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UPDATE ON S&P500 ANALYSISS&P500 4H - Who managed to catch the Case Study video I put up at the start of the week? As you can see price has played out perfectly, giving us the opportunity to buy into this market. I gave two alternatives, either to go short on the basis we break the last protected low or to go long if we trade into the area of Demand and reject well from it, as you can see we had good rejection and price has given us the opportunity to buy. This is a bullish market as we know so its important we are trading with the prevailing trend, taking our time and timing it right to get involved with this market, precision is important when we look to take part in the markets. This was a precise entry that has played out tenfold, well done to anyone who checked out the case study video and placed a position in this market based on it. I will update you all with any other opportunities that arise.
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by Lukegforex
Part 3 – Dynamic Continuation Trading In our series on intra-day trading strategies, we’ve explored approaches suited to quick market moves and breakout scenarios. Now, let’s dive into dynamic continuation trading, a method that seeks to trade in-lie with the days dominant trend. Unlike strategies built around short bursts of momentum, dynamic continuation trading is all about capturing the rhythm of an established trend by entering on controlled pullbacks and aiming to stay in as the trend develops. The method brings a mix of patience, technical indicators, and timing into play, making it ideal for those looking to ride intra-day trends longer than they might with other strategies. Good Things Come to Those Who Wait Dynamic continuation trading rewards requires plenty of patience. It’s a method where your patience can make a difference between capturing a trending move with attractive levels of risk/reward or getting caught in a reversal. This style of trading requires you to have enough patience identify an established trend. Then, there’s waiting for a pullback, ideally to a dynamic support area, which provides an entry point with favourable risk-to-reward potential. And the patience doesn’t end there. As the trade moves in your favour, this approach also calls for a patient, steady hand in trade management. It’s not about taking quick profits but rather about letting the trade develop. That’s where using a trailing stop helps keep you aligned with the trend, locking in profits as the price moves while staying in the trade until the momentum naturally slows down. Dynamic Trend Continuation on the 5-Minute Chart In dynamic continuation trading, the 5-minute chart is your stage. Here’s a breakdown of how the 9 EMA, 21 EMA, and RSI can guide entries, stops, and exits. 1. Establish the Trend with the 9 EMA and 21 EMA For an uptrend, look for the 9 EMA to be positioned above the 21 EMA. Additionally, ensure there’s a visible intra-day uptrend in place, characterised by higher swing highs and higher swing lows. This setup confirms that the market is favouring bullish momentum, and the trend is primed for continuation. 2. Wait for the Pullback Once you see an established trend, wait for a pullback to the zone between the 9 EMA and 21 EMA. This EMA zone serves as dynamic support, giving you a lower-risk entry point aligned with the trend’s direction. At this point, check the RSI for additional confirmation. 3. Use RSI as an Entry Signal During the pullback, the RSI should ideally dip towards the 50 level, which indicates that momentum has temporarily slowed without turning bearish. Once the RSI begins to move back above 50, this signals a resumption of momentum in the direction of the trend. Enter your trade when the RSI crosses back above 50, signalling that the pullback is ending and the trend is ready to continue. Example: S&P 500 In this example, the S&P 500 begins to establish an uptrend with the 9 EMA above the 21 EMA, and prices form a series of higher swing highs and higher swing lows. The price then consolidates and pulls back toward the moving averages, with the RSI also pulling back toward the 50 area. This signals that the uptrend is likely to continue, and we enter the trade. S&P 500 5min Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Trade Management & Stop Placement The swing high or low that forms following the pullback serves as ideal area for initial stop placement. Stops should be placed just above or below these inflection points to minimize risk if the trend reverses unexpectedly. In terms of managing the trade, the goal is to let the trend naturally unfold rather than micromanaging every move. A more passive approach allows for potential gains as the trend continues, with the 21 EMA acting as a dynamic guide for trailing stops. This moving average offers a reasonable “buffer zone” for staying in the trade while avoiding minor retracements that are common within trends. As price moves in your favour, adjust your stop to follow the 21 EMA. By doing so, you’re locking in profits as the trend progresses while allowing room for the price to ebb and flow around the moving average. This approach aligns with the trend’s rhythm, helping you capture the trend’s full potential without being forced out by temporary pullbacks. Bringing It All Together: How Parts 1, 2, and 3 Complement Each Other With this series, we’ve covered strategies for different market conditions, equipping you with a diverse toolkit for intra-day trading. Part 1 focused on quick-reaction trades in tight ranges, ideal for capturing small moves in low-volatility environments. Part 2 explored breakout momentum, which helps you engage with rapid moves following consolidation. Now, with Part 3, dynamic continuation trading provides a strategy for trending markets, helping you align with sustained price movement. By combining these three approaches, you’re prepared to trade various market states, from range-bound to breakout to trending. This versatility not only enhances your ability to respond to changing conditions but also positions you as a more adaptable trader, ready to take advantage of the unique opportunities each market environment presents. Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. 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CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
SPX500 D1 | Falling to pullback supportSPX500 is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 5,876.68 which is a pullback support that aligns with a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 23.6% and 50.0% retracement levels. Stop loss is at 5,670.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 6,204.33 which is a level that aligns with the 100.0% Fibonacci projection level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
FX:SPX500Long
by FXCM
What are your thoughts on what's to come for SPX500?I think we're in for a sell to the previous structure high. Obviously a "Counter trend entry" to ride until we return bullish. Just my Thoughts.....What's your opinion? Thesis: Bearish Bias break and retest (however either play is at hand). Wait for a break and retest Notes: Every Bull run has had a correction to the previous structure high. Following that trend. A Retest would be a 50% prz. for the recent move and right around 23.6% prz for the entire move. Daily: Bullish, Trading in a minor consolidation for the past few days. -Reversal pattern with Doji (Loss of momentum) & Bearish Hammer. -Con: Seller Exhaustion wicks under support H4: Bullish ( **Hidden Bearish Divergence @ Minor resistance lvl) look for possible sell off H1: Bullish
BLACKBULL:SPX500Short
by brianfj
charts breakdownMarket Overview: The has been trading within a over the past . Currently, we’re seeing significant activity around the level at , which has been tested multiple times. Volume analysis indicates activity, suggesting . Key Technical Levels: Resistance Level: – This has acted as a cap for recent upward moves. Support Level: – A key area where buyers have historically stepped in, providing support. Trendline Support/Resistance: . Moving Averages: – Currently, the price is trading these averages, indicating momentum. Technical Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Currently at , suggesting conditions. This could imply that the market may soon . MACD (Moving Average Convergence Divergence): Volume Profile: Volume is near the level, indicating . Potential Trade Setups: Breakout Trade (if price breaches resistance): Consider entering a long position if the price closes above . A stop-loss could be set below , targeting . Reversal Trade (if price approaches support): A potential long position near , with a tight stop-loss just below, targeting a return to . Mean Reversion Strategy: With RSI nearing overbought/oversold levels, there’s potential for a pullback towards the mean, particularly if price encounters a strong resistance/support area. Risk Management: Use a stop-loss on each trade. Given recent volatility, consider a wider stop-loss to avoid whipsaw action but still within reasonable risk parameters. Adjust position sizes based on volatility and adherence to trading rules. Conclusion: The shows momentum with key support and resistance levels identified. Traders may find potential opportunities based on setups. Monitoring volume and price action closely at these levels will be crucial to confirming any trade entries.
U
by christianmkansi
Stocks, BTC & Gold .. my view! Price action after Donald Trumps win shows us the following: 1. Market (Stocks) are in a risk ON mode 2. BTC is following stocks and is also in a risk ON mode 3. Gold is going back to its historical safe haven status or risk OFF mode So IMHO market is pulling out money from Gold and investing in Stocks and Crypto. IF my observation and logic is correct then should there be a retracement in Stocks then you will see a correction in Crypto and rebound in Gold In the picture you can observe a comparison between S&P and BTC. And you know gold has been going in the other direction.
SP:SPX
by ccpudaism
Prepare for Breakout Towards 6100 Next Week The S&P 500 has been on a strong upward trajectory, recently surpassing the significant psychological level of 6000 for the first time. The index has seen a remarkable rally post-election, fueled by investor optimism and solid corporate earnings reports. Currently, it sits approximately 31.5% higher from its previous lows, creating an atmosphere of bullish sentiment across the market. Key Actionable Insights and Takeaways Specific to S&P 500 - The index is currently testing major resistance levels around 601 to 612, which could dictate the next move for the bulls. - Watch for pullback opportunities to key support levels around 596 and 588, which can present buying opportunities. - Maintain a balanced approach by being prepared for potential volatility as we approach critical zones. Summary of Expert Opinions on S&P 500 Experts are bullish on the S&P 500's potential for continued upward movement. The recent Federal Reserve interest rate cut and favorable post-election sentiment have contributed to a generally positive outlook. However, caution remains due to the potential for market corrections and external economic pressures, particularly inflation. Based on the wisdom of all professional traders - Target 1: 6010 (short-term target indicating strong resistance) - Target 2: 6100 (longer-term bullish target) - Stop 1: 596 (to manage risk on potential pullbacks) - Stop 2: 588 (additional level of support to monitor) Notable News or Events Affecting S&P 500 The S&P 500's recent rally has been closely tied to the U.S. presidential election results, which have stabilized market sentiment by reducing uncertainties. Additionally, expectations of continued fiscal stimulus and corporate tax cuts under the new administration contribute to positive market dynamics.
SP:SPXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
a two year bull market. what has changed?its been 756 days since the bottom in the s&p500. the weekly is on an extended bull run to the 6000 region. last week has been the biggest drop in volatility in this trend. large risk on weeks come with pullbacks, but this week hasnt bearishly diverged from the trend yet. fib time zone tells us the trend hasnt reached a local maximum yet. the general trend hasnt changed since monday may 15 2023. since signal hasnt changed i wouldnt try to short this market yet. a breach of this dopen would probably lead to a pullback around pmVAH, and i would look to do this by ftz 13. still a local bear move toward the 5800 region isnt unthinkable. i would still rely on this broader market move setting higher weekly lows and vreaking to new all time highs for the foreseeable future, which is why im leaning long here, even with the advanced age of this bull market (even post election).
SP:SPXLong
by cerealindicator
Scinarios for $SPX till the election year ends Bearish daily candle on Friday 25th Oct but watching RSI signals its showing some support to the up-trend line from Aug low . This setup suggested continuation upward trend up to next week and election week then signal can be more clear!. Above 5855 is bulish entry and below 8750 is bearish one. 6000 target still valid but i will recommend 5920 to take profit for downplay 5640 is last support which is related to FED pivot cutting . good luck
SP:SPXLong
by WinnerTrader99
The S&P 500 is currently...The S&P 500 is currently hovering around record highs, with many analysts projecting further growth in the coming months. However, the market is facing several headwinds that could impact its performance: Inflation: High inflation rates could lead to interest rate hikes, which could slow down economic growth and hurt stock prices. Geopolitical tensions: Ongoing geopolitical tensions, such as the war in Ukraine and tensions between the US and China, could create uncertainty in the market. Economic slowdown: A global economic slowdown could also negatively impact the S&P 500. Despite these risks, many analysts remain optimistic about the long-term outlook for the S&P 500. They believe that the US economy is strong and that corporate earnings will continue to grow. Here are some resources that you can use to get more information about the S&P 500 forecast: Goldman Sachs: www.forbes.com FOREX.com: investinghaven.com S&P 500 Forecast: Will Stocks Continue to Climb? www.barrons.com It is important to note that no one can predict the future with certainty. The S&P 500 is a complex market, and its performance will be influenced by a variety of factors. It is important to do your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
SP:SPX
by ITManager_US
S&P500 (1h) Golden Cross indicates extension of this rally.S&P500 is rising on its MA50 (1h) which has been holding for the 3rd straight day. On Wednesday it formed a Golden Cross (1h), a standard bullish signal on the previous 2 Channel Up patterns since the August 5th bottom. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the current market price. Targets: 1. 6100 (+7.20% rise, similar to the previous Channel Up). Tips: 1. The RSI (1h) is posting the same Bull Flag as on the previous legs. Please like, follow and comment!! Notes: Past trading plan:
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingBrokersView