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SPX500 Holds Key Support – Bullish Bounce or More Downside?📉 S&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – February 28, 2025 📉 The S&P 500 has dropped -2.8% to 5,856, as expected , after rejecting the 6,010 pivot zone. 📌 Today's Outlook: Bullish Scenario: S&P 500 is showing bullish momentum after stabilizing above the pivot zone (5,879 - 5,856), which acts as a key daily support area. As long as the price trades above this zone, it is likely to push up toward 5,898 and 5,920, with consolidation expected between 5,879 – 5,920. Bearish Scenario: A 4H candle close below 5,856 would confirm a bearish shift, targeting 5,826 and potentially 5,792 as the next downside levels. 📊 Key Levels to Watch: 🔸 Resistance: 5,898 | 5,920 | 5,960 🔹 Pivot: 5,880 🔻 Support: 5,856 | 5,792 | 5,765 🚀 Will SPX500 hold above support, or is another drop coming? Share your thoughts! 👇🔥
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SroshMayi
US 500 – Strength of Rebound From Friday Low to be TestedThe US 500 bounced 1.4% from its January 2025 lows on Friday, ensuring a volatile week of trading finished on a slightly more positive note than may have been the case earlier in the day. However, the strength of this rally is likely to be put through a stern test in the week ahead. Why? The week is packed full of risk events, including key US economic data, in the form of the forward-looking ISM Manufacturing (Monday 1500 GMT) and Services (Wednesday 1500 GMT) PMI surveys, the latest update on the strength of the US labour market, provided by the Non-farm Payrolls update (Friday 1330 GMT), and earnings from consumer bellwether Target (before the open Tuesday). President Trump’s tariffs on Canada, Mexico and China are due to start on Tuesday, which if they happen are likely to see retaliatory tariffs initiated on the US. Then to top it all off, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell is speaking on Friday (1730 GMT). The topic, the US economic outlook. Wow! There is, of course, always the potential for unscheduled social media comments from President Trump to factor into the volatility mix, like those last night which sent crypto markets sharply higher for a period, as well as updates on the geo-political situations in Ukraine and the Middle East. Being prepared is important, and that includes knowing the chart levels and trends as we look at the US 500 this morning. Technical Update: Friday's Recover in Focus It has certainly been a sharp sell-off in the US 500 index since the all-time high was registered at 6144 on February 19th. However, it’s probably too early to tell if this represents the first signs of a negative sentiment shift, or as has been the case previously, dips in price are being used as an opportunity to buy a market still within an uptrend. Potential Support Levels: The basic definition of an uptrend in price, is a pattern of higher highs and higher lows. This reflects buyers are not only using price weakness as a buying opportunity but are also willing to pay a higher price. It could be argued this suggests positive sentiment has been evident. While this is no guarantee that this is still the case in the US 500 index, looking at the chart above, this type of positive pattern has been in place since the sell-off in price to the August 5th 2024 low at 5089. So far at least, the current US 500 index level remains above 5757 which was the January 13th 2025 last correction low of the uptrend pattern, and traders may be watching this level, feeling it might be pivotal for the next trending pattern. If closes materialise below 5757 over the coming days or weeks, traders may start to feel risks are turning towards a deeper retracement of the August 2024 to February 2025 price strength, with the 38% retracement level of that move providing a potential support focus at 5741, the 50% retracement at 5616, and the 62% point at 5491. Potential Resistance Levels: That said, while the January 13th low at 5757 continues to hold any price weakness, it is possible the uptrend pattern in price remains in place. If that’s the case, knowing what resistance levels might be worthwhile monitoring could be helpful. As the chart above shows, last Friday did see a rally as a reactive recovery to the recent sharp sell-off. These recovery themes are so far being developed further this morning, with the index currently trading above 5952. This level is equal to the 38% retracement of the February price decline. Now, this price break above this first retracement resistance level does need to sustained on a closing basis, but even then, traders may well focus on a possible higher resistance at 6025/37, which is equal to the 62% retracement and matches the current level of the declining Bollinger mid-average. It is possible closing breaks above this resistance area are needed to suggest the potential of a more extended phase of price strength, even extension of the current uptrend pattern. The material provided here has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Whilst it is not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of the dissemination of investment research, we will not seek to take any advantage before providing it to our clients. Pepperstone doesn’t represent that the material provided here is accurate, current or complete, and therefore shouldn’t be relied upon as such. The information, whether from a third party or not, isn’t to be considered as a recommendation; or an offer to buy or sell; or the solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security, financial product or instrument; or to participate in any particular trading strategy. It does not take into account readers’ financial situation or investment objectives. We advise any readers of this content to seek their own advice. Without the approval of Pepperstone, reproduction or redistribution of this information isn’t permitted.
PEPPERSTONE:US500
by Pepperstone
SPX500 Navigating Volatility Amid Key Events and Powell's SpeechS&P 500 (SPX500) Analysis – March 4, 2025 S&P Futures Rise Amid Focus on Key U.S. Jobs Report and Powell's Speech S&P futures experienced strong volatility during recent events, and today is expected to be another highly volatile session. Traders should closely monitor the NFP report, job data, and Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell’s speech. Additionally, President Donald Trump is scheduled to speak later in the day, which may influence market sentiment. Technical Outlook As long as the price remains below 5764, the downtrend remains intact, with key support levels at 5714 and 5645. A breakout and a 1H or 4H close above 5780 would signal a bullish shift, targeting 5820 and 5856. ⚠️ Market Impact: The NFP and unemployment rate data will have a significant impact on market movement. Key Levels to Watch 🔸 Resistance: 5810 | 5855 | 5880 🔹 Pivot Level: 5764 🔻 Support: 5715 | 5645 | 5600 📉 Directional Bias: Bearish below 5764 – A confirmed breakdown below 5713 would strengthen downside momentum.
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): LONG to 100% Fibo lvl 6214.4.Colleagues, I believe that the upward movement is not over yet and the lower and middle order wave “3” is not yet complete. This is a good chance to go long, but it should be remembered that even though a correction to the uptrend line is possible, I do not recommend selling. The target area is the 6214.4 level area - this is slightly higher than the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
10
US500- A buy setup coming upHello, A nice correction happening on this pair US500. The S&P 500 Index, also known as the Standard & Poor’s 500 or the US500, is an American stock market index that tracks the performance of the top 500 companies listed on the Nasdaq Stock Market or the New York Stock Exchange. It is a free-floating index covering US firms with the largest market capitalization and book value, representing approximately 80 per cent of the total value of the country’s equity market. I expect a smaller correction on the US500 lower timeframe before a continuation to the upside. Look for entries on lower timeframes with a target at the top. Stop loss below the bottom. Zero crossover on the MACD to be used as confirmation as well. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Good luck.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by thesharkke
Another 682 point crash for S&P500 to 5,130?It's been a brutal year so far with the Trump Presidency. And it's been a rough year for the S&P 500, dropping from 6,149 to 5,811. The main culprit? Political instability in the U.S. The current administration’s unpredictable decisions, sudden tariff hikes, and policy shifts have left investors uneasy and consumers lacking confidence. Here are six executive orders that have dragged the market down: Tariff Hikes on China, Mexico, Canada and Europe – Higher import costs hurt U.S. businesses, especially in tech and retail, slashing profits. Remember imposing tariffs are one thing but there will be retaliatory action. Environmental Rollbacks – ESG investors pulled back, hitting energy and industrial stocks. Work Visa Cuts – Tech and healthcare struggled to hire, slowing innovation. Healthcare Subsidy Cuts – Uncertainty in insurance and pharma led to stock drops. Also with the cutting of USAID and with turbulence with WHO this isn't helping the situation Trade Agreement Pullouts – Supply chain chaos hurt multinational corporations. ALso with the cutting ties with Ukraine and now with the UK prohibiting funding to the Ukraine (latest on) With shaky policies and no clear direction, market confidence is shot. Until stability returns, expect more turbulence. With the price action, it is possible to see this M Formation play out for the SP500. And it is looking bad, really bad - not great - In Trump's voice. M Formation Price<20MA Needs to break <200MA Then the next target will be around 5,130... Let's actually hope I am wrong this time and something miraculously happens to pump up the market again. We can take advantage and short stocks, indices etc... But there is a moral issue involved with wanting the market to crash. Remember that.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Timonrosso
S&P500 Index Goes 'Draconian', ahead of Roller Coaster ExplosionThe S&P 500's "roller coaster" behavior stems from its sensitivity to various economic, geopolitical, and market-specific factors that influence investor sentiment and corporate performance. Economic Factors: Changes in interest rates, inflation, and Federal Reserve policies significantly impact the index. For example, rising interest rates can reduce corporate earnings and valuations, leading to market sell-offs. Conversely, expectations of rate cuts can boost optimism and drive rallies. Investor Sentiment and Volatility: The S&P 500 is closely tied to the CBOE Volatility Index (VIX), often called the "fear gauge." The VIX rises during market downturns as investors seek portfolio protection, amplifying price swings. This inverse correlation highlights how fear or optimism can drive sharp movements in the index. Global Events: Geopolitical tensions, natural disasters, or pandemics can disrupt markets by creating uncertainty about future economic performance. Such events often lead to sudden spikes or drops in the S&P 500 as investors react to perceived risks. Valuation Cycles: Overvaluation or bubbles in specific sectors can lead to corrections. For instance, high price-to-earnings ratios combined with slower economic growth can result in prolonged periods of stagnation or volatility. These factors collectively create the "roller coaster" effect begun in the S&P 500. // Life is like a roller coaster, as you don't know what's going to be thrown at you next, so all you can do is give us your best shot. -- Best wishes, @PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
Will Trump’s Tariff Wars Bring the S&P’s Uptrend to an End?Donald Trump’s latest round of tariffs has rattled global markets, reviving memories of the trade wars that defined his first term. With China, Canada, and Mexico retaliating in kind, the fear of an escalating economic conflict has sent stocks tumbling. But will this shake-up be enough to break the S&P 500’s long-term uptrend? Trump’s New Tariff Wars The sweeping trade measures target the US’s largest trade partners, imposing a 25% tariff on Canadian and Mexican imports, along with an additional 10% levy on Chinese goods. The White House has framed these moves as a response to fentanyl trafficking and border security concerns, but markets are treating them as a renewed assault on global trade. China wasted no time in hitting back, slapping tariffs on US agricultural products and restricting exports of key biotech equipment. Canada, too, announced retaliatory measures, targeting $30 billion worth of US goods. The fallout was immediate—Wall Street suffered a sharp selloff, with the S&P 500 closing nearly 2% lower and the Nasdaq shedding 2.6%. Futures suggest European stocks will follow suit, while currency markets have seen a dip in the US dollar. Is the S&P’s Uptrend Cracking? The S&P 500’s relentless 2024 uptrend has struggled to extend into 2025. The index has now failed twice to break above the December highs, breaking last year’s pattern of higher swing highs. Instead, price action has settled into a range, with resistance forming at the December, January, and February swing highs, while support sits near the January lows—right at the bottom of the early-November election gap. For swing traders, the key question is whether a bullish reversal will emerge at the lower end of this range. A strong bounce here could reinforce the current consolidation phase rather than signal a breakdown. Momentum traders, however, will be watching for a decisive break below the range, which could trigger panic selling and accelerate downside momentum. From a long-term perspective, a single shakeout isn’t enough to derail a multi-year bull market. Even a break below the 200-day moving average—while significant for shorter-term trend followers—is unlikely to change the broader outlook for long-term investors. Trends of this magnitude take time and substantial effort to reverse. S&P 500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 83% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
Up for SPX500USD again?Hi traders, At the start of last week the price action of SPX500USD went up as predicted in my outlook but it could not reach the higher 4H FVG and dropped to the target. The bigger (red) WXY correction could be finished. So next week we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher 4H FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading