NIKKEI trade ideas
Stocks - What Next?Idea for indices:
- As expected, Robinhood IPO was the trigger for global sell-off (other factors involved obviously, but I have been posting about everything macro related in other posts).
- China continuing to lead down.
- Look how the deflationary wave hits HSI > Nikkei > EU > US. Dome tops forming everywhere.
- ECB actually has greater QE than US, so EU index performance is a critical tell for deflationary forces vs. QE.
- Watch China Tech ETFs to lead US indices down. Managers will need to also liquidate US positions as their portfolio % exposure becomes overweight.
I've been enjoying watching Nikkei lately - it just broke a critical support and 200 DMA (6m low), officially a bear market if it consolidates losses. However, it is still holding 50 WMA and 200 DMA in real performance... waiting for US markets for confirmation.
Bearish bias here, turning point is due. Aug 2 debt limit will be in focus. Early August is my trigger for reversal confirmation. If it holds, we can back off and try again later, but rugpull is definitely due.
Already short US indices (long vol).
Nikkei real performance (relative to currency):
Here is what I think will happen to Nikkei next:
GLHF
- DPT
Bullish flag on 225JPY. Price failed to break previous low creating today a higher high on the daily chart, indicating a possible market structure shift. RSI three touch bullish divergence. Market structure broke previous minor resistance adding another confluence. Overall bigger trend is bullish while minor trend is bearish. Looking for a break of the flag and continuation. Usually this patterns take a while to break so will be taken as a swing trade.
JP225USD Long Pivot: 28480.00
Our preference:
long positions above 28480.00 with targets at 28685.00 & 28780.00 in extension.
Alternative scenario:
below 28480.00 look for further downside with 28380.00 & 28280.00 as targets.
Comment:
a support base at 28480.00 has formed and has allowed for a temporary stabilisation.
Nikkei Options Strategy for coming monthsThis is an idea for trading INDEX:NKY options.
In recent months, Nikkei index did experienced some volatile moments, however, they were all short-term momentum that they were unable to be met with trends that lasted for months or even weeks.
The author of this article believes that this trend to continue.
So, I suggest opening an Iron Condor spread which captures the prices between the lines drawn.
Elliott Wave Analysis: NIKKEI Remains BullishHello traders and investors!
Today we will talk about Japanese Index NIKKEI 225 in which we see very clear bullish pattern.
As you can see, NIKKEI made an A-B-C corrective decline from the highs and the main reason why we think it's a correction within uptrend is because of a triangle within wave B in the middle. We know that triangles cannot occur in wave 2, so it must be wave B as part of an A-B-C correction.
The Next very important evidence that A-B-C correction is completed is recent five waves up from the lows and we know that a five-wave reversal indicates a change in trend, so NIKKEI will probably stay in the uptrend.
However, in EW theory, after every five waves, a three-wave pullback follows, so before we will see a continuation higher, be aware of a corrective slow down with ideal support in the 28800 - 28300 zone. Of course, pullbacks could be even deeper, so count remains valid as long as the price is trading above 27400 May lows.
Be humble and trade smart!
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Disclosure: Please be informed that information we provide is NOT a trading recommendation or investment advice. All of our work is for educational purposes only.