S&P 500 about to recovery SP500 could recovery here either making a lower high or a higher higher with a bearish divergence before dropping.
SPIUSD trade ideas
SP500,A BIRTH OF A NEW TREND (FURTHER DECLINE EXCEPTED)Sp500 has given birth a to new trend after forming bullish pattern from our previous analysis to give us ATH of 6k. It has form another bearish reversal pattern on weekly timeframe. We might see further declines in coming weeks. Overall target $4700 a $43,00
SPX Its five waves are overThe final wave in a five-point pattern represents the end of the current trend. It is typically the weakest wave in the five-point pattern and signals the end of the current momentum. Traders and investors begin taking profits at the peak
When is the party over?Inflation ticking back up. Unemployment increasing. Dollar increasing. Geopolitical turmoil. Contentious elections. And yet the market continues to grind up. But when will the music stop? When is the party over?
I'm not making a call to mark the top here but this is setting up for a giant fall. We could continue to grind up to 6000 point, there's no doubt that bulls remain in control. However, the strength of the move up is weak. History doesn't repeat but it often rhymes. Looking back at the historical data, bearish divergences on the Weekly always result in a large pullback.
I am expecting a pull back soon. I do believe a large correction is brewing and I don't want to be caught on the wrong side of the trade.
What am I doing about it? I still think the path of least resistance is to the upside, bulls remain control. So I am using trailing stop losses, taking profits on many of my positions. And looking to open shorts upon weakness. Waiting for confirmation of my bias, especially with a very important couple of weeks of earnings.
Stay tuned, manage your risk and don't let greed get the better of you!
Not financial advice.
US500 Panic sell, Major support, psychological level LONG Hello fellow traders,
Yesterday was one of the darkest days for some of you who invested in market and had high hopes and once the price gone over certain levels the machines started selling selling selling and who knows what Monday will bring? Maybe on Sunday some salvation will come from USA! hahaha! Anyway, trading and chart wise- this is a major support zone for sp500 5000!! and look how the price has hit the trend line and look how the RSI is oversold and look...this is a Daily chart! I like going from daily to 4h and 1h intervals, Daily oversold is a good signal for a reversal at least for NOW, correction faze to 5400 perhaps and will see, for now my bet is on the Long position with the target 5,400
This is not a trading advise, just an idea and wait!- s/l advisable here I would say below 4650 being win to loss ratio slightly above 1:1
are we repeating 1987 and going to 4000 on S&P?Though the correction and market reaction was expected for macro economic conditions, did not anticipate such severe and sharper decline. This doesn't mimic regualr circumstances like healthy and organic correction, rather it mimic covid and 1987 flash crash.
I started to feel now we may repeat 1987 thus may see more downtrend next week or two and slowly world comes to adjust to new conditions and prepare. This could be slow recovery thereafter hardly touching 5100 on S&P by Christmas
401(k)s: A Safe Bet or a Rigged Game?In 2008, the S&P 500 dropped 57% at its lowest, wiping out decades of savings for millions of Americans. People who were 5–10 years from retirement lost everything overnight—and they had no way out.
And here’s the problem:
• 401(k)s are heavily stock-weighted, especially those “target-date” funds that adjust based on age—but not fast enough in a crash.
• No active protection. These funds don’t hedge, use stop-losses, or rotate into cash. If the market dumps, you’re just riding it down.
• No control or transparency. Most people don’t even know what they’re invested in unless they dig deep into fund holdings.
It’s no coincidence that the same Wall Street firms managing 401(k)s make money shorting crashes or getting bailouts, while regular people are told to “just wait it out.” Sure, that might work over decades, but what if you’re close to retirement? Or just don’t want to wait 10 years for a recovery?
The Harsh Reality
• 401(k)s aren’t really optional. They’re the main retirement plan in the U.S., so most people are forced into them with few alternatives.
• Most people don’t actively manage them. They pick a default option, get put into a target-date fund, and hope for the best. That’s where the “sheep” feeling comes in.
• You can’t easily exit. There are penalties for withdrawing early, so in a crash, you’re locked in like a prisoner or financial refugee, while the “big boys” cash out first.
It’s not a scam in a legal sense—but it is a system that favors the knowledgeable and punishes the passive. Those who don’t study markets, adjust their portfolios, or take active control end up paying the price. And sadly, that’s the majority.
S&P 500 Breakdown: 4,790 Worst-Case Scenario in Play?Last week, I warned in this post that if sentiment worsened, the S&P 500 could head toward 4,790 as a worst-case scenario. Fast forward to today, and the index has officially lost the 5,149 support level, opening the door for further downside.
What Just Happened?
📉 Key Support Broken: The market just lost 5,149 (1.0 Fib retracement), which was a major line in the sand.
📉 Momentum Still Bearish: With no strong bounce, sellers remain in control, making 4,790 - 4,800 the next major target.
📉 Next Supports:
4,800 zone: A critical psychological level and my worst-case scenario target.
4,761 (1.618 Fib): A key confluence area for a potential bounce.
If the S&P 500 fails to reclaim 5,149 quickly, then the next downside targets are:
4,800 – A major area I highlighted last week.
4,761 – Aligns with the 1.618 Fib extension, adding confluence.
What Needs to Happen for a Rebound?
For bulls to take back control, the index must reclaim at least 5,149, or risk continued selling. A failed bounce could accelerate the move lower.
🚨 I called 4,790 as a worst-case target last week.
S&P outlook. i think we're currently mid 1987 crash. lines up with a peak fear april 9th and may 27th cut date ( give or take )
literally zero to fear.
jpm collar is 4480.
they're crushing this because of the speed of the trade. they dont wanna fully break the economy. they just wanna liquidate some degens and buy the dip.
learn to love it mane.
this also means small caps rally HARD from may on if this plays out.
should be a BLAST to play this admin if small caps goes on a genny run while the S&p takes a grind and go approach.
bullish on AMEX:MIDU AMEX:TNA AMEX:IWM TVC:RUT SP:MID CRYPTOCAP:BTC CRYPTOCAP:SOL SEED_WANDERIN_JIMZIP900:WIF
$S&P500 macro analysis , market approaching correction °•° $SPXHi 👋🏻 check out my previous analysis ⏰ on SP:SPX macro bullish analysis ⏰
As provided it went up up 🚀 completed my target's 🎯 💯💪🏻 ✅ ✔️
Click on it 👆🏻 just check out each and every time updates ☝🏻 ☺️
•••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••••
NOW I was completely 🐻 BEARISH on the market with in upcoming months SP:SPX
📌 Expecting liquidation pump $6500 - $6700
Invalid 🛑 when complete month close above $6700
¹support - $5500 ( 🎯 ¹ )
²support - $5130 ( 🎯 ² )
🎯 3 ... Will be updated based on market conditions by that time ☺️
📍 A wise 🦉 man said - always having patience " is " always gaining only /-
NASDAQ:TSLA ( i accumulate slowly until it cross above $400 )
rest of stocks i will follow index ☝🏻 i will invest based on market conditions ..... ✔️
SPX short term VP analysisI have done a short term volume profile analysis with support and resistance levels. Market is at long term trendline as well. I Expect a small bounce and some grinding for a week or so fighting the long term trendline.
Personally I think it will crash through the trendline after a week of grinding, but will watch closely and make short term trades
Another aggressive Call Spread 0 DTE SPX20% gain in premium on this one, pretty aggressive.... started at 0.23
-5345 +5350
0 DTE SPX
Two ideas.With the recent price fall, it gives us two Elliott waves ideas.
An ending diagonal, which should take the price down to the $4800/ $4500 level, in a Wave 4. Then a muted Wave 5, which would complete the big wave pattern.
Or this drop is a C wave in an expanding flat pattern. This is a dramatic pattern, which should take the price down to the $3650- $3227 range, and very quickly, before the bull market continues.
Absolute craziness ! SP500 retesting 6k and SHORTHello fellow traders
This idea is mainly based on an assumption this craziness can't go any longer! Look at RSI, the divergency overheated level tested, price channel?? Early recession signs, AI bubble, etc
Please protect your capital, have a SL which won't cause you sleepless nights :D
This is just an idea not a trading advise! Good luck anyone who's with me
Recovery or Pain?Will this be the infliction point or breaking point? Here we have multiple points of importance. Will this be a bounce or a crash?
S&P 500 Crash Idea / Opportunity Cumulation PeriodIf we are lucky, there will be three levels and three opportunities. I am also waiting to see if this really happens and we see a market crash and the SPY go down about 35-40% from its all-time high. We were heavily getting the Tesla options one year prior.
S&P 500 Faces Increased Bearish Pressure as Trade War BeginsThe S&P 500 has formed a downtrend channel following the break below the 5700 support level. Trump's new aggressive tariff policy raised the minimum tariff on China to 54%, while China responded with equally aggressive 34% tariffs. The trade war has now officially begun.
This escalation is clearly negative for the stock market. Recession risks have risen significantly, and it remains uncertain how much the Fed can cut rates while tariff-driven inflationary pressures persist. Rapid rate cuts could help soften the slowdown but may also risk fueling another inflation surge. That would be the more optimistic case for equities. However, the Fed is likely to proceed cautiously, suggesting that bearish pressure could continue for several quarters.
In the short term, the downward trend remains intact. If the S&P 500 breaks the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, it may decline further toward the lower boundary of the new trend channel, where a potential bounce could occur. As long as the trend holds, bears remain in control.
Note: Powell is expected to speak today. His remarks carry even more weight following the tariff moves by both the U.S. and China.
Hank Tough - Long ride down to 4,514 for US500Even with better than expect numbers with NFP.
The matter remains that the world is not on great terms with MAGAs Tariff plan. Tariffs are in an indirect way a threat when it comes to trade wars.
Because, there'll need to be reciprocals and larger measures to make up for the mess.
Apparently, the calculations of the tariffs was to make up for the trade deficit, but it means that there'll need to ACTUALLY be the same amount or more of exports - which we know won't happen as there are two types of goods.
Elastic - Where the price and demand and supply changes.
Inelastic - where they a don't change much.
Right now there is a LARGE Inverse Cup and Handle forming on the daily with the price below 20 and 200 - showing strong downside to come.
So, we can expect looking at the pattern to continue to 4,514.
'Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Thoughts?
SPX 10% in 48hrsSometimes a good trade is no trade in itself. That being said.
Historically RARE we don't get a relief rally but we need the fed.
The market will look for the Fed to provide answers.
+
Fear and Greed index
Technicals oversold
VIX
Money rotation showing signs of a turn.
XLY/XLP at the back end of January shows weakening of the US consumer.
Are Time and Reason in Harmony in SPX?Are Time and Reason in Harmony in SPX?
S&P 1D Technical and Fundamental Analysis;
This structure, which looks like an ordinary decline on the SPX daily chart ... in fact, we can say that it carries the pieces of a big scenario that develops synchronously both technically and fundamentally.
Let me explain now;
5 December 2024 was not just a breaking point. Because Trump's statements after taking the presidency for the second time, especially the message that ‘customs walls may rise’ had become clear.
In the same week, the uptrend in SPX quickly weakened and declined as the FED gave the message ‘Interest rate cut is not imminent’.
From here, Bullish Sharq started the formation of harmonic formation.
Now comes the week of 1 May.
- FED's interest rate decision,
- Trump's budget plan,
- And one of the critical macro thresholds where company balance sheets are announced.
While everything is going well so far, if we take into account that the chart will also touch a strong trend line, it may mean ‘either a bounce or a collapse from here’.
Because the price in the market does not just move, it looks for reasons .
I would also like to ask you here;
What will greet the market when this date comes?
Harsh interest rate rhetoric?
Trump's aggressive economic agenda?
Or a recovery supported by positive balance sheets?
Tariffs Drop, SPX Slips, I Sip TeaTariffs Drop, SPX Slips, I Sip Tea | SPX Analysis 04 April 2025
Tariffs are back on the menu, and Wall Street’s not exactly throwing confetti.
Trump’s talking tough again, markets are wincing, gold is surging, and Bitcoin - being Bitcoin - couldn’t care less.
But me?
I’m grinning like the cat that shorted the cream.
The plan said:
Stay bearish below 5700.
Get aggressive below 5500.
Add bear pulse bars and Tag ‘n Turn entries on any decent rally.
That wasn’t guesswork. That was structure.
And so far, it’s working like clockwork. ⏰
My income swings are ticking over nicely, I’m not rushing anything, and I’m sipping tea while stocks tumble. If we continue this slide into Friday, I’ll be adding more with a gleam in my eye and a sneaky Newton quote at the ready…
---
Gravity's Pull – And A Little Newtonian Swagger
Overnight futures are down again - not panic-sell levels, but that smooth, sinister kind of selling we like to see when we’re positioned right.
If the market decides to tumble out the apple tree altogether?
You’ll hear me shouting:
"HOW DO YOU LIKE THEM THERE APPLES?"
And rightly so - because this isn’t luck.
It’s directional structure meets mechanical setups, seasoned with a little GEX wizardry.
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Expert Insights – Trade the Plan, Not the Panic
When headlines scream, traders often get twitchy.
But this week is proving (again) that reaction is no match for preparation.
✅ Bear swings don’t need news. They just need structure.
✅ Sell the rallies – not your conviction.
✅ GEX often shows you where the market might want to pin – and when you can hit that sweet spot with a Bulls Eye butterfly, the payoff is huge.
The secret?
Plan the trade. Execute with structure. And don’t flinch.
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Fun Fact
Sir Isaac Newton – the original gravity guy – lost over £20,000 (millions today) in the South Sea Bubble of 1720.
His famous quote?
“I can calculate the motion of heavenly bodies, but not the madness of people.”
He’d have loved the GEX data.
And probably traded options too.
(With a monocle. While sipping tea.)
Happy trading,
Phil
Less Brain, More Gain
…and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece
p.s. Ready to Profit While Others Panic?
Markets are flinching.
Most traders are reacting.
But the SPX Income System? It’s executing. Like a machine.
✅ Sell the rallies
✅ Tag the turns
✅ Bank income swings without flinching
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