AUS trade ideas
GET READY! Aussies may have a problem. Price is struggling below ATR line.
Probability south is 55% (45% for the north). How far south if it moves, is another matter.
Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile, and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
XJO Bearish Wedge PatternI haven't seen anyone else post it so thought I'd give it a go, the rising wedge pattern is a common formation in bear markets, the closer price moves within the formation to the apex point, the more likely a breakdown will occur and we are close this point as seen in the chart... We have been respecting this pattern really since the start of the rally which really seems to be looking like it has run out of steam (only slightly higher highs since the 31/03) we have only added on an extra 3% since 31/03.
Even after today's surge, which was looking very strong until it reached the top of the wedge range and acted as resistance.
SPX 500 also has the same pattern and I'm convinced that a big move down is coming perhaps near the end of the formation, which looks to be lining up with a challenge of the 50MA on the daily TF, which may eventuate next week or the week after.
Wait for confirmation of course before entering a position.
AUS200 Resistance for the week aheadThe Fibs have worked perfectly in the last 4 weeks and it has provide some profit taking over the last week.
The coming week we see the following:
1. The buyers have broken the 0.38 fib resistance of 5497 but the sellers immediately took over avoiding the market to go any higher.
2. Monday is going to be an interesting trade day, as we are waiting for confirmation to eighter go higher or lower, but with all the good news on a possible vaccine and the Australia opening soon. My guess is that this market could go higher to the 50% Fib in the coming week.
3. Here are my trades for next week:
3.1 I will sell if the market dip below 5400 with SL at 5500 and TP at 5100
3.2 I will buy if the market goes higher than the higher high, that said my trade is set at 5600 with TP at 5770 and stop lost at 5480.
3.3 The sellers have taken control of the market the eight-time it has reached the 0.38 Fib forcing the market to retreat. Some big sellers around the
the world see this as an opportunity as most international markets(DIJ,SPY and SP500) have broken the 0.38 Fib