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SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade For 8-14 : SPY 8 Day ForecastAt the request of one of my followers, he asked what to expect going forward into next week for his swing trading efforts. That is one of the great things about my SPY Cycle Patterns - they can assist in "what may happen" if we consider them somewhat accurate and reflect future price bar characteristics. So, to help him and others, I looked at the rest of this week and next week to highlight what I believe is the most logical outcome for the SPY for the next eight trading days. I will warn you that my expectations may not efficiently represent price range (or price target objectives). I've learned that I may expect price to move to a level or area and watch it move well beyond my expected target levels. So, be aware that price may rally or contract well beyond the levels I'm showing on this chart. What should be somewhat accurate is the SPY Cycle Pattern prediction of how price will react each day. I find these Cycle Patterns to be about 75-85% accurate as long as some outside news or crisis event drives prices in some panic trend. That said, here is an outline of what I expect to see happen over the next 8+ days on the SPY. I hope you enjoy it. Get some. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
FX:SPX500Long
by BradMatheny
Is this all just a range based butterfly? The rally over the last days has been impressive but the structure of the two parabolic legs and choppiness in the middle is consistent with a bearish harmonic. This gives us a real decision point here. Harmonics can be highly accurate in forecasting major moves. If this is a successful harmonic, the implied forecast of it would be a move down to 4660. In a strong smooth style. On a move of this scale, that would usually mean bad news to drive it. Failure of the harmonic as a reversal pattern strong tilts bias towards 5650. But if this is just a bull trap - this must just be the top of it.
SP:SPXShort
by holeyprofit
7
S&P500 Inflation below 3% 1st time since 2021! Must the FED cut?The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) was reported today below 3% for the first time since April 13 2021! This means that Inflation (red trend-line) is getting closer to the Fed's desired benchmark, coming in contrast with the fears of an economic slowdown last week. On today's S&P500 (SPX) analysis we examine the effect of an Inflation drop on the market. As you can see, the sudden drop on the Inflation Rate in mid-2022 was followed by a sideways trend in the past year (since July 2023). This is not the first time we see such consolidation after a strong decline. In fact, the most similar pattern to today's is the post August 2012 consolidation on Inflation. The similarities don't stop there. As this chart is our well-known 'S&P500 +10 year Cheatsheet' which we have published in the past and updated numerous times, we can see that the index has most likely entered the 2nd phase (green Rectangle) of its cyclical expansion (Channel Up), that tends to lead to a cooling Bear Phase in the form of a Megaphone. The current 1W RSI pattern is also similar to post 2013. As a result, we expect the index to resume the uptrend and even hit 6900 at least as it will be a +95.84% rise (similar to 2011 - 2014). Regarding the Fed, and whether or not they should cut the interest rates in September, we believe that this will be welcomed, especially on a 1 year basis, as it will stimulate the economy with inflation getting as close to the Fed's target as possible. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPXLong
by TradingShot
10
S&P Bearish case - Multi year shows risk of top / market crash?Please see chart notes I am wrong if we get a blow off top back up and over the top of channel but if it falls back then this long term chart works. Its tough to get out at the top unless you are hedged now Market crashes typically come in late aug / Sep / Oct so just be careful out there We have not dropped back recently to test the Weekly 200 EMA for a long time, even longer for a big set back. May be relatively better to go to Gold as it showing strength. If you are aggressive move into an inverse hedge fund like XXX - Inverse Nasdaq Tech etc Other Index confirmation: DJIA also has a top against channel / Japan looks in trouble / India looks like end of banana and China has broken down already. Sentiment indicators compared with times just before crashes are mostly higher signaling worst case now than they were before prior crashes I want to be long but need to be very cautious now due to late Aug / Sep / Oct potential crash with all this JPYUSD carry trade unwinding it could reveal further risk off / have a deeper issue
SP:SPXShort
by William_Playfair
SPX - Quick Update (08/14/2024)SPX did have an uptrending day yesterday and we're now positioned. Managing risk is an important part of the game and I don't recommend taking risky trades. If you are in this for the long haul (and you should be!), then you need to be able to understand what managing risk is. Let me take a moment to explain something. I was a heavy buyer back on August 5th on the massive dive. Now all of those assets are up significantly. NVDA is up 20% from where I bought it. CRWD was a beaten down stock that I picked up and it's almost up almost 20% as well. My short positions, in a bull market, are to hedge against my long positions. Only risk what you're willing to lose and when you enter a trade, understand that the money you're putting at risk may go away. If your trade is invalidated, cut the loss and move on, but don't keep trying over and over again, otherwise you'll be trying to short the market like many did in Q2-Q4 2020. Two daily closes above the 61.8 invalidates this trade and I'll retreat on my hedge, while still keeping the gains from all my equity positions. Take it one day at a time with a methodical approach and don't rush it. You'll be glad you waited for the right trade. Have a great day everyone!
SP:SPXShort
by bitdoctor
CPI Report in Focus: Futures Steady, Key Levels to WatchFutures Steady Ahead of Key Inflation Report The price has pushed up and reached our target successfully, with momentum still aiming for 5,460 and 5,491. Today’s CPI report is expected to significantly impact market movements. Bullish Scenario: The price is likely to attempt reaching 5,460, with further movement depending on the CPI result. If the CPI comes in below 3.00%, this could drive the price higher. Bearish Scenario: A CPI reading of 3.00% or higher could trigger a decline, with the price potentially falling to 5,409 and 5,372. Key Levels: - Pivot Line: 5,460 - Resistance Levels: 5491, 5539, 5584 - Support Levels: 5409, 5,72, 5320 Today's Expected Trading Range: The price is anticipated to fluctuate between 5,372 and 5,491. previous idea:
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): Long to resistance area 5407.Colleagues, the price has moved down a lot, but that means we have an opportunity to enter a long position more favorably. I still believe that price is still in an upward move of great impulse, and now there is a complex correction taking place. I expect an uptrend to begin around the 5172 area. The first expected target is in the 5407 area. Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by Hellena_Trade
2
Possible Continued Bullishness on Wall StreetInvestors have been focused on July inflation data. The headline rate has been expected to remain at 3.0% and the core rate to rise to 3.2%. Despite a difficult start to August, the bull market in stocks has been able to continue. The possibility that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates next month, coupled with recent lower-than-expected inflation data, has created a favorable environment for stocks. Although all three major stock indices have posted declines in August, the S&P 500 has remained on track to close the year with a 13% gain, suggesting that the market has remained optimistic. Looking at the S&P500 chart (Ticker AT: USA500), currently the Checkpoint (POC) is at 5,468 points with the current price being 5,435.25 points. The index has recovered in 4 trading days 6.68% of the -10.33% correction suffered since mid-July. This data added to the fact that the uptrend supports have bounced upwards could be another additional signal to expect a return to highs if the indicated control zone is surpassed. Europe: Preliminary Eurozone quarterly GDP data have been expected, with anticipated growth of 0.6%, up from 0.4% in the prior period. Other highlights have included French CPI and industrial production in the Eurozone. Asia: Asian bourses closed negative, with the Nikkei down 2.1% and the Hang Seng down 2.4%, reflecting a day of widespread selling in the region. Cryptocurrencies and Commodities: Cryptocurrencies have shown high volatility, with Bitcoin trading around $61,000 and Ethereum at $2,700. In the commodities market, gold has held at $2,501 per ounce. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
S&P 500 Potential Downtrend Line Breakout At $5444.17 14.08.2024Apply risk management Risk Warning: Trading in CFDs is highly speculative and carries a high level of risk. It is possible to lose all of your invested capital. These products may not be suitable for everyone, and you should ensure that you fully understand the risks taking into consideration your investment objectives, level of experience, personal circumstances as well as personal resources. Speculate only with funds that you can afford to lose. Seek independent advice if necessary. Please refer to our Risk Disclosure. BDSwiss is a trading name of BDS Markets and BDS Ltd. BDS Markets is a company incorporated under the laws of the Republic of Mauritius and is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Commission of Mauritius ( FSC ) under license number C116016172, address: 6th Floor, Tower 1, Nexteracom Building 72201 Ebene. BDS Ltd is authorized and regulated by the Financial Services Authority Seychelles (FSA) under license number SD047, address: Suite 3, Global Village, Jivan’s Complex, Mont Fleuri, Mahe, Seychelles. Payment transactions are managed by BDS Markets (Registration number: 143350) Disclaimer
SP:SPXLong
by Stuart_Cowell
Elliott Wave Intraday Analysis: SPX Resumed the RallyShort Term Elliott Wave View in SPX suggests the trend should continue higher within the sequence started from March 2023 low as the part of daily sequence. It favors upside in wave ((5)) while dips remain above 5124.76 low. Since March 2024 high of (3), it starts a correction as wave (4) ending in April at 4953.56 low and bounced again. The market resumed the rally building an impulse as wave (5) ended at 5669.67 high and also wave ((3)) in higher degree. SPX begins a large retracement in July 16 high. Down from wave ((3)), the index dropped developing a double correction structure. First leg lower, built a zig zag correction to complete a wave (W) at 5390.95 low. Then, the market did a flat structure higher as wave (X) ended at 5566.16 high. The index resumed to the downside forming another zig zag as wave (Y) of ((4)). The cycle was completed at 5119.26 low and also wave ((4)). Actually, SPX has continued higher trading in wave (1) of ((5)). The wave 1 of (1) ended at 5330.64 high and wave 2 of (1) finished at 5195.54 low. The wave 3 of (1) started and we are expecting more upside. While price action stays above 5119.26 low, we are calling for more upside to continue the rally as wave ((5)).
SP:SPX
by Elliottwave-Forecast
2
lin reg session breakout hello this is a strategy that can be used by those with little time on their hands that prefer one trade a day. It boasts a 73.3% accuracy from July 2nd to august 13th in this strategy you need an ATR stoploss finder and a sessions chart that shows the previous sessions. its pretty simple just draw a linear regression channel from 9:00 am to the begining of the asian session. wait for price to close clearly outside of the linear regression channel and take a trade in the direction of the breakout. you can also add a volume indicator to clarify if the breakout has strength or is false.
OANDA:SPX500USDEducation
by ckirk91
1
S&P 500, Final Leg of this bull runThis is my expectation of probable path for S&P 500 for the final leg (wave 5), This is going to be steep and parabolic. We should top by the end of year 2024. As the time span of this Wave 5 is small, expect volatility as we move ahead. The fall post wave 5, will be steep and sharp. Look to book profits and reduce exposure as we ascend. This is not a financial advise. Please don't take risk and follow proper risk management. Avoid options and futures. If you like this idea, kindly like and share.
SP:SPXLong
by coding_thoughts