US500 will continue go upIt just begin the up trend in W1 chart, and continue go up for a couple of weeks
SPIUSD trade ideas
The Golden Age 7000 EOY SPXThe Golden Age (year) is here!
Have cash ready for May in April. Be heavy hedges going in to 26.
We're going to juice earnings with all the investments pouring in for just about every single industry. Once the injection is complete, we will reset while all the invested money completes projects.
GL!
Better Buy Bitcoin
Global Liquidity Index Overlaid on S&P 500 Tracking the Global Liquidity Index with the S&P 500 helps understand liquidity's impact on market performance and predict future moves. The GLI offers a unified view of central bank balance sheets, converted to USD, excluding currency-pegged banks, with reliable data since 2007.
Rising liquidity often leads to market growth, while declining liquidity could signal pullbacks or increased volatility.
Liquidity Spikes: Sudden rises in the GLI may boost the S&P 500.
Liquidity Dips: Falling liquidity may signal market decline due to higher volatility and trading difficulties.
Divergence between the GLI & S&P 500:
If stocks rise while liquidity falls, a correction might be coming. If liquidity rises while stocks fall, the market might catch up to the liquidity increase.
The GLI indicates that risk appetite is starting to decline. High liquidity encourages risk-taking; low liquidity leads to safer investments, increasing volatility and potential market declines.
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S&P 500: Bullish Breakout or False Move?Chart Analysis:
The S&P 500 is at a critical juncture, trading just below a significant horizontal resistance level near 6,114.
1️⃣ Key Resistance Level:
The horizontal level at 6,114 represents a pivotal resistance, as prior attempts to breach this zone were met with selling pressure.
A successful breakout above this level could signal further upside potential and a continuation of the bullish trend.
2️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Rising around 5,980, providing dynamic support and reflecting sustained upward momentum.
200-day SMA (red): Trending upward near 5,628, confirming the long-term bullish trend.
3️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: Hovering near 65, indicating strong bullish momentum but approaching overbought conditions.
MACD: Bullish momentum remains intact, with the MACD line rising and staying above the zero line.
What to Watch:
Traders should monitor for a confirmed breakout above 6,114 on increased volume to validate further upside potential.
Failure to break above this resistance could lead to a retracement toward the 50-day SMA or previous support levels.
Keep an eye on RSI for any bearish divergence or signs of momentum weakening.
The S&P 500 is at a make-or-break level, and its reaction at 6,114 will determine the next directional move.
-MW
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & TargetsThe expected move for today is between 6185 and 6150 and that is a .50% move today and the only level we have in our trading range today is that 35 EMA you could see it’s been a pretty support all week and then we have that up gap from This Wednesday, which could give some added support at the bottom of the trading range. Monday’s contract at the bottom takes us in the middle of that gap and with how extremely overbought we are that 50 day moving average could be a really great target for next week.
S&P 500 hits all-time highsUS stock index futures were a touch lower this morning, pulling back following gains for all four majors on Thursday. Yesterday the S&P 500 finally broke above 6,100 to hit a fresh all-time high, while also posting a record close. The Dow and NASDAQ 100 were both around 1% below their respective all-time highs, while the mid-cap, domestically-focused Russell 2000 is now 6% adrift. Bear in mind how the Russell outperformed the other indices in the aftermath of Trump’s decisive electoral victory in November. Could this suggest that there are problems in the broader US stock market, away from the giant multinationals? The yield on the 10-year Treasury note is unchanged from yesterday at around 4.63%. The pullback in yields since last week’s benign inflation data is giving equities some support. The US dollar has fallen from the 26-month highs hit just under a fortnight ago. The Dollar Index has lost around 2.5% since then which is a significant move. Prior to Trump’s inauguration, the dollar had rallied, partly on the expectation that he would impose immediate swingeing tariffs from ‘Day 1’ as he threatened while on the campaign trail. The dollar retreated as tariffs weren’t forthcoming, and it fell further overnight following Trump’s call for an immediate cut in interest rates. His call comes just ahead of next week’s Federal Reserve monetary policy meeting. Although the probability of another cut from the Fed is realistically zero. The fourth quarter earnings season has had a positive start, and this is helping to support equities. Today brings results from a range of corporates across different sectors including American Express, Verizon Communications, NextEra Energy, HCA Healthcare and some regional banks. There are also updates on US Manufacturing and Services PMIs.
Situational Awareness – Morning of January 18th, 2025Market Overview:
Asia:
China has been strong this morning, continuing its base breakout.
Japan: Up for six consecutive days, showing steady upward momentum.
South Korea (Kospi): Range-bound since January 8th.
Europe:
EU50: Up approximately 8-9% YTD.
Germany: Up nearly 8% YTD, with eight consecutive positive days.
France: Continues to show strength this year.
Bitcoin and Ethereum:
Bitcoin: Trading in a tight range for the last 5-6 days, consolidating.
Ethereum: Also consolidating, showing potential for a breakout.
Key Indicators and Sectors:
VIX: At 15.07, remaining low.
Gold: Showing strong momentum over the last 30+ days.
Copper: Taking a breather, currently at $4.30.
RSP (Equal-Weighted S&P 500): Stable for three days, continuing its strength since January 13th.
QQE (Equal-Weighted Nasdaq): Fairly stable for the past two days, holding gains from January 13th.
Russell 2000: Seven consecutive days of gains, showing resilience.
FANG Stocks: Breaking out of a rectangular box pattern, indicating potential for special moves.
XLE (Energy ETF): Strong since December 20th, now facing three down days.
XLV (Healthcare ETF): Trending upward since January 17th; could be a sector to watch in the coming days.
XLU (Utilities ETF): Took a breather after a strong week. Weekly momentum remains upward.
XLF (Financials ETF): Flat this week after a strong previous week.
XLI (Industrials ETF): Continues upward momentum since January 13th.
Semiconductors: Eight consecutive positive days, but approaching resistance levels where previous reversals occurred.
DAPP (Digital Transformation ETF): Hovering near its baseline with false breakouts so far; a breakout would be noteworthy.
Plan of Action:
Focus on potential range expansions in individual tickers that show strength.
Consider two reversal bullish plays during the latter part of the trading day if setups present themselves.
Overall, the market looks stable with no significant red flags at the moment.
S&P 500 Index Sets Record HighS&P 500 Index Sets Record High
As shown by the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen), the stock index:
→ has increased by approximately 3.5% since the start of the year;
→ surpassed its previous all-time highs set in December.
Market participants’ optimism was driven by:
→ a strong start to earnings season and expectations of robust reports from major tech companies;
→ statements made by Donald Trump at the Davos forum, where the US president urged Saudi Arabia to lower oil prices and expressed the view that interest rates should be reduced. Overall, such measures are expected to foster economic growth.
Reuters quoted Lindsay Bell, Chief Strategist at 248 Ventures: buyers "like the idea of interest rates coming down, of oil prices coming down. All in all, the market is optimistic the more they hear about Trump policies. We're just seeing a reflection of that optimism."
Technical analysis of the S&P 500 chart (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) reveals:
→ At the end of 2024, price fluctuations formed an ascending channel (marked by blue lines).
→ The December dip appears to be a correction within the prevailing uptrend. Bears managed to push the price below the lower blue line, but only for about a week.
→ After breaking the correction channel (shaded in orange), bulls faced brief resistance (indicated by the arrow) at the 6040 level.
→ The RSI indicator is in the overbought zone and signals divergence. This suggests a minor pullback could occur, potentially testing the aforementioned 6040 level.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
S&P500 INDEX (US500): To The New Highs
US500 updated the All-Time High violating a significant
daily resistance cluster.
The broken structure turned into a potentially strong support.
The index is likely to continue a rally and reach 6150 soon.
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SPX500 Long Trade Setup Entry BreakdownThis is the last setup that I posted, I wanted to show what it looks like zoomed in the 15m. Price approached the level of reaction during NY session, made a high and a low, if it breaks higher we buy, in this case we bought when buyers broke the range, that's the confirmation. Because we always buy when price breaks highs and sell when price breaks lows. Stoploss placed under the low and targeted the highs from the previous setup. ICC, we simply follow what price tells us it wants to do.
SPX500 ICC Long Trade SetupPrice dropped from 6070 creating the bottom (L).
Before that bottom, price made that push upside (H).
After (L) price broke above (H), giving us an indication.
We knew that every time price broke back above (H) buyers were ready to buy.
First entry was valid, it was on session and zooming in the 15m buyers were strong and price was creating higher lows.
Although price didn't hit TP, stopped us and continued down to grab the liquidity sitting below the last low (L).
Then again, higher supports, zoom into 15m around the level of reaction to find highs breaking highs.
Back in session, price broke above the level so we re-entered buys, same trade as before, same SL and TP.
Some we lose some we win, what's important is sticking to the plan and managing risk!
Sell In May and Go Away?The best that I can see at this point in time. I think trading under Trump will be volatile and the volatility will continue to be realized through the tape until midyear. I see 6308 to 6371 as top targets at this time, the path is very uncertain but against most thoughts of a parabolic move, I think EW prevails and timing sets up for midyear reversal and possibly the end of this large large bull run. Time will tell. Im often wrong. Not financial advice.
Nightly $SPX / $SPY Predictions for 1.24.2024🔮
📅 Fri Jan 24
⏰ 8:30am
📊 Core PCE Price Index m/m: 0.1%
📊 Employment Cost Index q/q: 0.8%
⏰ 9:45am
📊 Chicago PMI: 36.9
💡 Market Insights:
📈 GAP ABOVE HPZ:
A further gap up would lead to it holding for a little, then dropping back down into the EEZ.
📊 OPEN WITHIN EEZ:
Trump mentioned he will try to lower the rates. Let’s see how the markets adjust to it, but definitely expecting a little more bullishness to the upside.
📉 GAP BELOW HCZ:
A large recovery will allow the markets to tag the red lines before closing slightly lower below the weekly HPZ.
#trading #stock #stockmarket #today #daytrading #swingtrading #charting #investing
SPX500The US 500 (also known as SPX500, US SPX 500 or SP500) - more commonly known as the S&P 500, or the Standard and Poor's 500 - tracks the performance of the 500 largest companies listed on the NYSE, Nasdaq and BZX exchanges. In short, the index tracks the performance of the biggest US companies
Potential trade setup on S&P 500We are looking at a long trade on S&P 500 based on the stretch strategy. There is trend,stretch and direction alignment with this trade on both 1h and Daily TF. Early entry was taken on swing high breakout on 1h for a trend change. There is a high probability for range,previous daily high and range to be formed to the upside. We will exit the trade once range has been achieved.
Trader Order Details:
S&P 500(Long)
E - 6083
SL - 6066
T - 6122
We will be tracking this move and updating the post as we go along on the charts and on video. Keep a look out for it traders.
All roads leads to ROME 6300-6500 area major top candidate for this cycle, many factors converging around this area
Market Snapshotwww.elliottwavetrader.net
Another great write-up by Avi Gilburt and team on the current state of things at a Macro level
Not affiliated with them and not pushing any of their services of course..
Do I agree with everything they say? Nope
The below snippet from the article hints at the TRUE reason why things are going to get desperate in this economy over the next decade:
"QE is merely a machination through which more debt is made available in the system, which is an indirect manner to increase the money supply. It is not actual printing of dollar bills, which would directly increase the money supply. Therefore, if more debt is made available, the only way you will get inflation is if there is public demand for that additional supply of debt. Without the matching demand for the additional debt supply, QE becomes a failure."
S&P500 - Preparing For The Final Bullrun!S&P500 ( TVC:SPX ) is still heading higher:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Although the S&P500 has been creating new all time highs for the past couple of months, charts are clearly telling us that this bullrun is not over yet. We already saw two textbook cycles of +90% each and during 2025, we will see the completion of the third and final bullrun.
Levels to watch: $7.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Trump vs. Fed: USD down, S&P upDuring his presidential campaign, Donald Trump suggested he should have influence over interest rate decisions.
Now, the US dollar has weakened, and the S&P 500 has reached record highs as Trump publicly demanded that the Federal Reserve lower interest rates.
Although Trump doesn't have the power to overrule the Federal Reserve, his unconventional politicking means he might be able to find a way to push through his agenda.
These remarks come just days before the Fed’s upcoming two-day policy meeting, which will conclude on Wednesday with an interest rate decision. However, markets are pricing in almost no chance of a further cut to the benchmark borrowing rate.
Additionally, Trump stated he would ask Saudi Arabia to lower oil prices, which caused crude oil prices to decline.
For the exact date and time of these major economic events, import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to receive alerts directly in your email inbox.
SPX500 SELL...Hello guys
Considering that the price reaches the resistance range, we can enter into the transaction with capital and risk management.
*Trade safely with us*
S&P 500 INDEX ,,, UPDATE CHARTThe S&P 500 index is approaching a critical level, and if it successfully stabilizes above this threshold, we can anticipate further market growth. Meanwhile, the following stocks are experiencing pullbacks to previously broken levels. If these pullbacks are completed and accompanied by a bullish trigger, they may present attractive buying opportunities.
BKR-ZBRA-AON-LRCX-AMAT
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels and Targets for Today & Tomorrow6150-6120 is the implied move for today from options.
We are just under ATH’s and we have a red signal line
