indices expected movement Indices expected movement based on elliot wave mapping method and corellation with market dynamic. im using the timing also in a mapping to sycncro all the movement .Longby BudakNakalAcademyPublished 0
SPX - Historical View vs Current ViewSlightly longer video today. If you're not interested in the historical view, you can start roughly half way through. The SPX is certainly starting to show even more signs that we're in a phase where something is ending. On higher timeframes, there are potentially several more years ahead of upside, and trying to catch tops can be a fools game, so take great care if you are hedging positions. The 50 DAY SIMPLE MOVING AVERAGE (SMA) is the key here. We found support on that in late July, then broke down in early August and we broke the 100 day SMA as well. This showed significant signs of weakness, however we made several tests of that 100 day moving average and broke above it. It appeared we would also break back down when we approached that 50 day SMA, but the very next day, there was a significant gap that was formed. Gap and go - so far we've continued moving up from there. Yesterday was the first red day in 6 trading days and we've basically been trending up ever since the bottom on August 5th. As long as we keep trading above that 50 day SMA,I think generally speaking markets will continue to climb a bit. IF we break through new all-time-highs, the next logical target would be about 5900, which I would expect significant resistance as that is a highly anticipated algo target from a fibonacci extension standpoint as well as a nice round psychological number. One day at a time. Have a great day. :-)Long07:44by bitdoctorPublished 5
SP500 Analysis 8_21Price is looking to try and reach previous day highs but is struggling. Looking for shorts below 5600 level to take to Monday sell side liquidity. Bulls have been pushing price higher last 2 days. will see what happens around 10 am. Good luck trading. Risk Mngt. Check my profile for more info.Shortby MrVizions_421Published 221
S&P500 Ends 8-Day Streak as Markets Eye Fed Minutes Jackson HoleS&P 500 Snaps 8-Day Win Streak Ahead of Fed Minutes and Jackson Hole Uncertainty Market Reversal: Wall Street reversed course Tuesday, breaking recent winning streaks. Fed Minutes: The Federal Reserve will release minutes from its last meeting, where rates were held but future cuts hinted Jackson Hole: This week's Jackson Hole event could further shake up markets. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price is currently consolidating between 5,584 and 5,620, awaiting a breakout. Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above 5,620, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, it could rise further toward 5,676. Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 5584, it could lead to a corrective move down to 5525. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5584 - Resistance Lines: 5642, 5675, 5700 - Support Lines: 5553, 5525, 5491 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is expected to fluctuate between 5525 and 5,675. Trend: Bullish momentum with potential correction.Longby SroshMayiPublished 8
S&P500 This is how it will reach 6000.The S&P500 index (SPX) has recovered almost all of its losses since its July 16 All Time High (ATH), firmly establishing again itself above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which is the usual short-term Support level during uptrends. The underlying pattern is a Channel Up and every time the index breaks above a former Resistance level (such as the current ATH), it consolidates for a few days and retests it as a Support, before starting the next wave of the Bullish Leg. As a result, we expect the index to break above 5670 soon and then turn sideways, sustained above it for 1-2 weeks. By the end of October we are targeting for a 6000 Higher High at the top of the long-term Channel Up pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShotPublished 2223
SP500 MAJOR RECESSION COMING...The unemployment rate has been steadily rising for the past year, which as seen on the comparison regularly precedes major economic downturn. Shortby rtlustymenPublished 4413
SPX500 BULLISH-Looking for buys on a 4HR +OB. - First we need sell side to be taken out before or around 9:00am NYC time. - Then on a 1mins to 5mins chart we want to see Sell PDRAYS being violented - After that any MSS formed within 1mins to 5mins chart we take buysLongby cloudy_Blank_Published 1
The analysis of the US500 index by the Mallicast team In the analysis of the US500 on the daily timeframe, the upward trend can potentially continue up to the level of 6139.60. However, after reaching the price of 5665.6, a correction towards the 0.5 Fibonacci level is possible, and following that, the upward trend is expected to resume.Longby mallicastPublished 1
S&P 500 Potential Resistance $5618.74 21.08.2024 Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) DisclaimerLongby Stuart_CowellPublished 0
Bullish momentum to extend?S&P500 (US500) is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 5,561.67 1st Support: 5,464.86 1st Resistance: 5,668.95 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.ULongby ICmarketsPublished 4
US500 SHORT CONDITIONALUS500 S SHORT CONDITIONAL ENTRY PLEASE DON’T BE GREEDY ENTRY POINT : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG POSITION above red Line for SHORT POSITION INSTRUCTIONS: FOR risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20 PLEASE DON’T BE GREEDY DO YOU WANT TO HAVE ACCURATE SIGNALS EVERY DAY? do you want to learn? The best indicators The best analyzes The best entry point The best sales areas How to make profit How to corver up losses How to stay profitableShortby RODDYTRADINGPublished 114
SPX500The Standard and Poor's 500, or simply the S&P 500, is a stock market index tracking the stock performance of 500 of the largest companies listed on stock exchanges in the United States. Shortby HavalMamarPublished 2
S&P Short Term Top Again... Looking for Sell Off soon.I think the S&P has topped out again today and will most likely turn down. This is a short-term trade, but overall if we see a double top in the markets over the next few weeks without a strong breakout, then the stock market will correct downwards very hard soon and take out the lows we saw a few weeks ago. Warning...This fall will be ugly for the Stock MarketsShortby FinancialLibertiesPublished 223
SPX500 Buy IdeaIve seen price break below liquidity then push up and confirm bullish structure. Once price enters this zone I'm looking to take buys.Longby perkinsdandre9Published 0
Understanding Previous day closes Understanding Previous day closes. Morning call we said down then up.. and that exactly what we did... Bullish above 5608 Bearish Below 5608 Market Goes up and down... we dont care.... Stay Frosty!Editors' picksEducation02:19by Beyond_ChartsPublished 1138
SPX rising wedgeRising wedge on the SPX, very steep rising with 8 days in a row upwards. Short term correction around the corner, before testing the ATH, and then maybe 180º reverse.Shortby j_arrietaPublished 3
SPX to continue in the upward move?SPX500USD - 24h expiry Continued upward momentum from 5544 resulted in the pair posting net daily gains yesterday. 5 positive daily performances in succession. The 261.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5728 from 5094 to 5336. The previous swing high is located at 5680. Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 5566, resulting in improved risk/reward. We look to Buy at 5566 (stop at 5526) Our profit targets will be 5680 and 5728 Resistance: 5636 / 5680 / 5728 Support: 5566 / 5470 / 5440 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.Longby OANDAPublished 1
S&P 500 Futures Rise on Fed Rate Cut Bets as Powell Speech LoomsStock Index Futures Edge Higher on Fed Rate Cut Hopes, Powell's Speech in Focus In yesterday’s session, Wall Street’s major indexes closed higher, with the S&P 500 reaching a 1-month high. S&P 500 Technical Analysis The price is currently consolidating between 5,584 and 5,620, awaiting a breakout. Bullish Scenario: If the price stabilizes above 5,620, confirmed by a 4-hour candle close, it could rise further toward 5,676. Bearish Scenario: If the price remains below 5,620, it could lead to a corrective move down to 5,584. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5,620 - Resistance Lines: 5642, 5675, 5700 - Support Lines: 5584, 5553, 5525 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is expected to fluctuate between 5,584 and 5,675. Trend: Bullish momentum with potential correction.Longby SroshMayiPublished 8
S&P 500 Leads Rebound After $16 Billion Injection• Capital Inflows: More than $16 billion has flowed into the S&P 500 this month, reversing a recent trend of risk aversion. • Economic Data: Stability in the producer price index (PPI) and a consumer price index (CPI) in line with expectations have boosted investor confidence. • Inflation and Rates: Positive macroeconomic data has eased fears of prolonged inflation, giving the Federal Reserve more flexibility in managing interest rates. • S&P 500 Reaction: The index has rallied 10.36% since August 7, reflecting renewed investor engagement. • Positioning: Most of the new risk flows have been concentrated in the S&P 500, cementing its relevance in the financial market. Currently, the price of the S&P 500 is heading towards highs again, closing yesterday at 5,610.80 points, with a possible attempt to break above 5,631.75 points this week. The Checkpoint (POC) is at 5,461 points, the middle of the current sideways range that lies between 5,328.32 and the current highs. The RSI is at 62.16%, which makes the S&P 500 the focus of investment in the U.S. as a very strong buying intention is sensed this period. It remains to be seen whether the current momentum has reversed risk aversion since the S&P500 is currently the pole of attraction for U.S. investments. Ion Jauregui - Activtrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk. ULongby ActivTradesPublished 2
LONG ON US500Price is trending up so we look for buys. External range liquidity was taken so next target is the internal range liquidity in the form of an fvg. I expect price to hold on the fvg and start buying from there. Note:I am not a fan of indices as they are extremely volatile.Longby oralokaUpdated 222
How to Trade with the Choppiness IndexHow to Trade with the Choppiness Index The Choppiness Index is a valuable tool in the world of trading, particularly for experienced traders involved in analysing market trends and making informed trading decisions. Developed by Australian commodity trader E.W. Dreiss, this indicator is designed to measure price volatility or directionless behaviour. The Choppiness Index provides traders with insights into whether an asset is in a trending or ranging phase. This article describes the purpose, calculation, and application of this efficient tool. Continue reading if you need help adjusting and improving your trading strategies. What Is the Choppiness Index? The Choppiness Index (CI) is a technical analysis tool that helps determine whether a market is moving in a trend or consolidating. Sideways movements are challenging for traders to develop a viable strategy; thus, the Choppy market indicator, in conjunction with other technical tools, can help. A possible reversal of an existing trend can also be verified through the Choppiness Indicator. Yet, it is not a directional indicator and, therefore, cannot be used to predict future price direction. The Choppy market index can be useful in all asset classes, but higher volatility conditions, like in stock index trading, can be more suitable for this index. If you would like to explore how to enhance your market analysis techniques using the Choppiness Indicator, head over to FXOpen and try out TickTrader’s charting tools. How Is the Choppy Market Indicator Calculated? The Choppiness Index is calculated through the following formula: CI = 100 ∗ LOG10( ∑ n1ATR)( MaxHigh( n) − MinLow( n)) / LOG10( n) Where: ATR( 1) = Average True Range ( Period of 1) SUM( ATR( 1), n) = Sum of the Average True Range over n periods MaxHigh( n) = The highest peak over n periods MinLow( n) = The lowest trough over n periods Log10( n) = base-10 Log of n n = defined period length How to Use the Choppiness Index The CI value provides insights into the market situation when crossing a certain level or entering a predefined area. As an oscillator-type analysis tool, the CI takes values between 0 and 100. The most common interpretations of the Choppy market indicator are derived from the Fibonacci retracement values. Generally, it is considered that a reading below 38.2 indicates a trend; a reading between 38.2 and 61.8 suggests choppy movements that would make traders wait for the emergence of a clearer trend; a high reading of the Choppy market indicator is considered above 61.8, and it indicates very choppy or consolidated prices when many traders would prefer to stick to range-bound strategies. Depending on the specific asset, risk preference, or trading style, traders can apply different thresholds. For example, a fall below the level of 30 or a rise above the level of 50 could be considered a signal for a starting trend or the beginning of an indecision phase, respectively. The Chop Index can be very useful in stock index trading. That market can get volatile, and the Choppy market indicator allows traders to identify potential breakouts or lower volatility periods. Below are three examples on the US SPX 500 chart of how the Choppiness Index can be implemented when analysing real markets. A Trending Market (A Sudden Drop in the Choppiness Index) The CI value dropping below a certain threshold (typically below 38.2) signals that the market is starting a trending phase. This suggests that there is a clear and sustained price movement; however, as the CI does not show the direction of price movement, it may be either an upward or downward move. Traders engaged in stock index trading or interested in other asset classes may interpret this signal as an opportunity to employ trend-following strategies, such as buying in an uptrend or selling in a downtrend. Choppy or Ranging Asset Price (Moderate Levels of the Choppiness Index) When the CI stays within the moderate range (typically between 38.2 and 61.8), it indicates that the market is relatively choppy or ranging. As seen in the chart below, such behaviour of the CI can also be accompanied by increased volatility, implying higher market risk. In such conditions, there may be no clear or sustained trend, and prices may move within a slightly broader range but with no clear direction. Traders may exercise caution when observing such readings of the Choppy market indicator, as it can be challenging to predict the price direction. Experienced stock index trading participants might choose to reduce risk or wait for a clearer trend to develop. Consolidating Market (Choppiness Index Stays High) A CI reading above a certain threshold (typically above 61.8) suggests that the market is consolidating within a narrow trading range. In the US SPX 500 stock index trading example displayed on the chart below, volatility is low, yet the price movement implies market indecision and possible unpredictable moves in either direction with no well-defined trend. In such conditions, combined with high values of the Choppy market indicator, traders may consider staying out of the market or employing range-bound or mean-reversion strategies, as breakouts and trend-following approaches may be less effective. How to Combine the Chop Index with Other Technical Analysis Tools Several other indicators can be combined with the Choppiness index indicator to analyse price action. Traders can identify support and resistance levels and consider the price level relative to Moving Averages, and then add the Chop index to determine an entry point in a trending market. Bollinger Bands provide another suitable indicator to be used together with the CI to identify potential breakouts of a trading range. Combined with trading volume, the CI can provide a strong confirmation signal. After a period of sideways price action, low volume, and a high level of CI, a sudden surge in volume while the price is still in range, a drop of the index below the 38.2 level, combined with the price breaking the range, could confirm the breakout. Conclusion The Choppiness Index can be a valuable instrument for all asset classes, stock index trading being one possibility. It helps distinguish sideways movements from trending market activity, while it’s also used to evaluate an asset’s volatility. As the Choppiness Index cannot predict price direction, traders combine it with other technical tools, making it beneficial to a chart analysis strategy. Interested in testing possible trading strategies using the Choppiness Index? Consider opening an FXOpen account, which grants you access to a wide range of markets and advanced trading opportunities. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.Educationby FXOpenPublished 22232
Weekly outlook Aug 19-23 $SPYWithin 2 weeks since the yen unwinding, we are just a couple percentage points off the highs. The vast volatility has me a bit suspicious. Since we are back above the cloud, confirms bullish continuation, however I suspect this week we might range around 5600 on AMEX:SPY due to heavy news flow this week.by SolenyaResearchPublished 0
US500 Gann Analysis Analyzing the US 500 Index on a weekly time frame using Gann-based techniques. Key resistance levels are marked at 5,673.7, 6,057.0, and 6,253.0, while support levels are identified at 5485 and 5,304.5 The index is currently testing resistance at 5,673.7 with a bullish weekly candle. The upcoming time projection on September 30, 2024, may signal potential market shifts. Monitoring for a breakout above current resistance or a reversal towards support. Watch for Strong Resistance 5864 - 5882 Might Be it... And after it tops, Your possible Bottom Could be 4771 Let The Time Write the Story.. Good Luck by Magic_xDPublished 2