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NDX trade ideas

NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI. Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Nas100 Weekly BiasBased on how the market ranges are laid out, I am keen to seehow is it that the market will unfold and what is it that the Institutional Orderflow will rea h out for first. Overall I will be trading on internal ranges and keeping my focus narrowed on that. Anything else outside that will not be of my interest. Due to manual intervention I am expecting because of fundamentals. OVERALL I would like to see a small run on the upside, going for the Premium arrays and then a deep run for shorts for the purpose of purging sell orders below Lows and then buying them prior long term reversals for longs
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Fx_Buddha17
2
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash if stocks bounce, panic may price out if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
TVC:NDQ
by Sangam-Agarwal
Navigating NASDAQ: Positioning for a Possible Bounce Next Week - Key Insights: The NASDAQ is presently facing bearish sentiment with a potential downturn in the short term. Investors should be aware of oversold conditions that could lead to a short-term bounce. Cautious optimism prevails among experts regarding a possible correction, suggesting monitoring key resistance levels for signs of reversal. - Price Targets: For investors considering a long position, price targets should be strategically set. - Next week targets: T1: 20,200, T2: 21,000 - Stop levels: S1: 19,000, S2: 18,800 - Recent Performance: The NASDAQ has fallen 12% over the past few weeks, highlighting a bearish trend. This downturn has been mirrored across major stock indices, and recent market volatility has exacerbated the decline. - Expert Analysis: Analysts currently hold a bearish outlook, highlighting a critical support level near 19,195 amidst broader economic uncertainty affecting the NASDAQ. However, signs of a potential rally have emerged, with futures indicating possible movement toward 20,500. - News Impact: The downturn includes NASDAQ's worst day since 2022, which has heavily influenced market sentiment. Analysts are monitoring the Nasdaq 100 with plans for possible expansion into the Russell 2000 and S&P 500, targeting recovery opportunities amidst volatility. While the NASDAQ is under pressure, the potential for a short-term recovery remains plausible. Investors should anticipate volatility, making it crucial to watch key price levels and resistance points for potential market movements next week.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
NAS100 - Stock Market Enters Downtrend?!The index is trading below the EMA200 and EMA50 on the four-hour timeframe and is trading in its descending channel. If the index moves down towards the specified demand zone, we can look for further buying opportunities in Nasdaq. A break of the channel ceiling will also continue the short-term upward trend in Nasdaq. According to EPFR data reported by Bank of America, investors withdrew $2.8 billion from equity funds last week, marking the largest outflow of the year so far. Meanwhile, U.S. government bonds saw an inflow of $6.4 billion, the biggest weekly increase since August. Scott Basnett, the U.S. Treasury Secretary, stated in an interview that there are no guarantees to prevent an economic recession. He welcomed the decline in stock markets, viewing it as a sign of a healthy market. Analysts believe this shift in tone—unusual for a Treasury Secretary who typically reassures economic strength—suggests an effort to prepare the public for a possible recession. According to data from the Polymarket betting platform, the probability of a U.S. recession in 2025 is currently estimated at 41%. Reuters reports that American households are increasingly pessimistic about the economic outlook. However, the Federal Reserve may be reluctant to respond aggressively to a weakening economy, given growing concerns that the Trump administration’s trade policies could further fuel inflation. These concerns were reflected in financial markets on Friday, as the University of Michigan’s consumer sentiment survey showed a decline in consumer confidence for March. Additionally, consumers now expect inflation to reach 3.9% over the next five years, the highest level in more than 30 years. In an interview with Breitbart, Basnett emphasized the need to remain vigilant against persistent Biden-era inflation and expressed support for deregulation to lower costs. He also stressed that while tackling inflation, the government must also address affordability concerns. Additionally, he backed interest rate cuts to help reduce housing costs and auto loan payments. This week will be packed with major economic events, creating a high-risk environment for precious metals traders amid ongoing geopolitical developments during Trump’s second term. Central banks are back in the spotlight, as several key monetary institutions are set to announce their policy decisions in the coming days: • Tuesday: Bank of Japan • Wednesday: Federal Reserve • Thursday: Swiss National Bank & Bank of England Furthermore, a series of macroeconomic data releases could influence market sentiment, including: • Monday: Retail sales & Empire State Manufacturing Index • Tuesday: Housing starts & building permits • Thursday: Weekly jobless claims, existing home sales & Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index The Federal Reserve is expected to keep interest rates unchanged in its upcoming meeting. Market participants will closely watch the Fed’s updated economic projections and Jerome Powell’s press conference for insights into future monetary policy. According to a Bloomberg survey, economists anticipate two rate cuts by the Fed this year, likely starting in September. However, despite declining stock indices and rising recession concerns, Powell is expected to maintain a cautious stance, avoiding any rushed rate cuts. While consumer and business confidence has weakened, the Federal Reserve has limited flexibility to lower rates due to persistently high inflation indicators.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by Ali_PSND
going long(buying) on US100 US100 (Nasdaq 100) Analysis – Daily & 4H Timeframe Key Demand Zone: 17,679.0, where buyers are likely to step in. Liquidity Sweep: Occurred at 17,676.7, indicating possible stop-loss hunting before a reversal. Expectation: Price is likely to revisit the demand zone and reverse if buyers show strength. Trade Plan Entry Strategy: Wait for bullish confirmation (e.g., rejection wicks, bullish engulfing, or a break of structure on lower timeframes). Stop-Loss: Placed below 17,676.7 to avoid further liquidity grabs. Take-Profit Target: Next supply zone or resistance level based on structure. Risk Management: Consider scaling in with partial entries instead of going all in at once.
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by awudusalia25
1
NAS100 1HR // 17 March AnalysisWe can see that the 1 hour downtrend on NAS100 has been broken. Looking to see if the price can retest the drawn support/resistance zone around the 19500.00 area. Potential buys with 20000.00 being a nice target if we see a nice retest from the marked support/resistance zone. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is purely for personal reference and record keeping and should be taken as educational material only, NOT FINANCIAL ADVISE. I will not be responsible for profits or loses due to this analysis.
FX:NAS100Long
by thebrowntrader
NQ: Upcoming Weekly AnalysisFA Analysis: 1- This week, we have major central banks meetings. The most important one is the FED. Market is seeking hints and signals for free money and rate cuts to tackle the manufactured recession created by Trump "policies". Any signal of free money from the FED will be well received; any other outcome will be translated in a huge sell-off of stocks and equities. 2- Last week, we saw that US equities and European Equities were moving in opposite direction! This tells us that money is fleeing US market. So the sell-off of US equities is not temporary; Investors and corporations seem lost confidence and trust in US Stocks. This has to be confirmed with the FED. 3- Also last week, we saw a huge undershoot of US Consumer Sentiment. All the above are very bearish US Equities. The FED and tax cuts are the only factors that might save US equities in the ST. The damage in the MT&LT seem irrevocable. TA Analysis: Weekly TF: NQ provided a weekly bearish close with a large wick. The weekly close was just above a Monthly support (dashed green line). If we receive positive signals from the FED, price should retest 20315 (the previous higher swing of the Monthly support (circle). If not, sellers will continue the downtrend. Daily TF: NQ provided a green Friday candle, but it was an inside the previous red candle. So no break, no shake from daily perspective. I mentioned last week that the area 19100-19600 will be the next MT&LT Support/Resistance area (yellow box). As you can see, this scenario seems correct. I think price will continue consolidate in this area until the FED. Trade safely and wish you Good luck!
FOREXCOM:NAS100Short
by OTM-Fadhl
Bearish drop?USTEC is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 19,857.80 1st Support: 18,725.96 1st Resistance: 20,398.38 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECShort
by ICmarkets
1