spx 15 min RBR15 min demand on SPX removed opposing zone. good location poor structure. price as fail to test tzone so that suggests strength. lets see how this plays out Longby MastermindGNDUpdated 0
SPX | The Sleeping PilotTraders have made the ultimate mistake, they were caught sleeping on the steering wheel. And after missing the trend, they attempt to enter it again, only to realize that they have trapped themselves. A question arises: Were they sleeping or are they performing a suicide attack? SPX is like a sharp kamikaze plane. Perhaps of Japanese origin, closing in to Perl Harbor. A wise one should never cut towards them. A knife pointing upwards can only kill bulls. If they wish prices to go up, they must turn the knife down, to kill any bears that step in their way. But it seems though the markets are not wise right now. A successful kamikaze is a fearless kamikaze. All was well when the soldier was certain of their attack. SPX has been moving in perfect correlation with fearless index, aka VVIX / VIX ratio (orange line). But now they have second thoughts. And that is their weakness. SPX is heading upwards with growing fear right now. VVIX/VIX is the thought, SPX is the action. We are in a jet lag, in no mans land. The seconds before the pilot moves the joystick back instead of forward. This is not the first time we are dealing with a soldier who is having second thoughts. Once in 2018... ...another one in 2020... ...and finally in 2021. This fight is almost over for the bulls. Question is: Who will win the war? Tread lightly, for this is hallowed ground. -Father Grigori P.S. Many have made jokes about the POTUS as being sleepy. Never call someone something you don't want to be called yourself.by akikostasUpdated 9915
SPX | Negative CurvatureSPX has been breaking new records the past few months. But with inflation also breaking new records, it is not the time to relief. As you will soon realize, SPX is not out of the storm for now. Inflationary pressures have caused a caving in profits. After inflation has (temporarily?) calmed, the broad market has recovered significantly. Gold, Equities and Crypto have soared making record highs almost simultaneously. The way these markets are growing however is highly unstable. Curvature is one simple, straightforward way to visualize and analyze a trend. For decades SPX has made progress by making "positive curves" that have the shape of a bear. Now, something has changed. A massive cup is taking shape. Such deep retracements are able to trap both bulls and bears. They leave nobody alive. The 2022-2023 recession was caused from extensive fear in the equity market from the inflation surge. Equities increased only after inflation showed signs of cooling. Bears got trapped in the bottom when fear maximized. Bulls get trapped now. A multi-month stagnation will be destructive to the performance of their recent investment. Those who feared inflation took the hardest beating. I hope Powell is not afraid of it. And I believe he is far from afraid of it. Zooming in one of these instances, in 1984 after Black Monday, a massive cup took shape. After price made a record high, it stagnated for years, making slow and unstable progress. While SPX is generally moving in steady, positive-curved trajectories, Bitcoin is the exact opposite. It suffers from unsolvable instability and deeply-negative arcs. Many charts point us to an inflationary future. Utility companies which sell energy, water have had a desperate decade. The Post-GFC (QE) world has been full of low interest rates and low inflation. The dream of any President and FED chairman. A bottoming in Utility coincides with what happened in 2000. Utilities confirm an incoming surge in inflationary pressure. Inflation is what everybody is fearful of. And the performance of energy is not helping. All of that reminds us of the '60s. SPX vs Inflation is approaching its peak. There is little wiggle room for real profits in the equity market. Especially for the big-tech part of equities. Big Tech (QQQ) vs SPX (IVV) has just made a quadruple top. The entire chart is drawn inside a triangle, which could very well bearishly break down. I have said that Powell may be not afraid of inflation. My belief is that since the US is now exporting energy, inflation is vital for its survival. As you can see, crude oil is breakout for importing countries. Inflation as a weapon of war. But remember. The enemy will always try to hit back. I watched Powell live in his testimony. For most questions he gave careful answers. For AI he showed sincere concern on its effects on the economy. AI could be used to affect investments, psychology and/or financial stability as an act of war. We now have AI Financial Presenters and AI trading bots for everyone. Let that sink in. Maybe it is a war of weapons all over again. Between those using weapons of instability like AI and negative-curved (unstable) growth. And those using weapons of stability like the broad economy and inflation. Comparing junk bonds to long-term ones, we reach at the following chart: Yield rates suggest that they have reached a peak. The decision may have been made. Low rates and high inflation. Maybe the time has come, when the traditionally calm force of the FED will strengthen. In an attempt to stabilize the US economy, they could attempt to destabilize all of its enemies. Exporting crude oil and inflation may be a matter of survival for the US. It could very well be the best, worst deal of the century. Beware! Don't fight the FED! Tread lightly, for this is highly unstable ground. Swoosh is a trademark of Nike Inc. Swoosh is also the sound a plane or rocket would make. P.S. With everything human-made turning into an artificial replacement, what source should you trust? For all we know, I cannot prove I am a human writing all of that.by akikostasUpdated 4419
SPX - Reminiscent of the 1970s?I overlaid the price action of the 1970's chart over today's. I've been following this for months, and the patterns are eerily similair. Could this be indicative of things to come?Shortby beastiezepPublished 1
More down for SPX500USDHi traders, Last week SPX500USD made a correction up into the 4H FVG and after that another drop just like I've said in my outlook. So next week we could see a bigger correction up and after that another drop. Trade idea: Wait for the correction up to finish. After a change in orderflow to bearish and a small correction up on a lower timeframe you could trade shorts. If you want to learn more about wave analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a like and respectful comment. This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis. I do not provide signals. Don't be emotional, just trade! EduwaveShortby EduwaveTradingUpdated 2
SPX500Hello guys what happening this is VHT your mentor and we are back again with another banger analysis on SPX500 as we can see this is a potential third touch of the trendline and we are expecting the market to do its thing by Monday I will be looking for buy positions making my third position on the SPX500. guys it's almost a year now since I've been holding my SPX500 tradeLongby Victor_Hunter_TurnerPublished 0
SPX500 Topping soon The SPX 500 is very close to the top and I think l at sometime we will retest 5000 to 4400 once the bearish divergence on the bigger timeframe plays out. Shortby WhaleKingpinUpdated 0
EF?I can only see the rise now as corrective, therefore the overall correction pattern is still in play and should unfold into an expanded flat, which third and last part may have already started, i.e., an impulse for wave C.by mikeoaksterPublished 1
SPX has ended a major impulsive move higherValidation: Wave ii is a running flat retracing 38% Wave iii reaches a max 1.38 extension A sharp wave iv correction at 62% Good ii/ iv variability in this count Wave i peak - wave iv low, avoid crossover (by less than 3 points) Wave v of 5 extends as required to the 2.62 extension A valid ending to a major move for SPX Shortby OneClap2019Published 0
SPX500 - At critical price range with third quarter earningsJuly quarter earning season will continue until mid Aug. SPX index now at a critical range, either retrace further or continue up right here along the uptrend. One could just follow the direction after a definitive candle outside of the range has been made. Good luck. by SwagTradingPublished 1
US500/SPX evening updateBearish case for US500/SPX: I see two impulse waves (red ellipses) and two corrective waves (green ellipses). The second green ellipse looks like a regular flat. Key pivots marked in white. I would say that as long as price remains below 5587.7, preference is to be short.by discobiscuitPublished 0
SPx, Bearish Area in correction caseS&P 500 Analysis: Bearish Area in correction case The SPx corrected the price to their resistance of 5460 and as long as under 5460 means falling to get 5409, so still running and consolidating between 5460 and 5409. Bullish Scenario: the price should reverse and stabilize above 5460 to a bullish trend toward 5491 and 5525 **Bearish Scenario:** The price will continue their dropping to reach 5409 and then should stabilize below that to be a downtrend till 5372 and 5346 Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5460 - Resistance Levels: 5490, 5525, 5512 - Support Levels: 5409, 5372, 5346 Today's Expected Trading Range: The expected trading range is between the resistance at 5491 and the support at 5372.Shortby SroshMayiPublished 7
US500 - Structure Analysis - Time For CorrectionUS500 - Structure Analysis - Time For Correction US500 reached all time high at 5670. Later we can see that the price began creating some small structure zones. Considering that we are in the ER month many companies are reporting their Earnings and it looks like many sectors are struggling considering that indices are all moving down. However it could be only a temporary correction. Technical Analysis: The price broke down from a strong support zone near 5496 and now turned into resistance. The prices is holding well below this zone thus raising the chances for a bigger bearish wave during the coming days. I am expecting the price to face a strong support near 5450, 5400 and 5330 You may find more details in the chart! Thank you and Good Luck! ❤️PS: Please support with a like or comment if you find this analysis useful for your trading day❤️ Shortby KlejdiCuniUpdated 9977
S&P500 Bottom of the 8-month Channel. Strong buy signal.The S&P50 index (SPX) broke on Wednesday below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time since May 06 and yesterday touched the bottom of the 8-month Channel Up pattern that started after the October 27 2024 market Low. Technically we are on the most optimal buy level on the medium-term and this is possibly the reason that the day has started on a bullish note. The 1D RSI is at the same time at 40.00 for the first time in 3 months, so slightly into the long-term Buy Zone. As long as the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) holds, we will be bullish, targeting 6200 (below a the +28.56% mark, which was the % rise of the previous Bullish Leg). If the price breaks below the 1D MA100, we will short up to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) where we will buy again heavily for the long-term (same Target). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShotPublished 2225
S&P500 INDEX (SPY) Bearish Rally Continues✅I have observed a clear breakout in the structure of the 📉S&P500 Index. The price has dropped below an important daily support level and has not been able to recover. Upon retesting the broken structure, there has been a noticeable bearish response. I believe that the decline will persist. The next level of support is at 5,348.Shortby linofx1Published 121211
Exploring Trading Basics: Expert Tips for New TradersWelcome to the thrilling world of trading, future market experts! If you’re stepping into this arena for the first time, it’s natural to feel both excited and a little overwhelmed. No worries — we’ve set up this nice value-packed TradingView Idea to make you feel at home. Read on for practical tips that will help you kick off your trading journey to a strong start. Ready, set, go? Let’s roll! 1. Get Yourself Familiarized Action Step : Your first step as a fresh trader is to familiarize yourself with the market fundamentals. Start by getting a solid grasp of basic market concepts. Learn about different asset classes like stocks , forex , or crypto . Understand how they work and what news or events influence prices across the board (spoiler: if you’re looking at the bigger picture and keep it high level, there aren’t too many things to consider — check the Economic Calendar Related Idea below). Spend an hour or two each week reading about market fundamentals. Knowledge of these basics will make you more confident in your trading approach and also help you see where you feel most comfortable putting your money. And don't forget about the trading psychology part . 2. Set Clear, Achievable Goals Action Step : Write down your trading goals and stick them somewhere you can see them. Aim for specific, measurable targets like “Hit a 2% monthly return” or “Learn a new trading strategy weekly.” This keeps your efforts focused and on track. But don’t stop there. Keep revisiting, updating, and refining your trading goals. Think of them as your compass or map that you need to follow in order to get where you want. In contrast, not having a goal or goals might throw you out in the open where you wander without a clear path or direction. 3. Stick to Your Budget Action Step: Decide on your total trading capital and how much you’re willing to risk per trade. Use the 1-2% rule: never risk more than 1% or 2% of your total capital on a single trade. This will help you protect your account from total wipeout. It’s easy to get swayed by some massive move in the market (yes, we know about Bitcoin BTC/USD ), but catching these waves is rarely an easy game. The better you are at sticking to a healthy level of risk exposure, the better your chances to stay in the game for as long as possible. 4. Stay Updated with Market News Action Step : Dedicate 15 minutes each morning to checking financial news. Keeping tabs on major economic reports and events will give you an understanding of what investors regard as important so you can add it to your agenda too. We’ve set up a nice and easygoing Top stories news stream that serves you only top-tier market-moving scoops, published daily and updated in real time. Make sure to frequent them so you can raise your level of knowing what’s happening in the markets. 5. Keep a Trading Journal Action Step : For every trade, jot down the details in a journal. Include entry and exit points, your reasons for the trade, and the outcome. Review your journal weekly to identify patterns and areas for improvement. If you want to get an even more precise look at your trading performance, add more columns to it and include prospect trades, or a watchlist of positions you’re interested in. Mark your monthly performance, year-to-date returns, and even how much you paid in commissions. 6. Start Small and Scale Up Action Step : Begin with small trades to minimize risk while you’re learning. For example, if you have $1,000, start with trades of $50-$100 and keep your stop tight around the 2% mark. That way, you’ll gain experience and see how you feel when you have an open trade. Leave a trade overnight, watch it actively or let it run for a few days (provided you use a stop loss , more on it in the Stop Loss Related Idea below) — all these will help you ease into smoother trading and build better confidence. After that, you can gradually increase your trade size for bigger profits. And — most importantly — don’t rush it. The markets will be there tomorrow; but will you? 7. Use Stop-Loss Orders Action Step : Always set a stop-loss order when placing a trade. For instance, if you buy a stock at $100, set a stop-loss at $95. This means your position will be automatically sold if the price drops to $95, limiting your loss to $5 per share. The use of stop-loss orders, or simply stop losses, can’t be emphasized enough. No matter how confident you are on a trade, how much conviction you have to go big, always think of the downside, or how much you’re willing to lose. 8. Join a Trading Community Action Step : If you’re reading this, then you’ve already nailed this step. TradingView is the world’s largest finance, markets, and charting platform, boasting more than 60 million monthly visitors — one big, big community . This is the place where traders share tips and strategies, show off their charts, discoveries, patterns, price targets, and trading ideas. So, stick around, engage, ask questions, and learn from the experiences of others. 9. Diversify Your Portfolio Action Step : Spread your investments across different sectors and asset classes. Don’t just buy big tech stocks ; consider some auto companies as well or the volatile corner of cryptocurrencies. Diversifying your portfolio (learn about it in the Diversification Related Idea below) will help you balance your risk, ideally without reducing the potential for returns. You don’t have to go all-in on a trade and YOLO your entire life savings into a Solana meme coin. Think of the long term and tread carefully. Sometimes, you’re as good as your last trade. 10. Continuously Improve Your Skills Action Step : Dedicate time each week to learning something new about trading. Watch educational videos , read books, or dive into financial podcasts where big market events get broken down or where traders and investors share their experience and what made them successful. The markets renew each day, never resting, never ceasing to oscillate and presenting new trading opportunities. Always learn, never get complacent, and keep striving for more! Share Your Thoughts! So there you have it, folks! With these practical, actionable tips, you’re ready to jump into the trading game with some added confidence. Remember, every pro was once a newbie. Stay cool, stay informed, and most importantly, have fun with it (but also be smart). Happy trading! 🚀📈 Editors' picksEducationby TradingViewPublished 44158
S&P MID TERM VIEWS&P broke its trendline support and is likely to correct more.by Sk_AlzeshaPublished 0
buyIt's a bit risky, but it's worth entering money management must be followedLongby elevenXWeeklytraderPublished 0
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (July 21st —>July 26th)Market Forecast (Updated 07/21/2024) **SPX**-Rotation into small caps and industrial stocks continue, which led to more sell off in SPX We have a lot of earnings coming up this week so that can shift the direction of the market as well. Next resistance $5655and $5688 Next support $5521 and 5428 Weekly Sentiment = Bearish **Chart Analysis:** () **Dollar Index:** DXY- Looks like the dollar index found support as the euro weakens. Which means we could see further drop in SPX. Next resistance $105.90 Support $104 Sentiment = Crossover to upside **Put to call Ratio: 1.31 —> 1.15 Next FOMC date: July 31, 2024** **Fear & Greed Index: 56—>49**03:07by WallSt007Updated 3
Fibonacci Time Cycle - Momentum EvidenceMy 07/20/24 post “ S&P 500 - Fibonacci Time Cycle” noted the SPX could decline 20% into October 2024. Recent weekly momentum evidence supports that theory. Weekly Stochastic has a bearish line cross. Weekly RSI has moved below its moving average line. Today 07/25/24 SPX moved below the rising trendline from October 2023. There’s a good chance the SPX could soon reach the April 2024 bottom. Shortby markrivestPublished 225
Rally's Are Being SoldLook at the Daily S+P 500 Chart,included in this post. Then look at the KST Indicator's Bearish Crossover Same Time Period, Chart Included. These are dangerous looking snapshots of a stock market suddenly in trouble. Tech stocks, market leaders are seriously breaking down, in a rollover manner. Downside risk is accelerating. I'm not sure, most saw this coming . Rally's are being sold,..sold by big money. Chart looks like1987, with the same potential "false upside" breakout brewing. Record levels of bullish sentiment, are starting to come home to roost. THE_UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT Shortby The_UnwindPublished 5514
#S&P 500Rising Wedge: Often viewed as a bearish pattern when it appears after an uptrend, signaling a potential price drop. Deep Crab: Known for its 88.6% retracement and 161.8% extension. Divergens prices with MACD indicator it strengthens the case for a potential end to the uptrend. Shortby ibrahimtarekibrahim588Published 111
S&P500 - The beginning of the bear market?SP:SPX potentially created a top and is starting to head lower for the next months. We have patterns, cycles and market structure and if everything is lining up nicely, there is a high chance you will be right. The S&P500 is currently retesting a major multi-year resistance trendling, is starting to shift bearish on the smaller timeframes and just rallied +50% without any noticeable correction. In a couple of months, we will trade at lower levels! Levels to watch: $5.500, $4.500 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTradingShort03:26by basictradingtvPublished 8847