DJI trade ideas
US30: Will the Channel Hold? Trading the Intraday StructureUS30 1-Hour Analysis - Potential Trading Setup
Technical Outlook — 11 April 2025
Current Market Condition:
US30 on the 1-hour timeframe is currently trading within a short-term ascending channel, showing a recent test of the upper trendline. The price is now exhibiting signs of potential bearish pullback within this channel.
Potential Trading Setup:
Bearish Pullback Setup (Primary Scenario):
Entry: Look for confirmation of bearish rejection from the upper ascending channel trendline. This could be in the form of bearish candlestick patterns (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bar) on the 15-minute or 30-minute timeframe after testing the channel top.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss above the high of the rejection candle or above the upper channel trendline to protect against a potential channel breakout.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: The middle of the ascending channel (currently around 40,600).
TP2: The lower trendline of the ascending channel (currently around 40,300 - 40,400).
Potential TP3: If the channel breaks down, the next support zone around 39,800 - 39,900.
Rationale: Trading within an ascending channel often involves buying at the lower trendline and selling at the upper trendline. The recent rejection at the channel top provides a potential short opportunity for a pullback towards the lower trendline.
Bullish Breakout Setup (Lower Probability, Requires Strong Confirmation):
Entry: Consider a long entry only upon a strong and sustained break above the upper ascending channel trendline (around 41,000). Look for strong bullish candlestick patterns and increasing volume on the breakout.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss below the low of the breakout candle or below the upper channel trendline after it has been broken.
Take Profit Targets:
TP1: Previous swing highs or resistance levels above the channel (refer to the chart for specific levels).
Rationale: A breakout from the ascending channel could signal a continuation of bullish momentum, but requires strong confirmation to avoid false breakouts.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
DOW JONES: High volatility but clear picture long term.Dow Jones turned bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 40.021, MACD = -1063.380, ADX = 32.380) as it is correcting brutally yesterday's gains on uncertainty regarding the 90-day pause of tariffs. We can't overlook however the fact that yesterday's rebound happened on the 1W MA200 and at the bottom (HL) of the Bullish Megaphone. The very same sequence of events unfolded during the last big U.S.-China trade war that bottomed in December 2018. First a Channel Down bottomed on the 1W MA200 and started the Bullish Megaphone that bottomed on the 2018 trade war.
Both trade war corrections were -19% and if what follows replicates the 2019 rise, then we are up for a +35% rally. Potential TP = 49,000.
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Dowjones Short AnalysisDow is in downtrend now. I have used various technique in analysis. Sl is the rectangle top. And target is below arrow.
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Beyond the Noise: US30 Analysis and Actionable Trade Ideas.Technical Analysis: US30 (Dow Jones)
📊 The US30 index is currently displaying a bearish trend on the weekly timeframe. We're observing a strong rally followed by a pullback into equilibrium when measured against the previous price swing range.
🔍 At present, the index sits in a premium zone, creating conditions where short positions may be accumulating for potential downside movement. However, market sentiment remains highly susceptible to external factors, particularly political statements and social media activity from key figures like Donald Trump.
⚠️ Given this unpredictability, a more prudent approach involves shifting focus to lower timeframes and following price action signals directly. The 30-minute chart presents a defined range that offers potential trade opportunities.
💡 Trade Idea: Monitor the current range on the 30-minute timeframe. A decisive break above the range could signal a long entry opportunity, while a break below may indicate a short entry position.
📈 This range-breakout strategy allows traders to adapt to market conditions rather than attempting to predict overall market direction, which has proven increasingly challenging in the current economic and political climate.
Not financial advice.
Dow Jones - Value Is The King Of 2025!Dow Jones ( TVC:DJI ) withstands all bearish struggles:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
All major U.S. indices have been weakening lately but the Dow Jones is clearly the strongest of all. It seems like big institutions are shifting back to value stocks and therefore the Dow Jones remains very strong. Looking at technicals, this trend is rather likely to continue during 2025.
Levels to watch: $40.000, $50.000
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Long US30 chart CMCMARKETS:US30 NDS style analysis : Based on this NDS-style analysis from DR fuzzy logic, we expect that for the completion of our king pattern, from this point f2 after hitting ND, our chart will temporarily become Saudi to hit point 2, then we will fall again to below F3 to create the F3 peak.
Trade Idea: US30 Short ( MARKET ) Daily Chart (Macro View):
• Bearish divergence: RSI is at 47.38 and turning down — no strong bullish momentum.
• Recent bounce is sharp but came after a massive drop, suggesting a dead cat bounce or retracement.
• MACD remains heavily bearish (-836), showing underlying weakness despite the current bounce.
• Price recently rejected a key resistance near 40,850, aligning with previous support-turned-resistance levels.
15-Min Chart (Medium-Term):
• RSI is at 78.76 — overbought territory.
• Price surged parabolically, forming potential exhaustion.
• MACD shows very high positive values (672.341), usually precedes a correction.
• Potential bearish divergence between price and MACD.
3-Min Chart (Entry Timing):
• Price has stalled at the top, consolidating after an extreme spike.
• MACD and RSI are curling down.
• Ideal for timing a short entry.
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Trade Idea: SHORT US30
• Entry: 40,850 (current resistance zone + psychological level)
• Stop Loss: 41,200 (above key recent highs / invalidation of setup)
• Take Profit: 39,450 (near broken structure & moving average support on lower timeframes)
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
• Risk: 350 points
• Reward: 1,400 points
• RRR: 4:1 (excellent)
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Fundamental Context (Supporting the Short Bias):
• Dow is rebounding amid broader market uncertainty (e.g., Fed rate trajectory, inflation prints).
• No strong economic catalyst justifying a sustained breakout to new highs — suggests technical bounce rather than trend reversal.
• Rising yields or a hawkish Fed outlook could reintroduce selling pressure.
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30: Target Is Up! Long!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The recent price action suggests a shift in mid-term momentum. A break above the current local range around 39,680.80 will confirm the new direction upwards with the target being the next key level of 40,416.97 and a reconvened placement of a stop-loss beyond the range.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
Dow Jones INTRADAY reaction to China Tariffs HikeKey Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 41100
Resistance Level 2: 42170
Resistance Level 3: 42800
Support Level 1: 37554
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
DOW 104% TARIFFS on China activated. Can the market be saved?Dow Jones (DJIA) is almost on its 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) and earlier today President Trump activated 104% duties on Chinese imports. This is far from being an encouraging development especially after Monday's attempt for the market to recover.
Most of the gains were lost yesterday and today it is a wait-and-see game in anticipation of the market reaction on the opening bell of Wall Street.
From a long-term technical perspective however, Dow is on a huge buy level that we've only seen another 4 times since the Housing Bubble bottom in March 2009. That buy level consists of two conditions: price touching the 1W MA200 and the 1W RSI hits (or comes extremely close to) the 30.00 oversold limit.
As you can see that has happened last time on September 19 2022 (Inflation Crisis bottom), March 09 2020 (COVID crash), August 24 2015 (China slowdown, Grexit) and August 08 2011 (first correction since 2009 Housing Crisis). The situation most similar to the current, is the COVID crash as it was the fastest drop to the 1W MA200 and 1W RSI to 30.00.
Despite the brutal correction, it took the market 'only' 43 weeks (301 days) to reach again the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. That is the top of the Blue Zone of the Fibonacci Channel Up that started on the March 2009 Housing bottom. The Blue Zone, consisting of the 0.786 - 0.382 Fib range, is important as it has dominated the multi-year bullish trend and contained the price action inside it, with only a few occasions diverging outside of it.
The longest it took Dow to reach the 0.786 Fib again after such correction was 110 weeks (770 days) and that interestingly enough happened two out of the four times. Practically reaching the 0.786 Fib constitutes a Cycle Top.
So essentially, despite the uncertainty and panic, the market is technically on a Support level that in 16 years we've only seen another 4 times, that's once every 4 years, which is a fair sample of a Cycle size. As a result, assuming stability comes to the world through trade deals (and why not Rate Cut announcements), we may see Dow reaching its 0.786 Fib again (and make new ATH) the fastest by February 02 2026, hitting 49000 and the longest by May 17 2027, hitting 56000 roughly.
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NFP NQ / US30 advise for u read description i took this trade today early now the market should react from one of this places i mention, pls be aware never ever take the trade before NFP /15 min before / always wait NFP and market will gave u other entry after 45 to 60 min after NFP dont be gambler and put all ur heart . Wait like pro and take trade after nfp 45 to 60 min be safe much love and respect
any question fell free to ask id like to answer any Questions
DOW JONES INDEX (US30): Bearish More From Resistance
It looks like US30 is returning to a bearish trend again.
I see a strong bearish sentiment after a test of a key daily resistance.
The price formed an inverted cup and handle pattern and we see
a strong bearish imbalance with London session opening.
Goal - 39.685
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DJ is setting up for a SLINGSHOT to the upside!The "crash" in the DJ could potentially bottom out by late April or early May, at least from a cyclical standpoint. That said, there's still a risk of a further decline into June, as a panic cycle is approaching.
However, from a technical perspective, the weekly chart of the DJ reveals a significant demand imbalance that aligns with cyclical support, suggesting the potential for a major low.
Regardless, the stage is being set for a SLINGSHOT to the upside, as capital begins to flee Europe and flow into the U.S. amid rising global tensions and uncertainty.
Both the DJ and Gold are poised to reach new all-time highs ahead!
US30 — Support Holding or Further Drop? Key Levels To WatchUS30 (Dow Jones) — 4H Chart
Price is currently hovering around a key support zone near 37,000 after a strong bearish impulse.
Scenarios I'm Watching:
▸ Bullish Scenario:
If the support zone holds and price reclaims 37,500 — I would look for price to retest the 38,300-38,800 zone.
A clean break and hold above 39,500 could open doors towards the 40,000-41,000 resistance area.
▸ Bearish Scenario:
If price fails to hold this support, and breaks below 36,850 — I expect further downside towards the next key supports:
35,800
34,500
33,000
Trading Plan:
Waiting for clear price action confirmation at this support zone.
Will avoid trading in the middle of the range — prefer breakout or retest setups.
Levels marked on chart for clarity.
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Disclaimer: This content is intended for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice.
Short-Term Opportunity in Dow Jones: Limited UpsideCurrently, I estimate that under the best-case scenario (black label), the Dow Jones is forming wave of wave B. This implies that the upside movement is likely to remain limited, with a potential retest of the 39,310–39,649 area.
Caution is advised for a possible reversal, especially if the Dow Jones fails to break above the 40,791 resistance level.
Trade Idea: US30 Long ( BUY LIMIT )Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart:
• The US30 is bouncing off a recent sharp correction with a bullish engulfing candle forming at support (around 37,675).
• RSI is recovering from oversold territory, now at 46.14 – momentum is shifting.
• MACD still bearish but histogram is shrinking, indicating weakening downward momentum.
15-Minute Chart:
• Strong recovery after a double-bottom near 38,200.
• RSI at 74.55 shows near overbought but still trending up – strong momentum.
• MACD showing a strong bullish crossover and rising histogram – confirmation of intraday trend.
3-Minute Chart:
• Strong breakout to the upside with consolidation at highs.
• RSI around 58 – room to move higher.
• MACD bullish, histogram expanding – short-term continuation likely.
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Fundamental Context (as of April 2025):
• Recent correction in US indices is likely a pullback within a broader bull market (based on Q1 earnings optimism and easing inflation expectations).
• No major Fed tightening signals – bullish for equities.
• Dow Jones (US30) often rebounds strongly after panic drops, especially when technicals align with macro calm.
⸻
Trade Setup (Buy):
• Entry: 39,700 (current consolidation after breakout)
• Stop Loss (SL): 39,150 (below last minor pullback structure and below 3M EMA support)
• Take Profit (TP): 40,800 (near previous structure on the Daily and round number psychological level) FUSIONMARKETS:US30