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$SPX The results in SPX for Oct. 8thSo in last night's video, this was the trading range - and this is the result. We took it right to the top of the implied move. Look at the setup here - Stupid willy below was green over green, so bullish set up there, and the 35EMA was above the 30min 200 average and in the support zone in the bottom half. We had a fully bullish set up and continued that heading into CPI tomorrow. We closed out that last bear gap and we made new all time highs.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
Title: Ascending Triangle on the S&P 500"Currently, we’re seeing an ascending triangle forming on the S&P 500. This pattern typically indicates a potential change in momentum. However, we're also noticing a clear bearish divergence on the 4-hour TDI (Traders Dynamic Index), which could suggest that upward momentum is weakening. The key scenario to watch for is if the price fails to close above the upper trendline. As long as we don't get a candle body close above that resistance level, the pattern may remain intact. It’s crucial to remember that this is not financial advice, and the pattern could still become invalid if market conditions change. However, there is a chance that this could signal a top formation."
SP:SPXShort
by Christian_1605
10
S&P 500 Index analysis 2024/10/09SP:SPX Hey everyone, I just got back from a trip. Sorry it's been a while since my last analysis. How's everyone been doing in the markets lately? Notice: The points are only valid from 2024/10/09 to 2024/10/20 What we have now? 1. Current price: 5760 2. The key support and resistances level: 5770 5590 5450 5300 Future Price movement 70% chance : The day level shows strong momentum, and we expect the price to make a slight correction before pushing toward 5770, or even breaking through that level. 30% chance : Moving back to 5590 and start moving back from 5590 to 5450. Trade safe!
SP:SPXLong
by DrkeezySSGcup
2
S&P 500 probes key resistanceThe S&P 500 has been quite resilient despite the Chinese stock market sell-off, raised geopolitical risks in the Middle East, uncertainty over the upcoming earnings results and not to mention US presidential election. You would think that these risk events would weigh on risk appetite somewhat but so far this hasn't been the case. Still, be on the look out for a possible reversal sign as the index tests this key zone starting around 5755ish to around 5665ish. A potential reversal here will not be too surprising. But as traders we will need to see evidence of a bearish reversal here before looking for any bearish trades. If the index breaks the trend line on this hourly chart or more to the point, goes below 5733, the most recent low, then that could be the trigger I am looking for. Should that happen, then we could see a run towards liquidity that would now be resting below recent lows circa 5672. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom
Futures Steady Before Fed Minutes; Alphabet Dips on Breakup TalkFutures tread water ahead of Fed minutes; Alphabet slips Stock index futures were little changed on Wednesday as investors awaited the minutes of the Federal Reserve's latest meeting for clues on the policy path, while Alphabet dipped after the U.S. said it was considering breaking up Google. Technical Analysis: The price reversed and stabilized above 5732 so that means will push to 5784, then should close 4h candle above it to be a bullish trend to 5891 otherwise, it would help if you closed 4h candle under 5732 to get 5675 Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5747 Resistance Levels: 5784, 5820, 5891 Support Levels: 5732, 5708, 5675 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5732 Bullish above 5747
OANDA:SPX500USD
by SroshMayi
S&P 500 index short position I think the index has reached a significant resistance level, where I expect a potential reversal. The recent upward momentum appears to be losing steam, and this resistance zone could prompt a pullback. Based on this analysis, I’m anticipating a bearish move, targeting a drop to lower levels. My risk is managed with a tight stop-loss just above the entry, aiming for a favorable risk-reward ratio on this trade. my aim will be entry at : 575205 stop loss : 575504 TP : 569815
SP:SPXShort
by Oceanforexx
S&P500 Consolidation almost over. Prepare for 6300 end of year.The S&P500 index (SPX) has been consolidating for roughly the past 3 weeks, significantly above its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), which indicates that the long-term trend is not in danger. In fact, we believe that it has already entered a Channel Up structure, similar to November 2023 - March 2024. As you can see, in late November 2023 the index was also consolidating way above its 1D MA50 after a strong recovery from a -10.90% correction. This time the consolidation is exactly at the top of the previous High while then it was exactly below it. The 1D CCI sequences between the two fractals show that we are on the exact same position, posting bearish divergencies on the price's consolidation. As a result, we expect a smooth Channel Up expansion towards the end of the year (quick exception the natural volatility around the U.S. elections day) and our Target is 6300, which is the 2.0 Fibonacci extension level. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by TradingShot
7
My Bet on Energy Due to AI's Electricity BottleneckWhy I'm Betting on the Energy Market Due to AI's Electricity Bottleneck: My Two Cents As someone who works in the AI space, I've witnessed firsthand the incredible advancements and the hype surrounding artificial intelligence. Companies like NVIDIA have seen their stock prices skyrocket to all-time highs, fueled by the insatiable demand for AI technologies. But beneath this excitement lies a critical, often overlooked issue that could significantly impact the energy sector—and offer intriguing investment opportunities. In this article, I want to share my perspective on why I'm betting on the energy market, specifically utilities and natural gas companies, due to the emerging electricity bottleneck caused by AI's exponential growth. If you're an investor or just someone interested in the intersection of technology and energy, this is a trend you won't want to miss. The Unseen Problem: Electricity Demand Outpacing Supply The AI Boom and Its Energy Appetite Working in AI, I see daily how models are becoming increasingly complex, requiring massive computational power to train and operate. While the parameter sizes of these models aren't doubling every few months, the growth is still substantial. For example, GPT-3 has 175 billion parameters, and estimates suggest GPT-4 has around 280 billion parameters (*1). Training GPT-4 is estimated to have required about 1,750 megawatt-hours of electricity—the equivalent of what 160 average American homes use in a year (*2). But it's not just about training these models; running them (inference) also demands significant power. Each query to GPT-4 consumes about 2.9 watt-hours of electricity, nearly ten times that of a standard Google search (*3). Multiply that by millions of users and billions of queries, and you can see how quickly the energy consumption adds up. Hitting the Limits of Electrical Infrastructure Here's the crux of the issue: our current electrical infrastructure isn't equipped to handle the escalating demands of AI. Data centers already consume 1-2% of global electricity, and this figure is projected to rise to 3-4% by 2030 (*4). The International Energy Agency forecasts that global data center electricity demand will more than double from 2022 to 2026, with AI playing a major role (*5). In my professional circles, there's growing concern about the strain on power infrastructure. Operating large clusters of high-performance GPUs, like NVIDIA's H100, could potentially strain a state's entire electrical grid. While specific figures vary, the general consensus is that we're nearing the limits of what our grids can handle (*6). Microsoft seems to recognize this issue. They've recently purchased a power plant, presumably to secure a stable electricity supply for their data centers (*7). This move underscores the severity of the electricity bottleneck we're approaching. The Impending Slowdown in AI Development Given these constraints, I believe the rapid pace of AI advancement may slow down in the short to medium term. Industry leaders like Elon Musk and Amazon CEO Andy Jassy have identified electricity supply as the latest bottleneck for AI development, replacing the previous constraint of chip availability (*8). It's not just about technological capabilities anymore; it's about physical resources. We simply aren't producing enough electricity to sustain the current trajectory of AI scaling. This isn't a hurdle we can clear overnight. Building new power plants, upgrading grid infrastructure, and securing renewable energy sources are massive undertakings that require time and substantial investment. This potential slowdown has significant implications for markets and investors, shifting attention toward sectors that can address or benefit from these challenges. Why the Energy Sector Stands to Benefit Increased Demand for Electricity The most direct beneficiary of this situation is the energy sector. As AI companies grapple with electricity shortages, utilities and energy providers will see increased demand. According to Goldman Sachs Research, data center power demand is expected to grow 160% by 2030 (*4). This isn't just a temporary spike; it's a trend that could persist as long as the demand for AI technologies continues to grow. Natural Gas as a Key Player Natural gas is a cornerstone of U.S. electricity generation, accounting for approximately 43% of the country's electricity production in 2023 (*9). Its abundance, relatively low cost, and ability to quickly ramp up production make it essential for meeting immediate energy demands. With constraints on electricity supply, natural gas producers and related infrastructure companies are in a prime position to capitalize. Opportunities in Grid Infrastructure Beyond just producing more electricity, there's a pressing need to upgrade and expand the electrical grid. The strain isn't solely about capacity but also about managing fluctuations in demand. Companies specializing in grid infrastructure and smart technologies could see substantial growth as they help modernize the system to handle higher loads. Stocks and Sectors I'm Watching 1. Utilities with Natural Gas-Fired Power Plants NextEra Energy ( NYSE:NEE ): Not only does NextEra have significant natural gas operations, but they're also leaders in renewable energy. This dual focus positions them well for both immediate and long-term energy needs. Duke Energy ( NYSE:DUK ) : Serving millions across multiple states, Duke Energy's extensive infrastructure makes them a key player in meeting increased electricity demand. 2. Natural Gas Producers ExxonMobil ( NYSE:XOM ): As one of the world's largest publicly traded energy providers, ExxonMobil has substantial natural gas operations and the resources to scale up production. Chevron Corporation ( NYSE:CVX ): Chevron's investments in natural gas projects and Liquefied Natural Gas (LNG) facilities make it a key player in meeting both domestic and international needs. EQT Corporation ( NYSE:EQT ): Focusing on the Appalachian Basin, EQT stands to benefit directly from increased domestic demand. 3. Natural Gas Producers Kinder Morgan ( NYSE:KMI ): Operating extensive pipeline networks, Kinder Morgan is crucial for natural gas distribution. The Williams Companies ( NYSE:WMB ): Specializing in natural gas processing and transportation, Williams is set to capitalize on increased flow, with plans to add around 4.2 billion cubic feet per day from 2024 to 2027 (*10). 4. LNG Exporters Cheniere Energy ( NYSE:LNG ): As the leading U.S. LNG exporter, Cheniere recently loaded their 3,000th cargo in 2023 (*11). Tellurian Inc. ( AMEX:TELL ): Poised for growth with plans to build the first two plants at their Driftwood LNG export facility (*12). 5. Grid Infrastructure and Technology Firms American Electric Power ( NASDAQ:AEP ): Owning the nation's largest electricity transmission system, AEP plans to invest $40 billion from 2023 through 2027, focusing on transmission and distribution (*13). Eaton Corporation ( NYSE:ETN ): Their energy-efficient technologies are vital for grid modernization and enhancing reliability (*14). 6. Renewable Energy Companies While natural gas is key for immediate needs, renewable energy companies are crucial for sustainable long-term solutions. First Solar ( NASDAQ:FSLR ): Specializing in utility-scale solar projects. Brookfield Renewable Partners ( NYSE:BEP ): With a diversified renewable portfolio, they're set to benefit from the shift toward clean energy. Disclaimer: This article reflects my personal opinions and is for informational purposes only. It is not financial advice. Investing in the stock market involves risks, including the loss of principal. Please conduct your own research or consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions. Sources 1. OpenAI's GPT-4 Technical Report cdn.openai.com 2. AI Energy Consumption www.energycentral.com 3. The Hidden Cost of AI www.datacenterknowledge.com 4. Goldman Sachs Research on Data Center Power Demand www.goldmansachs.com 5. International Energy Agency on Data Centers www.iea.org 6. The Conversation on AI Energy Use theconversation.com 7. Microsoft's Power Plant Purchase www.theverge.com 8. Electricity Supply as AI's Bottleneck www.ft.com 9. U.S. Energy Information Administration www.eia.gov 10. Williams Companies Expansion Plans www.williams.com 11. Cheniere Energy Milestones www.cheniere.com 12. Tellurian's Driftwood LNG Project www.tellurianinc.com 13. American Electric Power Investment Plans www.aep.com 14. Eaton Corporation Overview www.eaton.com
SP:SPXLong
by qrDanielqr
3
tESTWhy I'm Betting on the Energy Market Due to AI's Electricity Bottleneck: My Two Cents As someone who works in the AI space, I've witnessed firsthand the incredible advancements and the hype surrounding artificial intelligence. Companies like NVIDIA have seen their stock prices skyrocket to all-time highs, fueled by the insatiable demand for AI technologies. But beneath this excitement lies a critical, often overlooked issue that could significantly impact the energy sector—and offer intriguing investment opportunities. In this article, I want to share my perspective on why I'm betting on the energy market, specifically utilities and natural gas companies, due to the emerging electricity bottleneck caused by AI's exponential growth. If you're an investor or just someone interested in the intersection of technology and energy, this is a trend you won't want to miss. The Unseen Problem: Electricity Demand Outpacing Supply The AI Boom and Its Energy Appetite Working in AI, I see daily how models are becoming increasingly complex, requiring massive computational power to train and operate. While the parameter sizes of these models aren't doubling every few months, the growth is still substantial. For example, GPT-3 has 175 billion parameters, and estimates suggest GPT-4 has around 280 billion parameters (*1). Training GPT-4 is estimated to have required about 1,750 megawatt-hours of electricity—the equivalent of what 160 average American homes use in a year (*2). But it's not just about training these models; running them (inference) also demands significant power. Each query to GPT-4 consumes about 2.9 watt-hours of electricity, nearly ten times that of a standard Google search (*3). Multiply that by millions of users and billions of queries, and you can see how quickly the energy consumption adds up. Hitting the Limits of Electrical Infrastructure Here's the crux of the issue: our current electrical infrastructure isn't equipped to handle the escalating demands of AI. Data centers already consume 1-2% of global electricity, and this figure is projected to rise to 3-4% by 2030 (*4). The International Energy Agency forecasts that global data center electricity demand will more than double from 2022 to 2026, with AI playing a major role (*5). In my professional circles, there's growing concern about the strain on power infrastructure. Operating large clusters of high-performance GPUs, like NVIDIA's H100, could potentially strain a state's entire electrical grid. While specific figures vary, the general consensus is that we're nearing the limits of what our grids can handle (*6). Microsoft seems to recognize this issue. They've recently purchased a power plant, presumably to secure a stable electricity supply for their data centers (*7). This move underscores the severity of the electricity bottleneck we're approaching. The Impending Slowdown in AI Development Given these constraints, I believe the rapid pace of AI advancement may slow down in the short to medium term. Industry leaders like Elon Musk and Amazon CEO Andy Jassy have identified electricity supply as the latest bottleneck for AI development, replacing the previous constraint of chip availability (*8). It's not just about technological capabilities anymore; it's about physical resources. We simply aren't producing enough electricity to sustain the current trajectory of AI scaling. This isn't a hurdle we can clear overnight. Building new power plants, upgrading grid infrastructure, and securing renewable energy sources are massive undertakings that require time and substantial investment. This potential slowdown has significant implications for markets and investors, shifting attention toward sectors that can address or benefit from these challenges. Why the Energy Sector Stands to Benefit Increased Demand for Electricity The most direct beneficiary of this situation is the energy sector. As AI companies grapple with electricity shortages, utilities and energy providers will see increased demand. According to Goldman Sachs Research, data center power demand is expected to grow 160% by 2030 (*4). This isn't just a temporary spike; it's a trend that could persist as long as the demand for AI technologies continues to grow. Natural Gas as a Key Player Natural gas is a cornerstone of U.S. electricity generation, accounting for approximately 43% of the country's electricity production in 2023 (*9). Its abundance, relatively low cost, and ability to quickly ramp up production make it essential for meeting immediate energy demands. With constraints on electricity supply, natural gas producers and related infrastructure companies are in a prime position to capitalize. Opportunities in Grid Infrastructure Beyond just producing more electricity, there's a pressing need to upgrade and expand the electrical grid. The strain isn't solely about capacity but also about managing fluctuations in demand. Companies specializing in grid infrastructure and smart technologies could see substantial growth as they help modernize the system to handle higher loads. Stocks and Sectors I'm Watching *Utilities with Natural Gas-Fired Power Plants *NextEra Energy (NEE): Not only does NextEra have significant natural gas operations, but they're also leaders in renewable energy. This dual focus positions them well for both immediate and long-term energy needs. ] *Duke Energy (DUK): Serving millions across multiple states, Duke Energy's extensive infrastructure makes them a key player in meeting increased electricity demand.
SP:SPX
by qrDanielqr
Another S&P 500 channelSo here is another channel. The July peak made an extension of this channel, and the price didn't arrive to that extended part neither at the top nor at the bottom since then. Even if the price will arrive to that extended part at the top of the channel, it won't reach 6000 before the elections unless it makes a breakout in the upward direction thus making a new extension. Maybe it will reach 6000 after the elections. But I think that a more likely scenario is the price hitting the bottom of the channel first. Also I suggest that the price will go on a small correction now to 5650 support area, hit the trendline and make a new wave to 5800. And then we might see a good correction. If it won't go that way, perhaps this channel will be helpful in your analysis.
TVC:SPXShort
by Supergalactic
SPx / U.S. Jobs Data Sparks Rate Cut RethinkRates Rethink After Strong U.S. Jobs Data Could Disrupt Markets The aftermath of unexpectedly robust U.S. employment figures could potentially upend various trades hinged on declining interest rates. Should this stronger-than-anticipated economic growth prompt a substantial reassessment of the Federal Reserve’s approach to cutting borrowing costs, investors may need to reconsider their positions significantly. Technical Analysis: The price is expected to consolidate within the range of 5732 and 5784 until a breakout occurs. A close below 5732 on the 1-hour or 4-hour chart is likely to trigger a decline towards 5708, with a further drop potentially reaching 5675. Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above 5732, the price may advance to 5784, with stability above this level paving the way to 5840. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5732 Resistance Levels: 5749, 5784, 5820 Support Levels: 5708, 5675, 5643 Trend Outlook: - Bearish below 5732 - Bullish above 5749
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
Must-Read Investing Books: The Top 5 for Every InvestorWelcome to Part 2 of our must-read book series. Last time, we took a deep dive into the fast-paced world of trading, giving you the trading must-reads to sharpen your short-term, high-risk market chops. Now it's time to slow down and shift into a lower gear. Trading is a thrill, but investing is where the long game pays off. While trading is about timing, investing is about patience—and, some might even say, good investing is boring. So let’s be real, mastering both is how you dominate. In this Idea, we’re focusing on the timeless art of investing. Whether you’re gunning for that Warren Buffett-level compound interest or just looking to stack up some dividends, these five books will teach you how to think like an investor. Grab your coffee and your notepad—let’s dive in. 📖 1. The Intelligent Investor ✍️ by Benjamin Graham We’re kicking things off with the granddaddy of all investing books. Benjamin Graham’s The Intelligent Investor is the Bible of value investing. Benjamin Graham is the father of value investing, and his no-nonsense approach to buying undervalued stocks and waiting for the market to catch up is the gold standard. Graham teaches you how to analyze companies for their intrinsic value, while cautioning against the emotional rollercoaster of market volatility. It’s all about buying low, staying patient, and letting time do its thing. 🔑 Key Insight : Ignore market noise and buy undervalued assets with a long-term view. Stick to your strategy and let time do its thing. 📖 2. Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits ✍️ by Philip Fisher Philip Fisher introduces growth investing with a focus on buying quality companies. In Common Stocks and Uncommon Profits , Fisher explains his "scuttlebutt" approach—researching a company thoroughly, from its management to its industry (think investigative journalism on a stock). This book is a must-read for those looking to spot the next Apple AAPL or Amazon AMZN before they become household names. 🔑 Key Insight : Invest in great companies with solid growth potential. Deep research is your key to success. 📖 3. The Most Important Thing ✍️ by Howard Marks Howard Marks is a legend in the world of risk management and value investing, and The Most Important Thing is essentially his playbook. Marks dives deep into risk, market cycles, and contrarian thinking—he teaches you how to avoid getting wrecked by the market’s irrationality. This isn’t your typical book on the topic of investing; it's a mindset shift and an eye-opener—everyone is a genius when markets rise. But what defines the true investing skill is how you perform in tough times. 🔑 Key Insight : Success in investing is more about managing risk than chasing returns. Protect the downside, and the upside will take care of itself. 📖 4. The Little Book of Common Sense Investing ✍️ by John C. Bogle John Bogle—the finance genius who invented the index fund—drops some serious knowledge in The Little Book of Common Sense Investing . This book strips away the complicated jargon and exclusivity surrounding Wall Street and keeps it simple: low-cost index funds will beat active management in the long run. Bogle’s philosophy is all about minimizing fees and letting compounding work miracles over time. 🔑 Key Insight : Keep it simple. Low fees and long-term compounding are the keys to building wealth. 📖 5. The Essays of Warren Buffett: Lessons for Corporate America ✍️ by Warren Buffett and Lawrence Cunningham Okay, we all know Warren Buffett is the GOAT when it comes to investing. The Essays of Warren Buffett is a collection of his legendary letters to Berkshire Hathaway BRK.A shareholders, curated and organized to offer a behind-the-curtain insight on everything from corporate governance to value investing. Buffett has a knack for simplifying complex financial ideas, making this book an invaluable resource for investors of any level. 🔑 Key Insight : There’s no better teacher than Buffett when it comes to long-term, value-based investing. His wisdom is timeless and actionable—invest in solid companies with long-term growth prospects, and don’t get distracted by short-term market swings. 📚 Bonus Picks: The Investor’s Library Expansion Pack Looking for even more wisdom? Here are a few more titles to round out your investing education: 📖 The Snowball by Alice Schroeder A biography of Warren Buffett, The Snowball takes you inside the mind of the Oracle of Omaha, showing how his investment philosophy developed and how he built his fortune. It’s part investing guide, part life lesson, and all-around a fascinating read. 📖 The Psychology of Money by Morgan Housel This book explores how our emotions, biases, and behaviors affect our financial decisions. The Psychology of Money breaks down complex financial concepts into easily digestible stories that reveal how investors can avoid the psychological traps that lead to poor decision-making. 📖 One Up on Wall Street by Peter Lynch Legendary investor Peter Lynch shares his strategy of finding "tenbaggers"—stocks that increase tenfold in value. Lynch teaches that sometimes the best investment ideas are right in front of you—pay attention to the businesses you love and understand. 📖 A Random Walk Down Wall Street by Burton Malkiel Random Walk argues that trying to time the market is a fool’s errand. Instead, Malkiel promotes the idea of efficient markets, where it’s almost impossible to outperform the market consistently without taking on substantial risk. It's an excellent guide for those who believe in passive investing and long-term strategies. 📖 Mastering the Market Cycle by Howard Marks Another essential from Howard Marks, Mastering the Market Cycle teaches you how to recognize the ups and downs of the market and adjust your strategy accordingly. Timing the market may be impossible, but understanding its cycles will give you an edge. And there you have it—five more powerhouse reads to add to your investing library. These aren’t just books; they’re roadmaps from some of the sharpest minds in finance. Whether you’re looking for market cycles with Howard Marks or tapping into Warren Buffett’s timeless wisdom, each of these picks will help you get better in the long game. The best investors aren’t just lucky—they’re educated, patient, and, most importantly, they’re always learning. So grab a book, dive in, and start stacking knowledge that compounds just like your portfolio should. 💎 Got any personal favorites that didn’t make the list? Drop them in the comments—we’re always down to discover more investing wisdom!
Editors' picks
SP:SPXEducation
by TradingView
3