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S&P 500 Index May Lose Upward MomentumS&P 500 Index May Lose Upward Momentum Yesterday’s inflation data release held no major surprises, as the actual Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures came in close to analysts’ forecasts. According to Forex Factory: → Annual CPI: actual = 2.3%, forecast = 2.4%, previous = 2.4%; → Monthly Core CPI: actual = 0.2%, forecast = 0.3%, previous = 0.1%. Overall, stock indices rose yesterday, but according to media reports, this momentum may begin to slow in the near future: → UBS analysts downgraded their rating on US equities from “attractive” to “neutral” following the recovery from early April lows; → Goldman Sachs analysts believe that the US stock market rally could stall at current levels. In their view, the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) is likely to reach 5900 over the next three months. Technical Analysis of the E-Mini S&P 500 Chart The chart provides more reasons to suggest that the current pace of growth may begin to slow. Firstly, the index has entered a broad range between 5800 and 6120, where it spent a prolonged period during late 2024 and early 2025. This is a zone (highlighted in purple) where supply and demand previously reached a stable equilibrium — and similar balance could potentially emerge again. Secondly: → the slope of the current upward channel (marked in black) appears excessively steep; → the RSI indicator points to a divergence; → the psychological level of 6000 may act as resistance. Given the above, special attention should be paid to the scenario in which the S&P 500 (US SPX 500 mini on FXOpen) forms a short-term correction before the end of the month. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
FXOPEN:SPXM
by FXOpen
Upper Band Holds Post-Breakout - Classic Trend Signal in PlayDéjà vu? Not quite - but today’s session feels a lot like yesterday’s. We’ve got a fresh mechanical bear trigger from a late-day Tag ‘n Turn setup. But much like the previous session, price action is telling us a different story. Let’s walk through what I’m looking for. --- SPX Market Briefing Yesterday’s session started with a bearish bias. But by the end of the day, the market voided the setup via the hedge trigger - and since I wasn’t positioned bearish, it was a clear signal to flip bullish. Same playbook again today. I entered yesterday bullish and didn’t babysit the charts. Today, I’m starting with a bearish mechanical trigger, but futures are holding up. There’s also a post-breakout continuation in play that’s clinging to the upper Bollinger Band - a strong sign of bullish trending momentum. Bollinger himself suggested this as one of the most reliable signs of strength. So what’s the move? Bearish trigger? Yes. Bear entry? Not yet. I’ll defer bearish entries unless price breaks below the 5880 area, with a v-shaped entry. If price stays above 5910, I’ll resume bullish activity as needed. This is shaping up to be another go/no-go decision day - no need to guess, no need to jump early. Let price make the choice. I’ll respond when it does. GEX Analysis Update 5900 is looking like the key GEX level again. --- Expert Insights: Mistake: Taking every mechanical setup without confirming price action Fix: Use price structure (like Bollinger Band holds) to confirm trend integrity Mistake: Jumping in without clear invalidation levels Fix: Predefine bull/bear flip zones - today: 5880 and 5910 Mistake: Over-monitoring slow sessions Fix: No need to stare at charts - mechanical setups do the heavy lifting --- Rumour Has It… Bollinger Band Declared Emotional Support Tool Sources say traders have begun using the upper Bollinger Band like a weighted blanket. “As long as we’re above it,” one trader whispered from beneath a desk, “I feel safe.” Psychologists confirm it's become a market-wide security blanket, replacing support/resistance zones in all therapy sessions. This is entirely made-up satire. Probably! Breaking scoops courtesy of the Financial Nuts Newswire-because who needs sanity? --- Fun Fact John Bollinger designed his bands in the early 1980s - not just to spot reversals, but also to identify sustained breakouts. When price hugs the upper band after a breakout, it’s often signalling continuation, not exhaustion. It’s a feature of trend momentum, not a warning of collapse. Today’s chart is textbook. The system gives us the setup. But the context? That’s where discretion adds juice to the edge.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
SPX 500 Downtrend MovementGreetings Traders this is my analysis on SPX500 and it is Short 📊 Overview: Current price: 5,901 (in the opening zone of the short position). The analysis points to a short strategy — the author predicts a price decline with the opening of a position between 6.009 and 6.023, aiming for 5.394–5.392. 🟩 Zone of resistance (Resistance level): Major resistance level: 6,153.39 Price has reacted at that level in the past and has previously been rejected, making it a strong psychological and technical barrier. 🟨 Entry and Expectation Zone: Open Position zone: 6.009–6.023 (brown zone) Expected reaction: short signal, if the price is likely to bounce off the resistance and head lower "First Top" and "Breakout" formations are observed, which is often a sign of a subsequent decline 🔻 Anticipated correction: Target zone: 5.394–5.392 It is the previous levels of consolidation and the possible target of a short position An arrow is shown predicting a price drop from the current level 🔴 Support Zone (Support Level): Main support: 5,091.52 If the price breaks through the target level, it can even go down to this support 🧠 Technical elements: Elliott Wave marks the completion of the impulse and corrective phase, suggesting the end of the upward wave Impulsive movement and a drop in price indicate the possibility that the current correction will end and the price will move downwards again A possible support area has already been tested, but it may be active again 🧩 Conclusion: Strategy: short entry at ~6,010–6,020 Stop loss should be above 6,153 (above strong resistance) Target: 5,394 (possible continuation of downward trend) The plan is based on price action analysis, waves and recognition of key zones Dear Traders like,comment let me know what do you think?
SP:SPXShort
by Zaks_ForexRules
S&P 500 Index Most Bullish Signal In 15 YearsThis is why it is very clear, certain, that the stock market, the S&P 500 Index (SPX) is set to grow in the coming months. Last week produced the highest volume session, on the bullish side, since April/May 2010, that's 15 years. Back then, when this signal showed up, this index went to grow for years non-stop. The SPX also produced the strongest weekly session in several decades, maybe the strongest week ever, and a bounce happened (support found) exactly at the 0.618 retracement Fib. This is all we need to know. When the bulls enter the market and do so with force, it is because the market is set to grow. The correction produced decline of 21%. This is pretty standard. The fact that the correction happened really fast, it means that it will also have a fast end. The low is in. The correction is over. The S&P 500 Index is set to grow. You can be certain. If you have any doubts, just ask the chart. Namaste.
SP:SPXLong
by MasterAnanda
9
The S&P 500 Is About to Drop — The Real Rally Comes in July!S&P 500 Market Outlook: Navigating the Path to a Bullish Breakout by June 2025 At Vital Direction, we are committed to delivering precise and forward-looking market analysis rooted in deep technical expertise. Our current evaluation of the S&P 500 indicates that the recent upward movement is not the beginning of a true bull market. Rather, it reflects a counter-trend rally that is approaching exhaustion. We firmly believe that the market is preparing for a significant decline in the short term, followed by a prolonged sideways consolidation, before initiating a genuine, powerful bull market in late June 2025. Elliott Wave Analysis: A Classic Counter-Trend Structure Our Elliott Wave analysis suggests that the S&P 500’s recent rally has been corrective in nature, comprised of only three waves — a classic hallmark of a counter-trend move. This pattern lacks the five-wave impulsive structure typically associated with sustainable bull markets. From our vantage point, this confirms that we remain in a larger corrective phase. We anticipate that a sharp retracement is imminent, one that may unfold over the coming days and weeks, ultimately transitioning into a period of sideways price action until mid-to-late June 2025. Only thereafter do we foresee the conditions forming for a new all-time high and the emergence of a powerful bull leg. Gann Theory Timing: Imminent Market Top Our Gann timing model aligns precisely with this forecast. We have identified this week as a critical timing window for a potential top in the S&P 500. Once this pivot is confirmed, we expect the index to enter a steep downward phase. From a Gann perspective, this is a natural part of the market’s cyclical structure — a necessary clearing phase before the next long-term advance. US Bond Yields: A Telling Risk-Off Signal One of the most overlooked — yet crucial — factors supporting our bearish near-term view is the behaviour of US bond yields. Charts clearly show that bond yields are breaking out to new highs, a significant development that suggests institutional and “smart money” investors are positioning defensively. This is not a characteristic of a “risk-on” environment. When yields rise, particularly amidst equity euphoria, it typically indicates that investors are seeking safety and yield rather than embracing equity risk. This divergence is a red flag that supports our conviction: the equity rally is unsustainable, and a meaningful correction is near. Seasonality Supports the Retracement View Historical seasonality trends for the S&P 500 further validate our analysis. Data indicates the following typical market behaviour: Mid-May to Late May: Downtrend Late May to Mid-June: Temporary uptrend Mid-June to Late June: Another corrective phase From Late June Onward: Start of the next major bullish cycle This seasonal rhythm perfectly mirrors what we see technically: the market is preparing to reset before beginning a strong ascent in July 2025, building into a full-fledged bull market by late June. The Broader Picture: Beyond US-China While some market optimism has emerged on the back of renewed US-China tariff discussions, we caution against over-reliance on this narrative. The market appears to be ignoring the broader geopolitical context, including the absence of any clear tariff agreements between the US and Japan — another major global economic player. The complexity of global trade negotiations introduces substantial uncertainty, which may continue to weigh on investor confidence. Until such macroeconomic factors are stabilised and digested by the market, we do not anticipate a truly risk-on environment. The Road Ahead: A Strategic Pause Before Ascent In conclusion, Vital Direction maintains its firm stance: the current market structure does not yet support the onset of a sustained bull market. A meaningful retracement is necessary and, indeed, healthy for the long-term health of the market. We expect this corrective period to unfold over the coming weeks and months, culminating in a sideways consolidation until late June 2025 — the point at which we foresee the S&P 500 transitioning into a highly bullish environment, with the potential to reach new all-time highs. We will continue to monitor the technicals, macroeconomic developments, and global capital flows to provide our clients with the most accurate and actionable insights. The bull is coming — just not yet.
SP:SPX
by VitalDirection
Bullish S&P500The S&P 500 is showing strong behavior again today, which suggests investors remain optimistic about the market's overall direction. That said, the price is starting to look overextended from the 10 EMA and is now touching the Bollinger Bands. This usually signals that a pullback is likely, even if it's just a minor one to the 10 EMA. Of course, we can never predict exactly how the market will move—but when that pullback happens, it often brings better entry opportunities on individual stocks, helping us position ourselves more effectively. As always, remember that trading carries risk. Be mindful with your entries and apply solid risk and money management to protect your capital and avoid being wiped out by unexpected market moves.
ICMARKETS:US500Long
by GonzooTrading
U.S. Bulls Take Charge: S&P 500 Set to Break OutHello, 📊 S&P 500 Market Outlook – Pro-Bullish Perspective 🔥 Market Recap: The S&P 500 recently saw a significant dip, marking a 1-year low at 4805.92, largely attributed to the shockwaves caused by President Trump’s sweeping tariff announcement on April 2. This move sent markets into a tailspin, creating heightened volatility levels not seen since the early pandemic days. However, savvy traders recognized opportunity amidst the panic and entered strategic buy zones around those lows. Since then, the index has managed to stabilize above key technical levels, signaling potential bullish momentum building from the ground up. 🧭 Current Key Technical Levels to Watch: 1W Pivot Point (PP): ✅ Holding above 5224.13 1D Pivot Point (PP): ⚠️ Testing resistance at 5297.05 1M Strong Support/Resistance: ⛔ Acting as resistance at 5329.31 🚀 Bullish Confirmation Pathway: To fully confirm a bottom-up bullish reversal, we’re looking for: ✅ Sustained close above the 1D PP @ 5297.05 ✅ Break and hold above the 1M Resistance @ 5329.31 ✅ Momentum toward the 1Y PP @ 5550.97 If these levels are conquered with conviction, it opens the door for an extended upside move toward 5878.58, aligning with a broader bullish sentiment. 🛑 Cautionary Downside Scenario: Although currently less likely, a failure to maintain support above the 1W PP @ 5224.13 could reopen downside risk in the short term. We remain watchful of that level as a bull-bear pivot. 🌐 Macro Overview – Tariff Shock & Earnings Spotlight: Trump’s abrupt tariff move has reshuffled the global economic deck, and investors are still processing its implications. The S&P 500 is currently down ~14% from its February highs, but showing resilience. Earnings season is now center stage, with major players like Tesla, Alphabet, IBM, and Boeing under the microscope. ⚠️ Volatility Index (VIX) is down from post-tariff highs (~60) to ~30, still elevated from the long-term median of 17.6, signaling cautious optimism. 💬 CEO Sentiment Matters: As JJ Kinahan from IG North America noted: “The view of CEOs going forward has never been more important.” With traditional guidance uncertain, investors are leaning on transparent, scenario-based outlooks like United Airlines’ “dual roadmap” approach. 🔋 Magnificent Seven on Watch: Alphabet: -20% YTD Tesla: -40% YTD These leaders are key sentiment barometers. If they bounce, the broader market is likely to follow. 🏛️ Fed & Trump Tensions: Trump recently stated that Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s termination “cannot come fast enough,” pushing for rate cuts. Powell, however, remains cautious, citing the need for more economic data before acting. ✍️ Final Note – A Cooling Tariff War? 💬 According to Trump’s latest statement, the tone around tariffs is beginning to cool, hinting at possible de-escalation. This development adds further bullish tailwinds to the broader market outlook. ✅ Summary: We are leaning bullish here with the base-building process in motion. Key levels are aligning, volatility is easing, and clarity from corporate earnings could be the catalyst to propel markets upward. Watch for a clean breakout above 5329 — that’s where the real confirmation begins. Eyes on the prize: 5878.58 👀📈 The Support and Resistance outlined in green and red are the respective support/resistance for this pair currently for 1M-1Y timeframes! No Nonsense. Just Really Good Market Insights. Leave a Boost TradeWithTheTrend3344
VANTAGE:SP500Long
by TradeWithTheTrend3344
2
US500 - Let the Bulls Strive!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst. 📈US500 has been overall bullish trading within the rising channel marked in red. Moreover, the blue zone is a strong support and structure! 🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of support and lower red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support. 📚 As per my trading style: As #US500 approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...) 📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management. Good luck! All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly! ~Rich Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
TRADENATION:US500Long
by TheSignalyst
7
S&P500 Alert! Entering a medium-term SELL ZONE!The S&P500 index (SPX) has recovered the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, limiting the Trade War losses considerably. Trading this week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line), the index has confirmed that it resumed its long-term bullish trend. On he medium-term though attention is needed as we're headed towards a range, which in the past 10 years has historically been an interim Sell Zone. That's the 0.786 - 0.9 Fibonacci range, which since the 2016 correction, it has always rejected the uptrend of a 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) led recovery. On 3 out of 3 occasions so far (April 2016, June 2020, July 2023), every time the price tested the 0.9 Fib, it got rejected back to its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line). In 2023 the pull-back bottomed in 3 months but in 2020 and 2016 it took considerably less. As a result, we call for caution near the 0.9 Fib for a potential medium-term pull-back but on the long-term the bullish trend is intact and historically it targets a minimum +27.74% from the All Time High (ATH), which is translated into a 7800 Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:SPX
by TradingShot
1
S&P500 Short: Update on wave counts, Completion of WXYThis is my 3rd attempt to call the correction peak for S&P500 or Nasdaq (I use them interchangeably). From the previous short idea using Nasdaq, I mentioned that the reason for the invalidation of the previous idea is due to the last wave 5 of C of Y to extend into a 5-wave structure. Over here, the short position will be stopped out if a new high above wave Y is hit. I offered 2 conservative targets in this short idea and suggests that one can reduce position and shift stop loss when the first conservative target is reached. I also mention that if this WXY wave structure is the correct call, then the big picture is really that S&P500 will crash below 4800. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
S&P500 Chasing a Retrace - Waiting for Equilibrium After Rally🗓️ Yesterday, I mentioned watching the S&P 500 for a retrace to find a potential long entry. But with the US-China tariff agreement announced, the market rallied hard 🚀—a clear positive for stocks. We didn’t get much of a pullback, and right now, I see the S&P 500 as overextended. I’m not looking to jump in at these premium levels. Instead, I’m waiting for a Fibonacci retrace back down into equilibrium on the current swing for a better opportunity. 👀 My plan: I’ll watch for a bearish break of structure to signal a retrace, then monitor price action as we approach support. If support holds and we get a bullish break of structure, that’s when I’ll look to get involved. 🔄 Just sharing my idea here—this isn’t financial advice! 📢
FX:SPX500
by fxtraderanthony
S&P 500 index Wave Analysis – 12 May 2025 - S&P 500 index broke resistance area - Likely to rise to resistance level 5930.00 S&P 500 index recently broke the resistance area between the resistance levels 5800.00 (top of wave 4 from March), 5700.00 (which stopped wave 1 at the start of May) and the 61.8% Fibonacci correction of the downward impulse from February. The breakout of this resistance area is aligned with the short-term impulse wave 3 of the intermediate impulse wave (3) from April. S&P 500 index can be expected to rise to the next resistance level 5930.00, former support from January and February.
SP:SPXLong
by FxProGlobal
Recession? Weak. Let's Do a DepressionS&P pulled a fast one — but the real show might be just warming up. Markets tease, bounce, tempt. And then — they punish. After a sharp rebound, S&P500 is still below 6,150, with weak volumes. The recent rally looks more like a bear trap than a new impulse. Trading note: Possible short entries can be considered from current levels, with 50% now, 25% near 6,000, and 25% at 6,100. Stop-loss only after 4H close above 6,150. No clean levels below that — only noise and traps. This market isn't about fundamentals. It's about desperation. Participants are chasing returns in a shrinking pie, taking on absurd risks. And now, buckle up: We are entering what might be the most dramatic market weeks in decades. This is setting up to be a mega-short, folks. Get ready for turbulence. Fasten your seatbelts. --- Important: This is NOT a recommendation to trade. This is an extremely high-risk scenario shared for discussion purposes only. If you've already made such a mistake and entered, respect your money and risk management. Losses are much harder to recover than gains.
SP:SPXShort
by TottiVincenzo