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Little more upside for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD went higher then expected (wavecount updated). If this is correct, then next week we could see a little more upside for this pair. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for price come into the Daily bullish FVG's to trade longs again. At the moment price is too high to trade. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
S&P 500 and the Elliott Wave TheoryAnalysis shows that the Wave 3(Black) correction is a Flat because Wave 2(Black) was a Zigzag. From the ending of Wave 3(Black), we see a shallow Wave A(Blue) forming. This is our first Wave of the 3 move correction. From A(Blue), another 3 wave move MUST occur and must go beyond the ending of Wave 3(Black) as seen. The correction of Wave A(Blue) is marked by an unfolding 3 wave move shown in Green. Waves A and B are formed after Wave A(Blue) completes. For the last 'leg' of the 3 Wave correction, we find a 5 Wave move shown in Red and this should contain all properties of a normal 5 wave move. Wave 1(Red) is followed by a Zigzag correction and we should expect a Flat correction at Wave 3(Red). Indeed a Flat is formed and is highlighted in Purple. Wave 4(Red) is complete. This sets in motion a last wave that upon completion would be the end of Wave C(Green) hence the end of Wave B(Blue) and would trigger the start of Wave 4(Black). Follow for breakdown of the same chart in the Daily time frame.
SP:SPX
by machariavictor017
SPX Expansion with Historical DataGood morning everyone! This week I wanted to elaborate more on my previous idea of SPX with the historical data that led to this analysis. This is almost all fundamental analysis adding in the retracement percentages which can also be evaluated through some technical instruments. Unemployment rate is currently at 4.1%, with inflation at 2.4%. Based on the data, it is evident the market is currently in an expansion period which is why the narrative that we will see 2 interest rate drops by the end of year continues to diminish. I think we will probably see 1 before the year ends and that would just fuel the market and gain momentum to the upside. If we were to measure the expansion of SPX going back to the 2000's, we get an extension of at least 75%. If we were to extend 75% based on the previous swing high (6,147) we could see future SPX price at 8,500. Now, do your own research, but the data is here. I expect the market to possibly retest previous high, but if you did not enter during the dip, no worries. There is still plenty of upside potential and better late than never. Remember... CASH FLOW IS KING! Avoid all the noise and distractions. The job of many platforms out there is to have something to put out for the public EVERYDAY! A good amount of that is noise. Look for macroeconomic news and let that be your indicator. Historical Data: (1) .com Bubble (2000 - 2002) We had a 50% drop of SPX. This lasted for almost 2 years before recovery. (2) Housing Market (2007 - 2009) The SPX dropped 57% due to the collapse of subprime lenders collapsing. Housing prices decline drastically leaving people with high mortgage payments than what their homes are actually worth leading to a wave of foreclosures. (3) Covid (2020) This was a global event with government mandated shutdowns causing the entire financial markets to come to a halt. Many business closures that led to jobs loss with an unemployment rate of approximately 15%. (4) Inflation & Rate Hikes (2022) When Covid happened, upon recovery market expanded way too fast causing inflation to rise and the Feds to increase interest rates to slow down the economy. (5) Tariffs (2025) Will stay away from politics on this one, however, a rebalancing of trade has taken place with some countries still working on tariff deals with the U.S. This has caused huge uncertainty for companies and corporation. VIX (fear index) reached 60.13. Hope you enjoyed this post. Have a great rest of your week, don't forget to like and follow and Happy Trading!
SP:SPXLong
by Vic_Tech_Trader
S&P 500 ($SPX) Nests Upward in Strong RallySince bottoming out on April 7, 2025, following the tariff war selloff, the S&P 500 (SPX) has sustained a robust rally. The Index is reaching new all-time highs in a clear Elliott Wave impulsive structure. Technical analysis, particularly momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), shows no divergence at the latest peak. This indicates sustained bullish momentum and suggests the rally remains within the third wave of the Elliott Wave sequence. From the April 7 low, wave 1 concluded at 5968.6. A corrective wave 2 followed which ended at 5767.41. The index has since nested higher within wave 3, demonstrating strong upward momentum. Breaking down the substructure of wave 3, the hourly chart below reveals that wave ((i)) peaked at 6059.4. The subsequent pullback in wave ((ii)) unfolded as a zigzag pattern. Wave (a) declined to 5963.21, and wave (b) rebounded to 6050.83. Wave (c) concluded at 5941.4, completing wave ((ii)) in the higher degree. The index has since resumed its ascent in wave ((iii)). Up from wave ((ii)), wave (i) reached 215.08 and a minor pullback in wave (ii) ended at 6177.97. The SPX is expected to continue its upward trajectory, with potential pullbacks finding support in a 3, 7, or 11 swing against the 5941.4 level, setting the stage for further gains. This analysis underscores the index’s bullish outlook, supported by technical indicators and Elliott Wave structure, as it navigates higher within this impulsive cycle.
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
Nonfarm Payroll and some other news 03.07.2025Nonfarm Payrolls surprisingly turned out to be moderate. These are excellent arguments for the Fed not to touch the rate, since labor market is their main mandate along with inflation. At the same time, stock market is showing steady growth and overheating in some places. What should the US economy be saved from by lowering the Fed rate? From Trump's future decisions, or create an influx of liquidity for a good picture so that Trump can further report on GDP growth? These questions should be asked by engaged Fed chairman. At 5:00 PM, an interesting ISM services report was released: the growth of new orders against background of falling employment immediately makes us wonder why then such a level of applications to Nonfarm. The answer is simple, Elon Musk fired a lot of employees during his short career in the White House.
SP:SPX
by Aleksey_Ponomarev_2022
S&P 500 - Confirmed New All Time HighPlease refer to our last post: The S&P could now be gearing up for the run towards our 1.618 extension around $7k. We just had a confirmed daily candle breakout above our white box which we have been eyeing for so long. This is the first signal of a major ATH breakout rally for the S&P. However there is only one thing that could potentially hinder this rally. That would be the orange trendline I have drawn. If price gets rejected somewhere along this orange trendline and price falls back below the white box that would signal a few warning signs. The first would be a failed breakout and the second would be a massive bearish divergence forming on the HTF. With higher highs in price but strength continuing to get weaker keep an eye out for that. So far things just look great, but just wanted to point that out as a potential scenario.
SP:SPX
by VIAQUANT
US500/SPX500 Heist Plan: Grab the Index CFD Loot!Greetings, Profit Pirates! 🌟 Money chasers and market rogues, 🤑💸 let’s execute a daring heist on the US500/SPX500 Index CFD market using our 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥, powered by sharp technicals and deep fundamentals. Stick to the charted long-entry strategy, aiming to cash out near the high-risk Pink zone. Stay alert for overbought conditions, consolidation, or a trend reversal trap where bearish bandits dominate. 🏴‍☠️💪 Lock in your profits and treat yourself—you’ve earned it! 🎉 Entry 📈 The vault’s cracked open! 🏦 Snatch the bullish loot at the current price—the heist is on! For precision, place Buy Limit orders on a 15 or 30-minute timeframe for pullback entries, targeting a retest of the nearest high or low. Stop Loss 🛑 📍 Set your Thief SL at the recent swing low (5640) on a 4H timeframe for day trades.📍 Adjust SL based on your risk appetite, lot size, and number of orders. Target 🎯 Aim for 6160 or slip out early to secure your gains! 💰 Scalpers, Eyes Sharp! 👀 Focus on long-side scalps. Big capital? Dive in now! Smaller funds? Team up with swing traders for the robbery. Use a trailing SL to protect your loot. 🧲💵 US500/SPX500 Market Intel 📊 The Index CFD is riding a bullish surge, 🐂 fueled by key drivers. Dive into fundamentals, macroeconomics, COT reports, geopolitical news, sentiment, intermarket analysis, index-specific insights, positioning, and future trend targets for the full picture. 🔗check ⚠️ Trading Alert: News & Position Safety 📰 News can jolt the market! To safeguard your haul: Avoid new trades during news releases. Use trailing stops to lock in profits and limit losses. 🚫 Join the Heist! 💥 Back our robbery plan—hit the Boost Button! 🚀 Let’s stack cash effortlessly with the Thief Trading Style. 💪🤝 Stay ready for the next heist, bandits! 🤑🐱‍👤🎉
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by Thief_Trader
US500 Will Go Up! Long! Take a look at our analysis for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,165.52. Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 6,451.04 level soon. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Long
by SignalProvider
1
V2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QEV2. US S&P Zones - PMI Manuf, USINTR, Inflation, DXY & QE US S&P Zone Analysis -- Correlation with 1. Leading Economic Indicators (PMI Manufacturing Index, PMI Services Index, Building Permits) 2. US Interest Rates (MEAN 1.97 from Jan 2003) 3. US Inflation Rate YoY 4. Dollar Index (DXY) 5. Quantitative Easing Episodes WHY CHANGE IN APPROACH? As per Ammar Bhai, Red and other Zones for US and developed markets shall not follow only Interest Rates after 2000. Traditional single impact of Interest Rate is not Enough. NOTE ABOUT INFLATION ABOVE 5% It was also noticed that if inflation was about 5% that coincided with Red and Yellow zone and it must be avoided for stock trading. NEW APPROACH NEW GREEN ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or AROUND TARGET 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING NEW APPROACH for RED ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is FALLING or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED or ABOVE MEAN (Contractionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS. (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING 5. Stock Market FALLING or SIDEWAYS NEW YELLOW ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is RISING or ABOVE 50 2. Interest Rates are RISING or LEVELED 3. Inflation is RISING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is RISING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS NEW ORANGE ZONE 1. PMI Manuf Index is SIDEWAYS or BELOW 50 2. Interest Rates are FALLING or LEVELED or BELOW MEAN (Expansionary Policy in Effect) 3. Inflation is FALLING or SIDEWAYS (Also Check if Inflation rate is above 5%) 4. DXY is FALLING or SIDEWAYS 5. Stock Market RISING or SIDEWAYS Historically whenever Interest Rates are dropping, US market goes down for some months: US somehow try to control Inflation before bringing the interest rates down. When Inflation is under control and Growth has not gone down much, then they decrease the interest rates Because in past whenever Interest rates were decreased, growth also fell for some months and then improved. Then FED does QE, which bring surplus cash in the market, Which drops Dollar rate, that helps the Stock Market grow.
SP:SPX
by haroonraees
Generally bullish sentiment heading into next weekWednesday's AUD CHF trade finally stopped out. I've been a little surprised by CHF resilience considering the 'risk on' environment. I have read an interesting article suggesting CHF and EUR strength can be attributed to holding relatively high amounts of gold reserves. I'm not sure how much long term credence I'd give that theory but it does make sense. Meanwhile, the USD turned out to be the currency to short this week as the market starts to price in more rate cuts than thought a few weeks ago. It could be a tricky road ahead for the FED, as softening data, and now today's higher than forecast PCE data means the dreaded 'stagflation' word will be mentioned. But with the VIX well below 20 and the S&P touching all time highs, in the absence of Middle East re-escalation or fresh tariff concerns, I'll begin next week with a mind to continue looking for 'risk on' trades. For today, I will let Friday's price action do what it's going to do and start fresh next week.
SP:SPXLong
by johnelfedforexblog
SPX500 Macro Fibonacci Projection – Eyeing 7190+ 🗓️ Posted by Wavervanir International LLC | June 26, 2025 The S&P 500 continues to respect key Fibonacci zones on the macro scale. After a strong recovery from the recent correction near the 0.5–0.618 retracement region (4800–5100), price is now hovering near critical confluence at the 1.0 level (~6150). We’re tracking a bullish extension path toward 1.382 and 1.618 Fibonacci levels, which gives us a primary upside target zone between 7,190 and 7,795 — aligning with the projected long-term wave expansion. This structure favors a continued institutional accumulation phase, supported by macroeconomic resilience and liquidity conditions. 🔶 Key Levels to Watch: Major Support: 4838.28 (0.5 Fib Retest) Immediate Resistance: 6170–6200 Target Range: 7190.71 → 7795.41 🧠 Bias remains bullish unless price breaks back below 5830 with volume. This is not financial advice. Shared for educational and strategic insights. Let me know your thoughts, traders! — #SPX500 #Fibonacci #WaverVanir #MacroTrends #StockMarket2025 #QuantitativeAnalysis
FX:SPX500Long
by Wavervanir_International_LLC
Your investor profileEach investor has unique characteristics: The amount of their current investments and savings Their capacity to generate future income and allocate it to savings Their personal and financial circumstances that may condition their liquidity needs Their motivations and objectives for saving Their discipline Their willingness to learn The time available for monitoring Their knowledge and experience Their risk aversion All these characteristics are called investor profile . Unless all these characteristics of your profile change, you must stay true to your investor profile. Bullish market environments are a temptation to take on more risk than we should. It is also important to keep in mind that your investor profile changes with your life cycle . While it’s great to share experiences, your investor profile is unique . When making your decisions, take advice based on your individual characteristics. It is very important that you seek advice from trusted platforms and professionals and pay special attention to ensure that there is no clear commercial bias that could lead you to certain products or operations that may not suit your investor profile. It is not a wise decision to copy from others : friends or forums created by entities with an obvious commercial bias, because your investor profile is unique. Did you like it? Share with your friends. by HollyMontt
SP:SPXEducation
by hollymontt
1
rePOST - SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 SPX Weekly Technical Breakdown – Week of June 22, 2025 After consolidating in a tight range earlier this month, SPX printed a subtle but significant outside day on Friday — breaking Thursday’s high by just 0.01 and forming a broadening formation. Like QQQ , this pattern reflects indecision and a potential shift in structure as bulls and bears battle for control. The short-term range is wide, with support at 5963.21 and resistance near 6026.68. Holding above 5963 can keep buyers in and opens the door for a retest of the psychological 6000 level, followed by 6059.40 (all-time high). However, a close back below 5963.21 could open the path for a quick flush toward 5900. Key intraday levels to watch include 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, and 6059.21. Technical Summary • Structure: Outside day Friday formed a broadening formation • Event Note: Slight break of Thursday’s high by 0.01 confirms outside bar structure • Daytrade Pivots: 5929, 5940.03, 5954.06, 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68 • Macro View: SPX improves technically above 6000; breakout confirmed over 6026.68 • Downside Risk: Failure to close above 5963.21 could trigger fast move toward 5900 • Momentum Bias: Neutral to bearish until 6000+ is reclaimed and defended Key Levels to Watch 🟢 Upside Resistance: 5974.86, 5989.43, 6002.32, 6012.94, 6026.68, 6044.56, 6059.21, 6059.40 (ATH) 🔴 Downside Support: 5963.21 (must hold), 5954.06, 5940.03, 5929 Trade Plan • Hold above 5963.21 keeps upside scenario intact — look for reclaim of 5974.86 and 6000+ • Close below 5963.21 flips structure and may accelerate toward 5929, possibly 5900 • Scalps remain viable near 5954–6002 using intraday reactions at key levels Decision Map 🟩 IF SPX HOLDS ABOVE 5963.21 → reclaim 5974.86 → target 5989.43 → 6002.32 → breakout toward 6026.68 → 6059.40 (ATH) 🟥 IF SPX BREAKS BELOW 5963.21 → watch 5954.06 → 5940.03 → 5929 → 5900 possible flush Primary Trade Zone: 5954–6002 Alert Levels Set alerts above: 5974.86, 6002.32, 6026.68 Set alerts below: 5963.21, 5940.03, 5929 This Week’s Key Catalysts for SPX This week’s economic calendar is packed with market-moving data that will likely influence SPX and broader risk appetite. • Tuesday, June 24: Fed Chair Powell testifies to the House Financial Services Committee. His tone and guidance on future policy will be a primary driver for market direction. The same day also includes Consumer Confidence (June) and Fed commentary from Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack — both potentially impactful. • Thursday, June 26: Heavy data day with initial jobless claims, durable goods orders (May), core goods data, and the second revision of Q1 GDP. These reports will offer insight into both the labor market and the broader health of the U.S. economy. • Friday, June 27: The most important inflation data of the week arrives with the PCE index and Core PCE (May). These are the Fed’s preferred inflation gauges and could shape expectations for a rate cut later this summer. Overall, market participants will be closely watching Powell’s tone, inflation data, and any sign of slowing growth. Combined with Friday’s outside day and broadening structure, SPX is positioned for a move — the catalyst will determine the direction.
SP:SPX
by MoneyFlow_Options_Community
S&P 500 - Pay Attention All the world events going on right now has put the S&P in a very interesting position. Even on the brink of war we have seen the SPX pushing towards all time highs. Right now it is entering the major supply zone (where we have seen many tops form) between $6,090 and $6,150. This supply zone has been forming since Dec 2024 and is very important to keep and eye on. Either price will create a macro double top/M pattern and lead us back towards the lows, or we will break above this supply zone a start the expansion phase towards our 1.618 which is currently just slightly below $7k. The macro looks amazing as our lower white line represents of 2021 previous ATH and during the tariff collapse perfectly got flipped into a new level of support which we represent as our 2025 Macro Low. The short term is also looking decent. We have identified price is about to enter major resistance so if we do see a pullback we want to target that $5,800 level as the level buyers need to hold to continue momentum. If buyers can push price to new highs in the short term we expect to see that move towards $7k by the end of the year.
SP:SPX
by VIAQUANT