indicate a potential trend reversal. Traders should consider additional confirmation signals, such as candlestick patterns or volume dynamics, before executing trades. This analysis provides a structured approach to assessing price action and potential trade opportunities based on market behavior within a downtrend.
SP:SPX
by MrGeorge_Fx1