Winter RallyWhile the market may appear stretched in the short term, analyzing the broader trend since 2009 on a logarithmic scale suggests the potential for a bull run extending through the winter and continuing into 2025Longby Johannesoh2
SPX : Saturn Squares Uranus (Heliocentric)The heliocentric Saturn-Uranus square is a potent astrological configuration known to influence significant market cycles, particularly in the SPX (S&P 500) often triggering periods of volatility and sometimes resulting in notable market crashes. Saturn, representing time, structure, karma, and restraint, squares off with Uranus, the planet of sudden change, innovation, and disruption. This clash between the old and the new brings tension and unpredictability into financial markets, where structures that seem stable may suddenly face upheaval.by EsotericTrading2
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions 11.07.2024🔮 ⏰10:00am Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment Prelim UoM Inflation Expectations ⏰11:00am FOMC Member Bowman Speaks ⏰2:30pm FOMC Member Musalem Speaks #trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investingShortby PogChan2
S&P500 (SPX500) index looks testing upper trend channelS&P500 index looks testing upper trend channel This is a very long log charts of the S&P500 index. Shortby platinum_growth2
SPX500USD Will Move Lower! Sell! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 12h Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,735.3. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,643.6. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProvider225
11/04 Weekly SPX Market Analysis with seamless GEX levelsThe U.S. presidential election is on November 5, and this week we can expect increased volatility due to the uncertainty. For options traders, one thing is certain: volatility will likely rise leading up to the election, peak around the results, and then gradually subside as the “fireworks” end. It’s essential to consider this in every trading decision. While the current Implied Volatility (IVx) isn’t extremely high, the IV Rank (IVR) is quite strong at 41, and this is likely to remain due to the increasing uncertainty. Based on the blue OTM (Out of The Money) delta curves, the market is currently pricing in a strong downward movement for the week, aligning with the negative gamma zone and negative gamma profile. For a bullish shift, we would need a strong push above 5845 to enter positive gamma territory (HVL level is the battleneck). ⏩ The 5700 level is a key PUT support across multiple timeframes. If this level breaks, turbulence is expected, with increased downward movement likely to follow, first to 5650 and potentially down to 5600, where larger PUT gamma walls are located. ⏩ According to the 16-delta OTM curve, a close above the previous all-time high is less likely. If there’s a strong breakout to the upside, the positive gamma threshold stands at 5850, and above this, buyer pressure could extend up to 5925. ⏩ I consider the 5700-5845 range as a “chop zone,” where high volatility is expected this week. In this zone, bears and bulls will be in constant battle, and I do not expect a clear trend. I focused on Friday’s expiration in this analysis, as market outlooks remain highly uncertain ahead of the election. The strong PUT pricing skew is a natural phenomenon and is expected to increase, especially since we are in a negative gamma zone. For December expirations, PUT options cost nearly twice as much as CALL options, as shown by our oscillator for 12/20 expiry. There’s already ~6% IV backwardation between the 11/08 and 11/11 expirations, making this ideal for time spreads. However, caution is warranted—front-month PUT calendar and diagonal spreads can easily turn negative if front IV rises more than back IV. Remember! It’s not mandatory to trade during highly uncertain periods! Staying out of the market is also a position, and sitting in cash is actually the safest choice, especially in a volatile week like this. ⏩ You can check my previous week's analysis, every one was accurate, I hope this one will useful too. 10/28 SPX 10/21 SPX 10/14 SPX 10/28 QQQ 10/14 QQQ by TanukiTradeUpdated 6
Bounce from June low or Return to the channel from 2008-9?Hello, As always to my analysis, I cannot align myself to either bull or bear. Anyway. Here is my idea on SPX towards 2024. After I've drawn upward trendlines from 2008-09 bottom and marking the bottom of RSI, I think SPX could bounce back at 3750 (Sep 2022) and test the record high towards 4800. This may be plausible because the market rallies after mid-term election (in the U.S.). Of course the macro is cooling down and when the fundamentals are considered, the pricing of the each (many) equity is still historically expensive. With these regards, perhaps the market would move toward 3200 to make a good return to the rising channel from 2008. Overall, FED has done terrific job to relief the damage from the pandemic. But maybe the monetary easing was little too much. Thanks for reading! I am not a professional but buy and hold investor. As many of you, I've lost quite a bit from the beginning of this year but anyways the journey continues.by NoriBiscuitsUpdated 2
SPX: Bullish Momentum Targets 6,000 with Key Retest at 5989SPX: S&P 500 Futures Eye Further Gains as Index Targets 6,000 Milestone The S&P 500 index surged to a new record high on Friday, with futures indicating more potential gains at the New York open. Investor sentiment remains buoyed by the election results, with the "Trump effect" continuing to fuel demand for risk assets. Technical Analysis The price has increased by approximately 5.00% over the last week. Today, a retest toward 5989 is expected, followed by a continuation of the bullish trend, aiming to break the all-time high (ATH) at 6019 and reach 6045 and 6068. Alternatively, if a 4-hour candle closes below 5989, it could signal a bearish trend, targeting 5970 and 5931. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 6019 Resistance Levels: 6045, 6068 Support Levels: 5989, 5970, 5931 Trend Outlook: Bearish Correction toward 5989 Bullish Trend toward 6045 previous idea: Longby SroshMayi2
Another S&P 500 channelSo here is another channel. The July peak made an extension of this channel, and the price didn't arrive to that extended part neither at the top nor at the bottom since then. Even if the price will arrive to that extended part at the top of the channel, it won't reach 6000 before the elections unless it makes a breakout in the upward direction thus making a new extension. Maybe it will reach 6000 after the elections. But I think that a more likely scenario is the price hitting the bottom of the channel first. Also I suggest that the price will go on a small correction now to 5650 support area, hit the trendline and make a new wave to 5800. And then we might see a good correction. If it won't go that way, perhaps this channel will be helpful in your analysis.Shortby SupergalacticUpdated 3
SPX500 TREND LINES, PIVOT and APEX POINT VIEWThe SPX500 if manage to close above the last high of 5670 on Daily TF then expect the price to hit the TL.R at 5764 from where the prices can fall back a bit and then move for the next target to TL.B2 at 5810 and if it closes above that point then you can expect the price to move to take over the PIVOT R3 at 61110, but if it is rejected then expect the price to fall towards PIVOT R2. Trend Line green and TL.R form a widening channel. If the price fall back the TL.B1 and Closes Below Pivot R2, then Expect the price bounce from the Trend line green. The main scenario of the price action shows that if the price is not rejected from the previous high of 5670, then price will surely lead to take over the TL.R and TL.B2. On Contrary if price rejected sharply from the TL.B2 and closes below PIVOT R2, then price may continue to fall towards PIVOT R1. Please leave your comments and your suggestions. Expected Movement for the rest of the year will be in between the two apex points 5410 and 5747. Any Voilation of these points will determine the further direction of the SPX price movement. Longby taranquiloUpdated 111
$SPX The Hundred Years TrendThat's right.. The sheep were told we broke through the great depression trendline and to prepare themselves for a new paradigm.. As you can see we have broken through one of the great depression trendlines. And Still you can see we have one to go.. Our last touch of this trendline ended up with a stiff rejection, and we are dangerously close to another fatal kiss. If you haven't taken out a heavy long term short to cover life's everything, it might be too late. Only the strong will survive. Are you Strong?Shortby Midgar-Updated 2
SPX targeting 5990 before correctionIn my view SPX is now forming the head of an inverse head and shoulder pattern targeting 5990 in mid novemberby mpdUpdated 3
trump won, now whatThis is not a political analysis,idgf about who's your favourite party With that said: An easy way to run ur economy to the ground is through price controls, which was part of Harris's campaign platform. Joe did a great job and arguably saved the U.S. economy from a slump with initiatives like the infrastructure bill and the CHIPS Act. However, what concerns the average American most are the prices of gas and food. Harris's solution to these issues is a price ceiling, which is why many people felt that the orange man solution is more realistic however Tax cuts, the budget deficit, and inflation, along with tariffs, may lead the market to react positively a trend we have already observed. Inflation can drive growth for companies, which in turn boosts earnings and contributes to the US GDP growth. Additionally, the bond market is showing an upward yield curve, suggesting a liquidity preference, as money flows from risk-free investments like 10-year bonds into riskier assets such as equities or the stock market. The Federal Reserve's recent rate cut and efforts to reduce the balance sheet may be significant factors in this shift. However, there remains considerable uncertainty regarding the potential outcomes of these tax cuts and policies, which could result in a labor shortage and disruption in the labor market. The inflation accompanying the tariffs could lead to economic contraction, posing risks. Still, navigating these changes will not be plain, as the central bank is likely to respond to these policies, further deepening the uncertainty. there will be also some actual improvement in terms of foreign policy which can also lead to capital flowing from outside into us markets however, any sort of policy led by wall street has historically led to disasters and we expect no difference and the taxpayers will be left with the bill tap again I do not cheer for any party or their ideologies we'll watch the same market on asymmetrical information so make ur own inferenceby ri_da1
S&P doesn't matterThe time is coming soon but when and at which price will be turned back maybe it is an opportunity to make lots of money hehe, let's wait for the price action and ride a wave hehe I am gonna be a rich person00:43by Bill88NN1
6000 spx before EOMMaking a public call on SPX, based on the current political climate, and the oversold signals, I'm focused on a new ATH push from here. I think a move similar to September 9th or way back in early January is on the table right now. I'm currently trading in the LEAP comp for TradingView and wanted to make a public call that aligns with a trade I'm taking. Any Idea posted is being actively traded if possible in the competition.by whitekidspazUpdated 2
S&P 500 Change of CountsThe new high made during this election day has made me change the count. A reader of my post did comment and share a link on this new count which I did have in a couple of my posts, but I have to admit a mistake as a mistake and a bias as a bias. Now that S&P has made a new high, we must have a new target. Based on Elliott Wave, there IS A MAXIMUM target of 6208.5 based on Oanda CFD. This is because wave 3 is currently the shortest wave and that is not allowed in EW (the alternative is that this wave 3 is actually wave 1 of 3). But any price below 6208.5 is good as a peak. We have to wait until wave structure firms up before making another call.by yuchaosng1
SPX500 Bullish Momentum Post-ElectionHello, VANTAGE:SP500 has responded positively to the election results, and further bullish movement is anticipated, though minor fluctuations may occur. The 1W pivot point could potentially be tested. A cross and sustained move above the 1D pivot point would signal an immediate continuation of the bullish momentum. No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344 by TradeWithTheTrend3344223
SPX500 TREND LINES AND PIVOT POINT VIEWThe SPX500 if manage to close above the last high of 5670 on Daily TF then expect the price to hit the TL.R at 5764 from where the prices can fall back a bit and then move for the next target to TL.B2 at 5810 and if it closes above that point then you can expect the price to move to take over the PIVOT R3 at 61110, but if it is rejected then expect the price to fall towards PIVOT R2. Trend Line green and TL.R form a widening channel. If the price fall back the TL.B1 and Closes Below Pivot R2, then Expect the price bounce from the Trend line green. The main scenario of the price action shows that if the price is not rejected from the previous high of 5670, then price will surely lead to take over the TL.R and TL.B2. On Contrary if price rejected sharply from the TL.B2 and closes below PIVOT R2, then price may continue to fall towards PIVOT R1. Please leave your comments and your suggestions. Longby taranquiloUpdated 1
S&P 500 BUY ANALYSIS DOUBLE BOTTOM Here on S&P 500 price just form double bottom and has broken line 5781.3 which means there is a chance of rising more and trader should go for LONG with expected profit target of 5815.6 and 5854.6 . Use money managementLongby FrankFx14Updated 1
Us500 long signal using supply and demand Spx is on a bull run throughout 2024 , the bet is for the index to move higher catalyzed by us elections which iam using as tailwind to propel it higher ( the election might turn out to be a headwind who knows ) Price is at weekly demand and the daily trendline is broken. A fibonacci extension target is above. Longby OrcasSwing2
SP500 Sell Idea Take advantage of expected market weakness by identifying and executing a well-timed short trade that aligns with bearish technical and macroeconomic factors. The aim is to enter at a high point (near resistance) and exit at a lower point.Shortby nmelendezfx_Updated 2
Warning maybe in order?A lot of bullish sentiment out there but the rally is not confirmed. See the negative divergence marked on the bottom of the chart. Also running into long term trend line and confluence of Fib values converging around soon. by Successful_Inv_Strategies1