FXBG JOURNAL (US30 SHORT) 9/04/2025 BEFOREFollowing Bearish Price Action . Decided to take shorts from the recent bearish Orderblock.
DJI trade ideas
uptrend Considering the behavior of the index in the current support range, possible scenarios have been identified. An upward trend is expected to form and progress to the specified resistance range.
US30 I Bullish Bounce Based on the D1 chart analysis, the price is approaching our buy entry level at 36,516.88, a pullback support.
Our take profit is set at 40,052.43, a pullback resistance.
The stop loss is placed at 34,049.36, an overlap support.
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Trade Idea : US30 Short ( SELL STOP )Technical Analysis Summary:
Daily Chart:
• Trend: Strong bearish breakdown; significant drop below support.
• MACD: Deeply negative, suggesting strong bearish momentum.
• RSI: Oversold at 18.48, indicating exhaustion but not yet reversal.
15-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Clear downtrend continuation.
• MACD: Bearish crossover sustained.
• RSI: Approaching oversold (29.81), but still trending down.
3-Minute Chart:
• Trend: Momentum is slowing down but still bearish.
• MACD: Negative, bearish crossover.
• RSI: Around 33, indicating potential short-term bounce, but no bullish divergence.
⸻
Fundamental Insight:
• The broader US30 index has reacted to strong macroeconomic headwinds (possibly higher-for-longer interest rates, weak earnings, or geopolitical tensions).
• No signs of dovish reversal or major catalyst for a sharp recovery.
⸻
Trade Idea: SHORT POSITION
Entry: 37070 (current price zone—ideal entry on slight retracement)
Stop Loss (SL): 37320 (above minor resistance and recent local high)
Take Profit (TP): 36350 (strong daily support area and psychological level)
Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
• Risk: ~270 points
• Reward: ~700 points
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
US30 LongsWe see price rejecting off a15m demand but we expect price to go deeper into the zone, which will give us a rejection off the trendline support. for safe longs we wait for price to cross and close above 37190
Hanzo | US30 15 min Breaks – Will Confirm the Next Move🆚 US30
The Path of Precision – Hanzo’s Market Strike
🔥 Key Levels & Breakout Strategy – 15M TF
🔥 Deep market insight – no random moves, only calculated execution.
☄️ Bearish Setup After Break Out – 38600 Zone
Price must break liquidity with high volume to confirm the move.
🩸 15M Time Frame Confluence
————
CHoCH & Liquidity Grab @ 39610
Key Level / Equal lows Formation - 37750
Strong Rejection from 39280 – The Ultimate Pivot
🔥 1H Time Frame Confirmation
Twin Wicks @ 37700 – Liquidity Engineered
Twin Wicks @ 38300 – Liquidity Engineered
☄️ 4H Historical Market Memory
——
💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 38000
💯 2024 – Bearish Retest 37600
👌 The Market Has Spoken – Are You Ready to Strike?
Falling towards 61.8% Fibonacci support?DJ30 is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 37,602.11
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 36,538.75
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 39,559.66
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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#US30 – Bearish Breakdown from Rectangle Pattern | 1D AnalysisThe Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) has completed a breakdown from a rectangle consolidation pattern, signaling a potential bearish continuation. The index is currently trading around 41,790, with downside momentum increasing.
Technical Analysis:
Rectangle Pattern Breakout – Bearish continuation after range-bound movement
Double Top Formation – Confirmed rejection near 45,000 resistance
Projected Target: 38,000 (as per the pattern breakdown)
Immediate Resistance: 42,000 - 43,200
Fundamental Outlook:
Market sentiment affected by interest rate policy & economic uncertainty
Weak earnings reports and recession fears could add further downside pressure
If DJIA remains below resistance, we could see further declines toward 38,000. However, a break back above 43,200 could invalidate the bearish setup. Watch for volume confirmation and macroeconomic developments!
TRADE IDEA: US30 LONG ( BUY LIMIT )
Daily Chart:
• RSI: At 24.33, it’s in oversold territory — potential for a reversal.
• MACD: Strong bearish momentum, but the histogram may be bottoming out, signaling a potential bullish divergence forming.
• Price Action: Testing key support zone near 38300, which was previously a resistance-turned-support area.
15-Minute Chart:
• RSI: At 60.68, indicating early bullish momentum.
• MACD: Bullish crossover recently occurred; histogram rising — confirming short-term upward trend.
• Price Action: Clear bounce from recent lows with higher highs and higher lows forming.
3-Minute Chart:
• Momentum clearly shifting up.
• Price moving above short-term moving average, showing intraday strength.
⸻
Fundamental Context:
• US economic data has recently shown mixed signals, but dovish Fed tone and potential rate cuts in the near future favor equity indices recovery.
• No major bearish macro headlines present at this time to sustain the steep drop.
⸻
Trade Parameters:
• Entry: 38,390 (current price zone, confirming strength above local consolidation)
• Stop Loss (SL): 38,000 (below recent lows and psychological level)
• Take Profit (TP): 39,190 (previous supply zone, daily EMA resistance area)
• Risk: 390 points
• Reward: 800 points
• RRR: 2.05:1
FUSIONMARKETS:US30
Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back Dow Jones INTRADAY oversold bounce back
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 40617
Resistance Level 2: 42165
Resistance Level 3: 44073
Support Level 1: 37555
Support Level 2: 36620
Support Level 3: 35125
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DJI being squeezed into a long term bearish wedgeI know, I sound like a bear monger when the market looks very bullish and at best possible technical support. Nothing wrong with taking advantage of it, but shouldn't forget the bigger picture. The market valuation has been pushed up by easy money since GFC and valuation. The covid money printing made it worse. Bigger the bubble, bigger the burst
With recession around the corner and many hedge funds are facing margin calls, the risks are highest from all metrics, market/GDP, Pe ratios, real income growth, jobs are all slowing down, Debt to GDP has only accelerated. Fringe Economist have been crying wolf since GFC and they are not wrong but when ? This year ?
The market could rally one last leg up to finish in a ending diagonal (if you know wave theory)
US30 Outlook – 08/04/25The Dow Jones (US30) has shown a strong recovery from the recent low at 36,743, bouncing nearly 1,900 points after a steep selloff. Price is now consolidating just under the 38,800 level — a key short-term resistance zone.
🔍 Technical Breakdown:
✅ EMA crossover on the 1H suggests a shift in short-term momentum to the upside
❗️38,800–39,200 is the immediate resistance zone to clear
📉 Macro trend remains bearish unless bulls reclaim 40,000+
🔻 Below 38,000, bears may regain control and retest 37,300 → 36,743
🧭 Bias:
Neutral-Bearish in the macro view
Bullish short-term if price holds above 38,400 and breaks 38,800 cleanly
📌 Levels to Watch:
Support: 38,400 / 37,300 / 36,743
Resistance: 38,800 / 39,200 / 40,000
🧠 Summary:
This bounce looks strong, but it's still a relief rally within a bearish structure. Bulls need a confirmed breakout above 39,200 to flip the narrative. Until then, treat rallies with caution and keep an eye on momentum shifts at resistance.
UPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJIUPDATE: The Great Depression 2025–2036 for DJI
Here is a revised analysis compared to the one from January this year. In that earlier analysis, I was still anticipating a sharp drop to 6,500 points. However, it now seems that the 6,500 level will not be reached. I do expect the DJI to decline to 17,000 points through an ABCDE structure. This structure could potentially take 15 to 20 years to unfold.
Long US30 !!After a long slip the pair manage to find its feet yesterday at 36... It has now pushed to break 38... Could this be a change of trend or just pull back for more bearish movement, I'm riding a bull
Weekly Forex Outlook Sun.April.6.2025 - Fri.April.11.2025Like and Comments would be appreciated :D Not Financial Advice, Just my outlook/opinion
Falling towards pullback support?Dow Jones (US30) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 50% Fibonacci resistance.
Pivot: 37,575.10
1st Support: 36,424.90
1st Resistance: 39,614.90
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DOW JONES Will the 1week MA200 save the day?Dow Jones / US30 almost reached its 1week MA200 today and immediately rebounded.
Last time it approached it so closely was on October 23rd 2023 and last it crossed under it was September 19th 2022.
The most recent was the first higher low of the 3 year Channel Up and the latter was the bottom of the last bear market.
The 1week RSI hasn't been this low since June 13th 2022, which was again a near 1week MA200 test that caused an immediate rebound to the 1week MA50 before the rejection to the eventual bear market bottom.
As long as the 1week MA200 holds and closes the candles over it, we expect the Channel Up to start a near bullish wave like post October 2023.
Target 45200 (same as the March 2024 rally) which is around the All Time High.
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Basic market concept EX1Basic Market Concepts are essentially market examples of the Market Cycle.
Putting it into simple context can help traders know when the market will be ranging (horizontally), where the support and resistance zones are and see how market behavior looks like.
DOW testing long term trend lineTrendline is a support...Dow is testing it as I type,,If it holds well and good..But I dont think it will hold..There is more pain...trendline break will be confirmation.
US30 Index Have seen full bearish move at closing now expecting a minor retracement before continuation
Intraday entry 1Everything is pretty much explained in the picture itself.
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US30: Absolute Price Collapse Ahead! Short!
My dear friends,
Today we will analyse US30 together☺️
The in-trend continuation seems likely as the current long-term trend appears to be strong, and price is holding below a key level of 37,395.0 So a bearish continuation seems plausible, targeting the next low. We should enter on confirmation, and place a stop-loss beyond the recent swing level.
❤️Sending you lots of Love and Hugs❤️
DJI - Rising Wedge + Double TopDJI showing a rising wedge which is a bearish pattern on this Daily chart
Also right before the prior down movement is a double top in red
Breakdown further out of this rising wedge pattern
