US30US30 needs some more correction before we go bullish again.
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DJI trade ideas
US30 Will Fall!
HI,Traders !
US30 made a retest
Of the key horizontal
Resistance level of 44418.8
From where we are
Already seeing a bearish
Reaction and we will
Be expecting a
Further bearish move down !
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Dow Jones takes a different path!US President Donald Trump announced a postponement of the suspension of tariffs from July 9 to August 1, stressing that this deadline is final and will not be delayed again.
This decision has left the markets cautious, particularly US indices, but the Dow Jones Index has taken a different route compared to the S&P 500 and Nasdaq, which are generally trending upwards. Meanwhile, the Dow has shifted its direction from bullish to bearish.
On Monday, July 7 2025, the Dow Jones fell and recorded a lower low at 44,348.45, below its previous higher low. This signals a trend reversal on the 4-hour chart from bullish to bearish, a trend it had maintained for the past few weeks.
What’s the next expected move?
The current rise is considered a corrective move aiming to retest the 44,723.87 level, before likely dropping again to target 44,320.29. The bearish outlook would be invalidated if the price rises above 44,880.90 and closes a 4-hour candle above
Dow Jones Below Key Pivot – Tariff Talks to Define Next MoveDow Jones – Overview
Fundamental Outlook:
In April, President Trump capped all so-called reciprocal tariffs at 10% until July 9, giving room for trade negotiations with key partners. That same month, the Nasdaq slipped into bear market territory, while the Dow and S&P 500 entered correction zones.
Since then, Wall Street has rebounded sharply. Last week, both the Nasdaq and S&P 500 surged to all-time highs, driven by a strong labor market that helped ease recession fears.
Technical Outlook:
Currently, Dow Jones is trading below the pivot level at 44410, which signals ongoing bearish momentum.
A sustained move below 44410 supports further downside toward 44180, with a break below this level opening the path to 43960.
However, if price reverses and closes above 44410 on the 1H or 4H timeframe, it may trigger a bullish move targeting 44750 and beyond.
Support: 44180 / 43960 / 43770
Resistance: 44515 / 44750 / 45100
Note:
Progress in tariff negotiations would likely support further upside in U.S. indices.
Lack of resolution may keep the Dow under bearish pressure in the short term.
US30 | SELLConfirmation from 15 minute timeframe.
General trend in 1H is downward.
Trading with impulse.
US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms US30 – Bearish Outlook Below 44,500 as CPI Looms
US30 rallied and successfully reached our resistance target, as expected in the previous analysis.
However, with today’s CPI release, the market is likely to see increased volatility. As long as the index trades below 44,500–44,570, the bias remains bearish, with downside targets at 44,210 and 43,960.
• If CPI prints below 2.6%, we may see a bullish breakout toward 45,100
• Above or equal to 2.6% supports continuation of the bearish move
However, we expect a 2.7% reading, driven by tariff-related price increases, which would support the bearish scenario.
US30 Sell IdeaSelling in the 44815–44886 zone, targeting a drop to 44476.50 with a stop loss at 44927.50 to cap risk. This setup aims to catch a pullback from resistance after the recent upward move, expecting the price to retrace toward the lower support area. Trade with discipline and wait for bearish confirmation around the entry zone.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index - 4 Hour Chart4-hour chart of the Dow Jones Industrial Average (US30) shows a recent price movement as of July 13, 2025. The index is currently at 44,315.0, reflecting a decline of 285.5 points (-0.64%). The chart highlights a sell signal at 44,312.0 and a buy signal at 44,318.0, with a shaded area indicating a potential downward trend from a recent peak. Key price levels include 44,855.7 (high) and 43,902.2 (low), with a support level around 44,315.0.
Dow Jones -> A breakout rally of +40%!🐂Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) will create new highs:
🔎Analysis summary:
Since the April lows, the Dow Jones already rallied about +25%. This was simply the expected rejection away from a strong confluence of support. Now, the Dow Jones is sitting at the previous all time highs and about to break out, leading to a massive rally.
📝Levels to watch:
$45.000, $60.000
🙏🏻#LONGTERMVISION
Philip - Swing Trader
Market ViewMarket Structure Shift
Previous Day Low Breach
London Session
Divergence
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Trade
Manage
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US30 - Short SellThe Dow Jones aka US30
* Overall trend is bullish
* Currently trading the retracement with the following points.
1. Valid OB
2. Liquidity to the sell side
3. Imbalance to the sell side
4. Price failed to break the previous HH activating the Bear positions, the question is How Deep The Retracement Will Be ? So we are closely monitoring the price action to adjust at any changes that the market might face.
US30 H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 44576.41, a pullback resistance.
Our take profit is set at 44162.08, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 44922.32, a swing high resistance.
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DowJones bullish breakout retest?Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 45000
Resistance Level 2: 45445
Resistance Level 3: 46000
Support Level 1: 44000
Support Level 2: 43700
Support Level 3: 43430
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Safe Entry DJIObvious Movement I Guess.
P.High(Previous High) Act As good Support for price to Respect.
Note: 1- Potentional of Strong Buying Zone:
We have two scenarios must happen at The Mentioned Zone:
Scenarios One: strong buying volume with reversal Candle.
Scenarios Two: Fake Break-Out of The Buying Zone.
Both indicate buyers stepping in strongly. NEVER Join in unless one showed up.
2- How to Buy Stock (safe way):
On 1H TF when Marubozu/Doji Candle show up which indicate strong buyers stepping-in.
Buy on 0.5 Fibo Level of the Marubozu/Doji Candle, because price will always and always re-test the
Dow Jones move upThe Dow Jones is resuming its rally toward 45,082 from the price zones of 44,154.97 and 44,000.
CMCMARKETS:US30
The dowjones should move upThe Dow Jones should move up to 44,853.
The levels 44,278.84 and 44,227.56 are good potential points for a bullish reversal. CMCMARKETS:US30
US30 BUY IDEA🔍 Key Technical Highlights:
• Demand Zone Entry:
• Price tapped into a strong demand zone (gray box) around 44,280 – 44,330, signaling potential institutional buying interest.
• Liquidity Grab:
• Sell-side liquidity has been swept just below the previous lows, which aligns with a classic SMC liquidity manipulation before a bullish move.
• Projected Market Structure Shift:
• Price is forming a higher low, hinting at a potential reversal and bullish BOS (Break of Structure).
• Expecting a multi-leg bullish move, targeting 44,812 area, filling imbalance and reaching premium zones.
• Risk-Reward Outlook:
• Stop loss placed just below the demand zone.
• Take profit aligned with previous highs and inefficiency zone — a favorable R:R ratio for swing traders.
⸻
🧠 Smart Money Narrative:
1. Sweep of liquidity below demand.
2. Institutional buy orders triggered.
3. Low-risk buy opportunity with clear internal structure shift.
4. Bullish continuation toward premium pricing and unfilled imbalances.
Dow Jones Extends Rally Toward New HighsOver the past two trading sessions, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has gained nearly 1%, approaching the all-time high zone near 45,000 points. For now, the bullish bias remains intact, supported by the Federal Reserve’s announcement that a rate cut may occur later this year, despite renewed concerns over a potential reignition of trade war tensions. If buying pressure holds in the short term, this could fuel further upward momentum, potentially pushing the index to new record levels.
Consistent Uptrend
The recent bullish swings have sustained a steady level of investor confidence, allowing the upward trend to remain unbroken. So far, there hasn’t been any significant selling correction strong enough to break the structure, meaning the dominant long-term uptrend remains intact. This continues to be the most important technical pattern to monitor, although the index is once again testing previous highs, where short-term selling corrections may emerge.
Technical Indicators
RSI: The RSI line is hovering near the overbought level around 70, suggesting that buying momentum has created an imbalance in market forces. This may open the door to a potential technical pullback as the index approaches historical highs.
ADX: The ADX line continues to rise above the neutral 20 level, maintaining a steady upward slope in recent sessions. If this trend continues, it could indicate increasing strength behind the current uptrend, especially if key resistance levels are broken.
Key Levels:
44,970 – Major Resistance: This level marks the all-time high and serves as the most important short-term resistance. A breakout above it could strengthen the bullish bias, open the door to new record highs, and further confirm the ongoing uptrend.
43,863 – Intermediate Support: A technical indecision zone seen in late February. A drop below this level may trigger a period of short-term neutrality or sideways movement.
42,756 – Critical Support: This zone aligns with the 50- and 200-period moving averages, making it a key technical area. A break below this level may signal the end of the current bullish trend and initiate a deeper correction.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
US30 TradeA dip into my point of interest to clear liquidity resting there will trigger our long trade scenario
US30: Buy ideaBuy idea on US30 as you can see on the chart because we have a good intersection between the resistance line and the support line.
Bullish bounce off pullback resistance?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 44,312.73
1st Support: 44,212.79
1st Resistance: 44,554.09
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