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SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar

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SPCUSD trade ideas

S&P INTRADAY corrective pullback - support retest?Trump-Era Tariffs Canceled: A US court struck down the “Liberation Day” tariffs, effective immediately. This boosts sentiment for industrials, consumer goods, and global supply chain-reliant stocks. The government is appealing the ruling. US Dollar Strengthens: The DXY is back above 100, up 1.8% from last week’s lows. A strong dollar helps importers but may pressure exporters and commodities. Fed Rate Cut Expectations Decline: Markets now price 42 bps of rate cuts in 2024, down from 50 bps. This supports financials (e.g. banks), but challenges rate-sensitive sectors like real estate and small caps. Mixed Eurozone Data: Positive Italian confidence figures offset weak German and French job numbers, offering slight global risk support. Limited direct impact on US stocks. Fed Flags Stagflation Risk: Minutes show the Fed is worried about stagflation. This could weaken confidence in growth stocks and favor defensive sectors. Today’s US Data Watch: Q1 GDP 2nd estimate (expected -0.3%) Weekly jobless claims Fed speakers All ahead of Friday’s key PCE inflation data Market Outlook Positive: Trade relief, resilient dollar, stronger bank outlook Caution: Slowing growth, inflation worries, fewer rate cuts Focus Areas: Industrials, financials, tech (watch for pullbacks); avoid rate-sensitive sectors short term Key Support and Resistance Levels Resistance Level 1: 6010 Resistance Level 2: 6070 Resistance Level 3: 6160 Support Level 1: 5780 Support Level 2: 5740 Support Level 3: 5700 This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
TRADENATION:US500
by TradeNation
Falling towards pullback support?S&P500 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,780.17 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 5,973.58 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets
US500 Is Going Down! Sell! Please, check our technical outlook for US500. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,960.96. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,538.99. P.S We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator. When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold. When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
TRADENATION:US500Short
by SignalProvider
1
S&P turns flat after bouncing off lows The S&P 500, which ended Friday's session flat, has turned flat in today's session as well, after bouncing back from its earlier lows on reports that the US and Chinese leaders will meet to discuss trade after the two sides accused each other of violating their recent trade deal. June could be a more challenging month for stocks if trade uncertainty persists, following what had been a strong May for global equities—marking their best monthly performance since November 2023. Much of that rally was driven by optimism that the worst of the US tariff threats had passed, encouraging investors to return to risk assets. However, any sense of calm was quickly disrupted after in the last few days, when Trump announced plans to double tariffs on steel and aluminum from 25% to 50%. This move has reignited concerns about a potential resurgence of trade tensions, adding to the already growing list of market risks. On top of that, investors are also bracing for political gridlock in Washington, as lawmakers prepare to negotiate a sweeping tax and spending bill amid escalating concerns about US government debt. With the debt ceiling deadline approaching, June could bring renewed market volatility, casting a cloud over the near-term S&P 500 outlook. From a technical point of view, the trend is bullish but the doji candles in the last few trading sessions suggest that the momentum is waning and that a bit of a pullback could be on the cards. Resistance at 5,900 was being tested at the time of writing. A daily close above this level would be a bullish outcome, in which case a run towards last week's high near 6,000 could be on the cards. However, if resistance at 5,900 holds, then a potential drop to the next support area around 5787 would be the more likely outcome first. Further support is seen between 5,670 to 5,695. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 30, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The S&P 500 Index has undergone considerable price fluctuations during the trading sessions of this week, successfully reaching a critical target at the Mean Support level of 5800. Presently, the index is exhibiting an upward trend with a focus on the retest of the Inner Index Dip at 5955 and Key Resistance at 5965. Furthermore, additional significant levels have been identified, including the Next#1 Outer Index Rally at 6073, Key Resistance at 6150, and the Next#2 Outer Index Rally at 6235. Conversely, there is a potential for the index prices to downfall aiming to retest Mean Support 5800 and to complete the Outer Index Dip, noted at 5730.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
S&P500: Gearing up for a push to 6,100S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 64.611, MACD = 85.830, ADX = 19.630) as it has been trading inside a Channel Up for over a month. Right now it is halfway through the new bullish wave. We expect it to rise by at least +4.40%, same as the previous one. Stay bullish as long as the 4H MA50 holds, TP = 6,100. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend. Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now. 🪙 Bitcoin Stalling CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market. But let’s be clear: 🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact. However, in TradFi, there are cracks: 🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag 💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade 📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk 🔮 What to Expect Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target) A possible rebound after healthy consolidation A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks I’ll publish a new update when conditions change. 📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR. #CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
SP:SPXShort
by CryptoNikkoid
2
SPY update for todayHello everyone, Not much new to update today, the main highlight is that the market has broken down from the trendline. This is definitely something to take note of. However, today’s move came with relatively low volume, which suggests that while price dropped significantly, there wasn’t a lot of strength behind the move. This reminds us of a key principle in trading: the market can do whatever it wants. It may look bullish today and turn bearish tomorrow. So always react to what the market is showing you, not just what you expect it to do. Easier said than done, I know, but it's essential. Looking ahead, this potential pullback could present better entry opportunities, assuming the market doesn’t flip into a full bearish meltdown. For now, we need to give the market some room to breathe, observe how it reacts at key levels, and stay patient for the right setup. Remember: we're still in a broadly bullish environment. So let’s wait for strong reactions at the right price points before jumping in.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading
SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money📊SIGMA Equity Analysis｜You’re still hesitating, while smart money is already betting on the future (SPX) U.S. Equities: 2025 Cyclical Bear Cycle & Secular Bull Cycle through 2030 Dollar Hegemony 2.0 → U.S. Debt Soft-Anchored to Bitcoin 🧠 The market is testing your conviction — not your logic 📉 April’s violent correction shattered not just technical levels, but also investor sentiment ⚡ The steep V-shaped rebound gave no time to explain the move, leaving sentiment frozen in April’s fear 🔁 Emotional dislocation is the perfect fuel for a new leg up 📉 Every -1% day reactivates April trauma 😵 Most investors still don’t believe the rally is real 🧯 Bears keep shorting, bulls fear getting trapped at highs 🎆 The market doesn’t want to give you a “perfect entry” — it wants to make you miss it 💰 Smart money signals are loud and clear 📍 A $3B+ long-dated tech options trade quietly hit the tape 🎯 Targeting a major bull market leg by June 2027 🧠 This isn’t speculation — it’s strategic positioning 📌 Top funds like the Druckenmiller Family Office are also long the same timeframe ✅ Shared positioning = shared conviction 🧭 Why do they dare to bet big? 🧠 The AI + chip cycle feels like the internet infrastructure boom before 2000 💡 Productivity surge + disinflation + peaking rates → echoes of the 2010s bull run 💵 Dollar hegemony still holds, capital is rotating back into U.S.-led assets 🪙 A new narrative is forming: Bitcoin as the soft anchor to U.S. debt 📈 Technically, major U.S. indices have just retested historical highs and are primed to accelerate 📌 This is not the end — it’s the reset 📊 The Secular Bull is likely to continue through 2030 📉 A Cyclical Bear may arrive in Q4 2025 🔁 But it’s not systemic — a mid-2026 rebound looks likely 🎯 While everyone is waiting for a pullback, smart money has already bought the future 🕳️ Markets don’t wait for your readiness — they launch when you doubt the most 📅 April shook your confidence, May kept you skeptical 🚀 After June, the market may fully leave the hesitant behind 📌 TL;DR｜SIGMA Macro Summary 📉 1. 2025 Outlook: Q2 likely retests prior highs → Q3 pulls back but extends → Q4 enters a Cyclical Bear 🛡️ Not systemic → Not a Secular Bear 🔁 Mid-2026 rebound expected → Bull Market resumes 📈 2. Long-Term Cycle: Secular Bull likely continues through ~2030 🧠 Smart money already positioned via 2027 LEAPS 💵 Dollar hegemony still intact 🪙 U.S. debt increasingly soft-anchored to Bitcoin 📊 西格玛财经解盘｜你还在犹豫，而聪明钱已经下注未来 美股 2025 周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear Cycle）& 超长期牛市（Secular Bull Cycle） 美元霸权 2.0 → 美债“软锚定”比特币 🧠 市场正在挑战你的信念，不是你的逻辑 📉 四月的暴力回撤不仅打破技术形态，更深刻改变了投资者的情绪结构 ⚡ 快速而陡峭的 V 型反弹没有给市场解释行情的时间，情绪依旧停留在 4 月的恐慌中 🔁 情绪错位，正是行情启动的温床 📉 每一次超过 1% 的下跌，都在唤醒“4 月创伤” 😵 投资者普遍不相信上涨是真的 🧯 空头继续做空，多头也害怕高位被套 🎆 市场根本不想“给你好点位”——它在逼你失误 💰 聪明钱的信号已经非常明确 📍 一笔超过 30 亿美元的长期科技期权大单悄然出现 🎯 目标直指 2027 年 6 月前的大级别牛市行情 🧠 这不是投机，是战略性的卡位 📌 包括德鲁肯米勒家族基金在内的顶级机构也在重仓相同方向 ✅ 共性不是巧合，是共识 🧭 为什么他们敢下注？ 🧠 AI 与芯片周期，如同 2000 年前夜的互联网基础设施爆发 💡 生产率提升 + 通胀回落 + 利率触顶 → 重演 2010s 多头格局 💵 美元霸权仍在，全球资金持续回流美国主导资产 🪙 美债信用危机的新解法：比特币成为“锚定物”的叙事正在强化 📈 技术结构上，美股核心指数回踩历史高点，具备中期加速条件 📌 这不是终点，而是中继 📊 长期牛市（Secular Bull）预计延续至 2030 年 📉 2025 Q4 或进入周期性熊市（Cyclical Bear） 🔁 但不是系统性崩溃，预计 2026 年中再度回暖 🎯 所有人都在等回调，聪明钱已经建仓未来 🕳️ 市场不会在你准备好时启动，而是在你怀疑时发车 📅 四月让你恐慌，五月让你半信半疑 🚀 六月之后，市场可能会让不敢买的人彻底失去主动权 📌 TL;DR｜西格玛宏观总结 📉 1. 2025 展望： Q2 测试前高 → Q3 回踩拉高 → Q4 周期性熊市来袭 🛡️ 非系统性风险 → 不是长期熊市 🔁 预计 2026 年中反弹，牛市重启 📈 2. 长期趋势： 超长期牛市预计持续至 2030 年 🧠 聪明钱已押注 2027 年 LEAPS 期权 💵 美元霸权仍在支撑资产定价 🪙 美债正被“软锚定”到比特币
SP:SPX
by THREESIGMAGROUP
SPX500 watch 5900 then 6103: Double Golden zone Was/Will be TOP?SPX500 with a ferocious recovery after tariff relief. About to test a most important zone of its lifetime. Double Golden zone of a Genesis plus a Covid pair. Such a tight confluence of two major Goldens is rare. It warned us of a top BEFORE Trump even won (click). The retest could form a "Wave B" or "Bull Trap" lower high. It is PROBABLE that we "Orbit" these high gravity objects for a while. It is PLAUSIBLE that we "Blast" by them but have to retest soon after. It is POSSIBLE that "wave B" ends here and we drop deep for "wave C". I am personally a bull, but we should be PREPARED for a BULL TRAP. ================== Previous Plots below ================== 5901 TOP warning: 5668 Tariff warning: 5100 Tariff Relief Entry: =============================================== .
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by EuroMotif
Structure Over Sentiment: Multi-Asset View into Month-End📊 Structure Over Sentiment: Multi-Asset View into Month-End | May 30, 2025 This isn’t a crash. This isn’t a rally. This is digestion. The multi-asset view tells the real story — and it's not as chaotic as it looks. 🔍 What the Chart Shows: This correlation lens plots key macro and market drivers YTD: 🟣 Gold (XAUUSD): Leading with +24.71% — this is the quiet macro bid no one’s talking about 🟢 Bitcoin (BTCUSD): Holding +8.47% — volatile, but still showing risk appetite 🔴 10Y Yield (US10Y): Up +5.31% — signalling rates peaking 🟠 Nasdaq (NDX): Nearly flat, -0.36% — NVDA strength masking internal rotation 🔵 S&P 500 (SPX): -2.32% — structurally fine, just not euphoric 🔵 Dow (DJA): -5.91% — lagging, cyclical drag 🔵 Russell 2000 (RTY): -13.60% — small caps under pressure, risk-on caution flag 🟣 Dollar Index (DXY): -6.44% — fading after a strong Q1 🟢 Oil (WTIUSD): -10.26% — no inflation panic here 🧠 Key Insight: Despite the tariff headlines, sticky PCE, and conflicting narratives — the market remains internally consistent. Gold is leading Yields are rising but not sharply Bitcoin is positive Equities are flat-to-negative Oil is weak Dollar is fading This is classic late-cycle digestion, not a crisis. 🛡️ Titan Mindset Check-In: Don’t get lost in single headlines Follow structure, not speculation Let leaders lead (NVDA, Gold, BTC) Protect equity when breath narrows Zoom out, reduce noise, trade the curve — not the chaos 📍“Volatility isn’t risk. Misinterpretation is.” Take Profits, Not Chances. #MultiAssetView #StructureOverShock #TitanProtect #SPX #NDX #BTC #Gold #DXY #WTI #US10Y #MacroFlow #MarketMindset #LateCycleSignals #DigestDontPanic
SP:SPXEducation
by Rizq-FX
Up again for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD retested the 4H FVG once more and made a (corrective) move down into the Daily BPR. This was exactly the move I've predicted and I hope you took some value from it. Now price rejected from the Daily BPR so next week we could see this pair go up again to the higher Daily FVG. Let's see what the market does and react. Trade idea: Wait for a bullish change in orderflow and a small correction down on a lower timeframe to trade longs. If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis. Don't be emotional, just trade your plan! Eduwave
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by EduwaveTrading
Bullish continuation?S&P500 has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 5,784.04 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 5,689.40 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 6,003.35 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by VantageMarkets