S&P outlook Using channel and fib extension to estimate the market top - Idea - Not financial adviceby pleasedApple81507Published 224
US500 bullish analysisBull analysis for US500. Curious to see if this expanding triangle wave (4) plays out. This count envisions a move above 5673.5 to the final wave to complete bull run off October 2022 low. Count invalid below 5329.5.by discobiscuitPublished 0
Friday’s SPX Options Chain Already Priced in Today’s DropToday’s sharp 2.2% SPX decline wasn’t a surprise for those who looked closely at the options metrics after Friday’s spot price fakeout . Ahead of the long weekend, market participants priced in the downside with both short- and long-term options . BEFORE TODAY OPEN Put options were nearly twice as expensive as calls at equivalent Expected Move distances before Tuesday's open! BEFORE TODAY CLOSE While today’s drop has led to some call skew on weekly options, suggesting a short-term rebound , the long-term bearish sentiment remains intact. Key unemployment data this week will be crucial for the market’s next move. If you'd like to see the option chain metrics in your charts, be sure to check out our free demo script here: Educationby TanukiTradePublished 5
Most ATH Occur in SeptemberBeen a rough ride for stonks. Gone oversold. Retest of lows in progress. Buy the double bottom. After a correction, the rise in price is often twice the drop. Statistically, most ATH occur in early September. Fed cuts rates, we could see ATH come out of this dump like phoenix from ashes. Went down ~500 pips; might rise 1K. Might not. Might get half back and rollover again. Let's find out.Longby DaddySawbucksUpdated 9
Ambushed !September has often been a cruel month for the US stock market. Traders returning from the 3 day Labor Day holiday weekend, were "ambushed" by September selling as soon as the opening bell rang today. Nvidia led the market lower, losing 10 %, 279 billion dollars of market value "poofed"..lost in a single day, and the VIX soared back above 20 again. The ambush occurred after a last hour of August run up, just a few days ago, as money managers clamored to get into the market paying up for the privilege. Performance metrics do not suit those money managers left behind. The drop on the chart, has the early look of a "potential" bullish cup and handle pattern. So the game of chicken will now begin for those who think they can outsmart this market. SPX Last 5528.92 9/3/24 THE_UNWIND WOODS OF CONNECTICUT by The_UnwindPublished 8
US500 - SHORT IDEAIn Monday (start of the new week) price swept previous week high liquidity (orange line) and show willingness to go lower by breaking the 4H structure. So the following week I would expect to see price trades lower, potentially even to opposing liquidity pool like previous week low (orange line) Thanks you and have a nice trading week! LFG!Shortby Maks_KlimenkoUpdated 4
SPX nearing 50dmaIntraday Update: The SPX has hit the 127% ext (4points away) and the 50dma is here as well. This will be a do/die level for the market in the day(s) ahead. by ForexAnalytixPipczarPublished 0
SPX adjusted to M2 money supplyThe value of stock market indices is highly correlated with the amount of existing money. That is why to measure the economic cycles, I weight the value of the stock market with that of the money supply (M2), obtaining this chart. We see how after 2008, business cycles of about 4 years have been established and that, in addition, we are now in an already mature bullish phase. This bullish phase will conclude with the distribution phase mentioned above, with the first resistances at the maximum value of 2007, and the maximum value trend line that continues since 2011 that has recently broken to the upside. It strikes me that we are not better off now than in 2007 or in 2000, despite all the debt created and the amount of money printed along the way. Take into account that Business cycles and the value of Bitcoin are highly correlatedby edgargargarPublished 113
SPx / Correction to 5620 then uptrend...S&P 500 Technical Analysis: The price recently tried to reach its ATH The current price will correct to 5620 and again will push up to get their ATH if can break 5643 otherwise should stabilize under 5620 to get 5584 and 5548 Key Levels: Pivot Line: 5643 Resistance Levels: 5675, 5709 Support Levels: 5620, 5584, 5525 Expected Trading Range for Today: The price will fluctuate between 5675 and 5585. Trend: Downward correction then uptrend by SroshMayiUpdated 228
S&P500 SP500price moving upward in a channel where suddenly breaks the channel head down toward the support area (1).Shortby prokhalidrazaPublished 3
SPX Might Turn DownwardsSince the S&P500 is showing bearish divergences, we expect a return to the thin structures on the downside. A first potential TP is located at 5,530.50 points and a second TP results from the still open gap (TP @ 5,464.50).Shortby OchlokratUpdated 3
Long trade Trade Details: Date: Tuesday, 3rd September 2024 Pair: SPX/USD Time: 3:45 PM during the LND to NY Session Trade Type: Buyside trade Entry Level: 5563.6 Profit Level: 5614.9 (0.92%) Stop Level: 5558.7 (0.09%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 10.47Longby davidjulien369Updated 1
US500 Analysis by Mallicast TeamAfter the release of the PMI data, the US500 index experienced a downward trend on the 4-hour time frame. The analytical team at Mallicast has identified this bearish movement considering the economic data and market reactions. Based on technical analysis and observed patterns, it is anticipated that after this downward move, the US500 index may potentially resume its upward trend. This potential rebound depends on various factors, including changes in economic conditions, fiscal policies, and market sentiment. It is crucial for investors and traders to closely monitor the upcoming developments to capitalize on new market opportunities.Shortby mallicastPublished 1
S&P500This is the demand zone where I expect the price to hit the ceiling. After it touches this area and confirms, I will enter.Longby shadowfund2024Published 0
Short trade Trade Details: Date: Tuesday, 2nd September 2024 Time: 00:00 AM during the NY to Tokyo Session AM Pair: SPX/USD Trade Type: Sellside trade idea Time Frame: (15min TF) Entry Level: 5644.7 Profit Level: 5594.8 (a 0.88%) Stop Level: 5653.3 (a 0.15%) Risk-Reward Ratio (RR): 2.4Shortby davidjulien369Updated 1
The eye of Sauron, or just another level to be broken?We've seen this kind of setup before. Usually these can be rather good topping patterns. Should the US500 fail to break above the black line indicated and go on to print a new all-time high, we would target the black trend line that coincides with the purple support/resistance level. Wait and see... but our call is that we get a proper correction here. UShortby HerenyaPublished 7721
US500 SHORT US100 SHORTUS500 SHORT PLEASE DON’T BE GREEDY ENTRY POINT : yellow point TP : blue lines SL : below red line for LONG POSITION above red Line for SHORT POSITION INSTRUCTIONS: FOR risk and money management: 5% of your wallet for LEV X ≤20 And 3% of your wallet for LEV X ≥ 20 like, boost, be followers and above all, comment on the assets on which you would like to have ideas PLEASE DON’T BE GREEDYShortby RODDYTRADINGPublished 1
SPX Is Bearish! Short! Here is our detailed technical review for SPX. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 5,647.50. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 5,385.34. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!Shortby SignalProviderPublished 111
US indeces pre market TuesdayHere's a breakdown of why the S&P 500 might drop to the next green zone based on the technical analysis depicted in the chart: 1. Resistance Zone (Upper Red Box) The chart highlights a resistance zone near the top, marked by a red box. This zone represents a price level where the S&P 500 has struggled to move higher and has reversed several times in the past. The price has recently touched this resistance zone and failed to break through it, indicating that selling pressure is stronger at this level. 2. Support Zone (Lower Green Box) The green box at the bottom represents a support zone, which is a price level where the index has previously found buying interest and reversed upward. The chart suggests that the price could potentially drop back to this support zone if the current downtrend continues. 3. Recent Price Action The price action within the last few candlesticks shows a downward movement after touching the resistance zone, which is depicted by the downward arrow. This suggests that sellers have taken control, and the price is likely to continue moving lower. 4. Breakdown of Support Levels The price appears to be breaking down through minor support levels (smaller green zones within the red box), which could indicate that the market is losing bullish momentum and could head towards the lower support zone. 5. Trading Setup The chart suggests a short (sell) trade setup, where the expected movement is for the price to drop towards the lower green zone. The green arrow indicates the anticipated direction of the price movement, while the red and green shaded areas likely represent the stop-loss and take-profit levels, respectively. Conclusion Based on the chart's technical analysis, the S&P 500 is expected to decline to the next green support zone due to the strong resistance at the current level, recent bearish price action, and the potential breakdown of intermediate support levels. If the price reaches the lower green zone, it might find support and possibly reverse, but until then, the outlook is bearish.SShortby Elite_ForexPublished 1
SPXPair : SPX500 Index Description : Double Top Pattern in Long Time Frame RSI - Divergence Resistance Level Rising Wedge as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Wavesby ForexDetectivePublished 3
S&P500 The Bull Cycle is still far from over!Six months ago while the market was undecided about whether or not the S&P500 (SPX) rally would continue, we presented a very useful multi-year chart on the 1M time-frame (February 27, see chart below), where we called for an extension of the uptrend, claiming confidently that the 'Bull Cycle is far from over': As you can see those who bought without fear have enjoyed so far more than +15% gains. What's even more impressive is the massive bullish reversal of the August candle, that managed to close the month in green, despite the early aggressive sell-off. This is a strong sign that the rally is far from over, but it's not the only one. The key here, and constitutes our main modification relative to the chart 6 months ago, is that the most accurate sell signal on a cyclical basis has been historically given after the 1M RSI breaks above the 70.00 overbought barrier and posts Lower Highs. This signal has had 100% accuracy in the past 10 years, effectively projecting the 2015, 2018 and 2022 corrections. The 1M RSI also has a Channel Down Resistance to consider but the Lower Highs signal should be top priority for investors to start selling. As a result, we expect the index to surpass the 6000 mark and even approach 6500, before we consider a cyclical selling sequence again. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇Longby TradingShotPublished 5546
S&P 500 IndexTrading Signal: S&P 500 Index Action: Sell Entry Price: 5651.00 Take Profit: 5583.00 Stop Loss: 5698.00 Rationale: The S&P 500 index is currently positioned for a sell trade based on technical analysis indicating potential downside momentum. The entry point is set at 5651.00, with a take-profit target of 5583.00 and a stop-loss at 5698.00 to manage risk. Disclaimer: Trading signals are for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Traders are advised to conduct their own analysis and consider risk management strategies before executing trades.Shortby GODOCMPublished 0
SPX: Sept, week 1 inclined turn n burnScenario Analysis: market has potential to retrace back to 5620 area = (-0.52%) retracement, Market has potential to continue inclinging around 0.64% @5670 (just under last month high) /5680 area where bulls will see new high, then a retracement maybe Retracement expected to be 35% - 40% support area @5637.43, and 5629.71 May see stagflation (W) price-action potential opportunity (Week 2 of sep) may see close to 2.00% Incline or decline after retracement (expect incline) Objective & Targets: follow incline by 0.64% prepare for possible retracement thereafter. Support & Resistance Levels: Support: 5629.61, 5648.39, 5616.24 Resistance: 5668.64, 5658.15, 5683.48 Longby Sylynt056Published 2