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US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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SPIUSD trade ideas

SPX500 at Key Support Level: Rebound Towards 5,860?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in. The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,860. However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside. Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management. Best of luck!
FOREXCOM:SPX500Long
by TrendDiva
27
SPX edges towards the final buy zoneSPX has an anticipated market top of 6650 (view our long term analysis below) We can see that the ascending channel which the SPX is trading in has been respected since October 2022 (below idea) Now that the equilibrium level has been broken, we would expect to see a test of the lower channel support trend line, which lines up nicely with previous structure, as well as a 38 Fib retracement on the most recent move. Multiple confluences strengthen the validity of a particular level and add weight to our decision. Therefore, we will wait for the SPX to come down and test this level at around 5756 which could take another month. Sitting on our hands, being patient, waiting only for the most likely trades is the logical way to play. Long term SPX:
BLACKBULL:US500.FLong
by Who-Is-Caerus
Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? | SPX Market Analysis 07 Mar 2025 The market is acting like a drunk sailor, stumbling between a sideways range and a downsloping channel, leaving traders scratching their heads and redrawing trendlines daily. If this feels frustrating, welcome to the real evolution of price action—the part nobody talks about. Traders love to show off the perfect trade after it happens, but the real challenge is navigating price movement as it unfolds. One day, it’s a range, the next, it’s a channel, and by the time you’ve figured it out, the market’s already moved on. For now, I remain hedged and in a no-lose position, watching how this range resolves.With Trump pulling a 2018-style tariff play, and NFP looming, we could be in for a big move soon—or just more of the same slow churn. Either way, I’ll be ready when the market finally decides to commit. --- Price action is in full “make up its mind later” mode, bouncing between a short-term range and what could evolve into a downsloping channel. The only certainty? Traders who force trades in this mess will get chewed up. The problem with trendlines and pattern analysis is that they’re constantly evolving. One day, it looks like a clean range, the next, it’s a slanted consolidation, and suddenly, what looked like a breakout yesterday is just noise today. This is why I never rely on one rigid framework—instead, I follow my six money-making patterns that adapt as price action develops. At the moment, I see three scenarios playing out. If price respects the range, we get a bounce toward the highs. If it breaks the range, we could see a sharp downside continuation. And if we keep drifting in no-man’s land, then it’s just more of the same. Forcing trades when the market hasn’t committed is a recipe for frustration. Thankfully, I don’t need to guess. My hedge is holding firm, keeping me in a no-lose position while the market sorts itself out. I’m not eagerly adding trades or picking a direction yet—I’m waiting for the market to show its hand first. Meanwhile, in tariff news, Trump just announced a temporary removal of tariffs under the USMCA agreement until April 2nd. If this feels like déjà vu, that’s because it is. The market is mirroring the 2018-19 trade war, where even in a declining market, we saw strong rallies. No two market cycles are ever exactly the same, but they do tend to rhyme. So, will NFP be the trigger that finally kicks this market into gear? Or will we be stuck with another day of watching paint dry on the charts? Either way, I’ll stay patient, stay hedged, and be ready for when the next real move arrives. --- 📢Did you know? In 1987, a trader at Salomon Brothers coined the phrase “Dead Cat Bounce” to describe a brief market rally during a larger downturn. The idea? Even a dead cat will bounce if dropped from high enough. 💡The Lesson? Short-term rallies don’t always mean the trend has changed—a bounce isn’t the same as a recovery.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
SPX Daily Analysis - 7 Mar 2025 Pullback or Breakout? • The daily candlestick was a bear bar with a prominent tail below, closing above the March 4 low. • The market gap lower at the open and formed a pullback (bounce) in the first two hours. The market then reversed lower to retest the March 4 low and broke below it. The breakout lacked follow-through selling and stalled around the March 4 low area. • The bulls see the market trading in a broad bull channel and want the move to continue for months. They want an endless pullback bull trend. • They want a retest of the all-time high (Dec 6) followed by a breakout and trend resumption. They see the current move (Mar 6) as a bear leg within the trading range. • They want a reversal from a double bottom bull flag (Jan 13 and Mar 6), a wedge bull flag (Nov 9, Jan 13, and Mar 6) and a wedge (Feb 25, Feb 28, and Mar 6). • They hope the bottom of the 22-week trading range will act as support. They want a failed breakout below the January 13 low. • At the least, they want a retest of the middle of the trading range (around the 20-day EMA). • They must create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to show they are back in control. • If the market trades lower, they want the November 4 or October 3 low to act as support. • The bears got a reversal from a higher high major trend reversal, a wedge top (Dec 6, Jan 24, and Feb 19), and a smaller double top (Jan 24 and Feb 19). • They see the market as being in a 22-week trading range. • They got a bear leg to retest the January 13 low and hope to get a breakout followed by a measured move based on the height of the 22-week trading range. • So far, the breakout below the January 13 low is not yet strong. • The move down is in a tight bear channel which increases the odds of at least a small second leg sideways to down after a pullback. • The move down has a lot of overlapping candlesticks which also indicates that the bears are not yet as strong as they hoped to be. • If the market trades higher, they want the bear trend line or the 20-day EMA to act as resistance followed by a retest of the recent leg extreme low (now Mar 6). • So far, the market is trading in a 22-week trading range. • The SPX broke below the January 13 low (Mar 6) but the follow-through selling is still somewhat limited. • The selling pressure in the move down is stronger (consecutive bear bars, bigger bear bars) than the weaker buying pressure (bull bars with no follow-through buying). • The move down is strong enough for traders to expect at least a small second leg sideways to down after a pullback (bounce). • For now, traders will see if the bears can continue to create follow-through selling below the January 13 low. • Or will the market stall around the current levels and form a minor pullback (bounce) instead? • The bulls need to create consecutive bull bars closing near their highs to show that they are back in control. • The bears must create a strong breakout below the January 13 low with follow-through selling to convince traders that a breakout could be underway.
SP:SPX
by Tech_Trader88
1
SPX price geometry using channel gridsIf you appreciate market geometry like me than this one will interest you. This may look like a mess to untrained eyes, but it gives valuable information. 3640 is the next stop according to the grid intersection that happens at a very good horizontal price support. I dont like to use a single channel because it can be very subjective and you see what you want to see. But when the angle and width is tested by past history it removes personal bias and more accurate
SP:SPXShort
by krisoz
1
NEW BULL MOVE IS NEAR Wave 4 cycle low SETUPI am coming into the major and minor spiral cycle Low is has been due into 3/8 3/13 focus on the 10th for sometime . But the Crash cycle is in day 10 today and over the last 112 years data back to 1902 the crash cycle has been from 8 to 12 days long we are in day 10 Now .I have taken up a 75 % long deep in the money Calls into this morning drop I this give the market a chance of 30 % to drop to the lower target of 5644 But Put Call models are bell ringing now .I will move to 100 % long calls at 5723/5713 and move to 110 % long at 5644 MIT . after the low print and we break above 5909 on a close I have a confirmed LOW and we short see a major 5th wave blow off it should take 26 TD and the target min is 6183 and max to 6430 with 6235 being focus in the math In the QQQ 552 is a focus with 545 as the min max based on the Math 564 Tight range for the QQQ as it should be The DJI will see a minor new new above 45040 best of trades WAVETIMER
SP:SPX
by wavetimer
7
$SPX: wait for the confirmation! Hello everyone! Today, I want to publish a chart showing the relationship between CBOE:SPX and the SPX/M2SL. Briefly, the idea is that if the ratio reaches its extreme (the upper or the lower Bollinger Band), the SPX will bounce. I marked it with colorful arrows, and the vertical lines show the exact timing of the decision moments, with the following direct moving in the opposite direction. M2Sl is simply the M2 Money Stock measure, which is a key indicator of the money supply in the United States. It includes all components of M1 (such as cash and checking deposits) plus several less-liquid assets like savings deposits, small-denomination time deposits, and retail money market funds (according to the fred.stlouisfed.org) If the SPX/M2SL confirms its double bottom this time, we may see a relief rally (even in the short term for the current bearish environment). I like this framework, it is slow, and helps to find some ground under your feet. Stay profitable!
SP:SPXLong
by ChartsPlusFun