2pm updateqqq has filled it's gap, spy hasn't Some megacaps are at strong support, where usually buyers would step in. No guarantee this reverses. Monday may be a flush to 535 on SPY
SPCUSD trade ideas
SPX Update - DowntrendThe S&P 500 (SPX) is showing signs of a downward trend, aligning with the 123 wave target around 5220. This critical area could offer insights into the next potential moves in the market.
US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025)
Price Action Summary:
Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction.
Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists.
4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding.
1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher.
Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup)
Short Setup:
Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance
Stop Loss: 5,770
Take Profit:
TP1: 5,620
TP2: 5,550
Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750.
Swing Trading Setup
Short Setup:
Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation
Stop Loss: 5,650
Take Profit:
TP1: 5,300
TP2: 5,100
Gold not looking good I thinkI do not think gold looks good, It is falling from the Head and Shoulder inverted patter.
US500 Long Setup – 15M | NYC Reversal from Demand Bias: Bullish Trade Setup Overview:
After a deep selloff and subsequent accumulation pattern, US500 printed a clean bullish reaction from the lower demand zone during the NY session, signaling a potential continuation to the upside.
Key Confluences:
🔹 Accumulation + Manipulation Phase Complete
The chart shows classic Wyckoff accumulation followed by manipulation below short-term lows, leading into an aggressive NY open rally—suggesting institutional involvement.
🔹 Entry From Demand + FVG Reclaim
Price tagged the 5676.5 level, which aligns with the edge of a refined 15M FVG and an H1 demand zone. Strong rejection and follow-through confirms buyer strength.
🔹 Clean Break of Supply Structure
Price has pierced through a previous short-term supply zone, turning it into potential support. This is a signal that bulls are reclaiming control.
Bias: Bullish
Entry: 5676.5
Stop Loss: 5660.4
Take Profits:
TP1: 5693.6
TP2: 5720.0
TP3: 5781.6
#SPX - 28 MarI was bearish SPX yesterday and the PZ held the rallies and price just sold down to new lows.
Overall, price is still in consolidation and the flush to new lows could see another move back to the highs of yesterday. Looking for an up from here.
A review of the Indexes 3-27An overview of all the indexes I follow. Most are showing indecision after today.
3/27/2025 SPY outlook_bearishHello traders,
Hope you’re doing well in this choppy market. I initially expected a squeeze after rebounding from the 5500 area, but that didn’t happen. Instead, the 200 SMA acted as resistance, forming a bear flag over the last few trading days. I expect a break below the bear flag support line, leading to a move toward the 5100 area.
I’m not trading SPY directly, but since most stocks follow SPY these days, I wanted to share my outlook. Buying UVXY could be a good option.
May the trend be with you.
AP
S&POne last trade for the day, same as NAS100 this pair just swept sellers and went for buyers if this is an inverted sell we'll move with it
#SPX - 27 MarI was wrong on the move for SPX yesterday as market sold down strongly. Bearish price action and so much that I think market is still bullish above 5600, based on daily price action, IMO we will further downside as long as 5750 holds.
Nikkei, S&P500, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Short: Educational UpdateThis is really an extra video that I made because I see some educational value. I use Nikkei 225 to show repeating of patterns and the fractal nature of the market, S&P and Nasdaq to demonstrate the usage of Fibonacci levels and study of historical support and resistance, and finally Hang Seng to discuss on placing stop losses and how noise in lower time frames may require us to ignore certain "unclean" waves.
Overall, I still put this idea as a short because all the indices used are still short ideas in my opinion.
Good luck!
Bull vs Bear: The 5700 FlipzoneBull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025
Some days, the best trade is no trade at all.
It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go running.
We’re smack-dab in the middle of the “flip zone” - right around 5700. The market’s pacing like a nervous cat, pretending to pick a direction, but mostly just knocking things off the shelf to keep us on our toes. And honestly? I’m good with it. Because when the market hesitates like this, it’s usually winding up for something worth waiting for.
Stick with me and I’ll show you how to turn “nothing happening” into “something smart”.
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Deeper Dive Analysis:
Today felt a bit like turning up to a party early and realising no one’s there yet. Just me… and the punch bowl.
I’ve barely done a thing trade-wise. And I’m perfectly happy about it. Because when there’s no clear setup, the smartest thing you can do is absolutely nothing.
Here’s why:
The 5700 level continues to act like the social bouncer of this range - nobody gets through without a convincing ID. It’s the pivot point where bulls and bears are circling, eyeing each other like it’s a West Side Story dance-off.
Bear pulse bars? None yet. So while price has dribbled downward in that slow, lazy style, we’ve had no real confirmation of fresh bearish momentum.
Bull pulse bars? Not exactly punching through the ceiling either. For that, we need to see solid moves above 5720 and, ideally, a breakout-pullback pattern to load up a fresh bull swing.
What’s more interesting is the GEX (Gamma Exposure). This week’s setup highlights 5700 as the flip point, reinforcing what we’ve already seen in price behaviour. When the options market lines up with technicals, I start paying even more attention.
The ES futures chart (with overnight data) shows the same range boundaries a little more clearly. It’s painting a picture of compression. And as you know from experience, compression always precedes expansion.
I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: patience pays.
We're in the eye of the storm - the kind where people get twitchy, traders get emotional, and portfolios get wrecked... unless you're working the system.
So here's the play:
No new bear trades until pulse bars form below 5700.
Bull trades only trigger on solid breaks above 5720.
Until then? Watch. Wait. Brew tea.
Because I’d rather miss the first 10 points of the move than get slapped for trying to be clever.
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Fun Fact
There’s a stock ticker called YUM. Yes, really.
YUM Brands – owner of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut – trades under the very appropriate ticker: YUM. Now that’s branding you can taste.
YUM Brands spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 and has since become a global fast food empire. With over 50,000 restaurants in more than 150 countries, it’s been gobbling up global market share like it’s a late-night snack. The ticker symbol “YUM” is one of Wall Street’s more deliciously accurate tickers – and proves that branding doesn’t stop at the menu. Fun fact: KFC was once known as “Kentucky Fried Chicken” until the name got a trim for health-conscious times. Go figure.
SP500US Markets has pulled back nicely, It now provides a wonderful opportunity to get back into the market, I expect another drop to take the previous low set couple of days ago. April tends to be a good month for indices as the first quarter closer and rebalancing occured.
my plan would be to buy the SP500 and ride the trend
SPX: Bear Flag? On the 4hr or a bounce off the 1D trendline?Market has been in a funk. Trump announces 25% tariffs on auto imports. Surprised markets didn’t tank more in AH.
Gap filled on a lot of charts today (3/26/25). Wondering now, on the daily if it bounces off this purple trend with unemployment data and PCE Friday.
My buy/hold/sell zones for trading the SP500 tomorrow.
Green markup area is buy because it's holding the breakout, yellow is hold (look for it to get choppy here), red is sell because it broke down.
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction.
Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted.
Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
3pm updatePossible bounce here, technically it looks feasible. If overnight is a bounce, we may have a C wave into Friday. It's very uncertain here.
0 DTE Iron Condor - SPX-5710 +5810
Wide 0 DTE, Dorian Trader style Iron Condor.
7.15% gain in premium on capital invested.
I made sure that the short leg is below the gap up candle on the 24th
Buy SnP500Ready to Rally? I think so.
My best trading strategy is to follow the big money—to follow the actions of the market conductor. Right now, I see buying activity in the market and believe this idea has strong potential.
This is a med-term trade, so size your position wisely to avoid overloading your portfolio with a single trade. There are and will be plenty of great opportunities in the market. Give this position the time and space to realize its full potential.
Exact targets are unknown.
The best way to proceed here is by using a trailing stop-loss.
The first Stop Loss is set at 5495.
As the asset rises. move the stop loss higher.
S&P 500 eases back from 200-dayThe S&P 500 has been on an impressive two-week rally but is now encountering a crucial resistance zone. The index is currently testing resistance near the 200-day moving average and a previous support level in the 5770-5800 range. This key area, highlighted in grey on the chart, could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues.
Meanwhile, support is found around 5695-5670, marked in blue on the chart. This zone is significant as it previously served as the launch point for the post-election rally before it lost steam. Reclaiming this level is a bullish signal, but the S&P 500 needs to stay above it through to next week to maintain its upward trajectory.
If support at 5695-5670 fails, the bulls could face serious headwinds. A breakdown at this level may trigger renewed selling pressure, similar to the declines seen in previous weeks. The situation could worsen if the index falls below 5600, which was Friday’s low, when a hammer candle was formed.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
Bulls and Bears zone for 03-26-2025Futures are trading a little bit lower during ETH session, since there is a lot of uncertainty in the market.
Level to watch: 5829 --- 5827
Vix Alert'VIX Alert' is a simple and accurate trend deviation alert system using the VIX index and S&P 500 index.
