Not looking good for TradFi.First (38.2%) and second (61.8%) support level as shown.
Ichimoku cloud also turning bearish again.
Will the crypto market be pulled along, or will it finally decouple (less likely)?
NDX trade ideas
US100 Bullish AnalysisNASDAQ 100 (US100) - Bullish Setup for Liquidity Grab
📈 Overview:
The market recently broke structure (BOS), signaling a shift in momentum. Price is currently retracing towards an Order Block (OB), presenting a potential long opportunity.
🔍 Key Levels:
OB Zone: Potential demand area for a buy setup.
Resting Liquidity (Resting Liq): The market is likely to target this level for liquidity grab.
Target: 20,677 - 20,937 zone, where liquidity resides.
📊 Plan:
Wait for confirmation within the OB zone before entering a long position.
Target the resting liquidity above for a strong move.
Maintain risk management in case the setup invalidates.
💡 Bias: Bullish as long as OB holds.
🚀 Let’s see how this plays out!
#US100 #NASDAQ #SmartMoney #Liquidity #OrderBlock
Nas100 Gap fill?!! maybe?! NQ for the day i believe we bearish and might maybe try to fill yestersday's opening gap but for a more realistic outcome we can look for the midpoint of the volume imbalance as a possible exit and maybe even the bottom red horizontal line with is the low of the gap.
1hour TF we have a shift in structure lower and price is currently on the OTE levels
Weekly Analyses 03/24-03/28Welcome Traders to another week of trading!
Due to ongoing economic events the US stock market underwent a correction for the past 4 weeks. From peak to trough, the NASDAQ made a 14.4% correction and has now found a level of support at 19,125.3. Since then, price has made a series of HHs and HLs ultimately signalling a LH on the Daily chart. Using my fibs the Daily LH is currently within the 38.2% fib level. Price has also finally managed to fill the gap created at market open on March-9.
So what happens next?
Price may have room to continue bullish in an attempt to capture the buy side liquidity and FVG created during the downtrend. If this is the case, I anticipate price to continue bullish to 20,320.0 - 20,552.1. If price respects this level, it will serve as a retest of the 200 day MA that price broke below, as well as a restest of the neckline of the "M" pattern created on the Daily.
Price also has room to retrace as the 1H, 6H and 7H TFs have signalled a HIGH not HH. A retracement is required to signal their respective HLs to continue the uptrend. Furthermore, a gap created at market open on March-21 needs to be filled. So regardless of how high price may continue bullish we can expect a retracement back to 19,785.9 with a daily candle close below the gap. Depending on the moment this may signal a new Daily HL or LL.
FED slowing down balance sheet reduct，good new for marketMarket sentiment has been pessimistic over the past few days, with some expecting further declines while others anticipate a rebound. However, after scanning through online discussions, I was surprised that almost no one is talking about the most critical piece of information for April！
— Starting in April, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) will reduce the monthly redemption cap on U.S. Treasury securities from $25 billion to $5 billion to slow down the decline in its securities holdings.!
If we look back at May 2024, the Fed made the same move, which led to a significant rally from May to July.
For those who remain bearish, it's crucial to have proper stop-loss strategies in place. After April 2, as long as technical indicators align, we should expect a strong rebound.
2018 - "this time it'll be different"Not really.
Market sentiment echoes an unstable whiplashing and overcooked economy that is accompanied by a hawkish Fed unwilling to slash rates. Sound familiar? So let's overlay 2018 and see if that's when the twists and turns come....
Apr 2 low, Apr 14 high, May 5 low.
As good a guess as any right?
Good times still to roll on after correction.Bear flag forming at the edge of the channel. The flag pole came down with good volume and flag itself (consolidation) on decrease volume therefore good probability of more downside. If that happens that could create a Wycoff spring and resume the current trend.
BUY Stop on Nas100/US100this is a tricky trade where I'm looking for the break of tht high represented by the light bulb 💡the break above it is a confirmation for the buy entry any moves down or failure of breakage means it's an invalidated trade
US100+ Fresh US data (PCE and infl.exp. Up, Consumer exp. Down)
~+ Tariffs uncertainty (retaliation?)
~+ COT
~+ Timing (end of the week, month)
~- Seasonals
NAS100 BuysHello Fokes it's me again, if you can check the cautious sign ☢️ there is the liquidity sweep and the light bulb 💡 represents the BOS bt the disadvantage of this trade is that there are equal highs just swept recently bt let's Go I'm risking 1% of the whole account
Short on NAS100With tariffs on all foreign cars escalating likely going to see NAS100 tanking, waiting for NY session with the 15 min idea that I hope its invalidated then take on the 1hr idea
NASDAQ MIGHT PUSH DOWN TO RETESTHello traders, This is my prediction on NASDAQ, please watch to catch/learn on how(I) to analyze the market. I'm expecting a bearish trend to retest a break out but watch the VIDEO to understand what I mean. ENJOY
NB: NO REVERSAL PATTERNS NO ENTRY.
Nasdaq-100 Wave Analysis – 25 March 2025
- Nasdaq-100 broke resistance zone
- Likely to rise to resistance level 20500.00
Nasdaq-100 index recently broke the resistance zone between the round resistance level 20000.00 and the resistance trendline of the daily down channel from February.
The breakout of this resistance zone accelerated the active intermediate impulse wave (3) from the start of March.
Nasdaq-100 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 20500.00 (former strong support from January and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave (3)).
$NQ CorrectionPrice clearly is going towards Sellside Liquidity.
The standard deviation shows -2 to -2.5 is where price would reverse from and its also aligned with Sellside liquidity.
Idea: Bearish.
NASDAQ: Wave Analysis & Forecast for April-MayHello, traders! Let’s analyze the current wave structure of the NASDAQ index.
At the moment, there is a high probability that the index is forming wave C of a correction. Most likely, this is a horizontal expanded correction.
✅ Sub-wave 1 of wave C has already formed.
✅ Sub-wave 2 is also likely completed.
On Friday, the index showed a strong decline and closed at the day’s lows, indicating a high probability of further downside movement next week.
What’s next?
We expect the formation of the third sub-wave within wave C. Most likely:
🔻 The index will continue to decline toward 17,700, where the 38% Fibonacci level is located.
🔻 The key support zone is 17,300.
🔻 After a short correction, the decline may extend to 16,300.
🔻 In a deeper scenario – down to 15,700-15,000.
Technical factors
⚡ The price failed to break above the 200-day moving average, bounced off it, and started declining.
⚡ The next major support is the 200-week moving average, around 16,200.
⚡ Throughout April – May, the market is likely to remain in a correction phase.
Once key levels are reached, we expect a potential reversal and new highs in the second half of 2025.
Stay tuned and share your thoughts in the comments!
NQ: End of day analysis!We got another bearish day, but NO change in the structure! Price is making a HL. As long as there is no LL, we can expect anytime a move up to create a new HH.
Tariffs noises are weighing a lot and restraining the move up to 50%.
Tomorrow we have Core PCE.
1- An overshoot, cancel the 50% and price go south;
2- Inline and undershoot, the 50% is reachable and price goes north.
Monday is end of Month and Quarter. Rebalancing portfolios large hands and corporations is in play.
Good evening/night!
Nasdaq analysis: 25-MAR-2025Good morning, trading community! Today's Nasdaq analysis is for you. Share your thoughts, ask questions, and let me help you grow.
NAS still charging for bullish targets but currently retracingWe are looking at a retest of break points on the session. Going into this session we will monitor what happens at the previously broken levels.
We do have bearish imbalances in LTFs that have yielded neat entry on shorts. Stay sharp in this range.
Share with someone in need on true levels 🔑
NAS100...Ever The Bullish Instrument (The Return)After my 1 month ban from tradingview I am resuming my commentary on my eternal bullish stance for the NAS100.
Despite my absence, my strategy has not changed and will remain so until the Monthly starts creating LH's to LL's.
With that being said here is my current outlook on the NAS100:
1. Weekly currently at HL
2. H7 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session
3. H1 currently completed a daily new high at the end of today's session.
What does this mean for me?
Well, since I am taking my HL's and exiting on my HH's (trend move), I am aware that today's move only produced a daily LH and as such signals continued consolidation on the lower to mid hour timeframes...This allowed me to TP at the end of today's session and now I have to wait for the retracement to be over and the new lows completed so that I can enter on the next round of HL's on my larger timeframes.
As I have always mentioned, to understand this requires constant practice, consistency and patience...so give yourself time and do not rush.
Any sells in the market are only temporary retracements to produce the HL on the larger timeframes...Case in point... 4 weeks worth of selling on the H1 only managed to create a HL on the weekly timeframe...leaving the market still in trend for the HLs to another ATH in the future.
Have a great week.
#oneauberstrategy
#auberstrategy
#whywewait
#zigzagtheory
#patience
#aubersystem
Nas100 SELL to 17.5k*I am in no way a financial advisor and you should always do your own due diligence before placing any trade. Do not trade what you are not comfortable with losing. No trade is guaranteed.
SL 19,977
TP 17,500
