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SPX500USD - Key Levels to Watch Ahead of Major US Data!The S&P 500 Index (SPX500USD) is currently trading near a significant supply zone around 5885–5925. Price has shown clear rejection here multiple times, indicating strong selling pressure from institutional players. Key Levels: Resistance Zone: 5885–5925 (Supply Zone) First Support: 5659.1 – former resistance, now turned key support Major Demand Zone: 5355.3 – 5400, marked by high-volume accumulation (Visible Range POC) Bearish Scenario: If price fails to break above the 5925 resistance, we may see a potential sell-off toward 5659 first, and possibly down to the 5355 demand zone, especially with upcoming US economic data later this week (as marked by the calendar icons). Watch For: Rejection candles or bearish engulfing around 5885–5925 Break and close below 5659 for further downside confirmation Strong bullish momentum only above 5930 to invalidate bearish bias Bias: Bearish unless 5930 is broken convincingly. Technical Tools Used: Supply & Demand Visible Range (LuxAlgo) Volume Profile Support Zones Price Action Structure (1H) What do you think? Will SPX500 hold the resistance or break to new highs? Let’s discuss! #SPX500 #SP500 #TradingView #Forex #Indices #TechnicalAnalysis #SupplyAndDemand #PriceAction #SwingTrading
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by FrankFx14
Super-cycle top in? I was considering that we had an extended wave 1 from march 2009 to feb 2020, the wave 2 bottom was march 2020, then wave 3 top was jan 2022, wave 4 bottom was oct 2022 and now we are on wave 5. This would be an extended wave 1 instead of wave 3 and that means wave 3 & 5 should be equal and with the current top that would put them within 1.1% of each other. This also fits with the alternating pattern with wave 2 being quick and simple and wave 4 being long and complex. Thoughts?
SP:SPXShort
by Sir_prized
1
Skeptic | SPX 500 Update: Bullish Breakout Brewing?Hey everyone, Skeptic here! It’s been a while since we’ve checked in on the SPX 500 , but the market’s now flashing a killer long opportunity with a high R/R—don’t miss this one! 😊 Stay with me to the end for the full breakdown. Let’s dive into the Daily Timeframe to set the stage. 📊 Daily Timeframe: The Big Picture The SPX 500 pulled off a deep correction , dropping from a high of 6154.64 to lows around 4810.39 with some wild shadows that caught everyone off guard. But now, it’s firing up with fresh momentum, carving out higher highs and higher lows that scream bullish strength. The corrections in this new uptrend are super shallow and flow with the trend—exactly what we want to see! After hitting resistance at 5961.82 , we’ve had a slight pullback, but it looks like this correction is wrapping up, and we’re on the verge of the next big uptrend leg. Let’s zoom into the 4-Hour Timeframe to hunt for long and short triggers. 4-Hour Timeframe: Long & Short Setups On the 4-hour chart, the correction shaped up as a descending trendline . We broke it, pulled back, and now we’re primed to crack 5895.39. A breakout above this level is our main long trigger. To get more precise, let’s check the 1-Hour Timeframe. For the long setup , a clean break above 5896.34 gets us in the game. This move also busts through P.P. Level 1, giving us solid confirmation, and we could ride the wave up to P.P. Levels 3 or 4, targeting 5930.83 to 5956.97 . Those are prime spots to lock in some profits, but don’t close the whole position—since we’re trading with the trend, we can hold for more upside. For shorts, I’ve got nothing. Going against this bullish momentum would be pure madness! I’d wait for a sharp drop below support at 5849.67 before even considering short triggers, but right now, there’s zilch. 💬 Let’s Talk! If this update sparked some ideas, give it a quick boost—it means a lot! 😊 Got a pair or setup you want me to tackle next? Drop it in the comments. Thanks for hanging out— let’s grow together and remember: Weathermen forecast. We trade! :))) ✌️
SPREADEX:SPXLong
by SkepticWise
1
Bullish bounce off overlap support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,784.04 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,973.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
S&P INTRADAY corrective pullback - support retest?Trump-Era Tariffs Canceled: A US court struck down the “Liberation Day” tariffs, effective immediately. This boosts sentiment for industrials, consumer goods, and global supply chain-reliant stocks. The government is appealing the ruling. US Dollar Strengthens: The DXY is back above 100, up 1.8% from last week’s lows. A strong dollar helps importers but may pressure exporters and commodities. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Decline: Markets now price 42 bps of rate cuts in 2024, down from 50 bps. This supports financials (e.g. banks), but challenges rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and small caps. Mixed Eurozone Data: Positive Italian confidence figures offset weak German and French job numbers, offering slight global risk support. Limited direct impact on US stocks. Fed Flags Stagflation Risk: Minutes show the Fed is worried about stagflation. This could weaken confidence in growth stocks and favor defensive sectors. Today’s US Data Watch: Q1 GDP 2nd estimate (expected -0.3%) Weekly jobless claims Fed speakers All ahead of Friday’s key PCE inflation data Market Outlook Positive: Trade relief, resilient dollar, stronger bank outlook Caution: Slowing growth, inflation worries, fewer rate cuts Focus Areas: Industrials, financials, tech (watch for pullbacks); avoid rate-sensitive sectors short term Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6010 Resistance Level 2: 6070 Resistance Level 3: 6160 Support Level 1: 5780 Support Level 2: 5740 Support Level 3: 5700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
US500 Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,960.96. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,538.99. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
SPY update for todayHello everyone, Not much new to update today, the main highlight is that the market has broken down from the trendline. This is definitely something to take note of. However, today’s move came with relatively low volume, which suggests that while price dropped significantly, there wasn’t a lot of strength behind the move. This reminds us of a key principle in trading: the market can do whatever it wants. It may look bullish today and turn bearish tomorrow. So always react to what the market is showing you, not just what you expect it to do. Easier said than done, I know, but it's essential. Looking ahead, this potential pullback could present better entry opportunities, assuming the market doesn’t flip into a full bearish meltdown. For now, we need to give the market some room to breathe, observe how it reacts at key levels, and stay patient for the right setup. Remember: we're still in a broadly bullish environment. So let’s wait for strong reactions at the right price points before jumping in.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading
SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money📊SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money is already betting on the future (SPX) U.S. Equities: 2025 Cyclical Bear Cycle & Secular Bull Cycle through 2030 Dollar Hegemony 2.0 → U.S. Debt Soft-Anchored to Bitcoin 🧠 The market is testing your conviction — not your logic 📉 April’s violent correction shattered not just technical levels, but also investor sentiment ⚡ The steep V-shaped rebound gave no time to explain the move, leaving sentiment frozen in April’s fear 🔁 Emotional dislocation is the perfect fuel for a new leg up 📉 Every -1% day reactivates April trauma 😵 Most investors still don’t believe the rally is real 🧯 Bears keep shorting, bulls fear getting trapped at highs 🎆 The market doesn’t want to give you a “perfect entry” — it wants to make you miss it 💰 Smart money signals are loud and clear 📍 A $3B+ long-dated tech options trade quietly hit the tape 🎯 Targeting a major bull market leg by June 2027 🧠 This isn’t speculation — it’s strategic positioning 📌 Top funds like the Druckenmiller Family Office are also long the same timeframe ✅ Shared positioning = shared conviction 🧭 Why do they dare to bet big? 🧠 The AI + chip cycle feels like the internet infrastructure boom before 2000 💡 Productivity surge + disinflation + peaking rates → echoes of the 2010s bull run 💵 Dollar hegemony still holds, capital is rotating back into U.S.-led assets 🪙 A new narrative is forming: Bitcoin as the soft anchor to U.S. debt 📈 Technically, major U.S. indices have just retested historical highs and are primed to accelerate 📌 This is not the end — it’s the reset 📊 The Secular Bull is likely to continue through 2030 📉 A Cyclical Bear may arrive in Q4 2025 🔁 But it’s not systemic — a mid-2026 rebound looks likely 🎯 While everyone is waiting for a pullback, smart money has already bought the future 🕳️ Markets don’t wait for your readiness — they launch when you doubt the most 📅 April shook your confidence, May kept you skeptical 🚀 After June, the market may fully leave the hesitant behind 📌 TL;DR｜SIGMA Macro Summary 📉 1. 2025 Outlook: Q2 likely retests prior highs → Q3 pulls back but extends → Q4 enters a Cyclical Bear 🛡️ Not systemic → Not a Secular Bear 🔁 Mid-2026 rebound expected → Bull Market resumes 📈 2. Long-Term Cycle: Secular Bull likely continues through ~2030 🧠 Smart money already positioned via 2027 LEAPS 💵 Dollar hegemony still intact 🪙 U.S. debt increasingly soft-anchored to Bitcoin 📊 西格玛财经解盘｜你还在犹豫，而聪明钱已经下注未来 美股 2025 周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear Cycle）& 超长期牛市（Secular Bull Cycle） 美元霸权 2.0 → 美债“软锚定”比特币 🧠 市场正在挑战你的信念，不是你的逻辑 📉 四月的暴力回撤不仅打破技术形态，更深刻改变了投资者的情绪结构 ⚡ 快速而陡峭的 V 型反弹没有给市场解释行情的时间，情绪依旧停留在 4 月的恐慌中 🔁 情绪错位，正是行情启动的温床 📉 每一次超过 1% 的下跌，都在唤醒“4 月创伤” 😵 投资者普遍不相信上涨是真的 🧯 空头继续做空，多头也害怕高位被套 🎆 市场根本不想“给你好点位”——它在逼你失误 💰 聪明钱的信号已经非常明确 📍 一笔超过 30 亿美元的长期科技期权大单悄然出现 🎯 目标直指 2027 年 6 月前的大级别牛市行情 🧠 这不是投机，是战略性的卡位 📌 包括德鲁肯米勒家族基金在内的顶级机构也在重仓相同方向 ✅ 共性不是巧合，是共识 🧭 为什么他们敢下注？ 🧠 AI 与芯片周期，如同 2000 年前夜的互联网基础设施爆发 💡 生产率提升 + 通胀回落 + 利率触顶 → 重演 2010s 多头格局 💵 美元霸权仍在，全球资金持续回流美国主导资产 🪙 美债信用危机的新解法：比特币成为“锚定物”的叙事正在强化 📈 技术结构上，美股核心指数回踩历史高点，具备中期加速条件 📌 这不是终点，而是中继 📊 长期牛市（Secular Bull）预计延续至 2030 年 📉 2025 Q4 或进入周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear） 🔁 但不是系统性崩溃，预计 2026 年中再度回暖 🎯 所有人都在等回调，聪明钱已经建仓未来 🕳️ 市场不会在你准备好时启动，而是在你怀疑时发车 📅 四月让你恐慌，五月让你半信半疑 🚀 六月之后，市场可能会让不敢买的人彻底失去主动权 📌 TL;DR｜西格玛宏观总结 📉 1. 2025 展望： Q2 测试前高 → Q3 回踩拉高 → Q4 周期性熊市来袭 🛡️ 非系统性风险 → 不是长期熊市 🔁 预计 2026 年中反弹，牛市重启 📈 2. 长期趋势： 超长期牛市预计持续至 2030 年 🧠 聪明钱已押注 2027 年 LEAPS 期权 💵 美元霸权仍在支撑资产定价 🪙 美债正被“软锚定”到比特币
SP:SPX
by THREESIGMAGROUP
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 26 May 2025 - S&P 500 reversed from support level 5775,00 - Likely to rise to resistance level 5970,00 S&P 500 index recently reversed up from the pivotal support level 5775,00 (former resistance from March, which formed the daily Japanese candlesticks reversal pattern Evening Star). The support level 5775,00 was strengthened 20-day moving average and by the 38.21% Fibonacci correction of the previous upward impulse from April. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5970,00, top of the previous minor impulse wave 1 from the middle of May.
CBOE:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
S&P 500 and the 200-Day Moving Average – A Simple Trend SignalLooking at the daily chart of the S&P 500 with the 200-day moving average (turquoise line), you could build a very basic—but often effective—trend-following system: ✅ Price above the 200-day MA = Bull trend ❌ Price below the 200-day MA = Bear trend 🔄 Price oscillating around it = Possible trend change ________________________________________ 📊 Current Setup: We’ve broken sharply below the 200-day MA and have seen only a minor bounce back above it—with little follow-through. This kind of price action typically suggests a weakening bull trend. ⚠️ If we break below the 200-day MA again (currently around 5773), I’d start viewing that as a bearish signal. Right now, I’m watching this level very closely, as the next move could offer a strong clue about the market’s direction. Disclaimer: The information posted on Trading View is for informative purposes and is not intended to constitute advice in any form, including but not limited to investment, accounting, tax, legal or regulatory advice. The information therefore has no regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any specific recipient. Opinions expressed are our current opinions as of the date appearing on Trading View only. All illustrations, forecasts or hypothetical data are for illustrative purposes only. The Society of Technical Analysts Ltd does not make representation that the information provided is appropriate for use in all jurisdictions or by all Investors or other potential Investors. Parties are therefore responsible for compliance with applicable local laws and regulations. The Society of Technical Analysts will not be held liable for any loss or damage resulting directly or indirectly from the use of any information on this site.
SP:SPX
by The_STA
SPX500 Quick Market Outlook – May 23, 2025 | 15m ChartPosted by Wavervanir_International_LLC Today's session shows bearish continuation patterns despite a temporary bounce. We're currently trading just below the equilibrium level, with price rejecting from the 0.5 and 0.618 retracement zone. The bearish OB (Order Block) above continues to act as a ceiling. 🔍 Key Observations: Price action is forming lower highs under resistance. Volume profile and Smart Money Concepts (SMC) suggest distribution near the 5787–5794 zone. Break below 5766.41 (daily ORB low) could open the path to 5721.75 – 1.618 extension. Bullish invalidation only above 5793.80, where price would regain control above the mid-FVG and EMA cluster. ⚠️ Watch List: Key levels: 5787.44 (pivot), 5761.17 (support), 5721.75 (target) Bias: Bearish unless price reclaims 5795+ with volume Trigger: Confirmation via 15m candle close below 5766 and breakdown in volume structure Stay adaptive. The market structure is still forming, and liquidity sweeps can occur.
FX:SPX500Short
by Wavervanir_International_LLC