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US 500 (SPI) / US Dollar

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US500 Price ActionHello Trader, As you can see, the market is currently moving to the downside, approaching a clearly identified Demand Zone. Remember, as I always emphasize: no liquidity, no valid zone. Therefore, I've also marked liquidity levels located just above this Demand Zone, along with a suggested safe Stop Loss (SL) placement. However, please keep in mind that no level is truly "safe" in trading, which is precisely why we always use stop losses and actively manage risk on every trade. Additionally, I've highlighted two potential Take Profit (TP) areas: one where you might consider closing your trade early for safety, and another where you could hold your position if price action continues to move favorably. As always, avoid greed, prioritize risk management, and trade responsibly. Wishing you all the best and happy trading! Thank you.
PEPPERSTONE:US500Long
by SuvashishFx
S&P 500 to tank to 5,100 pointsPEPPERSTONE:US500 The S&P 500 broke below critical support after Trump announce massive tariffs on everyone, worst than expected. Volume is increasing to the downside, and it looks like the next wave down has already started. Wave C is supposed to be equal or larger than wave A, and reach the next critical support, which will lead us to 5,100 points in the next couple of weeks. I heard that net tariffs on China are 54%, does than means that iPhones are going to rise in price 54%? Maybe it will be reconsidered later, and the market will bounce in the future, but not likely in the short term. Good luck to you
PEPPERSTONE:US500Short
by Raul_Dominguez
S&P 500 Down 3% – Divergence AppearsThe S&P 500 (SPX) continues to show a strong bearish bias and is approaching the 5,300-point level in the short term. Selling pressure remains steady as post-“Liberation Day” uncertainty persists, with markets concerned that the recently announced tariffs could significantly impact the U.S. economic outlook. As a result, this could severely limit the performance of equity indices like the S&P 500. Bearish Channel Since February 20, the SPX index has maintained consistent downward momentum, establishing a new bearish channel in the short term. The index has now broken below the key 5,400-point support level. However, the speed of the recent declines may have created an imbalance in market forces, which could pave the way for a bullish correction in upcoming sessions. Divergence in Indicators MACD: Both the MACD line and the signal line have shown higher lows in recent trading sessions, which contrasts with the lower lows in the SPX price, indicating a bullish divergence. RSI: The RSI is showing a similar pattern, with the line forming higher lows while price continues to make lower lows. Additionally, the RSI is now approaching the 30 level, which is typically considered the oversold zone. These divergence and oversold signals suggest that bearish momentum has accelerated sharply, potentially signaling short-term exhaustion. As the balance between buyers and sellers begins to stabilize, this may be an early indication that upward corrections could occur in the next few sessions. Key Levels: 5,780 points – Distant resistance: This level aligns with the 200-period moving average. A return to this zone could mark the start of a new bullish phase, posing a threat to the current bearish channel. 5,530 points – Near resistance: This area corresponds to neutral levels seen in recent weeks. It may become a target zone for potential corrective upward moves. 5,388 points – Key support zone: This level matches the lowest prices since September 2024 and is where the price is currently consolidating. If the index breaks decisively below this level, it could lead to a more extended bearish channel in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
US500: Trend Shift - Potential Break of Key Support LevelsThis analysis focuses on the US500 chart, a representation of the S&P 500 index, a key indicator of the US stock market's performance. The chart displays price action over a 4-hour timeframe, offering a medium-term perspective. The analysis aims to identify potential support levels and assess the likelihood of further bearish movement. 2. Key Findings and Supporting Evidence: Bearish Trend: The chart clearly shows a prevailing downtrend. The price has been making lower highs and lower lows, signifying strong selling pressure. Breakdown of Rising Wedge: A rising wedge pattern, often considered a bearish reversal pattern, is visible between March 11th and March 27th. The subsequent breakdown from this wedge has confirmed the bearish sentiment and suggests a continuation of the downtrend. Potential Support Levels: The chart highlights three potential support levels: 5500 (Current Level): The price is currently hovering around this level. A break below this level could trigger further selling. 5504.2 (First Target): This level is marked as the first potential target for the bearish move. 5441.3 (Second Target): This level represents a more significant support and a deeper potential target. Trading Strategy Indication: The chart suggests a potential short-selling opportunity, with entry around the current level (5500) and targets at the identified support levels. The stop-loss is placed above the recent high to manage risk. High Volatility: The sharp price swings and the length of the red (bearish) candles indicate high volatility, suggesting strong momentum behind the downtrend. 3. Relevant Data and Statistics (Inferred): Timeframe: 4-hour chart. Index: US500 (S&P 500 equivalent). Recent High: Approximately 5800. Recent Low: Approximately 5486.7. Potential Support Levels: 5500, 5504.2, 5441.3. 4. Discussion of Implications and Potential Future Trends: Market Sentiment: The breakdown from the rising wedge and the continued bearish momentum suggest a shift in market sentiment towards increased pessimism. Economic Factors: The downtrend could be influenced by various economic factors, such as rising interest rates, inflation concerns, or geopolitical uncertainties. Risk Management: Traders should exercise caution and implement proper risk management strategies, including stop-loss orders, due to the high volatility. Potential for Rebound: While the current trend is bearish, it's essential to acknowledge the possibility of a rebound or consolidation at the support levels.
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by ultreosforex
S&P 500 Struggling Ahead of Key Economic ReportsThe S&P 500 is showing signs of weakness as it approaches a critical juncture ahead of tomorrow’s economic reports. After a sharp V-shaped recovery, the index is now facing resistance and struggling to maintain upward momentum. If key support levels fail to hold, we could see further downside in the coming sessions. Key Levels to Watch: 5,700 - 5,720: A significant resistance zone where recent rallies have stalled. A break above this level could signal renewed bullish momentum. 5,650 - 5,670: A minor support area that previously acted as a pivot. Losing this level could increase selling pressure. 5,520 - 5,504: A major support zone that must hold to prevent further downside. If broken, it could trigger a larger sell-off. 5,350 - 5,400: A potential next area of support if the index continues to slide. This level aligns with previous consolidation zones. 4,790 - 4,800: A worst-case scenario target if market sentiment deteriorates significantly. Technical Breakdown: The current price action suggests a potential reversal if support levels do not hold. The index has failed to reclaim key resistance and is now at risk of breaking down further. Volume has increased during recent selling, indicating stronger downside pressure. The next move will likely be dictated by tomorrow’s reports. If economic data comes in weaker than expected, it could fuel concerns of a slowdown, leading to further selling. Conversely, stronger-than-expected data may provide temporary relief, but resistance levels still need to be reclaimed for the uptrend to resume. Market Sentiment and Strategy: A break below 5,504 could trigger a wave of selling, making downside targets more likely. If support holds and we see a strong bounce, it could offer a short-term buying opportunity. Given increased volatility, traders should be cautious and monitor key levels closely. With economic data on the horizon, the S&P 500 is at a critical decision point. The next 24-48 hours will determine whether the recent recovery holds or if further downside is ahead.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
new indicator using options data ++ some project i'm working on. # Analysis of the S&P 500 Trading Dashboard Data I'll explain the key data elements used in this technical analysis dashboard and how they contribute to the trading conclusions. ## Key Price Levels and Their Significance The dashboard identifies several critical price levels for the S&P 500: - **Max Pain ($5,785)**: This represents the price level where options writers would experience the least financial pain (i.e., where the fewest options contracts would be in-the-money). The distance from the current price ($5,557.41) to max pain suggests significant upside resistance. - **Resistance Levels ($5,700 and $5,650)**: These represent areas where selling pressure is expected to increase. The $5,700 level is backed by data showing 13,877 call option contracts at this strike, creating a "wall" of resistance. - **Short Entry Zone ($5,595)**: This level was previously support that has been broken, making it a high-probability entry zone for short positions following the principle that broken support becomes resistance. - **Battle Zone ($5,550)**: An area with heavy options activity on both sides (puts and calls), indicating potential price volatility and uncertainty. - **Critical Support ($5,500)**: A psychologically important round number that also represents a significant technical level. - **Target Levels ($5,450 and $5,400)**: Projected price targets for short positions based on previous support levels and technical measurements. ## Options Market Data Two key options metrics are used to inform the analysis: 1. **Put/Call Ratio (1.80)**: This is significantly elevated above the typical range of 0.7-1.2, indicating: - Unusually bearish sentiment - Hedging activity by institutional investors - Potential for a contrarian bounce if it exceeds 2.0 The high ratio suggests market participants are purchasing put options for downside protection at an elevated rate compared to call options, confirming bearish positioning. 2. **Gamma Exposure (-$17.37 Billion)**: This negative value indicates: - Market makers are net short gamma - They must sell more futures as prices fall to maintain delta hedges - This creates a self-reinforcing downward spiral effect Gamma exposure represents the rate of change in delta (directional exposure) for options market makers. The large negative value suggests that downward price movement will accelerate as market makers must sell more futures to remain hedged, creating a "cascade effect" amplifying price movement. ## Technical Indicators and Their Interpretation The dashboard incorporates several technical analysis components: ### Price Action & Moving Averages The analysis indicates price is trading below all major moving averages (20/50/100/200 EMAs), a classic sign of bearish momentum across timeframes. When price trades below all these moving averages in sequence, it creates what traders call "bearish alignment," a strong confirmation of downtrend. ### Momentum Indicators - **RSI (Below 30)**: Indicates oversold conditions but in a strong downtrend, oversold conditions can persist. The analysis correctly warns against fighting the trend despite the oversold reading. - **MACD (Below signal line)**: Confirms negative momentum is in place, suggesting continued downward pressure. - **ACWF (Negative)**: A specialized momentum indicator showing continued bearish pressure. ### Volume Analysis - **On-Balance Volume (Declining)**: Indicates more volume on down days than up days, suggesting distribution (selling pressure). - **Volume on Down Bars (Increasing)**: Higher volume on declining price moves is a classic sign of seller control and distribution. ### Chart Patterns - **Head & Shoulders Pattern (Completed)**: A reversal pattern that typically projects further downside after completion. - **Elliott Wave Count (Wave 3)**: Wave 3 is typically the strongest and longest wave in Elliott Wave theory, suggesting significant continuation of the downtrend. ## Volatility Assessment The ATR (Average True Range) values of 9.18-98.75 indicate elevated and increasing volatility, which informs the risk management recommendations: - Reduce position size - Use wider stop losses - Expect larger price swings This is prudent risk management in high-volatility environments, as normal position sizing could lead to premature stopouts due to wider price swings. ## Trading Recommendation Logic The primary strategy (65% probability) of continued downside is based on the confluence of: 1. Bearish technical indicators across multiple timeframes 2. Negative gamma exposure creating a self-reinforcing downward spiral 3. Broken support levels and completed bearish chart patterns 4. Wave 3 Elliott Wave structure which typically has the strongest momentum The strategy recommends: - Entry at $5,590-5,600 (former support, now resistance) - Stop loss above $5,625 (limiting risk to approximately 30 points) - Targets at key support levels: $5,500, $5,450, and $5,400 - Reduced position size due to high volatility The alternative strategy (35% probability) acknowledges the potential for a reversal at the $5,500 psychological support level, but only with confirmation signals like volume decline and stabilization patterns. ## Educational Elements The dashboard incorporates several educational elements: 1. **Elliott Wave Theory**: The identification of Wave 3 of a 5-wave downtrend sequence suggests the current move is likely the strongest part of the larger bearish structure. 2. **Options Market Mechanics**: Explanation of how negative gamma exposure creates a self-reinforcing price action effect as market makers hedge their positions. 3. **Technical Analysis Patterns**: Clear labeling of patterns like the Head & Shoulders and broken uptrend line, along with their implications. 4. **Risk Management**: Specific recommendations for position sizing and stop placement in a high-volatility environment. This analysis combines price action, options market data, technical indicators, volume analysis, and chart patterns to create a comprehensive trading approach with specific entry, exit, and risk management parameters.
EIGHTCAP:SPX500
by user2839409
SPX500 Technical Analysis🔹 Trend Overview: SPX500 has been in a strong downtrend, and the price has already broken the 5,599.30 support level, confirming further bearish momentum. The next key support to watch is 5,506.40 (2025 lowest point). 🔹 Key Levels: 📈 Resistance: 5,599.30 (now turned resistance), 5,679.90 📉 Support: 5,506.40 – If broken, the sell-off could accelerate further. 🔹 Market Structure: ⚠️ Bearish scenario: Since 5,599.30 has already been broken, the price is likely to continue down to 5,506.40. A break below this level could push the market into new 2025 lows. 🚀 Bullish scenario: If the market pulls back above 5,599.30 and reclaims it as support, a temporary bounce to 5,679.90 could occur. 📌 Risk Management: -Wait for price action confirmation before entering new positions. -Monitor for potential retests of broken levels.
OANDA:SPX500USD
by juniormoseki1
Bullish Entry Spotted – Now We Wait...Bullish Entry Spotted – Now We Wait... | SPX Analysis 28 Mar 2025 Imagine the market dressed like Jack Nicholson in One Flew Over the Cuckoo’s Nest—slack-jawed, glassy-eyed, and strapped into a straightjacket made of indecision. That’s been the vibe all week. SPX continues to shuffle back and forth around 5700 like it's lost its meds and forgot where it was going. But if you’ve been following the plan, none of this should be surprising. We mapped it out on Monday, discussed it live in our Fast Forward mentorship call, and here we are watching it all play out with popcorn in hand. Today’s action may seem like “not much ado about anything,” but if you know what to look for… there’s gold in this grind. --- The end of March has the feel of a market that’s had one too many – not enough to fall over, but just enough to slur its way through price action. All week we’ve been dancing around the 5700 level – and for good reason. It’s acting as a triple threat: The GEX Flip Point The prior range high And now, the Bollinger Bands have closed in to confirm this as a possible launch (or rejection) zone. Add in the emergence of a pinch point, and what we’ve got is a market that’s coiling like a spring… but refusing to actually bounce. 📈 Bullish Swing Activated: During Monday’s Fast Forward group session, we mapped out a key level to watch for pulse bars. Lo and behold, the market obliged. I entered a bullish swing trade after seeing those bars fire right at the expected spot. No surprises, no panic – just execution. 🐻 Bear Swing Trigger Set: If the market does decide to do a dramatic nosedive, I’ve marked 5675 as my bear/hedge trigger – just under Thursday’s lows. Until then, it’s a game of “wait, watch, and get ready to stack the next trade.” 💤 Nothing Much? Still Profitable: Look, I get it – this week’s been slower than a BBC period drama. But just because things move at glacial speed doesn’t mean there’s nothing to do. As always, it’s about planning the trade, then trading the plan – not reacting to every twitch like a caffeinated squirrel. And if you’re wondering how the market feels… Let’s just say the “moves” this week have been scratchier than usual, so I’ll be looking for a special cream over the weekend.  --- The first “stock ticker” was powered by telegraph wires and clock springs. It was invented in 1867 by Edward Calahan… who was just 22 years old at the time. Before computers, before real-time data feeds, and way before Robinhood traders turned market moves into meme fodder – we had the ticker tape. Edward Calahan, a young telegraph operator, created the first stock ticker machine using the same tech that powered telegrams. It printed stock prices on a long ribbon of paper, allowing traders to see “live” quotes for the first time. This primitive marvel revolutionised Wall Street – traders no longer had to wait hours (or days) for price updates. And now here we are, trading from our phones while sipping lattes and watching pulse bars ping in real-time. Technology, eh? -- Happy trading, Phil Less Brain, More Gain …and may your trades be smoother than a cashmere codpiece p.s. Ready to stop scratching your head and start stacking profits? If you want to trade with clarity – not confusion – then it’s time to get serious about structure. 🔥 Join the Fast Forward Mentorship – trade live, twice a week, with me and the crew. PLUS Monthly on-demand 1-2-1's 📺 Or watch the free training to see the SPX Income System in action. No fluff. Just profits, pulse bars, and patterns that actually work.
SP:SPXLong
by MrPhilNewton
S&P500 6th time in 14 years that this buy signal flashes.S&P500 is sinking under its MA50 (1w) and is headed straight to the next support level, the MA100 (1w). Last time it touched this level was in October 30th 2023 and that's alone a great buy signal. It's the RSI (1w) you should be paying attention to as it is approaching the 33.00 level, which since August 2011 it has given 5 buy signals that all touched the MA100 (1w). Obviously in 2022 we had a bear market, March 2020 was the COVID Black Swan and December 2018 the peak of the U.S.-China trade wars. Trading Plan: 1. Buy on the MA100 (1w). Targets: 1. 6500. Tips: 1. This is a long term trade and it is all about your approach to risk. If you can handle unexpected dips below the MA100 (1w), then you will be greatly rewarded by the end of 2025. Please like, follow and comment!!
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingBrokersView
S&P 500 Wave Analysis – 1 April 2025 - S&P 500 reversed from support area - Likely to rise to resistance level 5700.00 S&P 500 index recently reversed from the support area located between the support level 5500.00 (low of the previous wave (A)), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the uptrend from August. The downward reversal from this support area stopped the earlier short-term impulse wave 1 of the downward impulse sequence (C) from the end of March. Given the improving sentiment across the equity markets and the strength of the support level 5500.00, S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5700.00.
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
03/24 SPX Weekly GEX Outlook, Options FlowYou can see that every expiry has shifted into a stronger bullish stance heading into Friday, with GEX exposure moving upward across the board—though total net GEX is still in negative territory, while net DEX (delta exposure) is positive. This combination points toward a likely near-term rebound this week, which makes sense after testing the 5600 range last week…. Here’s a more detailed breakdown of the key zones and likely moves this week: Bullish Target: The current uptrend could reach 5750 on its first attempt (already reached in Monday, thx bullsh :) ). If a positive gamma squeeze emerges at that level, we might see an extension to 5800 or even 5850 as a final profit-taking zone for bulls this week. HVL (Gamma Slip Zone): Placed at 5680, this threshold currently supports a low-volatility environment. A drop below 5680, however, could reignite fear and fuel bearish momentum. Put Floors & Net OI: The largest net negative open interest (OI) cluster is at 5650, with the next key level near 5600. At 5600, net DEX reads fully positive, suggesting strong buying support if the market tests that lower boundary.
SP:SPX
by TanukiTrade