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Bullish??? That was all very sudden, is it over now?The market correction really seamed to be an over reaction. I am hopeful that the worst is behind us, at least for the meantime. maybe this will be closer to 2018 correction and we just keep grinding higher for the rest of the year. I suppose anything is possible. -Everyone got way to bearish to quick - Spidey senses going off! -we never copy and paste last cycle to the next, but people have such a recency bias, sometimes its all they can see ( I may know from experience) - hopefully bullish
SP:SPXLong
by merchtank19
Planning to short a little higher. I made a full pivot on my bear position while we were 6% down on the day into the end of last week, switching to long positioning at 5150 and adding a couple times once the first resis levels broke, now I'm starting to get ready to try to position short again into a move a little higher (5550 or so). My bias at this point is fairly neutral. As a trader, it really doesn't matter which way the market goes. One could equally make the polarised case for us to trend up 1000 points or down 1000 points. Many people think I want to be a bear for the sake of being a bear, but those 1000 points pay the exact same. I'd opt for the one with no systemic risk. After all, the money I make I keep in banks and brokerages. Nicer to know they'll be okay. But markets are not a place for preference. Heading into 5550 is where we have another window of risk for the bear setup. We took a large position (relative to typical exposure) betting 4% long on SPX at 5150 with 100 points stop. Banked on this for 300 points. With the added positions this was a bit over 15%. Basically, we made as much as a non leveraged long would make trading from the absolute low to a retest of the high. Still currently have some light exposure betting on 5550 hitting. If and when we get there, we'll cycle some of our long profits back to shorts. Even inside of a bull market case I could make a reasonable case for 5000 retesting. And if we're actually inside a bear market, then we've just been through the eye of the storm. Over the last few days I've not done much. Caught up on work outside the market (or related to work I do based on the market that isn't trading). Caught up on sleep (because I slept very rarely through March / early April). Whatever way it goes, I think we're going to be back to being super active some time in the next few days. For now, locking in the profits. Through this year the market has made over 50% worth of swings when you add them all up. We caught a lot of them. Covering multiple years of the standard expected gains for the style and low risk setting used. My priority is keeping that. But I can see myself repositioning as a bear in the coming days. I'm undecided of how deep a bear move I'd be targeting. But I do strongly suspect I'll be a short 5550 if it trades.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by holeyprofit
S&P500 INTRADAY sideways consolidationThe Trump administration is moving ahead with tariff plans on semiconductor and pharmaceutical imports, launching Commerce Department probes. In response, China has ordered its airlines to halt new Boeing jet deliveries, escalating trade tensions. Despite the trade war, markets are getting a lift after Trump suggested a possible pause on auto tariffs and suspended some consumer electronics tariffs. Japan will meet with the U.S. this week to discuss trade. The talks will test whether close allies like Japan get more favourable treatment. Earnings in Focus: Citigroup and Bank of America report today, following a strong quarter for equity trading across the sector. Johnson & Johnson and United Airlines are also set to report. Oil Market: The International Energy Agency has cut its 2024 oil demand forecast due to trade-related slowdowns and sees a potential supply surplus through 2026. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
S&P500 1D Death Cross formed! Market COLLAPSE or Bear TRAP? The S&P500 index (SPX) is attempting to recover from the April 07 2025 market low, following the 90-day Tariff pause. Last Thursday however it formed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, he first since May 11 2022, which was during the last Inflation Crisis correction. That was nothing like the current crash though as it was a technical 1-year Bear Cycle in contrast to today which is a flash crash inflicted by Trump's tariffs. What looks though most similar to today is the 2020 COVID crash. Equally fast and brutal, that sell-off also took place under an extreme pressure environment of uncertainty (economic lockdowns) which the world has never seen, similar to today's tariffs that admittedly have put (for the moment) an end to the U.S. - China trade. The COVID crash phase also formed a 1D Death Cross just 4 days after the March 23 2020 bottom. Last Thursday's 1D Death Cross came also just 3 days after the April 07 2025 Low. If this pattern of extreme market shock is a repetitive model under such fundamental events, then the stock market has bottomed. And if it follows the exact same recovery pattern as post-COVID, then it may reach the 1.1 Fibonacci extension at 6300 in a little over 5 months (162 days). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TradingShot
5
Should we be concerned about the death cross ?So, we are at the death cross again? Should we panic? Should we sell ? What if recession is coming? Ohhhhh noo!!!!! Stop worrying so much and most importantly, stop reading the damn news , especially the headlines that are meant to create more fear than anything! Of course, they want you to sell, how else can the algo traders, big boys scoop up the prices cheap. It is like displaying thunders and lightning across the sky, gloomy and dark clouds to make you believe it is going to rain, a heavy thunderstorm. We were in a bear market on 7th Apr where prices drop below 20% from the peak. However, it quickly bounced up within the next two days, especially 9th Apr where there is a 90 days pause on tariffs imposed. So, technically we are still in a BULL market lah, guys. Focus on the chart not the emotions of the people who are sold daily by social media, influencers with benefits and whoever that wants you to believe their side of the story. Until we enter into a bear market, we should not speculate too much nor read into the future with too much gloom and doom. I am quite confident the tariff matter will subside and blown away over time just like the real war between Ukraine and Russia (over 3 years and still fighting but who covers the news now, it is STALE and no longer sensational). Any papers or social media that gives that "expert view" on tariffs will be rewarded with likes and traffic volume, much to the content creators delight. Stay calm, guys! In the short term, market is volatile like a voting machine but in the long term, it is a weighing machine and history has shown us over the past century or so, the market is going up. Going in and out of the market or TIMING the market - leave that to the experts or professional traders. Your heart and mine cannot take it. Over the long term, you will be rewarded for staying in the market. Just look at Warren Buffett, many a times he bought something, the stock might goes down 10-20% or more, does he panic and starts selling? No, his biggest strength is his patience , one attributes that we all can learn from him. Go for a run, swim or hit the gym if you are too glued to the news. Stay healthy and ensure you have a balance, diversified portfolio to protect yourself.
SP:SPXLong
by dchua1969
$SPX - Recap of April 14 2025So if you just read SPY - this is just a copy and paste because of course we had almost identical price action here. Today, Monday April 14th we opened with a gap UP to the 30min 200MA and we also gapped right to the top of the bear gap (always considered resistance and strengthened by the downward momentum of the 30min 200. We did see resistance with those combined bearish levels and we brought is back down to the middle, closed the gap from open and took it back to the 30min 200MA and got pushed back at close. This chart setup was bearish today - even though we closed green - how? The 30in 200MA pointing down. The bear gap under that. And the 35EMA trading Under the 30min 200MA. It was an easy trading day and just looking at the momentum you could feel that price was going to stay in the center of the implied move. At least I mentioned that in last night’s video. Excellent day. How did you guys do??
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
2
S&P500: Bottom is in. 5,800 Target imminent.S&P500 is almost neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 44.927, MACD = -131.940, ADX = 29.116) as it has recovered from the tariff selloff, finding support a little over the 1W MA200. The 1D RSI made a double bottom and is much like the October 27th 2023 bottom. Both DB bullish divergences in contrast to the LL of the price. The immediate target on the rebound that followed in 2023 was the R1 level. Trade: long, TP = 5,800. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
1
SPX500USD (S&P 500) Technical A`nalysisThe S&P 500 (SPX500USD) is currently approaching the 5,500.0 resistance zone after a strong bullish recovery. 📈 Bullish Scenario: If price successfully breaks and retests 5,500.0, continuation towards the 5,708.6 resistance zone may follow. A further break could push the market up to 5,795.6. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If SPX500USD fails to break and sustain above 5,500.0, a rejection could send price down towards 5,196.8 support. A deeper breakdown below 5,196.8 could extend losses towards 4,859.8. ⚠️ Risk Disclaimer: This is not financial advice or a trading signal. Always confirm market conditions using your own strategy before making any decisions.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SPOT_FX
1
DEATH CROSS on the SP500?We just witnessed the 50-day SMA crossing below the 200-day SMA — a technical signal known as the Death Cross. Historically, this pattern has been associated with: Trend reversals from bullish to bearish Extended downside pressure A loss of investor confidence in the short-to-medium term 🧠 While not always followed by major crashes, the last time this pattern showed up in a similar setup was followed by an accelerated drop — and that’s exactly what we’ve seen again. The real question now is: 👉 Was this a false signal or is more downside ahead? 🔍 Keep an eye on price action around the 5,400–5,500 zone. If it fails to recover, this death cross might just be the start of a deeper correction...
VANTAGE:SP500FTShort
by SmartSignalss
“Markets are strong” – Are they really?President Trump recently stated that "markets became very strong once they got used to tariffs." But let’s look at the facts: 📊 AMEX:SPY is down -9% YTD, and major names like: MSFT: -7.55% AAPL: -18.66% NVDA: -12.94% Tech is bleeding, and the broader S&P 500 is clearly reflecting the pressure of trade policy uncertainty. 🟥 Tariffs = market stress 🟩 Market resilience = not the same as strength What we’re seeing is not a “strong market” — it’s a market under pressure trying to survive political noise. The weekly chart shows a clear drop after the peak, followed by uncertainty, not conviction. 💭 Is this truly the “strength” investors want to see?
VANTAGE:SP500FT
by SmartSignalss
S&P 500 off earlier highsThe major US indices have come noticeably off their earlier highs, following the positive start on the back of the weekend news of temporary tariff relief on technology sector. The fact the indices could break out to test waters above last week's highs, suggests traders have not been convinced that they have had the all-clear just yet. Perhaps volatility will ease a little this week, but with earnings from tech giants to come in the next couple of weeks, on top of all the trade war saga, anything is possible. Traders must remain nimble. It is all about the 5380 level now on the S&P 500. This is where it found resistance on Friday and now this level could turn into support. But if we break decisively below it again, then this could trigger a big of selling towards the next support at 5272. However, the near-term trend has turned bullish following the big recovery last week. So, dip-buyers will be lurking. Let's see where we go from here. In any case, more bullish price action is needed to completely nullify the bearish control. Specifically, the key resistance zone between 5490 to 5550 must give way before the bulls can be confident that we have see a major low last week. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPX: Eye of The StormIn a hurricane the EYE of the storm is region of "calm" and even blue skies To the unaware, the break in the clouds and the blues skies may bring a sense of relief that "the worst is over" But the informed know that the OTHER SIDE of the storm is coming and the worst has yet to happen IMO the aforementioned scenario accurately describes what we are about to see in markets The Administration is slowly backing off the more severe of the tariffs Over the weekend they removed tariffs on major electronics and associated components coming from China which should bring a sense of relief to markets We will most likely see continued softening on the worst of the tariffs as the administration grapples with the true reality of things: MARKETS ARE IN TROUBLE This softening will give the appearance that things will be OK and we may even see markets rally to new ALL TIME HIGHS But a rally to new ATHs will be akin to the "eye of the storm" as just like with a Hurricane..the other side of the storm is coming
SP:SPXShort
by Heartbeat_Trading
7
US500 (S&P 500) Sell Limit Trade IdeaBearish Daily Signals Align with Key Resistance Levels 📅 Published: 14/04/2025 14:22 | ⏳ Expires: 15/04/2025 12:00 Market Outlook The US500 is showing signs of fatigue at higher levels. A Doji-style candle formed near the highs suggests indecision and potential reversal. Current levels are near the 50% Fibonacci pullback at 5485, an area that previously attracted selling pressure. The 20-day EMA at 5466 and the pivotal level at 5501 reinforce this as a strong resistance zone. With no major economic events in the next 24 hours, technicals are likely to dominate near-term price action. Trade Details Entry (Sell Limit): 5459 Stop Loss: 5611 (-152 pts) Take Profit: 5016 (+443 pts) Risk/Reward Ratio: 2.91:1 Key Levels Resistance: R1: 5446 R2: 5501 (Pivotal Level) R3: 5600 Support: S1 : 5381 S2: 5280 S3: 5135 Technical & Sentiment Highlights ✅ Bearish Daily Signals – Doji candle and declining momentum suggest exhaustion at highs. ✅ EMA & Fibonacci Confluence – 5466 EMA + 5485 Fib zone aligning with resistance. ✅ High Reward Potential – Offers a strong 2.9:1 risk/reward ratio. ⚠️ No Major News Catalysts – Technicals expected to guide near-term direction. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Signal_Centre1
SPX Fractal Expansion: New Highs Ahead Despite FearAs of April 14, 2025, the CBOE:SPX is exhibiting a clear fractal expansion, suggesting the beginning of a new bullish leg. The recent correction, which caused widespread panic, appears to have completed a fractal cycle reset, with price respecting historical support near 4704 and forming a new fractal edge around 5300. Despite the fear-driven selloff, momentum indicators like RSI and MACD show signs of bottoming, and volume surged on rebound days, confirming strong institutional buying. The price is now testing temporary resistance at 5878, with a path open to reclaim all-time highs (6100+). Global & Technical Tailwinds Technical momentum is recovering across timeframes, with positive divergence on stochastic oscillators. Breadth is improving: More stocks are participating in the rally, reflecting internal strength. Sentiment has flipped: The VIX has cooled from panic levels (above 45), and investor fear is easing. Macro support: Inflation is declining, and central banks are signaling potential rate cuts by late 2025. Earnings outlook remains solid, and analysts forecast SPX to end 2025 around 6500–7100. 🔍Conclusion The SPX is carving out a fractal mirror of past bullish reversals, reinforced by strong macro and technical context. Barring unexpected shocks, the index is likely to break above resistance and push toward new highs, even as residual fear lingers. The setup favors buying dips within this emerging structure.
SP:SPXLong
by insidermike
S&P500 INTRADAY oversold bounce backMarkets Overview – Monday US Open Trump Tariffs: Trump says tariffs on phones, computers, and other consumer tech are still on the table, calling the weekend exemption just a "procedural step." Tech Rally: Despite that, tech stocks are up Apple and Nvidia leading on hopes the delay gives room for a better long-term trade deal. Futures & Gold: US equity futures are pointing higher. Gold hit a new record as investors seek safe-haven assets. FX Moves: The dollar is down for a fifth straight day, with the euro is surging, it is thefastest rally vs USD in 15 yearsas, traders eye a move toward $1.20. Earnings Outlook: Q1 earnings season kicks into gear this week. Citigroup and Morgan Stanley lowered their S&P 500 earnings forecasts, citing tariff concerns and broader economic headwinds. Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 5509 Resistance Level 2: 5660 Resistance Level 3: 5787 Support Level 1: 5110 Support Level 2: 4947 Support Level 3: 4816 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
The Art of Doing Nothing: Why Tape Watchers Beat Impulse TradersLess is more. In this Idea we dig into the trading philosophy where less action means more traction. It’s the dispute between the chart readers and the button clickers. Some swear by this: the smartest trading strategy sometimes involves sitting on your hands and embracing the sweet, underrated beauty of doing absolutely nothing. The Italians figured this out ages ago—they call it Dolce Far Niente , the sweetness of doing nothing. But can a trader really get away with just kicking back and waiting while sipping espresso (or the mezcal martini type if you got your Patagonia vest)? Actually, yes—and it often pays better than impulsive clicks. Let’s talk about why chart-watching and tape-reading often outsmart trigger-happy trading. 🤷‍♂️ Doing Nothing Is Harder Than It Looks First off, let’s acknowledge something painfully true: not trading is tough. Seriously tough. Trading never sleeps, notifications flash at you like slot machines. Headlines constantly scream about massive opportunities you're missing — Tesla's NASDAQ:TSLA latest rally or gold’s OANDA:XAUUSD record-breaking surge powered by tariff jitters. The pressure to click, buy, sell, or do something—anything!—can be overwhelming. It’s why there’s something called a heatmap — because it’s hot, hot, hot! But here’s the secret: successful traders know that impulse trading isn't a strategy; it's just financial caffeine. Instead, chart watchers—the cool-headed crowd who sit back, patiently observing price movements, market structure, and volume flow—tend to win the marathon, while impulse traders burn out in the sprint. 🌸 The Dolce Far Niente Method Ever watched an old Italian movie? There's usually a scene featuring someone lounging effortlessly, soaking in life’s beauty without lifting a finger—this is Dolce Far Niente. In trading terms, it’s the act of patiently waiting, savoring the calm between trades, watching your charts like an old-school tape reader that would make Jesse Livermore proud. (“A prudent speculator never argues with the tape. Markets are never wrong, opinions often are.”) A good setup is worth the wait. Instead of diving into trades, relax, observe, and let opportunities come to you. Because the reality is, not every candlestick needs your immediate response. Markets don’t reward hyperactivity; they reward patience and calculated action. 🤩 Tape Reading vs. Trading: The Difference Between Winning and Clicking The lost art of tape reading, as hedge fund guru Paul Tudor Jones calls it, is about carefully tracking price action, volume, and market sentiment. It’s far less exciting than rapid-fire day trading but potentially more rewarding. “When it comes to trading macro,” Tudor Jones says, “you cannot rely solely on fundamentals; you have to be a tape reader, which is something of a lost art form. Learning when to sit quietly (doing nothing) and when to strike decisively is the hallmark of trading mastery. ✋ Real Traders Don’t Chase—They Anticipate Waiting isn’t passive. It’s actually active restraint—a calculated choice to do nothing until the odds tip decidedly in your favor. Let’s be clear: chart watchers aren’t asleep at the wheel; they're carefully steering clear of trouble until clear setups emerge. The result? Better entry points, clearer risk-reward ratios, and fewer sleepless nights worrying about impulsive mistakes. “The trick in investing is just to sit there and watch pitch after pitch go by and wait for the one right in your sweet spot. And if people are yelling, ‘Swing, you bum!,’ ignore them.” Bonus points if you know who said that! So, next time your finger hovers over that "buy" or "sell" button, ask yourself if you’re trading strategically or just for the dopamine hit. Remember the Italian saying, take a breath, embrace the tranquility, and let patience become your trading superpower. Let us know in the comments: Are you team “click less, wait more,” or do you find yourself riding the impulse wave fairly frequently?
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
24
Tariff Exemptions Stir the Bounce | SPX Analysis 14 April 2025It’s Monday… and the markets are once again dancing like a puppet on a tweet-fuelled string. One minute, tariff fears. The next, selective exemptions for “favourites.” Now the weekend’s over and futures are bouncing higher like none of it happened. SPX looks set to test – or break – the 5400 bull trigger, and if you’ve been following the last few newsletters, you’ll know that’s a big one. We’ve mapped it. We’ve rejected it. Now we’re staring it down… again. --- The 5400 Line Returns Let’s back up. 5400 has been my bull/bear trigger for weeks. When we’re below it, I’m hunting bear swings. Above? I start reassessing bullish setups, GEX bulls-eye trades, and pullback long entries. This week, the GEX flip is also sitting around 5400. That’s no coincidence. It’s now more than just a price level – It’s the emotional fault line between headline-driven panic and headline-driven hope. So… do we flip bullish? Not so fast. Strategy: Structure First, Narrative Second Just because futures are up doesn’t mean momentum is back. We’ve seen far too many fakeouts, tweet-spikes, and algorithm blinks to trust the first move on a Monday. That’s why my plan is simple this week: ✔️ 5400 is still the decision line ✔️ No aggressive trades until price confirms ✔️ Will adapt only if structure shifts – not just sentiment This week isn’t about swinging for the fences. It’s about precision. Patience. And setup clarity. Behind the Charts: Tinkering, Rebuilding, Refining While the markets work out their next identity crisis, I’m taking the time to: Optimise my new charting layout Tweak + update my indicator codebases Re-align my tools for speed and efficiency Because if the market wants to act like a circus, I’ll tighten the tent and sharpen the knives. --- Expert Insight – Don’t Rush the Flip Common mistake: Flipping long just because futures are green. Fix: Use anchored levels like 5400 as your decision points – and only flip bias when structure confirms. GEX flips, pulse bars, and price action matter. Tweets do not. --- Fun Fact Did you know? In 2023–2024, over 60% of intraday SPX rallies over 1.5% failed to hold past 2 days when triggered by political headlines. Translation? Headline rallies are easy to sell into – unless they’re confirmed by price.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
US500 Bullish Momentum Boosted by Tariff ExemptionsUS500 Bullish Momentum Boosted by Tariff Exemptions The US500 index may continue its upward trend after President Trump announced exemptions for smartphones, computers, and other tech products from new tariffs. This decision eased market concerns, especially for companies like Apple, which rely heavily on manufacturing in China. Trump had previously imposed steep tariffs on Chinese imports, but the exemptions now include semiconductors, solar cells, TV displays, and data storage devices. These changes could support further bullish movement in the market. You may watch the analysis for further details! Thank you!
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by KlejdiCuni
8
SPX sharp moves begin arround monthly option expiryWatch out for the this weeks options expiry on Thursday (Friday being holiday) During volatile time option expiry does produce sharp moves. They are not that significant during normal markets. Also key levels approaching. Monday after Easter, I am expecting the new move to happen. Breakdown or breakout. I am sure the big boys are aware from the social media that everyone is expecting a reversal and they will set up a trap. They will make us thing we are wrong create a FOMO to the upside and then sell A volume drop could indicate a big move
SPREADEX:SPX
by krisoz