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USOIL Will Go Higher From Support! Buy! Please, check our technical outlook for USOIL. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The price is testing a key support 61.684. Current market trend & oversold RSI makes me think that buyers will push the price. I will anticipate a bullish movement at least to 64.409 level. P.S Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
FX:USOILLong
by SignalProvider
1
Will Middle East Tensions Ignite a Global Oil Crisis?The global oil market faces significant turbulence amidst reports of potential Israeli military action against Iran's nuclear facilities. This looming threat has triggered a notable surge in oil prices, reflecting deep market anxieties. The primary concern stems from the potential for severe disruption to Iran's oil output, a critical component of global supply. More critically, an escalation risks Iranian retaliation, including a possible blockade of the Strait of Hormuz, a vital maritime chokepoint through which a substantial portion of the world's oil transits. Such an event would precipitate an unprecedented supply shock, echoing historical price spikes seen during past Middle Eastern crises. Iran currently produces around 3.2 million barrels per day and holds strategic importance beyond its direct volume. Its oil exports, primarily to China, serve as an economic lifeline, making any disruption profoundly impactful. A full-scale conflict would unleash a cascade of economic consequences: extreme oil price surges would fuel global inflation, potentially pushing economies into recession. While some spare capacity exists, a prolonged disruption or a Hormuz blockade would render it insufficient. Oil-importing nations, particularly vulnerable developing economies, would face severe economic strain, while major oil exporters, including Saudi Arabia, the US, and Russia, would see substantial financial gains. Beyond economics, a conflict would fundamentally destabilize the geopolitical landscape of the Middle East, unraveling diplomatic efforts and exacerbating regional tensions. Geostrategically, the focus would intensify on safeguarding critical maritime routes, highlighting the inherent vulnerabilities of global energy supply chains. Macroeconomically, central banks would confront the difficult task of managing inflation without stifling growth, leading to a surge in safe-haven assets. The current climate underscores the profound fragility of global energy markets, where geopolitical developments in a volatile region can have immediate and far-reaching global repercussions.
FX_IDC:USDWTILong
by UDIS_View
Will crude oil prices continue to rise?On Wednesday, international crude oil prices surged to nearly a one-month high amid market concerns over supply disruptions in the Middle East. News that Israel may strike Iranian nuclear facilities has ignited a risk premium for crude oil, while stalled progress in U.S.-Iran nuclear negotiations has also tightened supply expectations. The latest data from the Fujairah Oil Industrial Zone in the UAE showed that as of the week ending May 19, total refined product inventories at the Port of Fujairah stood at 20.562 million barrels, a 4.9% decline from the previous week. Light distillate inventories fell by 357,000 barrels to 8.277 million barrels, medium distillate inventories dropped by 467,000 barrels to 1.295 million barrels, and heavy residual fuel oil inventories rose by 1.651 million barrels to 10.99 million barrels. Crude oil experienced a pullback today, with prices oscillating lower after the opening, showing minor fluctuations. Notably, prices gradually broke to new lows, suggesting a high probability of a rapid decline. Overall, crude oil has been in a stalemate between rally and correction recently, showing a pattern of daytime declines and night-time gains, but this may shift today. In trading, consider going long on rebounds as the primary strategy and shorting at highs as a secondary approach. Monitor resistance at the $63.0-$64.0 per barrel level and support at the $61.0-$60.0 per barrel level. Trading Strategy: buy@60.0-61.0 TP:63.0-64.0 In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ashbur
Bullish bounce?USO/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 60.39 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 57.93 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit: 64.42 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
VANTAGE:USOUSDLong
by VantageMarkets
Oil: Elliott Wave WXY Pattern Signals Potential Shift🛢☕️ #OilInsteadOfCoffee | 📐 #TECHANALYSIS Oil has not yet broken its upward trend, but it appears to have surpassed a local peak and formed a WXY pattern (a combination in Elliott Wave theory: W = flat, X = double zigzag, Y = single zigzag). The Y wave could still evolve into a triangle (blue) or a flat. We hold positions and await further developments. ⚠️ Disclaimer: Our analysis is food for thought, not a call to action. Trade with a cool head, a clear plan, and your own analysis.
TVC:USOIL
by Fomenka
Oil Prices Up as Trump Delays EU Tariffs (Temporary Relief?) The global oil market, a sensitive barometer of economic health and geopolitical stability, registered a slight uptick in prices following the news that the Trump administration would extend the deadline for imposing new tariffs on a range of European Union goods. This minor rally, however, comes against a backdrop of a broader downtrend that has characterized the oil markets since mid-January. The persistent downward pressure has been largely attributed to the chilling effect of existing and threatened tariffs, not just between the US and the EU, but on a global scale, which have cast a long shadow over the outlook for global energy demand. To understand the significance of this deadline extension and its nuanced impact on oil prices, it's crucial to first appreciate the environment in which it occurred. For several months, the dominant narrative surrounding oil has been one of demand-side anxiety. President Trump's "America First" trade policy, which has seen the imposition of sweeping tariffs on goods from various countries, most notably China, and the persistent threat of more to come against allies like the European Union, has injected a significant dose of uncertainty into the global economic system. Tariffs, at their core, are taxes on imported goods. Their imposition typically leads to a cascade of negative economic consequences. Businesses that rely on imported components face higher input costs, which can either be absorbed, thereby reducing profit margins, or passed on to consumers in the form of higher prices. Higher consumer prices can dampen spending, a key driver of economic growth. Furthermore, the uncertainty created by an unpredictable trade policy environment often leads businesses to postpone investment decisions and hiring, further stagnating economic activity. This economic slowdown, or even the fear of it, directly translates into weaker demand for oil. Manufacturing activity, a significant consumer of energy, tends to decline. Global shipping and freight, which rely heavily on bunker fuel and diesel, slow down as trade volumes shrink. Consumer demand for gasoline and jet fuel can also wane if economic hardship leads to reduced travel and leisure activities. The retaliatory measures often taken by targeted nations – imposing their own tariffs on US goods – only serve to exacerbate this negative feedback loop, creating a tit-for-tat escalation that further erodes business confidence and global trade flows. It is this overarching concern about a tariff-induced global economic slowdown that has been weighing heavily on oil prices since the middle of January. Market participants, from large institutional investors to commodity traders, have been pricing in the potential for significantly reduced oil consumption in the months and years ahead if these trade disputes were to escalate or become entrenched. Every new tariff announcement or threat has typically sent ripples of concern through the market, often pushing oil prices lower. Against this gloomy backdrop, the news of an extension to the tariff deadline on EU goods, while not a resolution, acts as a momentary pause button on further immediate escalation. It offers a temporary reprieve, a brief window where the worst-case scenario of new, damaging tariffs being instantly applied is averted. This is likely why oil prices "edged higher." The market's reaction can be interpreted in several ways. Firstly, it reflects a slight easing of immediate downside risk to the European economy. The EU is a massive economic bloc and a significant consumer of oil. The imposition of new US tariffs on key European goods, such as automobiles or luxury products, would undoubtedly have a detrimental impact on European industries, potentially tipping already fragile economies closer to recession. An extension of the deadline pushes this immediate threat further down the road, offering a sliver of hope that a negotiated solution might yet be found, or at least that the economic pain is deferred. This deferral, however slight, can lead to a marginal upward revision of short-term oil demand expectations from the region. Secondly, the extension can be seen as a signal, however faint, that dialogue and negotiation are still possible. In the fraught world of international trade diplomacy, any indication that parties are willing to continue talking rather than immediately resorting to punitive measures can be interpreted positively by markets. It reduces, fractionally, the "uncertainty premium" that has been built into asset prices, including oil. However, it is crucial to temper any optimism. The fact that oil only "edged higher" rather than surged indicates the market's deep-seated caution. An extension is not a cancellation. The underlying threat of tariffs remains very much on the table. The fundamental disagreements that led to the tariff threats in the first place have not been resolved. Therefore, while the immediate pressure point has been alleviated, the chronic condition of trade uncertainty persists. The oil market is acutely aware that this extension could simply be a tactical move, buying time for political reasons without altering the fundamental trajectory of trade policy. If, at the end of the extended period, no agreement is reached and tariffs are indeed imposed, the negative impact on oil demand expectations would likely resurface with renewed force. The market is therefore likely to adopt a "wait and see" approach, with traders hesitant to make significant bullish bets based solely on a deadline postponement. Furthermore, the US-EU trade dynamic is just one piece of a larger global puzzle. The ongoing trade tensions with China, for instance, continue to be a major drag on global growth projections and, by extension, oil demand. Progress, or lack thereof, on that front often has a more substantial impact on oil prices than developments in the US-EU relationship, given the sheer scale of US-China trade and China's role as the world's largest oil importer. The slight rise in oil prices also needs to be seen in the context of other market-moving factors. Supply-side dynamics, such as OPEC+ production decisions, geopolitical events in major oil-producing regions like the Middle East, and fluctuations in US shale output, constantly interact with demand-side sentiment. A deadline extension on EU tariffs might provide a small boost, but it can be easily overshadowed by a surprise inventory build, an unexpected increase in OPEC production, or signs of weakening economic data from other major economies. In conclusion, the decision by the Trump administration to extend the tariff deadline on EU goods offered a moment of temporary relief to an oil market that has been under duress from trade war anxieties. This relief manifested as a marginal increase in oil prices, reflecting a slight reduction in immediate perceived risk to global economic activity and oil demand, particularly from Europe. However, this should not be mistaken for a fundamental shift in market sentiment or a resolution to the underlying trade disputes. The threat of tariffs remains, and the broader concerns about a global economic slowdown fueled by protectionist policies continue to loom large. The oil market's cautious reaction underscores the prevailing uncertainty, suggesting that while this extension provides a brief breathing space, the path ahead for oil prices will continue to be heavily influenced by the unpredictable currents of international trade policy.
TVC:USOIL
by bryandowningqln
USOIL: Bulls Are Winning! Long! My dear friends, Today we will analyse USOIL together☺️ The market is at an inflection zone and price has now reached an area around 61.687 where previous reversals or breakouts have occurred.And a price reaction that we are seeing on multiple timeframes here could signal the next move up so we can enter on confirmation, and target the next key level of 62.377.Stop-loss is recommended beyond the inflection zone. ❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
FX:USOILLong
by FreeXauusdSignals
Bullish momentum to extend?WTI Oil (XTI/USD) has bounced off the pivot and could rise to the 1st resistance, which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Pivot: 60.08 1st Support: 57.68 1st Resistance: 64.63 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:XTIUSDLong
by ICmarkets
Forecast of the market trend at the opening on Monday”Oil prices remained under pressure this week, experiencing a notable decline due to multiple factors. As of Friday's Asian morning session, Brent crude futures fell 37 cents to $64.07 per barrel, while U.S. WTI crude futures dropped 39 cents to $60.81 per barrel. Brent crude fell 2% for the week, while WTI declined 2.7%. Key Drivers of Oil Price Weakness Stronger U.S. Dollar The U.S. House of Representatives passed President Donald Trump’s tax-cut and fiscal spending bill, boosting the U.S. dollar index against a basket of currencies. As oil is dollar-denominated, a stronger dollar typically reduces purchasing power for non-USD buyers, suppressing oil prices. Supply-Demand Sensitivity and Market Sentiment The combination of dollar strength and expectations of OPEC+ production increases has intensified bearish sentiment in the oil market. While demand is gradually recovering, significant upward pressure on supply—including potential output hikes from OPEC+ and rising U.S. shale production—has created near-term volatility. Technical Outlook and Trading Strategy Short-Term Trend: Oil prices are likely to remain in a sideways-to-downward oscillation due to supply-demand imbalances. Key Levels: Resistance: $63.0–$63.5 per barrel (short-term overhead resistance). Support: $60.5–$60.0 per barrel (critical near-term support zone). Trading Approach: Consider rebound shorting as the primary strategy, with retracement buying as a secondary approach. Use rallies toward $63.0–$63.5 to initiate short positions, targeting support at $60.5–$60.0, with stop-losses above $64.0. Note: Monitor OPEC+ policy updates and U.S. inventory data for potential shifts in market sentiment. Volatility may rise ahead of key economic indicators.
TVC:USOILShort
by Ashbur
WTI OIL Might be close to the end of correction or finished it.there are definetly more than 1 posibilities in this one, 1 more down wave can occur and that is why i have a invalidation level. long term definetly buy but short and mid term is just not very clear, i am thinking it s time to buy. what i am going to do is keep track of it a bit more in short term and if it gives me good buying opportunity near the below i will enter the trade with a stop loss. and if it upbrakes possible impulse wave will occur and i will buy again to mid term target. so for now keep an eye on it and buy if the opportunity arise.
PEPPERSTONE:SPOTCRUDELong
by artisticDog29915
USOIL Weekly Analysis – Major Breakdown and Retest in PlayAfter several months of holding firm, USOIL has finally broken below its key support zone around $67–$70, which had acted as a floor since mid-2021 . This is a significant technical development, and the current price action is showing a classic bearish retest of that broken structure. Technical Breakdown: Support Broken: The $67–$70 zone was tested multiple times over the past 2 years. Price has now cleanly broken through it and is struggling to reclaim it. Retest in Progress: Price is currently hovering around $62.36 and failing to push back above the broken support. This retest is textbook and could confirm further downside. Market Structure: Lower highs and lower lows dominate the weekly chart = clear bearish trend. Bearish Targets: Target 1: $53.50 – Previous minor demand zone from 2021. Target 2: $41.50 – Strong historical support and potential major bounce area. Invalidation Zone: If price closes above $70 on the weekly chart, the breakdown would be invalidated and we’ll reconsider our bias. Confluence: Broken multi-year support Bearish retest on weekly timeframe Clear downside liquidity below Summary: Bias: Bearish Setup: Short on confirmation of rejection below $67 Timeframe: Weekly / Daily This is a high-probability setup if the rejection continues. Look for further bearish price action on the daily or 4H chart for refined entries. As always, manage risk carefully . Like & Follow for more clean, high-timeframe breakdowns!
FX:USOIL
by Mrshazee
4
USOIL:Long at 61.3-61.5 Last week's long target has been completed, the current decline is mainly due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, from the technical trend, the objective trend of the middle line downward, short term long and short frequently alternate, pay attention to the support point of 60.3-60.5 within the day. Considering that it has been around this point of shock and not broken, short - term trading to do more. So the trading strategy :BUY@61.3-61.5 TP@62.5-62.7 ↓↓↓ More detailed strategies and trading will be notified here →→→ ↓↓↓ Keep updated, come to "get" →→→
TVC:USOILLong
by Boooob_
Crude oil rebounds after encountering 60 support 📊Technical aspects Due to concerns that global supply growth may exceed demand growth, WTI prices fell slightly and rebounded slightly after hitting the 60 mark. From the daily chart level, the medium-term trend moving average system suppresses the rebound of oil prices, and the medium-term objective trend direction is downward. After the oil price hit the low of 55.20, the frequent alternation of long and short formed, and the embryonic form of the falling flag relay appeared from the shape. Pay attention to the strength of the oil price testing the upper edge of the flag. It is expected that after the medium-term trend fluctuates, it will still rise to the 64 position. The short-term (1H) trend of crude oil fell and touched the key support of 60, then rose slightly. The moving average system turned to divergent upward arrangement, and the short-term objective trend direction was upward. The MACD indicator fast and slow lines crossed the zero axis, and the bullish momentum was sufficient. It is expected that the trend of crude oil will continue to rise during the day, and the probability of breaking through the 63 resistance and moving upward is relatively high. 💰 Strategy Package Long Position: 60.5-61.5
TVC:USOILLong
by v5hpx6
1
Latest Strategic Positioning for Crude OilDuring the US trading session, crude oil prices declined for the second consecutive trading day after rebounding from intraday lows and encountering resistance. The commodity traded at $60.42 per barrel, representing a 1.87% daily loss. Per the Commitments of Traders (COT) report released last Friday, there exists a moderate divergence in sentiment between managed funds and asset management firms regarding WTI crude oil futures. While both investor categories maintain net long positions, over the prior two weeks, managed funds reduced their net long exposure by approximately 20,000 contracts, whereas large speculators increased their net long positions by 10,000 contracts. Technically, crude oil exhibited a "rally-and-reversal" pattern today, retreating under selling pressure near the $61.7 resistance zone before stabilizing and rebounding around $60.0. Current price action indicates a range-bound oscillation, with bullish stabilization probabilities contingent on the $60.0 support level holding firm. In summary, crude oil remains trapped in a narrow consolidation phase, with overhead resistance levels retaining dominance. For today's trading strategy, a "rebound shorting-first" approach is recommended, complemented by tactical long positions on dips. Key resistance lies between $61.7-$62.5, while support zones are identified at $60.0-$59.0. In the market, there are no absolutes, and neither upward nor downward trends are set in stone. Therefore, the ability to judge the balance between market gains and losses is your key to success. Let money become our loyal servant.
TVC:USOILLong
by Ashbur
WTI Crude: Bears Target 60.549 USDHey traders and investors! 🔹 Crude Oil — 1D / 4H 📍 Context Daily (1D): clear short trend; price capped below 65.40 USD. 4-Hour (4H): sideways range — its boundaries are marked by black lines on the chart — with seller initiative in control. Higher-time-frame levels reinforce the bearish bias. 🔎 Analysis Sellers keep the upper hand on 4H. The daily shows no strong buyer bars, sustaining downward pressure. If price retests the IKC zone and prints bearish confirmation (high-volume seller bar or buyer absorption), the odds of breaking 60.549 USD increase. 🎯 Trade Idea Setup: hunt for short patterns inside the IKC range. Target: 60.549 USD (range low). Confirmation: pattern on M15–H1 + seller-side volume. 📌 Takeaway Bears remain in control. Wait for a trigger inside the IKC zone and lower-TF confirmation before joining the move toward 60.549 USD. This analysis is based on the Initiative Analysis concept (IA). Wishing you profitable trades!
OANDA:WTICOUSD
by AlexeyWolf