#024 Trust The Process BCOUSD 1336SGT 25022025Buying BCO.
Shall see what happens next.
Price is currently at Major Support area, so, I think, unless if you are a contrarian trader, otherwise you would be buying in this situation.
Of course, besides contrarian traders, there would be breakout traders, people seeing the " build up ", and all kinds of ideas.
And I think, most traders lose money. Why? I am also a long term loser, hahaha. I have no idea why I lost for almost 10 years, too. March 2025 is my 9th year trading forex.
I'm a short term winner, long term loser.
1339SGT 25022025
SPOTBRENT trade ideas
UKOIL (Brent Crude)UKOIL (Brent Crude) has recently tested a strong support level at $73.80, where buying pressure has prevented further declines. This level has historically acted as a significant price floor, indicating a potential reversal or continuation of bullish momentum.
Bullish Scenario:
As long as UKOIL remains above $73.80, we can expect an upward move toward the next resistance levels.
The first key resistance is at $74.70, a level where sellers have previously shown interest.
If price action remains strong, the next upside target would be $75.30.
Bearish Scenario:
If UKOIL fails to hold $73.80 and breaks below this level, it may signal a further decline.
BRENT H4 ShortAccording to the analysis on this instrument we expect the price to fall from the level. As we see there was a breakthrough of the level and consolidation behind it. This is a good reason to enter the market. However, the fundamental data this week may not go in our direction. Therefore, it works only from confirmation of entry into a short position.
BRENT Bearish capped by resistance at 7580The BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7580, 20th February swing low level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7580 level could target the downside support at 7373 followed by 7300 and 7242 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7580 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 615 resistance followed by 7690 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
The Anticipation of Brent OilIn the bustling world of forex trading, Alex will be positioned at his screen, eyes fixed on the charts that pulse with potential. He will see Brent Oil at 76.20, and he will know that the price will touch a peak of 76.90.
As he sips his coffee, he will remember the buzz in the trading forums: "Watch for any pullback." Pullbacks will be the key to unlocking great opportunities for those ready to act. With the blue EMA (Exponential Moving Average) just below the current price, Alex will feel a mix of excitement and tension. He will recognize that the blue EMA is his signal—a guiding line that could set the stage for a promising long trade.
He will remind himself to be patient, recalling the strategy he has meticulously crafted over countless hours. The plan will be simple: wait for the price to pull back to the blue EMA before entering his position. He will know that this calculated move could lead to a rewarding trade, but he must remain vigilant.
As he watches the price, he will notice a slight dip approaching the blue EMA. His heart will quicken; this could be the moment he’s been waiting for. He will prepare to act, fingers hovering over the mouse, ready to place his order as soon as the price touches that line.
The market will be alive with possibilities, and Alex will feel the thrill of the impending trade. He will know that this moment could define his day, his week, even his trading career. As Brent Oil inches closer, he will hold his breath, waiting for the perfect opportunity to take his position and ride the wave back up.
In that moment, anticipation will fill the air, and Alex will be ready to seize the chance that the market offers. The dance with Brent Oil will soon begin, and he will be poised for victory.
Brent: Strategic Reserve Data TodayBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
Brent crude oil, a key benchmark in Europe, is showing signs of recovery in today's session on the Futures Market. After bouncing for the third time from the $81.72 level recorded last Thursday, today's opening price started at $75.28 per barrel and has advanced to $75.74, evidencing an effort to stabilize amid market volatility.
Rebound Context
The remarkable rebound from $81.72 has generated expectations in the sector, interpreted as a sign of resilience in an environment marked by geopolitical tensions and energy supply challenges. Disruptions in critical infrastructures and uncertainties derived from international trade policies continue to be factors affecting price fluctuations. Looking at the average indicators, we can detect elevated trend indecision which could mark a continuation of the price decline to the $72 area at the Checkpoint zone which coincides with the previous trading average zone. The RSI is currently slightly overbought at 58.29%, so it remains to be seen if it rises above $77 to maintain its price around $75 or on the contrary, if it falls as it has been doing in previous seasons towards its strong zone of $72.
Supply Concerns from Russia and Kazakhstan
The rise in Brent comes against a backdrop of growing concerns among investors about crude oil supply from Russia. Ukrainian drone attacks have significantly affected Russian energy infrastructure, reducing the flow in the Caspian Sea by 30-40% during the week.
Special attention deserves the Kazakh pipeline that supplies crude oil to Europe. On Monday, seven drones hit the Kropotskinskaya station, 200 km south of Rostov-on-Don, considered the most important pumping facility of the pipeline to the Black Sea. This disruption threatens to further destabilize energy flows to Europe.
Geopolitical Tensions Influencing the Market
The market is also keeping an eye on diplomatic developments. The United States and Russia held a meeting in Saudi Arabia to negotiate a possible end to the conflict in Ukraine. In addition, France led a second emergency meeting on European and global security.
Added to this are tensions in the Middle East, where Israel and Hamas will begin negotiations for a second phase of the ceasefire in Gaza, which could alleviate the risks of oil supply disruptions from the region.
Market Outlook on U.S. Trade Policies.
The market is also reacting to the uncertainty generated by the trade and tariff policies of U.S. President Donald Trump, who also referred to Ukrainian President Volodymir Zelenski as “an unelected dictator,” urging him to act quickly.
All of these expected tariffs in March and April could temporarily boost prices, although traders remain cautious about a combination of sanctions, tariffs and geopolitical instability.
Expectations and Pending Data
Despite this partial recovery, the outlook remains uncertain. Market traders remain on hold awaiting the Federal Reserve's crude oil data, which is expected today and could shed more clarity on the near-term trend. These reports will be instrumental in determining whether the current recovery consolidates or further adjustments in the Brent price.
Market Outlook
The moderate advance from the open at $75.28 to $75.74 per barrel reflects the market's dynamism in response to multiple factors. As the industry keeps a close eye on diplomatic developments and trade policy decisions, Brent's ability to recover from elevated levels suggests resilience that could, however, be affected by future events or economic data.
In summary, the current day presents a recovering Brent, with the market's attention focused on upcoming Fed data, which will be key in defining the future direction of prices.
Conclusion
The combination of supply disruptions, geopolitical tensions and expectations about US trade policies continue to set the trend for Brent, which for now remains above $75, but this need not necessarily be the case, as the crude oil problem has different sides and could fall to the $70 support zone if things are not resolved from a geopolitical and supply perspective, especially concerning Europe. In today's situation, we will have to see if the strategic reserve data continues to lower the price of crude oil or, on the contrary, sustains its price in the 75 zone.
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BRENT Crude sideways consolidation continuesThe BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7685, 20 Day Moving Average level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7685 level could target the downside support at 7400 followed by 7300 and 7225 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7685 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7780 resistance followed by 7840 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Brent Crude Oil Wave Analysis – 17 February 2025
- Brent Crude Oil reversed from support zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 76.75
Brent Crude Oil recently reversed up from the support zone between the key support level 74.00 (former strong resistance from December), lower daily Bollinger Band and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the upward impulse from October.
The upward reversal from this support zone stopped the previous short-term ABC correction ii from the middle of January.
Given the bullish divergence on the daily Stochastic, Brent Crude Oil can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 76.75.
Moustafa! 16.02.25 The moment I waited a lot for, just came!!- No idea you have of how long I waited for such moment!!
- I am a swing trader and all my trades generate normally thousands of points and pips.
- I predicted with another idea before on same asset, with huge far target in a long wave and I won it!
- I am different from others because I have different eyes may be! which could see the potential huge waves before they happen!
- Technically there is a huge symmetrical triangle which was breached from the above and all that last bearish wave is what you call it by pull back only! but majority of you do not see it because few are pure swing traders which helps me to use much bigger time frames and wait a lot till chances like that come!
- There are 3 horizontal lines in green with price tags represent support areas on the daily and weekly frames!
- Even the price broke the down channel on the daily frame and made even the pull back of it, except a little more
- I expect a historical turn in the Brent Crude Oil prices to my TP levels and to be the first one who advised those far levels and to be one of my most profitable trades!
- I know the majority expect the selling but I trust my skills away from all the noise! and remember that patience is the key but pays off always!
Note:
My ideas are exclusive to myself only and is not regarded as an advice for traders or investors and are not more than personal thoughts which I just wanted to share with you all and I do hope they could help.
I am not selling any signals and I do not take money favour any trades recommendations. They are free of charge all lifelong but I keep the copy rights of them though to not be copied or shared or sold.
BRENT Crude The Week Ahead 17 Feb 25 The BRENT Crude (Brent Crude) price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend.
The key trading level is at 7685, 20 Day Moving Average level. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 7685 level could target the downside support at 7400 followed by 7300 and 7225 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 7685 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 7780 resistance followed by 7840 levels.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Brent Crude Price Drops After Trump’s Call with PutinBrent Crude Price Drops After Trump’s Call with Putin
According to the XBR/USD chart, the price of Brent crude oil fell by more than 2% in a single day. This decline followed an announcement by US President Trump that he had spoken with Russian President Putin, discussing various global issues, including the war in Ukraine.
As reported by Reuters, this has raised expectations that a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia could involve lifting sanctions, which have disrupted global oil supply flows.
Technical Analysis of XBR/USD
On 7 February, we highlighted key support at $74. Since then, the price has risen (as indicated by the arrow) to $77, which has confirmed its role as resistance.
Brent crude price movements outline a descending channel (marked in blue), with:
→ Bullish perspective: The $74 level may still act as support.
→ Bearish perspective: The $75.50–$75.80 zone, where sellers have shown dominance, could challenge bulls attempting to push prices into the upper half of the channel.
Rising US oil inventories, the prospect of increased production under President Trump, and expectations of sanctions on Russia being lifted could all contribute to Brent crude revisiting its 2025 lows.
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Weekly price prediction: $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max).Projected Price Range
The anticipated weekly price range for Brent Crude Oil is expected to fluctuate between $71.49 (Min) and $77.37 (Max).
Contended Price Levels
$74.50 – Point of Control (POC) – potential support
$73.22 - $71.49 – High Volume Node (HVN) – potential support
$77.32 - $81.62 – Low Volume Node (LVN) – potential resistance
Technical Analysis
Fibonacci Retracement & Price Movement:
The price reached the 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level in mid-January before retracing.
This level has demonstrated consistent horizontal price movement over the past six months, indicating it as a key reference point.
Volume Profile Analysis:
High Volume Node (HVN): Found between $73.22 and $71.49, indicating strong liquidity and potential support.
Low Volume Node (LVN): Between $77.32 and $81.62, which could lead to rapid price spikes if the price enters this zone.
MACD and Stochastic RSI:
Stochastic RSI (Bottom Indicator): Has shown low bearish momentum over the last two weeks and appears poised for an upward crossover, signalling potential price growth.
MACD (Top Indicator): Remains in the negative region, with a few weeks left before a possible crossover, implying continued caution for bullish sentiment.
Additional Factors
Support & Resistance Considerations:
Point of Control (POC) and HVN are close to the current price, reinforcing these as key support zones.
The price is currently resting on a previous resistance level that has now turned into support.
The black rectangle above the price highlights the LVN region, where rapid price movements could occur.
The white rectangle represents a large support zone, which may contribute to horizontal price movement.
Geopolitical & Market Sentiment:
As always, geopolitical events could significantly impact price fluctuations, and traders should remain alert to any market-moving developments.
Conclusion
Brent Crude Oil prices for the upcoming week are likely to remain within the projected range, given the strong support levels in the current price zone. However, any breakout downward could be swift, while an upward breakout could be accelerated due to the LVN region.
"UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the "UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long & Short entry. 👀 Be wealthy and safe trade 💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : You can enter a Bull or Bear trade at any point after the breakout.
Buy entry above 77.500
Sell Entry below 75.500
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest Pullbacks.
Goal 🎯: Bullish Robbers TP 81.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
Bearish Robbers TP 72.500 (or) Escape Before the Target
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook:
The "UKOILSPOT / BRENT Crude Oil" Energy market is expected to move in a bearish direction, driven by several key factors.
🟠Macroeconomic Factors:
1. Global Economic Slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China, may decrease demand for crude oil, putting downward pressure on prices.
2. US-China Trade Tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China may lead to a decline in global economic growth, negatively impacting oil demand.
3. Strong US Dollar: A strong US dollar may make crude oil more expensive for foreign buyers, reducing demand and putting downward pressure on prices.
🔴Fundamental Factors:
1. Increasing US Shale Oil Production: Rising US shale oil production may lead to a surplus in global oil supply, putting downward pressure on prices.
2. High Oil Inventory Levels: Elevated oil inventory levels in the US and other countries may indicate a surplus in global oil supply, negatively impacting prices.
3. OPEC+ Compliance Issues: Non-compliance by OPEC+ members with production cuts may lead to a surplus in global oil supply, putting downward pressure on prices.
🟢Trader/Market Sentimental Analysis:
1. Bearish Trader Sentiment: The CoT report shows that speculative traders are net short crude oil, indicating a bearish sentiment.
2. Market Sentiment: The market sentiment is bearish, with many analysts expecting crude oil prices to decline due to the supply surplus.
3. Technical Analysis: The technical analysis shows that crude oil is in a downtrend, with a bearish breakdown below the $70 level.
🟡Sentimental Outlook:
Bearish Sentiment: 55%
Bullish Sentiment: 30%
Neutral Sentiment: 15%
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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BRENT - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
While the price is above the support 68.485, beginning of uptrend is expected.
We make sure when the resistance at 81.651 breaks.
If the support at 68.485 is broken, the short-term forecast -beginning of uptrend- will be invalid.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 81.735 on 01/15/2025, so more losses to support(s) 73.868, 71.698, 70.505 and minimum to Major Support (68.485) is expected.
Take Profits:
75.270
77.558
79.049
81.651
84.161
87.271
91.613
95.108
98.908
103.260
106.431
115.785
123.265
131.000
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