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S&P500 -Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast: 5870.56 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend. $S&P500 Technical analysis: A peak is formed in daily chart at 6150.05 on 02/19/2025, so more losses to support(s) 5568.78, 5398.95, 5261.00 and more depths is expected. Take Profits: 5677.80 5568.78 5398.95 5261.00 5122.47 4944.41 4800.00 __________________________________________________________________ ❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView, . . . . . . . . Hit the 'BOOST' button 👍 . . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback in the comments below! (e.g., What did you find most useful? How can we improve?) 🙏 Your support is appreciated! Now, it's your turn! Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast. Have a successful week, ForecastCity Support Team
VANTAGE:SP500Short
by ForecastCity
16
S&P500 Channel Down good until cancelled.S&P500 / US500 is trading inside a 20day Channel Down that spearheaded the technical correction from last month's All Time High. The 1hour RSI is on a bullish divergence and within this pattern this has signalled a temporary rebound near the 1hour MA100 for a Lower High rejection. As long as the pattern holds, a tight SL sell position there is the most optimal trade, aiming at 5450. A crossing over the 1hour MA200, invalidates the bearish sentiment and restores the buying bias. In that case, take the loss on the sell and buy, aiming at 6040 (Fibonacci 2.0 extension). Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TheCryptagon
I think a 5650 Bounce is Ideal for a Crash BetSPX continues to trade weak through supports. There are a long list of reasons why it was reasonable to expect a low to be made either today or yesterday and both times we've sold through supports. I think this is a break but I do also think the more prudent positioning would be to look for a rally to 5650. Very cautious now as a bear into this drop. Trailing stops. Considering a low might be made somewhere 5500 - 5450 overshoot at the most. Will pick up some lotto calls for 560.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by holeyprofit
7 DTE Call Spread aggressive 17 delta, 32% gain on cap investedThis is a very aggressive Call Spread, the Premium is 32% gain on cap invested. Will close this trade early to take risk off the table. The Call side legs: -5915 +5920. The Trump Crypto Summit is today at 1:30 EST. Expecting a sell the news event in Crypto, potentially more trade war / tariffs news will also continue to drag down the SPX which defs looks like it has locally topped out for now. Again looking to close this trade early next week.
SP:SPXShort
by leongaban
S&P 500 reversal target - 6151Looking at a potential reversal target for the S&P 500 as we move beyond the election year into 2025. When scanning backwards on the previous high from late 2021, we can see price action clearly retested the speed fib on multiple weeks before a final rejection that induced the mini bear market which ended Oct of '22. Following that same speed fib forward into 2024, we can clearly see price is NOW, once again, retesting this magnetic fib zone. To figure out where this is all going, let's measure from the Jan '22 high into the Oct '22 low. Here, we get a 1.854 and 2.0 fib extension which intersects with the speed fib in question. Making some assumptions that price will AGAIN, range and retest multiple times before resolving, we can overlay "bars pattern" (from Jan '21 HIGH - Oct '22 LOW) and see when and how this could play out. Now, we wait and see how this movie ends! Note: Not trading or investment advice. ENTERTAINMENT ONLY!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by tantamount
3
S&P 500 tests key support on Trump's latest bombshellIn yet another striking move, US President Donald Trump has just announced plans to double tariffs on Canadian steel and aluminum, raising them from 25% to a hefty 50%. The new tariffs are slated to come into effect this Wednesday, with Trump citing Canada's intention to impose tariffs on electricity exports to the US as the catalyst for this decision. This latest escalation in trade tensions comes hot on the heels of a tumultuous Monday, which marked the worst day of 2025 for US markets. Investor fears were stoked by President Trump's aggressive tariff policies targeting America's largest trading partners, sending shockwaves through the financial landscape. The situation has left many observers questioning the broader implications of these trade policies on both the US economy and its international relationships. But one thing that has been quite clear all these years in this long-term bull market is that every time we have had a decent sell-off, dip-buyers have invariably stepped in and drove markets to new highs despite any macro concerns. Every single time we have heard cries of “this time it is different,” the bulls have prevailed, and bought the dip. Not even covid could hold the bulls back, let alone the unwinding of yen carry trades in 2024, or China’s sluggish recovery that caused local markets to tank last year, and before that the Russian invasion of Ukraine, or the bear market of 2022 when inflation surged and caused interest rates to shoot higher across the world (excluding Japan). Are we going to see yet another such recovery soon, or does the market want to go a little deeper before dip buyers emerge? That’s the key question, and one way to find clues is by looking at the charts. The S&P 500 here is testing liquidity below yesterday's low of 5567 and key support in the 5550 area. With the daily RSI now well into the oversold territory, can we see a rebound here heading deeper into the US session? By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with Forex.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
SPX 23% - 36% Market Crash From Recent Highs (~6,147)Structural Breakdown & Key Observations Recent High: $6,147.43 (ATH level) Bearish Momentum Indicators: MACD: -40.98 (Bearish momentum increasing) RSI: 45.11 (Weakening strength but not yet oversold) Volume Increase: $14.18B → Indicates potential distribution. Wyckoff Distribution Pattern Confirmation: Potential Upthrust & Distribution Phase around 6,147 - 6,000. If SPX loses 5,700 - 5,600, it will confirm a markdown phase → Bearish. What Could Trigger a 23% - 36% Crash? Macroeconomic Risks: Rising interest rates (Liquidity tightening). Earnings recession (Corporate profits declining). Geopolitical risks (Oil, China, etc.). Bond market stress → Inverted yield curve impact. Technical Market Triggers: Break of 5,600 → Strong Bearish Confirmation. 5,400 - 5,200 = Critical "Mid-Crash" Zone → If lost, crash risk accelerates. VIX spikes above 30+ would confirm a volatility explosion. ✅ Bearish bias confirmed → If SPX breaks below 5,600, crash potential is HIGH. ✅ A 23-36% drawdown aligns with macro & technical risks. ✅ Watch for Fed intervention at ~4,300 - 4,750 levels → This will dictate if the market stabilizes. 🚨 Conclusion: If SPX holds 5,600, expect a bounce → Otherwise, full markdown into a 23-36% crash is possible. Key level to watch: 5,400 - 5,200 → This is the TRUE danger zone for a full market selloff.
SP:SPXShort
by JavierXBT
SPX Now Threatens a Crash Event if We BreakWe have the very uncommon condition of SPX downtrending 10% over the last month. It didn't make a flash crash event. It's not the classic jagged correction. Certainly isn't a clean ABC. Day after day, week after week the hour chart has painted lower lows and lower highs. In this type of break I'd expect to see a rally right after. Traditionally this is a failed new high/head and shoulders like move - but in the modern market a modified spike out of the high is the common outcome. The min expected retracement would be this. But these days it's more reasonable to expect something like this. Massive and critical supports are around 5500. If we get there, make another standard bull trap rally (Very sharp one) and then we break - this might set up a true capitulation event. It's possible SPX is 20% off the high before the end of Q2. At which point, I'd be rather bullish. I do like to buy at supports.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
13
Glory to the Bear! - And My Plan is in MotionGlory to the Bear! - And My Plan is in Motion | SPX Market Analysis 11 Mar 2025 It’s time to salute the bear—SPX is nearly 10% down, officially flirting with correction territory. The NASDAQ has already crossed the line, and blue-chip stocks are falling fast, shedding high single and low double digits in a matter of days. But here’s the difference—there’s no panic. This isn’t a blind sell-off; it’s structured, calculated, and methodical. The market isn’t falling apart in chaos—it’s crumbling with precision. That tells me one thing: this move has legs. I’m already locked and loaded on the bearish side, with 5255 as my next major target. Until we see a meaningful reclaim of 5800, I won’t even consider flipping bullish. For now, it’s all about collecting profits—or watching for hedge triggers. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: The SPX correction is nearly here, and unlike past sell-offs, this one feels controlled, structured, and lacking in panic. That’s what makes it even more powerful. The Market Breakdown – How We Got Here The SPX is down 9.49%, inching closer to official correction levels. While the speed of the decline has been slow, the trend is now unmistakable—we are firmly in a bearish structure. Monday’s move steepened the downtrend, confirming the break below the sideways channel. The NASDAQ has already crossed correction territory, leading the decline. Blue-chip stocks are getting slaughtered, dropping in high single and low double digits. Technical Levels – Why This Bear Move Is Clear One of my favourite things in technical analysis is when everything interlocks perfectly—and that’s exactly what’s happening. The first bearish target on the daily charts has been reached, causing a minor bounce—likely profit-taking. The larger expanding triangle breakout target is 5255, which just happens to be 200% of the previous target. The next bullish play isn’t even on my radar until SPX reclaims 5800. Trading Execution – No Need to Rush With my bearish positions locked in, there’s no reason to chase or force trades. The plan is simple: Let the market do its thing. Wait for profits to roll in—or hedge triggers to fire. No new bullish trades until SPX climbs back above 5800. Right now, the market is rewarding patience. This is what structured trading looks like—sticking to the plan and executing with confidence. --- Did you know? In 1929, stock tickers ran hours behind during the market crash, leaving traders guessing how much they had lost until the end of the day. The Lesson? Market chaos rewards those who plan ahead. Unlike traders in 1929, you don’t have to wait for a newspaper headline to know what’s happening—but if you’re not following a strategy, you’re still guessing.
SP:SPXShort
by MrPhilNewton