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NDX trade ideas

My McClellan Oscillator Graph - Up or Down in the Markets?This is a huge factor to watch, something to consider, Santa Claus Rally expected, or not? I have had many financial analysts for decades always point out this chart when the markets seem toppy or indecisive. The Dow has closed 9 days in a row, first time since the 70s, that's quite interesting, let's watch to see if the theory behind this indicator proves we are in for a rally as I expect. The markets always tend to go higher more than one might think.
NASDAQ:NDXLong
by Trance-Man
NAS100 - Possible Outcome20SMA - Blue 200SMA - Pink Key Confluence Areas - Grey Lines Market Structure Support/Resistance - Green/Red Dashed Lines Dear Friends: (Away from charts) It will be prudent to give your mind, body and soul a good rest, to recharge for the new upcoming exciting year! How I see it: NASDAQ VERY bullish, so I believe LONG 1st. Resistance between 21965 - 22000 If it gets that far, and if resistance holds, Possible correction back to 21750 Keynote! Alot of data this week. Trade safe as the year is coming to an end. I deeply appreciate you taking the time to study my analysis and point of view.
ICMARKETS:USTEC
by ANROC
NAS100 - Nasdaq, the only green index last week!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index corrects towards the demand zones, you can look for the next Nasdaq buy positions with the appropriate risk reward. The valid failure of the previous ATH will provide the conditions for the continuation of the rise of this index. The Economist predicts that as 2025 approaches, the U.S. economy is in a highly favorable position. It expects a soft economic landing in the upcoming year, meaning the U.S. will successfully reduce inflation to its 2% target without harming economic growth. While analysts previously forecasted a recession for the U.S., Washington now stands out as the only major economy whose output exceeds pre-pandemic trends. This year, the Nasdaq index has significantly outperformed other major U.S. stock market indices. The primary reason is the heavy weighting of tech stocks in the index. Technology stocks, particularly the “Big Seven” tech giants, have seen remarkable growth due to the AI revolution and market optimism.On the other hand, the Dow Jones index, which is more focused on industrial stocks, has lagged behind Nasdaq despite notable gains. The United States is preparing new restrictions on AI chips to block China’s indirect access to this technology. According to a report by The Wall Street Journal, these restrictions aim to prevent China from using hidden pathways to obtain AI chips. Sources familiar with the plan revealed that the U.S. intends to hold companies like Google and Microsoft accountable for managing access to advanced AI chips. The most significant economic event this week is the Federal Reserve’s final interest rate decision of 2024, set to be announced on Wednesday. Markets are already anticipating a 25-basis-point rate cut, but attention will focus on the Fed’s policy statement and Jerome Powell’s remarks during the press conference. Traders will look for clues about the Fed’s monetary policy outlook for the upcoming year. Additionally, the Bank of England will announce its interest rate decision on Thursday, which could have a global market impact. Key economic data on American consumer health will also be released this week. On Tuesday, the November retail sales report will provide fresh insights into consumer behavior during the holiday season. Moreover, on Friday, the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) price index—a key inflation metric closely watched by the Fed—will be released, potentially clarifying the direction of future monetary policy. Other important economic data include the Empire State Manufacturing Survey and the S&P Global PMI leading index, both set for release on Monday. On Thursday, critical figures such as the final Q3 GDP growth rate, the Philadelphia Fed manufacturing survey, November existing home sales, and weekly jobless claims will also be published. Analysts expect the Fed to cut rates by 25 basis points this week, but the pace of rate cuts in 2025 is expected to be slow. Due to sticky inflation and some inflationary policies from Donald Trump, economists anticipate only three rate cuts in 2025. The U.S. dollar has performed impressively this year, supported by the country’s economic conditions. However, Morgan Stanley analysts, including David Adams, believe buying the dollar at this point may be a mistake, as there is a downside risk for the currency. Based on their discussions, many investors expect the dollar index to rise further. Morgan Stanley argues that positive news is already fully priced into the dollar and that markets may be overestimating the speed, scope, and impact of economic measures.
CAPITALCOM:US100Short
by Ali_PSND
Lies on NASDAQ to FOOD Big # ADM TSN CAGWell this is just a follow up so I dont need to explain...see prior post of mine and you will get whole story.. Get you food in order cause it will get really fun...I guess this is why at a dinner I had with John Bogle of Vanguard he said: "Boys....if any of you are smart and think about the future, how many of you will follow the phones versus follow the farming life, raise your hands? Well, it seems all the hands are up...so good news, none of you get to enjoy this exquisite meal tonight because no one will replace the people who made it all happen from soil, air , and water. If any of you boys are smart, get into that game by the early 20's and you will be able to take control of the world..and make the real money, the controlling money. Own the land, control the water, and your portfolios better contain the crops and their respective companies of tomorrow." Spoken June 2010 Say....isnt there real nice land in the Midwest owned by a few big guys or hedgefunds....and wait a sec...isnt there some "breadbasket" in that for border of the Big Meany we like to pick on that had a few hands dipped into it. Things arent random...just be in the right rooms at the right time :}
NASDAQ:NDX
by CYQOTEK
Nasdaq reflects caution on inflation and ratesWall Street turned red at the close. The Nasdaq Composite, the main reference for the technology sector in the United States, fell -0.25% on Tuesday, closing at 19,687.24 points. This decline reflects the impact of a combination of macroeconomic and sectoral factors that are keeping the entire market on its toes. Nasdaq Performance in Context Although the index has had an outstanding performance this year, with a cumulative gain of close to 40%, led by technology giants such as Apple, Microsoft, and Alphabet, it has generated . However, the stock's pullback this week that underscores the sector's sensitivity to monetary policy expectations and global regulatory risks. Among the factors that contributed to the Nasdaq's decline this week were: • Regulatory pressures - China's investigation into Nvidia, one of the world's largest chipmakers, dragged down the Philadelphia semiconductor index (-2.5%) and weighed on tech stocks. • Mixed corporate results: Oracle declined 6.7% after missing revenue estimates despite being consistent, and MongoDB lost 16.9% despite improving its annual forecast. Short-term outlook The tech market faces additional uncertainties with upcoming Consumer Price Index (CPI) data key to the Fed's rate decision. If the November CPI meets estimates of 2.7% y/y, it could facilitate a 25 basis point rate cut in December, strengthening market sentiment. Currently the FedWatch data indicates that there is an increasing likelihood of a cut rather than a hold at current rates. In addition, the Fed's tone is expected to provide signals on the future direction of rates, which will directly impact appetite for high-growth assets such as technology. Technical Aspect Currently, yesterday the index made a crossover of averages generating that the average of 50 crossed over the average of 100 marking the fall of yesterday's prices. At the moment there is still a long distance to go before the averages approach the 200, but this crossover has positioned the price in the check point (POC) zone. So, if the CPI and rates news do not strongly modify this trend, we could be witnessing a possible temporary sideways movement of the index in this last part of the year. Overall, although the Nasdaq continues to show strength for the year, macroeconomic and regulatory challenges are key factors to watch, especially in an environment where monetary policies could moderate the pace of economic recovery. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ACTIVTRADES:USATEC
by ActivTrades
Nasdaq Intraday Review - Tuesday 10 Dec 2024I trade Nasdaq exclusively Trading in GMT time zone Sharing my post day review and analysis in case it can help you! Did my analysis at +- 5:30 am GMT (00:30 am EST) Economic news - None, but tomorrow is CPI News - None Directional bias - BUY. The M TF is very bullish and until there is a reversal pattern eg. DT on a high TF (like the D TF at least), I continue to hold my buy bias. Morning analysis: M TF - very bullish D TF - Price is right at the neckline area (marked in green) at time of writing this morning. If candles start closing below neckline towards the mushroom, Nas will turn bearish, because then a day DT has formed with the neckline broken down (change the D TF chart to a line chart and it will be easily visible). D fib retracement levels were broken down yesterday, in other words bulls were not able to overcome the bears at these levels and bears push down past these levels. Now only W retracement levels remaining. W 0.382 fib level is 2800 pips down (at time of writing in the morning). Bulls last defense against the bears is the D neckline (marked in green) and a strong D support level, exactly at the D neckline. So this is the level were bulls will have to step in if they do today. 4H TF - Shrinking red candles at C. indicate a loss of bearish momentum. Hoping that bulls will push up from the green support / neckline. Drawn in the SELL fib levels because these will be key take profit levels. Sell fib drawn from swing high at B. to swing low at A. As the day progressed: As the morning progressed a falling wedge pattern formed on the 1H TF, as marked by the thick pink lines. Entered a buy at the hand icon, when price broke upwards on the 15min TF - Confirmations: 1. Market pattern - Falling wedge pattern formed on 1H TF, right above key support. Pattern broken upwards, indicating that price is ready to move upwards 2. S&R - Green line represents D Neckline and key D support area. On the 1H TF, price is reacting to the 100 EMA, indicating that the torquiose EMA line is acting as dynamic support. 3. Trend - Buy is in the overall bullish trend of Nasdaq. Also the temporary downtrend line (the top pink line of the market pattern) is broken, indicating that price is ready to move upwards 4. Fib - None 5. Candlesticks - Shrinking candles on the 4H, indicating loss of bearish momentum Mental SL placed at the thick pink line. I was willing to risk more today because it might have come down one last time to test the green line, this was purely based on my feeling, which luckily turned out not be true. Luckily I had zero draw down and price shot up. I took partial profits at the top hand icon (because that was TP2 on the buy fib (as drawn) and then closed almost all the rest of my position at the blue arrow (when a strong DT started forming on the 15min TF). I left a runner open, just in case I could possibly benefit from a push up at CPI tomorrow, but this was taken out at entry ultimately. Majority of my profits was about 1000 pips. Stats: The total bullish move for the day was +- 1575 pips: I captured 63% of the total move (I'm happy with that). Amazing to see how price reacted to the sell fibs today. Fib levels are real baby! P.S. A note from yesterday's trading....I took a loss of 800 pips yesterday (I tried twice and hit SL twice). I was pretty bummed about it and didn't post :( Won't be trading CPI tomorrow, because I feel I cant stack the probabilities in my favour! See ya Monday! Abbreviations: TF = timeframe TP = take profit 1H = 1 hour 4H = 4 hour D = day W = week M = month S&R = support & resistance H&S = head & shoulders EMA = exponential moving average SL = stop loss
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Jinxx84