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SP 500 Cash Index / US Dollar

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SPX 📉 SPX Is Not the Fed’s Priority : Dual Mandate > Equity Charts
The S&P 500 is floating near all-time highs, pricing in rate cuts, AI euphoria, and soft landing dreams.

But here’s the truth:

The Fed doesn’t manage equity valuations.
It manages inflation and employment — nothing more.
Right now:

Core inflation is still above target
Labor markets are resilient
Financial conditions are loose
Risk assets are overheated
And yet, markets are behaving as if the Fed must cut — simply because SPX is “due” for support?

That’s not how monetary policy works.

If CPI prints hot next week, the market’s rate cut fantasy dies — and so might this rally.

The Fed doesn’t care about your unrealized gains.
They’ll hold the line until real data breaks — not just price action.

#SPX #MacroTrading #CFA #FedMandate #NoRateCut #CPI #FOMC #EquityRiskPremium

US500 SPY We should head towards 6000 into close and tomorrow. Daily money flow still nicely in green as I posted yesterday. 30 min money flow also looking healthy.
Snapshot

SPX Heading to the next target 161.80%, good trades.
Snapshot


🧠 SPX500USD | ⚖️ Gamma Compression & The 5970 Magnet
📍 Current Price: 5985
The S&P 500 continues to coil just above a key dealer exposure zone near 5970, where both gamma concentration and max pain converge.

📊 What’s in Focus Today?

🔜 10AM EST: ISM Services PMI + Jobs data

🕧 Afternoon: 3 Fed speakers

Option markets suggest volatility compression — a directional move may emerge once data lands.

🧠 Dealer Positioning Insight:

Gamma Peak: 5970

Effect: Dealers are likely hedging exposure tightly here → creating a “volatility dampening” effect

Breakout risk increases if price moves too far from this zone

🧭 Key Levels:

Resistance: 6010 → 6125

Support: 5900 → 5795

5970 = gravity point pre-expiry

📌 Summary:
We’re sitting on the gamma magnet. Expect range trading until data disrupts positioning. Post-data directional volatility is possible, especially if yields or crude add fuel.
Snapshot

SPX So far looks and feels identical to last year (April to July). Except that there was one more noticeable dip in the end of May last year.



SPX SP500 Looks Severely Overextended – Reality Check Needed

The S&P 500 continues to climb despite weak macro fundamentals, deteriorating breadth, and an increasingly narrow rally driven by just a handful of tech names.

🟠 RSI near exhaustion
🟠 PE ratios detached from economic outlook
🟠 Yield curve still inverted
🟠 No Fed rate cut confirmed
🟠 Fiscal concerns mounting (debt, deficit, tariffs)

This is no longer a broad market rally — it’s a speculative melt-up. Historically, these setups don’t end quietly.

If liquidity tightens or even one narrative (rate cuts, earnings beats, geopolitics) breaks down, the drawdown could be sharp. Risk/reward is heavily skewed.

🧠 Smart money knows: You don’t chase the last 5% at the top. You prepare for mean reversion.

#SP500 #Overbought #MarketCycle #RiskManagement #MacroAnalysis #CFA #TradingView

US500 hello everyone, if anyone has any advice or a simple reply to help would be great. I’m a usual (profitable) swing trader, little over 13k past 4 months on prop firms, but looking to switch to scalping on us500 for the fact I can’t help but always look at my positions when in them😂I’m trying to find a good strategy if anyone has any beginning ideas thanks, can’t seem to get it down