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Bullish bounce?USTEC has reacted off the pivot and could potentially rise to the 1st resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Pivot: 19,631.95 1st Support: 19,126.61 1st Resistance: 20,332.42 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
ICMARKETS:USTECLong
by ICmarkets
1
Hanzo | Nas100 15 min Breaks Structure – Confirm the Next Move🆚 Nas100 – The Way of the Silent Blade ⭐️ We do not predict—we calculate. We do not react—we execute. Patience is our shield. Precision is our sword. 🩸 market is a battlefield where hesitation means death. The untrained fall into traps, chasing shadows, believing in illusions. But we are not the crowd. We follow no signal but the one left behind by Smart Money. Their footprints are our way forward. 🩸 Bullish Structure Shatters - Key Break Confirms the Path – 19750 reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🩸 Bearish Structure Shatters Key Break Confirms the Path – 19540 Zone our reversal always at key level even a reversal area is well studded reasons Liquidity Swwep liquidity / choch key level / multi retest before weekly / monthly zone 🔻 This is the threshold where the tides shift. If price pierces this level with authority, it is no accident—it is designed. The liquidity pool above has been set, and the institutions will claim their prize. Volume must confirm the strike. A clean break, a strong push, and the path is set. Watch the volume. Watch the momentum. Strike without doubt
FX:NAS100
by Path_Of_Hanzo
NAS100 Bullish Trading IdeaMarket Structure & Key Levels Bullish Market Structure: The price has been making higher highs and higher lows. 4-Hour Order Block (OB): The price recently reacted from a 4-hour order block, confirming bullish intent. Unmitigated Wick: There’s an unmitigated wick above 20,160, acting as a liquidity target. Liquidity Pool Below: A possible retracement to sweep liquidity before the next bullish push. Trade Setup (ICT) Entry Zone: Look for a retracement to the 19,800 - 19,820 region, which aligns with an order block and potential fair value gap (FVG). Stop-Loss: Below 19,700 (under the liquidity sweep level). First Target (TP1): 19,995 (previous high and potential resistance). Final Target (TP2): 20,160+ (liquidity grab from the unmitigated wick). Confirmation Factors Displacement & FVG: Look for an aggressive bullish push from discounted price levels. London & New York Session Influence: NY session open may trigger liquidity grab before the bullish move.
FX:NAS100Long
by lasinsraj
Trading View Idea: Nasdaq 100 SPOT (Technical & Fundamental OutlTechnical Analysis: Key Levels: Immediate support at 19,664.50 (current price), with critical demand zones near 19,200–19,600. A break below could target 18,268.75 (next major support). Resistance levels begin at 20,400–20,800. Price Action : Consolidation between SELL (19,664.25) and BUY (19,665.05) zones suggests indecision. Watch for a breakout; holding above demand zones may signal bullish reversal potential. Fundamental Drivers: USD Influence: Monitor the US Dollar Index (DXY). A stronger dollar could pressure Nasdaq 100, given its tech-heavy export exposure. Macro Factors: Fed policy shifts, inflation data, and tech sector earnings will drive sentiment. Trade Idea: Bullish Scenario: Hold above 19,664.50 with SL at 19,200, targeting 20,400. Bearish Trigger: Close below 19,200 opens downside toward 18,268.75. Call to Action: 👉 Follow for alerts on breakout/breakdown scenarios. 👉 Share this analysis to empower others with data-driven decisions. Engage with My Latest Trading Setup & Share Insights! Risk Note: Tight stops advised amid volatility. Align entries with DXY trends and economic catalysts.
CFI:US100Short
by Mr_Kevin_Trading
Nasdaq 100 key levels to watch as index tries to extend recoveryMarkets have been grappling to establish a definitive bottom in recent sessions, before finally the bulls showed up on Friday to stage a strong rebound from oversold levels. Could the Nasdaq 100 now be poised for a more substantial recovery? After Friday’s recovery, the big question now is whether we are witnessing the early stages of another rally or just a pause before deeper losses. Last week, the Nasdaq 100 found some footing in the 19,115-19,240 zone, which coincides with a prior support/resistance region and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of the August rally. With the daily RSI firmly entrenched in oversold territory, the index was able to find dip buyers yet again. The key technical factor to watch today is to see whether the index will show follow-through after Friday’s sharp recovery. A positive close would further erode the bears’ control, while a negative close would suggest there is more selling to come. A few nearby resistance barriers are in focus now. The first of these hurdles is at 19,735—the low from Friday that was breached in Monday’s sharp sell-off. This level also marks the underside of a broken trendline stretching back to January 2023. A decisive break above this area could open the door to additional upside, targeting psychological resistance at 20,000, followed by the 200-day moving average near 20,340. Should dip buyers regain control, these levels could soon come into focus. On the flip side, if renewed selling pressure emerges, downside targets include 18,800 and potentially the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement near 18,310. Taking everything into account, my Nasdaq 100 forecast has shifted. Where I previously leaned towards further correction—now largely realised—I am now inclined to anticipate a recovery. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by FOREXcom
The Interest Rates Paradox and How it'd Predict a Market Top NowIt is a common assumption that higher interest rates naturally slow economic expansion and cool overheated markets. However, the historical record over the past 50 years tells a more nuanced story when it comes to bubbles. In several major crashes—the dotcom bubble, the U.S. housing bubble, and the Japanese Nikkei bubble—a pattern emerges: monetary authorities began increasing rates well before market tops were reached. Surprisingly, instead of slowing the market in the short term, these rate hikes coincided with a parabolic run-up in asset prices . The paradox lies in the fact that while rising rates are expected to dampen market exuberance, during these bubbles, they coexisted with—and arguably even fueled—frenzied market behavior. This paradox has played out yet again over the last years. With us seeing not only the parabolic rally phase during the interest rate hikes but also us having a current agreement with the interest rates and equites topping at the same time. As with all previous market tops. As we sit here today, we have followed the interest rate topping paradox to the letter. Let's look more into it. Historical Patterns and the Paradox The Early Phase: Initial hikes into a heating up market. In each of these historical cases, central banks initiated rate hikes as part of a broader strategy to temper what they viewed as emerging economic imbalances. In the late 1980s, for instance, the Bank of Japan began tightening monetary policy as asset prices soared, anticipating overheating in the economy. Despite these early rate increases, the Nikkei continued its upward trajectory, ultimately reaching its peak in December 1989. This pattern was echoed in the U.S. during the dotcom era. Leading into the 2000 peak, the Federal Reserve started to raise rates to control inflationary pressures—even as the technology-heavy market rallied to unsustainable heights. The pattern has always been similar. Markets are starting to get hot and perhaps there's some unwanted consequence of this (like inflation). So the central bank takes actions to cool things down with the interest rate hikes. Although there have been reactions from this in the near term, overall the trend has become stronger and stronger during the hike cycle. Let me give you an example to add some context. Alan Greenspan is famous for the "Irrational exuberance" comment. He said that in 1996! The Nasdaq absolutely boomed from there for another 4 years. What had happened before was nothing compared to what came after the interest rate hikes started. The Parabolic Reaction: Markets Defy Conventional Logic What seems paradoxical is that rather than a smooth deceleration, markets often reacted to these rate hikes with an intensified speculative fervor. During the dotcom and housing bubbles, small increases in rates did not immediately curb investor optimism; instead, they appeared to add urgency, fueling a belief that the market was resilient enough to outperform despite higher borrowing costs. The market’s parabolic rise in asset prices during periods of tightening monetary policy is counterintuitive, suggesting that investors were less influenced by the immediate cost of capital and more driven by momentum and fear of missing out. By the high of these rallies it was firmly believed that this was a sign the uptrends would continue. Indeed, they could only get stronger as the interest rates came back down. ....Nah uh. Wasn't how it went all! And we find ourselves in a strongly similar situation now in 2025. Leveling Off and the Market Peak It gets weirder still when you notice rather than markets slowing down on rate cuts they highs of the equites rallies always came rate increases eventually plateau. Historical data shows that when interest rates stabilized—often within a narrow band of around 5% to 6.5%—this stabilization coincided with the market reaching its absolute peak. In these instances, the plateau did not signal the end of the monetary tightening cycle; rather, it marked the culmination of the bubble. Market participants, having pushed prices to their limits, were suddenly confronted with a reversion, as the underlying economic fundamentals could no longer justify the inflated asset values. Knowing what happened before does not let you know what will happen in the future, but it's worth knowing. It may well just end up being useful in the future. In every instance of a big market top in the last 50 years the pattern was interest rate hikes and parabolic rallies in this phase, when the hikes stopped the first market sell off began. We have an exact matching of these conditions now. The Bear Market and Rate Easing Once the market had peaked, and the bubble burst, central banks found themselves in a difficult position. In response to the ensuing economic downturns, monetary authorities were compelled to cut rates dramatically—even as equity markets remained subdued. This rapid reduction in rates was aimed at stabilizing economies and stimulating recovery, yet it often came too late to salvage the once-insatiable market exuberance. The inversion of the earlier paradox—where rate hikes were accompanied by soaring markets—serves as a stark reminder of the complexity of monetary policy in times of speculative excess. All you have to do is look at any of the interest rate charts for the crash in question and it's clear to see these both peaked and reversed around the same time. During bubbles, historically correlation with equities and interest rates is close to prefect. From the start of our interest rate hikes to now, this has continued to apply. A play out of the historical norms for this would now see rates continue to drop with equities dropping alongside them (Overall, maybe rallying on the news now and then). Which would make this a rather risky time to be buying the dip. ================================= Realistic Examples of the Paradox ================================= Nikkei Bubble (Late 1980s): Monetary Policy: The Bank of Japan initiated rate hikes to cool a rapidly expanding economy and soaring asset prices. Market Behavior: Despite these increases, the Nikkei continued its parabolic climb, peaking in December 1989. Aftermath: Following the bubble’s burst, rates were cut sharply as the market entered a prolonged bear phase. Dotcom Bubble (Late 1990s to 2000): Monetary Policy: In response to rising inflationary pressures, the Federal Reserve began increasing rates before the bubble reached its zenith. Market Behavior: Rather than curbing exuberance, the rate hikes coincided with an acceleration in market gains, contributing to an unsustainable rise in tech stock valuations. Aftermath: The eventual plateau in rates occurred as the market hit its peak, soon followed by a dramatic downturn when investor sentiment shifted. U.S. Housing Bubble (Mid-2000s): Monetary Policy: The Federal Reserve’s gradual rate increases were part of an effort to moderate the housing market’s explosive growth. Market Behavior: Housing prices continued to rise, reflecting an underlying confidence in the market that outpaced the modest increases in borrowing costs. Aftermath: When rates eventually leveled off, the market was near its peak, and subsequent rate cuts during the bear market underscored the stark reversal of fortunes.
IG:NASDAQShort
by holeyprofit
NASDAQ Most critical 4H MA50 test in 7 months!Nasdaq (NDX) has been trading within a Channel Up since the July 11 2024 High. The price action since the February 18 2025 High was been the patterns Bearish Leg and like the August 05 2024 bottom on the Higher Lows trend-line, it was done on an oversold (<30.00) 1D RSI. Now that the price has Double Bottomed and bounced, it came across today with a 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) test. 7 months ago it was that test and eventual break-out that initiated Nasdaq's 4-month non-stop rise. Initially once broken, the first target was just below the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. As a result, you can get a confirmed buy signal once the index closes above the 4H MA50 and target 21450 (just below the 0.786 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US100Long
by TradingShot
Nas100 Weekly BiasBased on how the market ranges are laid out, I am keen to seehow is it that the market will unfold and what is it that the Institutional Orderflow will rea h out for first. Overall I will be trading on internal ranges and keeping my focus narrowed on that. Anything else outside that will not be of my interest. Due to manual intervention I am expecting because of fundamentals. OVERALL I would like to see a small run on the upside, going for the Premium arrays and then a deep run for shorts for the purpose of purging sell orders below Lows and then buying them prior long term reversals for longs
FOREXCOM:NAS100
by Fx_Buddha17
2
stocks vs gold race to recession safety since fed did its last rate cut in december 2024 fomc, Stocks down gold up this is classic recession trade - dump risk assets and buy safe heaven gold hit $3000 on recession panic market crash if stocks bounce, panic may price out if stocks fall more, panic selling will trigger which could slow the speed of gold rally this market action and recent gold bars flying to New York from london may be recession panic buying not the tariff inflation hedge in 2020 market crash everything went down but when recovery started gold proved better than stocks.
TVC:NDQ
by Sangam-Agarwal