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US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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US500 Pulls Back from 6,400– Correction or Trend Shift?The index has rejected the 6,400 🔼 resistance zone with a strong bearish candle, pulling back toward the 6,200 🔽 support region. Price is still trading within a bullish structure, but this drop may signal early signs of exhaustion. Support Levels: 6,200 🔽, 6,100 🔽, 6,000 🔽 Resistance Levels: 6,300 🔼, 6,400 🔼 Bias: 🔼 Bullish: If price holds above 6,200 and reclaims 6,300, the uptrend remains intact and bulls may reattempt a push toward 6,400. 🔽 Bearish: A daily close below 6,200 could open a deeper retracement toward 6,100 or even 6,000. 📛 Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Trade at your own risk.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by SPOT_FX
S&P Correction Window is official - VOLATILITY AHEADIt's that time of year where the pre-summer push wraps and the summer lull and potential pause gets underway. July 31 finished on a bit of a sour note with over 67% of stocks declining today and US indexes finishing RED despite the big gaps and bullish pops on MSFT and META post earnings.f SPX Key Levels -watch the 21 day moving average -watch the 50 day moving average -more dynamic support in the 100/144/200 moving average cluster I'll be taking bites at the 5/10/15% correction levels with options and looking for this dip to be bought by retail and institutions. Will August 1 US Tariff Deadline matter? After Japan and Eurozone came in and said a deal is being done, I was thinking this would be a dud. BUT, Dr. Copper says "maybe" on the global tariff deadline with the largest single day move in history (bearish). Being the perfect time of year for a correction (the other being Feb-Apr), and the technicals looking so clean for an orderly pullback, VIX may float higher and make things more interesting in the next 30-60 days. Strategies matter, I'll be trading risk defined, but there are great opportunities ahead. A pullback is sure better than literally watching all-time highs every single day. Thanks for watching!!!
SP:SPX
by ChrisPulver
S&P 500 ETF & Index– Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction📉📊 S&P 500 ETF & Index at Resistance – Technicals Hint at a Possible Correction 🔍⚠️ Everything here is pure technicals— but sometimes, the market whispers loud and clear if you know how to listen. 🧠📐 The VOO ETF, which tracks the S&P 500 , has now reached the upper boundary of a long-term ascending channel, once again brushing against resistance near 590.85. This zone has consistently led to major pullbacks in the past. On the right panel, the US500 Index mirrors this move—pushing toward all-time highs, right as broader sentiment turns euphoric. Technically, both charts are overextended and pressing into key zones. 👀 Potential Path: 🔻 Rejection from current zone ➝ Down toward 526.17, then 465.72 (green support channel) 🔁 Possible bounce after correction — trend still intact long term And while we’re keeping it technical, it’s worth noting that the Buffett Indicator (Stocks-to-GDP) i s currently screaming “overvaluation.” This doesn't predict timing—but it adds macro context to an already overheated chart setup. The lesson? Price respects structure. Whether or not the fundamentals are in agreement, the charts are warning that now may not be the time to chase. History doesn’t repeat, but it often rhymes. Stay sharp, stay technical. 🎯 One Love, The FX PROFESSOR 💙 ps. the beauty of these levels? Tight Stop loss- excellent R/R Disclosure: I am happy to be part of the Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Awesome broker, where the trader really comes first! 🌟🤝📈
TRADENATION:US500Short
by FX_Professor
$XLV vs $SPY at multi year low. Is more downside expected? In this space we talk a lot about the market outperformance and how this has resulted in indexes at ATH. The SP:SPX and NASDAQ:NDX and their corresponding ETFs: NASDAQ:QQQ and AMEX:SPY have also made ATHs. But if peel under the surface we can observe that very few sectors have consistently outperformed the S&P 500. The Technology sector represented by AMEX:XLK has consistently outperformed the $SPY. The $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is in a upward channel depicted by the purple line. The SPDR select sector Technology sector has consistently increased its weightage on AMEX:SPY and the ratio $XLK/ AMEX:SPY is currently at 0.41 which is an ATH. But the same cannot be told about the SPDR Healthcare Sector. The ratio between $XLV/ AMEX:SPY is making multi year low. With the ratio currently at 0.21 it is approaching its multi-year lows of 0.1975. The ratio was so low last in Sept 2000. Hence the question comes what should we expect the AMEX:XLV which is making new lows against the AMEX:SPY ? Will we visit the lows of 0.1975? If it happens then can we expect a upward momentum from his double bottom situation? In my estimate in this bull market and Tech sector outperforming the AMEX:XLV will make new lows vs AMEX:SPY and the ratio will revisit the 2000 lows. But if on the macro front we have weak jobs numbers and recession risk rising then the AMEX:XLV can in fact draw inflows and outperform the index. Hence my estimate $XLV/ AMEX:SPY will sweep the multi-year low and then bounce back into 2026. Verdict: Still more downside possible in $XLK/$SPY. Go long AMEX:XLV when the ratio is @ 0.1975 and into 2026.
SP:SPXShort
by RabishankarBiswal
Correction Ahead? SP500 Prints Reversal Signal at Key Resistance📘 This market moves like a textbook chart SP500 is acting like a perfect case study from a trading manual. Back in early April, the index dipped just below 5,000, right into a confluence support zone ( I had spoken about this at the time ) – formed by the long-term ascending trendline and the 2022 all-time high. Just like other U.S. indices, the market reversed aggressively from that area. 🚀 A 30% rally in 4 months From that low, SP500 rallied around 30% in just four months. An incredible move that brought the index straight to the upper boundary of the yearly rising channel. 🕯️ Bearish signal at the top And just like in NAS100’s case , the index printed a strong Bearish Engulfing candle exactly at that resistance level. This kind of signal, after such a rise, shouldn’t be ignored. 📉 A correction is not only probable – it’s needed A pullback from here is not just likely, but in my opinion, healthy and necessary . Short-term speculators could look for a move toward the 6,150 zone, which would already offer decent room for profit. 🔍 What if it goes deeper? I wouldn’t be surprised to see a correction down to 5,750–5,800. That’s about a 10% decline, which wouldn't even classify as a bear market, just a normal reset after a euphoric rally. 🧠 Perspective matters In a market that gained 30% in four months, a 10% correction is not a crash — it’s discipline being restored. Disclosure: I am part of TradeNation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analyses and educational articles.
TRADENATION:US500Short
by Mihai_Iacob
10
US Stocks on Watch as Momentum ShiftsAfter a resilient summer run, US equities are now facing a new wave of pressure. Friday’s slide was more than just a reaction to headlines, it may be the first sign of a deeper shift in sentiment. Jobs Data Disappoints as Tariff Tensions Rise Friday’s US jobs report was a jolt. Just 73,000 nonfarm payrolls were added in July, well short of the 110,000 expected. But the real gut punch came from the revisions. June’s figure was slashed from 147,000 to just 14,000 and May’s total was lowered by another 125,000. Taken together, that is over a quarter of a million fewer jobs than previously reported. The softening labour market has now pushed the probability of a September rate cut to 66%, as traders start to price in a more cautious Fed response. If that was not enough, President Trump added fresh fuel to the fire by announcing a new round of tariff hikes. Imports from Canada will now face a 35% levy, up from 25%, while goods routed through third countries to avoid duties will be hit with a 40% charge. These measures come at a time when the global economy is already under strain, and investors wasted no time in pulling back. Tech and financials bore the brunt, with Amazon and JPMorgan among the hardest hit. Short Term Momentum Breaks Down Last week’s price action marked a clear change in tone. The S&P 500 attempted to break to fresh highs on Thursday but was met with a wave of selling on increased volume, forming a bearish engulfing candle. That move was followed by a sharp decline on Friday after the jobs data landed. This two-day drop, coming on elevated volume, stands out as a clean reversal in short term momentum and is most visible on the hourly chart. That kind of shift raises an important question about timeframes. If you're a short-term trader focused on hourly candles and below, you will likely be watching for bearish continuation patterns. That could mean looking for brief pauses in the selling, flags or consolidations, before another leg lower. Longer term traders will be reading the chart differently. While short term momentum has clearly turned, the longer-term structure is still intact. The market is now pulling back into a key zone of former resistance from earlier in the year. This cluster of highs, once broken, now acts as support, and just so happens to line up with the 50-day moving average. For those taking a wider lens, this is the kind of area where trend followers could look to reload. US500 Daily Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results US500 Hourly Candle Chart Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results Disclaimer: This is for information and learning purposes only. The information provided does not constitute investment advice nor take into account the individual financial circumstances or objectives of any investor. Any information that may be provided relating to past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results or performance. Social media channels are not relevant for UK residents. Spread bets and CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 85.24% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading spread bets and CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how spread bets and CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by Capitalcom
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 1, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the trading activity of the previous week, the S&P 500 Index displayed a predominantly bearish movement after completing our Outer Index Rally target of 6420, as highlighted in the prior week’s Daily Chart Analysis, with the primary objective now being to plug our Mean Support at 6200. It is essential to recognize that the current price movement may trigger a significant further pullback to the Mean Support level of 6090. Following this downturn, it is expected that the index will resume its upward momentum, aiming for a retest of the Outer Index Rally peak at 6420.
SP:SPX
by TradeSelecter
What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500What the Next CPI Print Could Do to the S&P500 A technical and macro setup ahead of the inflation release Next week’s CPI report could be one of the most important data points of the quarter, not just for the Fed, but for traders watching the S&P500 (SPX) at these elevated levels. We’ve seen inflation data act like a volatility trigger in recent months, especially when it diverges from market expectations. And with the S&P flirting with key resistance, the stage is set for either a breakout or a reversal. Let’s break down both the macro implications and the technical chart setup heading into the release. Why CPI Matters? If headline CPI comes in hot, markets may price in fewer Fed cuts this year. Yields spike and SPX often reacts with a sharp pullback. If inflation cools faster than expected, the Fed may stay dovish. That typically gives SPX and risk assets broadly room to breathe higher. Current expectations: - Headline CPI: 3.2 percent - Core CPI: 3.4 percent Anything above those numbers is risk-off. Anything below supports the soft landing narrative. Technical Setup on SPX On the 4H and daily chart, here’s what we’re seeing: - Price hovering around a key resistance zone between 5,660 and 5,680 - Rising wedge structure starting to form, typically a bearish sign near market tops - Bearish RSI divergence on 1D chart - Volume has been declining on recent pushes higher, showing lack of conviction Key Levels - Support: 5,615 and 5,575 - Breakout Target (if CPI is dovish): 5,750 to 5,770 - Downside Target (if CPI surprises hot): 5,500 to 5,480 Watch for a volatility spike on the release and be cautious about chasing the first move. My Play I’m personally staying flat heading into the data. Too much chop, not enough conviction. But I’ll be watching for: - A false breakout trap above 5,680 followed by reversal as a possible short setup - Or a clear retest and hold above 5,700 with volume, which may confirm further upside CPI has become the new FOMC. Be patient and reactive, not predictive. Final Thought CPI prints used to be background noise. Not anymore. This one matters, and SPX is sitting in a technical pressure cooker. Whatever side you lean toward, come in with a plan and don’t trade the first candle.
FX:SPX500
by Farzadvajihi
1
A pullback planThe upper trendline starts from Jan 2022 peak. It was broken on normal scale but still holds on log scale. The price may top here or may go higher. In a very bullish scenario the price may bounce much higher from an upper 1W FVG, but I think it will be broken soon. In any case I see a strong support at 6050-6150 area - a horizontal support and 1M/1W FVG are there. The price should return there sooner or later. No negative daily RSI divergence at the moment, but the price can make 4% correction on 2-4h divergence, which will appear at any new ATH. I gonna hold and increase my short position with low leverage untill the price makes a pullback into this area.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Supergalactic
11
The Low Is In: Why the S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Bullish Reversal🔥 The Low Is In: Why the S&P 500 Just Confirmed a Major Bullish Reversal 🔥 The market just gave us a gift. After weeks of drifting lower and sentiment turning cautious, the S&P 500 has touched — and bounced — off a critical rising trendline for the third time since May 2025. That third touch isn't just a technical coincidence… it's often the launchpad for a new impulsive leg higher. 📈 The Power of the 3rd Touch: Trendline Validation Complete Look at the chart. This isn’t guesswork. Since May, the S&P 500 has been respecting a well-defined ascending trendline, one that connects multiple higher lows during this bull run. The first touch was the May liftoff after the April consolidation. The second came in June — a clean retest and bounce. Now, as of early August, the third touch has held once again, exactly where the bulls needed it most. This isn’t a random line on a chart. This is institutional flow stepping in to defend structure. And when a rising trendline holds for a third time after a strong uptrend? That’s a classic continuation signal. 📉 RSI Washout + Structural Support = Perfect Storm for a Bottom The RSI printed a dramatic dip to ~32, a level that screams “oversold” on the 4-hour timeframe. But notice the context — it happened right at structural support. This is not weakness. This is accumulation. Big players shake out weak hands on low timeframes… right before they send it. 🧠 Sentiment Is Offside… Again Let’s not forget: this retrace came after a huge run-up since March. People expected a deeper correction. Bears started getting loud again. That’s how bull markets trap you — by convincing you it’s over right before the next leg higher. And with macro tailwinds (liquidity expansion, fiscal spend, tariff rollbacks), earnings season beats, and global capital rotation into U.S. equities, this setup is ripe for a violent upside squeeze. 🚀 8,700 in Sight: My End-of-Year Price Target Is Very Much in Play Today’s close around 6,220 means the S&P 500 would need to rally ~40% to hit my target of 8,700 by year-end. Sounds crazy? Not if you’ve seen what happens during parabolic melt-ups. This isn’t just hope: 📊 Strong breadth under the surface 🏛️ Dovish policy pivot now expected in Q4 💸 Retail and institutional capital both re-engaging 📉 Bond yields are starting to roll over, supporting equity valuations When bull markets enter their euphoria phase, they don’t stop at “reasonable” targets. They blast through them. 💡 The Setup Is Textbook — Now It’s About Execution ✅ Trendline defended ✅ RSI reset ✅ Sentiment shaken out ✅ Structure intact The technicals just aligned with the macro. The low is in — and the runway to 8,700 is wide open. Strap in. Q4 could be one for the history books.
SP:SPXLong
by DanOxAm
SP500 → Countertrend correction before growthFX:SPX500 is correcting against an upward trend. In the second half of the week, the market received fairly positive fundamentals during the reporting period. S&P 500 futures found support after strong reports from Meta and Microsoft, which exceeded earnings expectations and forecasts thanks to AI. The rise in futures supported demand for the “Magnificent Seven” despite Powell's hawkish comments. The focus is on Apple and Amazon reports in the evening, which could strengthen the tech rally. On Friday, we are seeing a countertrend correction in which the market is testing the 6288 zone of interest. Support levels: 6288.4, 6262.6 Resistance levels: 6342, 6371 Most likely, the market will form a false breakout of support during the correction. If the bulls keep the index above the key level, we can expect continued growth in the short and medium term. Best regards, R. Linda!
FX:SPX500Long
by RLinda
6
SPX: Investors` defensive positioning? The past week brought a flurry of important US macro data and a high market volatility in line with it. In addition, the FOMC meeting brought up increased nervousness regarding Fed's view on current and future macroeconomic developments. As Fed Chair Powell informed the public, the inflation is perceived to pick-up a bit as a reflection of imposed trade tariffs, but the Fed is not expecting that it will have a significant effect on increasing inflation, but only the one-off effect. Future Fed moves will continue to be data dependent and risk-assessed, in which sense, a direct answer to potential September rate cut was not provided by Fed Chair Powell. Although Friday brought up some major market corrections in the S&P 500, Thursday's trading session was the one to bring major sentiment and indication over forthcoming correction. Namely, Thursday started in a positive manner, where the index reached a new all time highest level at 6.427, but soon after the market tumbled down, ending the trading day at 6.333. Futures were traded lower on Friday, where the S&P 500 was opened by 1,5% lower, ending the week at 6.238. These movements during the last two trading days are quite important because such strong moves in the value of index could be imposed only by institutional investors, showing their sentiment regarding the macro environment expectations at this moment. Much of the negative market sentiment was driven by surprisingly weak non-farm payroll data of only 73K in July, which was below market estimate of 110K. At the same time, the unemployment rate modestly picked up in July to 4,2%, from 4,1% posted previously. Some analysts are noting that this could be a summer seasonal effect, however, investors are concerned that this could be a sign of a weakening US economy, due to implemented trade tariffs. During the time of writing this article, CNBC posted a news that the U.S. President Trump ordered immediate release of a duty of a Commissioner of labor statistics, due to continued posts of inaccurate labor data and its frequent revisions, also putting doubts that the July figure of 73K is accurate. Regardless of actual accuracy of the US jobs data, investors continue to be concerned regarding the effects of implemented trade tariffs on earnings and growth of US companies. As analysts are noting, some of them are trying to lock in gains as earnings risks emerge, but with future uncertainties, a defensive positioning of investors might be wider in the coming period.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX