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NDX trade ideas

NASDAQ Potential Bullish Retracement (After Major Correction)NASDAQ price seems to exhibit signs of a major correction as the price action has broken out of it's range. During the pandemic (Covid-19), NASDAQ experienced two major corrections (worth drops of approx. 18.35% and approx. 24%). Counting these two massive corrections as anomalies, the NASDAQ on average retraces maximum around approx. 17% - 18.5% from a historical perspective. Once the selling subsides we may potentially see the formation of a credible Higher Low on the Longer Timeframes with multiple confluences from key Fibonacci and Support levels. The current Trade Plan caters to a drop of approx. 22.5% (to be on the safer side and potentially accounts for a major correction excluding massive systematic failure). Trade Plan : Entry @ 19250 Stop Loss @ 17140 TP 1 @ 21360 (Before All Time High) TP 2 @ 23470 (After All Time High) Note: Move Stop Loss to Break Even if TP 1 hits.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by LevelsBySBT
Nasdaq 100 drops below 20K after NFP, but could it rebound?The Nasdaq and S&P 500 were testing their weekly lows after what has been a bruising last few session. But with both indices testing their respective key support areas, could we see a recovery from around the current levels, especially in light of a weaker US jobs report? Keep an eye on the area around 20,000 on the Nasdaq, where the Trump rally commenced back in November. It is a key psychological area for the market. Can we see a bounce, or will the selling continue as we head deeper into the US session? At the time of writing, the index was below this level, but the session is not over yet. In any case, a confirmed reversal on the lower time frames should be observed by traders looking to potentially buy this dip. For example, if the index recovers to go bac above yesterday's low of 20180, that would be a bullish sign in my view. But right now it is looking quite bleak. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
NFP Big Day: How does impact NQ?Good day! Today is a big day for many reasons, but mainly to clear the context of uncertainty. 1- How to read and translate NFP data? * Inline data: It's positive for equities; it's a ST relief. * Overshoot: This is tricky: the Average Hourly Earnings must be inline or below expectation of 0.3% and strong green the two other components (NFP and Unemployment Rate). This overshoot will be very well received. In the case of Average Hourly earnings positive, it will become a mixed data with unknown behavior from the market. * Undershoot (the opposite of overshoot): NQ will drop to the final target 19620. 2- Powell and other FED members will speak today: In the current context, FED members might hint certain openness for printing free money and rate cut. Any hint of this type will send NQ up and absorb/erase any undershoot from NFP data. 3- Unpredicted news from Trump's team: As they're following closely the stock market, there is a big chance that they intervene in the case of undershoot NFP with candies and carrots. Hence, it will be very difficult to trade today. The up and down will be furious. GL!
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by OTM-Fadhl
Bearish Nasdaq Eyes Key Levels Amid Jobs Data Watch!In the current scenario, a rise to the 20,839.55 level presents an opportunity to continue the downtrend, targeting the 20,227.50 level in the short to medium term. The bearish scenario will be invalidated if the price rises above 21,077.98 and closes a daily candlestick above this level. Note: Markets are awaiting the U.S. employment data today, with expectations pointing to an increase in non-farm payroll employment change to 153K, while the unemployment rate is expected to remain at 4.0%. The data will be released at 5:30 PM Dubai time and is expected to have a direct impact on the markets, particularly U.S. indices, gold, and currency pairs involving the U.S. dollar. Traders are advised to pay close attention to this data, as it will directly impact the above analysis upon its release. It will be the main driving force based on its results, which could weaken the validity of the mentioned technical analysis scenario.
CFI:US100
by CFI
NAS100 Update - Potential TargetsHow I see it: ## NFP today, trade safe ! Key resistance @ 20634.00 area Key support @ 19961.00 area Severe divergence on 4HR TF (However, NASDAQ is still very overbought in the much bigger picture) Potential "LONG" - If Price can find very strong support/demand TP 1 = 20550.00 Keynote: Nasdaq is showing strong bearish behavior... Should the week close a 1W body below 20000.00, bearish behavior could continue But it can also be accumulation at a very key psychological confluence of support around 20000.00 Bulls are defending this territory fiercely. Thank you for taking the time to study my analysis.
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by ANROC
Bullish bounce?USTEC is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 19,903.74 1st Support: 19,625.20 1st Resistance: 20,525.10 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
1
2025 Outlook: Correction and Harmonic PatternsThe NASDAQ , after peaking at an unprecedented 22,000 in 2024, has begun a corrective phase driven by pausing Federal Reserve interest rates, concerns over tech-sector profitability, and escalating geopolitical tensions and Trump Commands. This pullback reflects a shift away from growth stocks toward safer assets. As outlined in this Chart, the index is now validating a bearish harmonic pattern (Crab), which typically signals major trend reversals. The pattern’s completion zone aligns with key Fibonacci retracement levels (61.8–78.6%) of the 2022–2024 bull run, projecting downside targets: - Near-term support: 20,000–20,500 (dynamic support near the 100-week moving average). - Intermediate zone: 19,000–19,500 (50% Fibonacci level and long-term trendline confluence). - Final target: 18,500 (78.6% Fibonacci retracement and psychological “golden support”). Macro risks, such as prolonged restrictive monetary policy, slowing AI-driven earnings growth, and U.S.-China and US-Europe trade tensions, could accelerate this decline. Traders are monitoring a decisive break below 20,500 with high volume to confirm bearish momentum, while a rebound from 18,500—coupled with reversal patterns like a double bottom may signal a short/mid-term buying opportunity. This outlook hinges on earnings reports from mega-cap tech firms (Microsoft, Apple, NVIDIA) and Federal Reserve policy guidance.
FX:NAS100
by SEYED98
NASDAQ Ultimate Support test on the 1week MA50.Nasdaq / US100 is trading inside a Channel Up since the start of this Bull Cycle after the late 2022 bottom. The price is about to test the 1week MA50, which is the ultimate Support of this bullish trend and has been holding since March 13 2023 (almost 2 years). It is important for the index to keep a weekly closing over it. If it does we will have the most optimal buy entry case. The previous two bullish waves interestingly enough both increased by +49.55%. Buy and target 25500. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by TheCryptagon
1