Against the Trend? We can anticipate a short term crude long.
It is against the trend on 15 mins, but a very short 200-500 points long.
SPOTCRUDE trade ideas
USOIL SHORTUSOIL
If it reaches 73 next week and shows a bearish structure, it makes sense to short these areas. Empty lows below look nice
WTI on high time frame
"Hello traders, focusing on WTI, the price has hit the daily order block at $73.5 and experienced a strong rejection on the 4-hour chart. The price has broken below the trend line and is indicating potential downward movement during the Asian session today. It's important to note that there is a CPI news release during the U.S. session today, so exercise caution in your trading decisions."
If you have any specific questions or need further assistance with your message, feel free to ask!
USOIL Trade Log - CPI Session
USOIL Short Trade Setup – CPI Session Incoming 🚨
- Instrument: West Texas Oil (USOIL)
- Timeframe: 4-Hour
- Risk: 1% max due to CPI volatility
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1:2
Key Technical Analysis:
1. Price has reached a strong resistance zone within the 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG) and is showing signs of rejection.
2. The Kijun Weekly and 4H levels align with this area, increasing the probability of a reversal.
3. Market structure has been bearish overall, with a clear Break of Structure (BOS) and internal liquidity grabs.
CPI Session Volatility Warning:
- With the CPI release incoming, expect aggressive moves and potential liquidity sweeps before directional commitment.
- If price runs liquidity above the FVG and shows strong bearish confirmations, this becomes a high-probability short.
- Manage risk carefully – no need to overexpose with CPI in play.
Trade Plan:
- Entry: Within the 4H FVG upon bearish confirmation.
- Stop Loss: Above the FVG high to avoid CPI wicks.
- Take Profit: At least 1:2 RRR, ideally targeting recent lows.
Stay sharp, play the reaction, and don’t force the trade if the setup invalidates. CPI is where weak hands get rinsed! 💀
#005 Obvious Trend WTICOUSD Buy 2344SGT 11022025Buy. Not paper trading neither am I using real money. Just for recording purposes. Cant trade real cos account not enough money. only have about 26cents sgd in it.
Not about to open a paper account cos too troublesome.
Going for 1R SL to 0.8R TP.
TP set at the next swing high as seen.
Will come back tomorrow at 9pm to see what happens.
I would like to take trades in the afternoon but now I am working. Hopefully tomorrow I am also going to work. I need to make some plans for tomorrow cos order has been slow recently.
2346SGT 11022025
Oil rises according to morning analysisIn the morning oil analysis, I said the rise could continue, and since this morning, oil prices have risen by more than one percent.
Monitor resistance to enter a long trade.If static resistance is broken, the upward movement continues for oil.
US oil for longPrice was previously ranging, broke out and retested the neckline. Price broke out of the bearish channel wait for a retest of the support zone and we can go long.
WTI will rise UPThe price has completed wave 2 and is starting wave 3, with targets of 75.50, 77.80, and 80.
invalidation level is 71.
SELL USOILBeen a while since I last posted a trade to take.
Here today you can sell on USOIL with the same TP and SL I set on my chart.
Follow for more!
Crude Oil Price Trends: Market Drivers and Further OutlookWTI and Brent Crude: Recent Price Movements
Oil prices faced renewed volatility last week as West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude settled at $72.84 per barrel, down $2.13 from the previous week, while Brent crude ( TVC:UKOIL ) closed at $77.11 per barrel, reflecting a $1.03 decline over the same period. The price drop follows a mix of macroeconomic concerns, shifts in global supply, and changes in refinery demand, raising questions about the short-term direction of the oil market.
Geopolitical Risks and Supply Disruptions
Oil markets remain highly sensitive to geopolitical events. Rising tensions in the Middle East and uncertainty surrounding Russia’s oil exports continue to shape price expectations. In particular, shipping disruptions in the Red Sea due to recent attacks on vessels have increased transport costs and contributed to supply chain volatility. Additionally, ongoing sanctions on Russian crude are prompting shifts in global trade flows, with some Asian countries increasing purchases while Europe diversifies its energy imports.
Macroeconomic Factors and Demand Outlook
On the macroeconomic front, concerns over U.S. Federal Reserve policy and potential interest rate hikes have weighed on oil prices. A stronger U.S. dollar typically exerts downward pressure on crude oil, making it more expensive for foreign buyers. However, resilient U.S. employment data and steady industrial activity have supported fuel demand, mitigating some of the downward pressure. China's economic recovery also plays a crucial role, with stronger-than-expected factory output and increased crude imports providing support for oil prices.
New York Petroleum Product Prices: Gasoline and Diesel Trends
The New York Harbor spot price ( NYMEX:HO1! ) for conventional gasoline fell to $2.382 per gallon, marking a $0.023 decrease from last week. Meanwhile, No. 2 heating oil prices dropped by $0.083, settling at $2.371 per gallon, which is $0.213 lower than a year ago. Despite these declines, demand for diesel and heating oil remains strong, particularly in colder regions, supporting refined product prices.
Market Outlook: Where Are Oil Prices Headed?
Looking ahead, oil price trends will depend on several factors, including OPEC+ production policy, U.S. refinery utilization rates, and global economic growth. If U.S. crude inventories continue to rise, prices could face further downward pressure. However, if geopolitical risks escalate or demand in Asia strengthens, oil prices may find support in the coming weeks. Investors and traders should closely monitor supply chain developments and central bank policies, as these will be key drivers of price movements in the near term.
Crude oil can continue to choose to shortThe U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA) weekly report shows that the U.S. EIA crude oil inventory increased by 8.66 million barrels last week, the market expected an increase of 3.4 million barrels, analysts expected an increase of 1.03367 million barrels, and an increase of 3.463 million barrels in the previous week. The increase in EIA crude oil inventories in the United States for the week ending January 31 was the largest since the week of February 9, 2024. The increase in domestic crude oil production for the week ending January 31 was the largest since the week of November 22, 2024, ending the previous 7-week downward trend. The surge in short-term inventories is not conducive to the rebound of oil prices, and the shorts are accelerating downward. Crude oil rebounded today, stabilizing and rebounding around $71.0, and fell back after encountering resistance around $71.8. It is running in the low range, and pay attention to signs of pressure on oil prices.
Layout strategy: short crude oil rebounds to 71.0-71.5, target 70.0-69.0, stop loss 0.5 USD
If the oil price breaks above 72.5 USD/barrel, it will stop the expected shock trend and push the oil price back to the main bearish trend.
It is expected that today's oil price will trade between the support level of 69.0 USD/barrel and the resistance level of 71.7 USD/barrel.
The expected trend for crude oil prices today is bearish.
bottom forming?Oil seems to be ranging since end of the last year, making higher lows. Now taking in the account uncertain political landscape, trade wars and possible war wit Iran, it seems like a good place to scale in for longs for long term.
Crude Oil LongLooks high RR, 4H/daily break up, recent big wick on 4H after sell off candle, support on the left
USOIL it will go down and then up the price movement of WTI Crude Oil (USOIL) on a daily timeframe. It highlights a range between approximately 66.70 and75.21, suggesting potential price targets. The market is currently trading near the 71.41 level, within this range. A breakout above75.21 could indicate a bullish trend, while a drop below $66.70 might signal a bearish move. The chart suggests a period of consolidation with possible directional movements in the near future.
WTI/Crude Oil targetCrude oil has a big chance to go up until 72-73 line.
It will cause some trouble while going up, but it is time to put some positions in your cart.
Crude oil will not fall below 60 based on current geopolitic situations across OPEC+ nations and most importantly, Trump.
Regardless of crude being replenishable natural resources, it is used mostly in every different aspect on our daily life gadgets and things starting from your door and skate board to industrial usages. Machines cannot be operated without this.
Start buying in, and book your first profit on 72-73.
Further signals will be announced later.
US OIL LONG RESULT This is actually a scalp trade I took after Price rejected from our 2nd TP and support.
Noticed a Minor liquidity grap and Followed up with the move.
Also as you can see our short trade is still running, NPF news didn't take us out as I feared so we still holding strong, let's see how Price moves when market opens 💪
Oil - Buy opportunities if price stands on hourly key resistant There will be more Buy opportunities if price stands on hourly key resistant, which is hourly revise pattern. once formed, the target TP will be daily resistant.
Hello traders, please feel free to share your trading ideas, and please give a Boost if you agree with my trading plan. My trading strategy is Price Action, which is the simplest strategy of trading on the price movement. A key part of my discipline is Stop Loss set when opening a trading position, which ensures every trading is risk managed. My 1 to 1 trading training is available, please message. Trade well and good luck!
