NDQ is kissing SMA 200 being under SMA 50: bears in controlHello everyone!
Once upon a time, I read the thesis that Algos would start selling aggressively if the Ticker reached its SMA 50 Close. If the ticker reaches and breaks down its SMA 200, the sell-off continues, and we can call the environment bearish, not being formally in a bear market. Under a Bear market, we assume here a decline from the latest top ~20% for the major indices.
Fine. The practical question is how to use this information for your trading strategy as a retail trader?
For me, it is still a work in progress.
Why? I am a relatively newbie in the market (since 2019), so my learning curve is in progress. For example, I understood, based on my reduced deposit in 2022, that defining the environment, then relatively strong sectors and tickers makes sense and really helps to decide what trading strategy to apply to the stock that performs stronger vs. the general market ( SP:SPX , for example) or the weakening stock.
From the chart above, the obvious conclusion is that NDQ is weakening and at a decision moment, so trading long the bounces intraday and mainly keeping the longs overnight is a risky approach. I like to sleep well, so I do not hold long overnights. Now, it does not matter how the chart is; it is amazingly tempting to do so. Learned the hard way. Conversely, I play longs intraday because bounces might be rewarding during the intraday.
For sure, all boring stocks from a field of defensive sectors are now more right to be with longs according to textbooks. Everyone chooses their way.
Stay profitable!
