SPCUSD trade ideas
U.S. equities climb despite tariff talk | FX ResearchThe market is clearly becoming less nervous about headlines around tariffs. President Trump was on the wires talking about 25% tariffs on automobiles, semiconductor, and pharmaceutical products, and the market took it all in stride rather than panicking as we had seen weeks back. There is a clearer understanding that all of this is much more about strategy and negotiating tactics, and overall, markets have responded in kind with U.S. equities up at record high levels and the U.S. dollar selling off.
Moving on, earlier today the RBNZ was out cutting rates by 50 basis points as widely expected. Over in Japan, BOJ Takato was on the wires backing up the recent shift in BOJ sentiment towards the need to be on a hawkish policy track.
Key standouts on today's calendar ahead come from UK inflation data, the Eurozone current account, U.S. housing starts, U.S. building permits, and the Fed minutes late in the day.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
SPX, what should we expect?Since 1932, the price has touched this trendline many times, which means that this trendline is very strong and important. SPX and back to home Just be patient.
change the line chart to the candlestick. everything will be obvious.
I'm telling you about the end of the cycle not now. Spx can go higher. but I don't care. It's not a good time to buy and invest
SPX500USD: Buy ideaOn SPX500USD, on a time unit of 15 minutes we see on the chart, we have a high probability of buying with this attempt to break the resistance line and the Vwap indicator by buyers...
US500 NEW PRICE !hello friends
As you can see, this index tried to break its ceiling 2 times, which faced correction, but in the third encounter, it succeeded in breaking the ceiling and was able to give this signal that the price can go up to 6200 or even higher.
*Trade safely with us*
SPX500 Possible BuySPX500 index is in bullish trend and still inside the ascending channels but the last index candle formed a bearish outside candle which indicate a strong shift is bearish momentum therefore a possible further pull down is expected toward the bullish OB.
Good LUck
Bulls and Bears zone for 02-19-2025So far S&P 500 has been trading sideways this week.
Any test of yesterday's Close could provide direction for the day.
Level to watch : 6136 ---6138
Report to watch:
US: FOMC Minutes 2:00PM ET
S&P corrective pullback after bullish breakout to new ATHS&P (US500) index pair price action sentiment appears bullish, supported by the longer-term prevailing uptrend. The recent intraday price action appears to be a sideways consolidation after reaching the intraday all time high.
The key trading level is at 6080 level, the consolidation price range and also the previous resistance now newly formed support zone. A corrective pullback from the current levels and a bullish bounce back from the 6080 level could target the upside resistance at 6140 followed by the 6160 and 6200 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed loss of the 6080 support and a daily close below that level would negate the bullish outlook opening the way for a further retracement and a retest of 6030 support level followed by 6000.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 19 SP:SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 19
ATH’s right in the middle and above that uncharted territory with 6160 as the top of the expected move (6165/6175 bear call spreads?)
Previous resistance and 35EMA as support underneath us.
Red signal line.
Bull put spreads 6095/6085
SPX In Limbo - Which way will it break?SPX in Limbo – Will It Break Up or Down? | SPX Market Analysis 19 Feb 2025
Still waiting. Yep, that’s where we are.
The market is about as exciting as watching paint dry, but this is not the time to get impatient. As much as I’d love to jump into a trade just to feel productive, I know better—waiting for the right entry beats chasing the wrong one.
Let’s break it down while we sip on tea and pretend to be Zen masters of market patience.
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SPX Deeper Dive Analysis:
Why Patience is Everything in Trading
There’s an old trading rule that never fails—the market will always move… eventually. But right now, it’s in one of those frustrating, indecisive moods where:
Nothing is confirming (so forcing a trade is a bad idea)
It’s stuck between two key levels (meaning we wait for the breakout or breakdown)
Volume is sluggish (which means false moves are more likely)
Still Watching Two Scenarios
☑ Scenario #1 – The Bullish Breakout Entry
Needs price to confirm above key resistance
No fakeouts—just clean, strong momentum
Only then do I consider a bullish trade
☑ Scenario #2 – The Bearish Reversal Entry
Needs clear rejection at resistance
No weak, choppy movements—just a solid confirmation
Only then do I take a bearish setup
Why Forcing Trades is a Losing Game
Let’s be honest—waiting is boring. But do you know what’s worse? Jumping into a trade just because you're impatient… and then watching it immediately go against you.
Every trader, at some point, has thought:
"It looks like it’s going to move, maybe I should enter early…" (Nope.)
"I don’t want to miss the move…" (You won’t—if you follow the plan.)
"Other traders are jumping in—should I?" (Nope. They’re probably wrong.)
The right trade at the wrong time is still the wrong trade.
What’s Next?
✅ Stay patient—the market will tip its hand soon enough
✅ Wait for clear confirmation—not “I think this might be it” confirmation
✅ Don’t trade out of boredom—trade because the setup is 100% valid
📌 Final Takeaway? Patience = profit. I’m still waiting, tea in hand, and when the market finally makes its move, I’ll be ready.
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Fun Fact
📢 Did you know?
The stock market used to take 5 months to process a trade before the 1970s. Now? It happens in milliseconds—but traders still struggle to wait a few hours for the right setup.
💡 The Lesson?
Patience has always been a trader’s best tool. Some things never change.
SPX500USD Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for SPX500USD.
Time Frame: 9h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 6,134.7.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 6,040.9 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Elliott Wave View: S&P 500 (SPX) Breaking to New All-Time HighShort term Elliott Wave in S&P 500 (SPX) suggests that pullback to 5774.1 ended wave ((4)). The Index has resumed higher in wave ((5)) and broken above previous wave ((3)) peak. Wave ((5)) is in progress as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Up from wave ((4)), wave ((i)) ended at 5871.9 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 5805.4. Wave ((iii)) higher ended at 5964.69 and pullback in wave ((iv)) ended at 5930.72. Final leg wave ((v)) ended at 6128.18 and this completed wave 1 in higher degree.
Pullback in wave 2 unfolded as a zigzag Elliott Wave structure. Down from wave 1, wave ((a)) ended at 5962.92 and rally in wave ((b)) ended at 6120.91. Wave ((c)) lower ended at 5923.9 which completed wave 2 in higher degree. The Index has resumed higher again in wave 3. Up from wave 2, wave ((i)) ended at 6101.28 and pullback in wave ((ii)) ended at 6003. Up from there, wave (i) should end soon, and the Index should pullback in wave (ii) to correct cycle from 2.12.2025 low before it resumes higher. Near term, as far as pivot at 5774.1 low stays intact, expect pullback to find buyers in 3, 7, or 11 swing for further upside.
SPX500 - let's see how it worksSPX500 - let's wait for the price standing on daily support, and buy while revised pattern will be formed.
Short - 2nd tradeUse proper risk management
Looks like good trade.
Lets monitor.
Use proper risk management.
Disclaimer: only idea, not advice.
Channel patternThe price has formed a channel pattern and now the price has broken out signaling a bullish run, we have also seen a pullback after the breakout which is confirmation of a bullish impulse
WE ONLY TRADE PULLBACKS
S&P500trend is strong Bulish
test the trend line with Bulish divergence beak the range area .
anticipate price retrace at fib level 0.50%.
entry price (Buy limit) 5953
Stop Loss 5760
Take profit 6143
RRR 1:1
SPX Long Trade Setup Analysis (3H Timeframe - Vantage)🔹 Current Setup:
- 🦈 The Bullish Shark Pattern has completed at D (5912.17), indicating a potential reversal zone.
- 📉 Price is currently bouncing off the 1.001 Fibonacci extension level.
- 📍 Key Resistance Levels (Take Profit Targets):
- 🎯 TP1: Fibonacci 27.2% extension (~6201.66)
- 🎯 TP2: Fibonacci 61.8% extension (~6286.52)
- 📍 Key Support Levels:
- ❗ Critical Stop Zone: 5889.73 (inside the previously broken channel)
- 🔻 Deeper Bearish Target: 5782.41 (161.8% Fibonacci extension)
📈 Bullish Scenario (Long Setup)
- 🟢 Entry: Above 5945 (current market price)
- 🎯 Take Profit 1: 6201 (27.2% Fibonacci extension)
- 🎯 Take Profit 2: 6286 (61.8% Fibonacci extension)
- 🔴 Stop Loss: Below 5890 (to avoid whipsaws)
✅ Justification:
- 🔹 Price has bounced from a strong Fibonacci support level
- 🔹 Harmonic pattern suggests a potential bullish reversal
- 🔹 TP targets align with Fibonacci extension levels and previous structure resistance
📉 Bearish Scenario (Short Setup)
- ❌ Invalidation Level: Below 5880
- 🔻 Downside Targets:
- 5820: First support area
- 5782: 161.8% Fibonacci extension
✅ Justification:
- ❗ If the price breaks below 5890, the harmonic pattern fails, signaling more downside
- ❗ 5782 aligns with channel equilibrium, meaning a further drop could happen
⚡ Key Takeaways
- 🔹 Bullish bias above 5912, bearish below 5890
- 🔹 A break above 6000 will confirm the uptrend
- 🔹 A break below 5880 could lead to 5782 or lower
S&P 500 BREAKOUT?! 18.2.25Simple as can be.
1. November 2024 - Feb 2025 wedge pattern, converging support and resistance with higher highs and lows.
2. Descending trend-lines within the wedge, first line broken Jan 16th (highlighted) - 3% jump in 3 days of trading, second line broken today, Feb 18th.
3. Potential rise to the top of the wedge pattern, around the mid 6300's.
Stay logical, with a plan and consistent.
Fortune favors the brave!
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18SP:SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Feb 18
OK - SPX - my baby.
Expected move on the day is between 6080 - 6155
Expected move on Wednesday’s contract 6065 - 6165
30 Day average is a bit wider 6050 - 6180 so might not be a bad plan to find the midpoint as well. Everything between 6165 and 6180 is extreme overbought and likewise everything between 6050 and 6065 is extreme oversold on the week.
That downtrend line that is facing down is not downward momentum. Look to the Moving averages instead.
We are just underneath ATH’s here and if we break above 6155 is the next target on the day
Underneath us we have the 35EMA and at the very bottom we have the 30min 200MA.
These two are bullish here after inflation data.
S&P500 Remarkable 16year Time Cycles call the Top and CorrectionThe S&P500 index (SPX) just made a new All Time High (ATH) and even though it hasn't picked up the pace since the initial very aggressive post-elections rally, it is entering a bullish phase.
In fact that is technically the last rally phase of the Bull Cycle that started at the bottom of the 2022 Inflation Crisis in October 2022. The reason behind this is the index' very reliable and consistent Time Cycle pattern that is repeated over and over again within the 16-year Channel Up that had been holding since the bottom of the 2009 Housing Crisis.
As you can see on this remarkable trading blue-print, ever since the index recovered the 1M MA50 (blue trend-line) and turned it into its long-term Support, strong Cycles of Growth (Bullish Leg) and correction (Bearish Leg) phases became the norm.
Using the 1M RSI specific overbought pattern, we can see that from those points onwards, the Bull Cycle usually took around 12 months before it topped (Higher High on the Channel Up) and then corrected.
This suggests that by September 2025 we may have a new peak and it would be a good idea to have sold stock investments by then. The first two 12-month rallies (2014, 2018) posted +22.10% increases while the third (2021) posted +27.80%.
As a result this gives us a potential range of 6800 - 7200 within which selling should occur, in preparation for the 2026 correction.
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