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AUS trade ideas

ASX 200: the downtrend in the index continuesCurrent trend The ASX 200 index is showing a downtrend, trading near 7317.0. The quotes of the main Australian index began to adjust downward after the Governor of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Philip Lowe announced a rather pessimistic scenario of the dynamics of the national economy. According to the official, there will be no significant progress in stabilizing inflation in the next year or two, and there is no point in talking about raising the interest rate. The only step that the regulator can take is the reduction and subsequent abandonment of the bond buyback program until the end of 2022, if the economic recovery proceeds within the framework of the RBA forecast. As for corporate news, the day before it became known about the conclusion of an agreement on the acquisition of Western Areas Ltd. by IGO Ltd. for 1.1B Australian dollars in Q1 2022. Thus, IGO Ltd. also will consolidate the nickel mining business in its portfolio. The growth leaders in the index are Resolute Mining Ltd. (+7.75%), Virgin Money UK PLC (+6.10%), Northern Star Resource Ltd. (+5.59%). Among the leaders of the decline are Domain Holdings Australia Ltd. (-7.89%), Afterpay Touch Group Ltd. (-7.45%), Mesoblast Ltd. (-6.44%). Support and resistance The price is trading in the global descending channel, forming another wave of decline. Technical indicators reversed and issued a sell signal: the fast EMAs of the Alligator indicator are below the signal line, and the histogram of the AO oscillator is trading in the sell zone, forming new descending bars. Support levels: 7235.0, 7100.0. Resistance levels: 7400.0, 7550.0.
EIGHTCAP:ASX200
by KirkBarton
Are we building for a deeper selloff or a bounceAsian markets remain looking heavy as the HSI and Nikkei Daily timeframes press lower. The US has been more resilient to negative news and remains focused on inflation and interest rates. The question is how much of the good news ie/ strong economy and bounce from pandemic lows has been factored in to price action in the US. If the US start to take a hit, then other markets will follow....so are Asian shares markets flagging what is to come. Check out the video for a more detailed look at key levels for major US, Asian and Australian Indexes. Remember to check out the website www.tradethestructure.com and leave a comment a thumbs up for the video.
ASX:XJOShort
by TradeTheStructure
3
XJO Short - Potential Traditionals RetracementIntroduction Date: 02/12/21 Time: 11:00 AEST Topic: Traditional markets bearish Forecast : A drop down to about to the red weekly supply zone (currently encroaching on it). Will be watching closely to see whether we reverse and gear up again, or are in for more prolonged pain Summary The traditional markets seem like they are experiencing some painful bleeding. Since the March 2020 Covid dump, the world economies bounced back rather aggressively. That said I believe there is a growing disconnect between the Delta variant (and potentially the new Omnicron variant) and the economy. Along with this, there seems to be more division within the world relating to the vax, mandates, politics etc. Countries worldwide are having more aggressive postures towards one another (Russia-Ukraine, Chine-Taiwan & Israel-Iran). China has had to cut back on electricity usage and Europe has stated that over the winter months their citizen might experience. Russia has made new gas deals and is limiting output to certain European countries. America's days seem numbered under the current president with all-time-low ratings and America is experiencing increased rioting, looting and racial divisions. Worldwide inflation is seemingly skyrocketing and concerning, with the FED having printed roughly 40% of the global USD money supply since the start of 2020. There has been a large increase in the purchase of precious metals by banks and citizens which makes me think this isn't over. Whether things will get better, or we head into more prolonged pain with a potential for a Black Swan event, time will tell. If you have an equities portfolio, I would consider either selling your position into cash, hedging your portfolio with inverse ETFs or long puts (that way you avoid selling out of your positions and incurring CGT), or a more risky play is entering a short position. I am waiting for a proper bounce out of the supply (turned demand) zone and confirmation from news and the algorithms, before I enter long again About Me: Starting off as a typical retail investor, I entered the trading space in 2017 and proceeded to buy bitcoin as it was going up thinking the moon was the limit. Safe to say I was wrong and learnt very quickly that 'What goes up, must also come down at some point'. Since then I did a proper trading course where I learnt the art of Technical Analysis and have never looked back. Increasing my knowledge from reading a tonne of books, listening to podcasts as well as reading and researching other traders has really benefited my trading skills and style. I am now a full-time equities & cryptotrader at one of the first firms specialising in cryptocurrencies. I am also a coach, teach and mentor to other like-minded individuals who want to succeed within the trading space. If you want to learn more about TA, trading and be financially independent, then let me know and I will help you get there! Financial Disclaimer: I am not a registered broker/analyst/investment adviser. The information contained within this post is general/educational information only, not financial advice and should not be treated as such. Trading and investing in Forex, Stocks, Commodities and Cryptocurrencies involves high risk, and is not recommended if you are not a trained investor, who has conducted proper research and training. Viewers are responsible for how they use this information and I am not responsible for any losses incurred as a result of the information provided. Please consider carefully whether trading is suitable for you, given your current circumstances, financial situation and knowledge.
ASX:XJOShort
by OllyBakker
1
ASX 200 @ 1 Dec 2021Text me if you have any questions/comments for me. ----- In the last Market Watch analysis done on 2 November (red dash line), I wrote that I would avoid the big caps (eg. Blue Chips, ASX 200 constituents) while being more selective with my purchases. Since then, the ASX 200 tested and failed to break the 7450 resistance and is now falling towards the strong support zone near 7200 levels (orange line). The ASX 200 previously rebounded from this support zone and another rebound would be good. The index is also testing the long-term average. Judging by its historical performance, I can’t say that the long-term average is a very strong support. Since 1 Dec 2017 (blue dash line), the ASX 200 has only rebounded of the long-term support 2 times (blue arrows). The red arrows were when the index was rejected by the long-term average. This does show that the index does at least respond to long-term average – albeit not often as a support. The red thumbs downs were periods when the index just fell through the long-term support. My huge concern is whether the ASX 200 will fall below the 7200-support zone. If it breaks this support, the overall market will likely be in a world of pain for at least a few weeks. The US market hasn’t really shown convincing signs of a strong rebound. If a strong retracement takes place over the coming days in the US, I have a strong feeling that the ASX 200 will fall off the support that it is sitting on. Our best-case scenario is that the US creates a new all-time high in the next couple of weeks and the ASX 200 will take the hint and slowly rebound again. With the integrity of our politicians being called into question and the federal election happening in less than 6 months, the markets will continue to be in state of flux. Rising inflation and potential Omicron scares will continue to disrupt the economic recovery. In last Saturday’s FB livestream, I explained around the 17-minute mark how the US and Australia markets’ movements is signalling that there is a lack of confidence in the ASX market. Personally, I have reduced my trading portfolio from 6-8 stocks down to 3 stocks. I’m increasingly being more selective in my purchases as sometimes, doing nothing in the market is a form of capital preservation. How about you? Are you optimistic or pessimistic on the ASX market over the coming 6 months? Are you aggressively buying now or waiting for stronger rebounds or retracements?
ASX:XJO
by Jerm88