Bear market ideaWhich asset does well in a S&P bearmarket? Contra: NDQ, GOLD, QDVF, USDEUR, TLT. I will include more idea's in future.
SPIUSD trade ideas
bearmarket ideeWhich asset does well in a S&P bearmarket? Contra: NDQ, GOLD, QDVF, USDEUR, TLT. I will include more idea's in future.
FUKIN SEND IT! SPXBIG move coming soon, which direction? You be the judge. .
Down seems to be the easy interpretation of this chart, but don't rule out the "off-the-charts" level of fu*kery that could take place by a parabolic send above the 95 year resistance level.
*RULE OUT NOTHING*
SPY SPX ES_F SP:SPX
S&P500 is back on trackAfter a turbulent week, S&P 500 is recovering, displaying resilience and improving risk appetite. Both market strength and breadth are improving, and in spite of tech stocks having taken a hit, financial and communication sectors lead the rally.
With new earnings week coming in, S&P500 is on the rising track with an open road to achieving 6200 zone: the borderline of Bollinger Bands indicator with a parameter of 20.
Political narratives play on the side of growth, though create additional concerns, but market seems to be more focusing on growth.
Always do your own reserch and manage risk at all times!
Hellena | SPX500 (4H): SHORT to the low of wave “a” 5920.Colleagues, the price reached the 5920 level too quickly, so I tend to believe that wave “2” is not completed. It should consist of 3 waves “abc” so I expect the low of wave “a” 5920 to be updated.
Manage your capital correctly and competently! Only enter trades based on reliable patterns!
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Scenarios for 1.31.2025🔮
📅 Fri Jan 31
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.2% (prev: 0.1%)
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.9% (prev: 0.8%)
💡 Market Scenarios:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding a little, then chopping down into EEZ. Watch for resistance in the Hedge Pressure Zone before any reversal.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Slight move higher from earnings, then drop lower into 6055. Expect some chop and potential liquidity sweeps before continuation.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
Consolidate lower into the Hedge Cushion Zone, then pump back higher. A strong bounce is likely if price interacts with the Weekly Hedge Cushion and liquidity builds up.
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A much needed resting day within a bullish backdrop for $SPXIdeally, I would like to see a few more days of resting / corrective activity, following 6 straight days of range expansion, and a prior pivot high is a logical place for a dip or an inside day.
Let's look at sector-by-sector analysis, using The Strat method:
1) Look at the colour of the candle on each timeframe to determine who is in control: bulls or bears✅
2) Make sure the top sectors of CBOE:SPX are confirming the index-level picture. Currently AMEX:XLY is showing some discord. Okay ✅ but something to watch for.
3) Make sure the lower timeframe timeframes confirm the thesis of the higher timeframes. They should be aligned to avoid chop. All green on the month. ✅
S&P500 starting a Channel Up on Golden Cross to 6200The S&P500 index is trading inside a Channel Up on the (1h) time frame.
A (1h) Golden Cross was just formed and the whole pattern draws comparisons with November's (2024) Channel Up.
Both started with a +6% rise that pulled back to the 0.5 Fibonacci level, which in turn initiated the Channel Up.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on the current market price.
Targets:
1. 6200 (near the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, like November).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1h) is also forming the same Channel Up as November, after getting oversold under 30.00.
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SPX500: Bullish Triangle Breakout to 6,130 Before Major ReversalSPX500 has formed a bullish triangle, signalling an imminent move higher. Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests a rally from the current price of 6,050 to a double top around 6,130. However, a break below 6,029 would invalidate this bullish scenario. After reaching the 6,130 level, we anticipate a sharp downturn to new lows.
S&P 500 in Danger! Is the Drop Just Beginning?📉 The market is showing signs of weakness! The first resistance is at 5,896, and if it fails, we could see a deeper decline towards 5,740—a level that seems far, but not impossible!
😨 Losses come from ignoring the signs! Don’t let the market catch you off guard—stay ahead of the game!
⏳ Follow me now for real-time insights and avoid costly mistakes!
🔔 Hit Follow Before It’s Too Late! 🚨📉
#SP500 #StockMarket #Trading #Bearish #MarketCrash #RiskManagement #Investing #TradingSignals #FinancialMarkets #TradingView
SPX : It will go higherLooks like there is more money to be made. It will go HIGHER. And the higher it goes, the HARDER it falls.
We wait, eat popcorn, and cheer it on.
Small, then Big = Higher.
Good luck.
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for Day TradersAll right today is the day after FOMC and some big earnings and because we had big earnings yesterday we have a pretty wide trading range today so just because we are options are we could have a more volatile day
The expected move on today’s contract is between 5980 and 6095. We did close underneath 35EMA and we have a red signal line.
If we get about the 35 EMA today which future so far are taking us above, we do have a down gap from yesterday and then a down gap from Monday that we haven’t completely filled yet. We also have an up gap from last Wednesday and they do overlap. It’s a little bit hard to see but right around 6075 is the overlap .
To the downside, we have the 50 day moving average so far that has been our support this week. You could see on Monday. We did see that balance and underneath that the 30 minute two and removing average and the one hour 200 moving average those levels have been supporting us With some nice technical bounces
SPX to find sellers at market price?SPX500USD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the high.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 6058 level.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Sell at 6058 (stop at 6099)
Our profit targets will be 5942 and 5920
Resistance: 6102 / 6190 / 6235
Support: 6030 / 5980 / 5940
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$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & targets for Today & Tomorrow (FOMC)35EMA Underneath us, island gap above us, top of the expected move on the day is 6120 above that all-time highs and 6130 on tomorrow’s contract. If I was looking at bear call spreads I’d probably do 6130/6140. Bottom of the move on the day 6015 and underneath all of that is that 50 day moving average with the 30 minute and one hour 200 Bearily positioned underneath that. Is we drop I’ll be looking to 6010/6000 bull put spreads on todays contract - Let’s go 🙌
SPX500The SPX500, or S&P 500, is a major stock market index that tracks the performance of 500 of the largest publicly traded companies in the United States. It includes companies from various sectors, making it a key benchmark for the overall U.S. economy. The index is widely used by investors to gauge market trends and economic health. With a mix of tech giants, financial institutions, healthcare firms, and industrial leaders, the SPX500 is known for its stability and long-term growth potential.
S&P 500 insanely overvaluedThe Buffett Indicator (aka, Buffett Index, or Buffett Ratio) is the ratio of the total United States stock market to GDP.
This ratio fluctuates over time since the value of the stock market can be very volatile, but GDP tends to grow much more predictably. The current ratio of 208% is approximately 66.62% (or about 2.2 standard deviations) above the historical trend line, suggesting that the stock market is Strongly Overvalued relative to GDP.
The Buffett Indicator expresses the value of the US stock market in terms of the size of the US economy. If the stock market value is growing much faster than the actual economy, then it may be in a bubble.
The P/E ratio is a classic measure of a stock's value indicating how many years of profits (at the current earnings rate) it takes to recoup an investment in the stock. The current S&P500 10-year P/E Ratio is 36.5. This is 79.2% above the modern-era market average of 20.4, putting the current P/E 2.0 standard deviations above the modern-era average. This suggests that the market is Strongly Overvalued.
P/E ratios can only go so high. To justify a P/E ratio that is consistently above its own historic average for long periods of time, the US stock market must not only continue to grow, but would need to continue to grow at a continuously increasing rate.
