NAS100 Price ActionHey traders!
Looking at the current market structure, we can see that the price failed to make a new higher high , which is often the first sign of a potential trend reversal. This was followed by a break of two key structure levels, confirming a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish.
Interestingly, a supply zone was formed during this shift, but price didn’t even retest it — instead, it dropped right after its creation, showing strong bearish pressure. There's also an internal candle (IFC) marking the transition point.
With this kind of price action, it’s likely that the market is heading toward the next demand zone below. This could present a solid short opportunity, but always remember to manage your risk wisely and wait for clean confirmations.
NDX trade ideas
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade
🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward.
☄️ Trading Insights:
💯 Liquidity moves the market.
✈️ Volume confirms breakouts.
👍 Precision wins—no hesitation.
Bullish Structure Shatters
🔥 Bullish Break Our Path – 20360
👌 Entry: Break + volume → Retest → Long position → Secure profits.
Bearish Structure Shatters
🔥 Bearish Break Our Path – 20260
👌 Entry: Break + momentum → Retest → Short position → Target lower liquidity.
Why we enter ?
🩸Liquidity Sweep – Institutions grab liquidity before pushing .
🩸CHoCH – Trend shift confirmation.
🩸Key Level Retest – Strong breakout zone.
🩸Weekly/Monthly Zone – Institutional accumulation.
Retailers on the Attack: The “Buy the Dip” Phenomenon on NasdaqBy Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst
In a surprising turn of events for the stock market, so far in 2025 we see how retail investors have taken center stage, betting heavily on “ buy the dip” as large investors reduce their positions. According to data from VandaTrack, these small investors have injected nearly $70 billion into U.S. stocks and ETFs. This phenomenon, which seems to be straight out of a Reddit forum, has sparked conversation on digital platforms and has captured the attention of analysts and specialized media.
The “buy the dip” phenomenon is based on the idea of buying stocks during their declines, with the expectation that the price will recover and a profit will be made. Despite the volatility generated by the current environment - marked by geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes and the impact of technological innovations such as China's DeepSeek artificial intelligence - retailers have shown unusual resilience. Phrases such as “be the dip” have become popular in forums and social networks, driving a wave of optimism that contrasts with the cautious approach of large investors, who are withdrawing their liquidity or diversifying into less volatile assets.
The notable betting by retail investors is reflected in large-scale deals. For example, last week alone saw investments of $3.2 billion in Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) and $1.9 billion in Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA), according to figures released by JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM). These moves not only evidence confidence in the recovery potential of these companies, but also the ability of small investors to influence liquidity and market direction.
In addition, the trend extends to leveraged ETFs, whose trading volume has increased considerably. The “buy the dip” behavior has been internalized to the point of becoming an automatic reflection of today's retail mentality. This phenomenon has also been observed in other international markets, where online investment platforms and mobile applications have facilitated access to the stock markets, allowing a greater number of investors to participate actively and, in many cases, on a massive scale. This dynamic can have both short- and long-term effects. On the one hand, the massive inflow of capital by retailers can generate a “rebound effect” in certain sectors, especially those perceived as innovative and disruptive. On the other hand, the high concentration of investments in a few assets and sectors - such as technology - could increase volatility and systemic risk in the market. While the “buy the dip” strategy has worked in previous periods, relying solely on this tactic in such a changing environment could lead to significant imbalances if there is a sharp turn in the market.
The implications of this trend also extend to the regulatory arena. Financial authorities are closely observing how the massification of “buy the dip ” is impacting market stability, and some regulators have already initiated studies to evaluate possible control measures. The evolution of this phenomenon could force a rethinking of current regulations on retail investor participation in high volatility markets.
Technical Analysis Nasdaq 100(Ticker AT: USATEC)
Currently, the main support zone is around 16,986 points. The second support zone pivots around 18,400 points. The current range is between 18,737 and 20,505 points with the control point (POC) at 19,755 points. The RSI is at 53.64% since this last rebound started at 23.03% so it seems to have stabilized in a middle zone. If we look at the movement of the index, it does not seem to have finished its movement to the upper band of the range. At the moment, it is about to test its strength in the direction of the highs if the Bulls continue to drill hard. The truth is that on March 4th on the daily chart there was a bearish crossover, so it does not seem that this strength will hold and the lower part of the range will be tested again. If the index shows weakness we will see a return to the 18,400 level.
In short, while the “ sharks ” or large investors flee the water, the “ minnows ” continue to splash about happily, demonstrating a new era in which the democratization of access to the stock markets is redefining the rules of the game. The commitment to “ buy the dip ” is a clear reflection of a renewed confidence in the market's potential for recovery and growth, although not without risks and challenges that must be managed by both investors and authorities.
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NSDQ100 INTRADAY no reaction to durable goods dataThe US Census Bureau reported that Durable Goods Orders increased 0.9% ($2.7 billion) in February, reaching $289.3 billion. This follows a revised 3.3% gain in January and beats market expectations of a 1% decline.
Excluding transportation, orders rose 0.7%.
Excluding defense, orders increased 0.8%.
Transportation equipment led the gains, up 1.5% ($1.4 billion) to $98.3 billion.
Despite the positive data, equity markets showed little reaction.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 20,386
Resistance Level 2: 20,658
Resistance Level 3: 21,000
Support Level 1: 19,692
Support Level 2: 19,443
Support Level 3: 19,131
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NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
Share with someone in need on true levels 🔑
Nasdaq-100 H4 | Potential bullish bounceNasdaq-100 (NAS100) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 20,090.40 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 19,800.00 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 21,044.20 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession NASDAQ 100Hey everyone, here’s my quick take on the NASDAQ 100 (NDX) and why I’m keeping an eye on a potential global recession:
1. Bearish Divergence on the Chart
We’ve got the price pushing higher while the RSI is sloping lower—classic bearish divergence. It’s a big red flag that momentum isn’t matching price action. Sure, it doesn’t guarantee a drop, but it definitely makes me cautious about chasing new highs.
2. Rising Wedge / Channel
The trendlines I’ve drawn suggest a rising wedge or narrowing channel. Those often break to the downside if buyers can’t keep the momentum going. I’m watching that lower boundary like a hawk—if we close below it, that’s usually a bearish signal.
3. Ichimoku Cloud Levels
We’re still hanging around the top of the Cloud, which means the longer-term trend isn’t totally broken yet. But if price falls into the Cloud or below it—and the Tenkan-sen crosses under the Kijun-sen—that’s another sign that sellers might be taking control.
4. RSI Confirmation
The RSI is showing that classic lower high pattern, which means the market’s losing steam. A drop below typical support ranges on the RSI (like 40-50) would back up the idea of a deeper pullback or correction.
5. Macro Picture & Recession Risks
The NASDAQ 100 is a pretty good indicator of market sentiment, especially for big tech. If we see a bigger breakdown here, it might hint at broader economic weakness. Combine that with ongoing concerns about inflation, interest rates, and global supply issues, and we have a recipe for recession chatter to get louder. I’m not saying it’s a done deal, but the chart is telling me to stay on my toes.
Bottom Line
Yes, the chart is flashing bearish signals, and the macro environment is still uncertain. If we break below key support levels, it could be the start of a bigger downtrend—potentially lining up with a global economic slowdown.
NAS100 (4H) Technical Analysis 🔹 Trend Overview:
The market recently broke out of a downtrend, showing signs of a bullish reversal with higher highs (HH) and higher lows (HL).
🔹 Key Levels:
📈 Resistance: 20,600 – If broken, bullish momentum could continue.
📉 Support: 20,200 – Could act as a retest zone if price pulls back.
🔹 Market Structure:
✅ Higher highs & higher lows confirm an uptrend.
🚀 If 20,600 breaks, targets are 21,000 → 21,300.
⚠️ Rejection at 20,600 could lead to a pullback toward 20,200 or 19,880.
🔹 Trade Idea:
Bullish above 20,600 with a target of 21,000+.
Bearish rejection at 20,600 could provide a short opportunity toward 20,200.
📌 Risk Management: Wait for confirmations before entering trades. Set SL below recent structure lows.
Nasdaq Short: Top of channelThis is similar to the S&P500 short idea. In fact, they complement each other. While S&P500 has breached the top trendline, Nasdaq hits the trendline.
Also something different from S&P500 is that the Nasdaq correction unfolds is 5 waves instead of 3 in S&P500.
Place the stop loss where I indicated and you should be fine to take one a positional short.
Good luck!
Bullish Signal NAS100Trade Setup:
Market: NAS100 (US100 Cash CFD)
Timeframe: 4-hour chart
Entry Strategy: Looking for a retracement to a key price level (Killzone) before a bullish move toward resting liquidity.
Key Components of the Analysis:
1. Market Structure & Price Action
The market is in a downtrend, but there is a sign of a potential reversal.
Price is approaching a key Fibonacci retracement zone, around 19,565 - 19,668, where buying pressure is expected.
The 50% - 78.6% Fibonacci retracement levels indicate an area of interest for buyers.
2. Liquidity & Key Price Levels
A key price level is marked around 20,450, acting as a potential resistance zone.
Resting liquidity (liq) is positioned higher at 20,880, suggesting an upside target if the trade plays out.
The killzone (highlighted in red) is the ideal area for a possible buy entry.
3. Trade Execution Plan
Entry: Within the Fibonacci retracement zone (Killzone) around 19,565 - 19,668.
Stop Loss: Below the 100% Fibonacci retracement level (19,403) to avoid being stopped out by market noise.
Take Profit: Targeting the resting liquidity zone around 20,880, aligning with a previous supply zone.
Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable, as the green risk/reward box indicates a positive R:R setup.
4. Additional Confluences
The 200 EMA (blue line) may act as dynamic support.
Volume profile shows a high liquidity area near the killzone, increasing the likelihood of a bounce.
Previous price action suggests strong reactions from similar levels.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
NASDAQ: Short term Channel Up on critical Resistance.Nasdaq is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 49.418, MACD = -276.610, ADX = 37.535) as it has recovered from the oversold state of 2 weeks ago. By doing so, it has formed a Channel Up on the 1H timeframe but as the price hit its top and the 1H RSI has formed a bearish divergence like the previous HH, it is possible to see a quick pullback. As long as the price stays inside the Channel Up, target the 1H MA200 (TP = 19,900). If it crosses above the top of the Channel Up, buy and target the R1 level (TP = 20,650).
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$NDX Bear Flag FlaggingAs we can see on the NASDAQ:NDX there is a Bearflag pattern that has yet to be broken. As it develops on the lower time frames we will watch for price to trade in this channel and develop on the higher time frames.
After struggling at the top, we expect a short term rejection of the channel back down to the 19,516 Level.
US100 Short Fear rises of FED possible ,,No-Rates Cut,,!wE CAN SIMPLY TELL THE SAME REASON trading stocks,indices! Simple: Economy under big inflation pressure.
2 approaches:Conservative and agressive entry. Where breakout traders enter,where others put their takeprofits,where others put stops: Thats my entry.Simple.
Near details ,please take a look at the chart above