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S&P - WEEKLY SUMMARY 24.3-28.3 / FORECAST📉 S&P500 – 11th week of the base cycle (average 20 weeks), which began with the pivot forecast on January 13. We are in the second phase, which appears bearish by all indications. This is a significant bear market completing the overdue 50-week and 4-year cycles. Target levels are outlined in my previous posts. My preliminary timeline projections for the base cycle completion were mentioned in the previous post. ⚠️ The extreme forecast on March 24 – the midpoint of retrograde Mercury – turned the market downward after a small bullish correction. This was anticipated last week. The market lacked the strength even to reach the resistance level at 5850. A short position has been opened. The next extreme forecast is April 7.
CBOE:SPX
by irinawest
S&P 500 Technical Breakdown – Bearish Momentum Building?Looking at this SPX Daily Chart, we’re seeing some clear signs of weakness in the market. 🔹 Breakdown from the Rising Channel – After months of uptrend, SPX has broken below its previous rising channel, signaling potential downside ahead. 🔹 Failed Recovery Attempt – The recent bounce formed a bear flag (highlighted in brown), but today’s sharp drop indicates that the relief rally has been rejected. 🔹 Key Fibonacci Levels in Play – The 0.382 Fib retracement was acting as support, but price has now slipped below it. Next key level: The 0.5 Fib (around 5,550) and the 0.618 Fib (near 5,438) could act as crucial support zones. A deeper retracement to 4,982 (0.786 Fib) isn't out of the question if selling pressure accelerates. 🔹 Moving Averages & Volume – The price is now under the 200-day moving average (blue line), which is typically a bearish signal if confirmed. Volume has been increasing on red days, hinting at stronger selling conviction. 🔹 Support & Resistance Zones – Resistance: ~5,822 (recent bounce level) and ~6,097 (previous high) Support: ~5,402 and ~4,982 if selling intensifies. 🚨 Final Thoughts: The technical structure is turning bearish, and if the S&P 500 doesn’t reclaim key levels soon, further downside could be on the horizon. Bulls need to step in fast to avoid a deeper correction.
SP:SPX
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
My last warning To Donald Trump and Americansif you Attack Iran's infrastructure, America enters a shitty situation that will last for not years but for decades. you can fix the problem by supporting the Iran's King Reza Pahlavi and the people and the mullahs will be overthrown easily but you are Unknowingly doing it in a very wrong way, if you do it Stockholm syndrome will happen. ---- Price has ping on the channel edges. I hope it becomes just a simple correction but Americans ego is is in line with technicals.
SP:SPX
by trollist
US500US500 Price Action Analysis and Trade Setups (March 28, 2025) Price Action Summary: Weekly Chart: Long-term uptrend intact, but recent rejection near 6,200 signals a medium-term correction. Daily Chart: Price is consolidating near 5,600 after a sharp drop from highs. Bearish momentum persists. 4H Chart: Lower highs and lower lows confirm short-term bearish bias. Resistance at 5,750 is holding. 1H Chart: Intraday range between 5,550 and 5,750. Price struggling to break higher. Trade of the Day (Day Trading Setup) Short Setup: Entry: 5,700 after rejection at resistance Stop Loss: 5,770 Take Profit: TP1: 5,620 TP2: 5,550 Reason: Short-term bearish structure with resistance holding at 5,750. Swing Trading Setup Short Setup: Entry: Below 5,550 after daily close confirmation Stop Loss: 5,650 Take Profit: TP1: 5,300 TP2: 5,100
CAPITALCOM:US500Short
by Andrei_C
3/27/2025 SPY outlook_bearishHello traders, Hope you’re doing well in this choppy market. I initially expected a squeeze after rebounding from the 5500 area, but that didn’t happen. Instead, the 200 SMA acted as resistance, forming a bear flag over the last few trading days. I expect a break below the bear flag support line, leading to a move toward the 5100 area. I’m not trading SPY directly, but since most stocks follow SPY these days, I wanted to share my outlook. Buying UVXY could be a good option. May the trend be with you. AP
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by aparkon
Nikkei, S&P500, Nasdaq, Hang Seng Short: Educational UpdateThis is really an extra video that I made because I see some educational value. I use Nikkei 225 to show repeating of patterns and the fractal nature of the market, S&P and Nasdaq to demonstrate the usage of Fibonacci levels and study of historical support and resistance, and finally Hang Seng to discuss on placing stop losses and how noise in lower time frames may require us to ignore certain "unclean" waves. Overall, I still put this idea as a short because all the indices used are still short ideas in my opinion. Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng
Bull vs Bear: The 5700 FlipzoneBull vs Bear: The 5700 Flipzone | SPX Analysis 27 Mar 2025 Some days, the best trade is no trade at all. It’s Thursday, the kettle’s on, the charts are up… and I’ve done absolutely bugger all from a trading perspective. Not out of laziness (though I do love a good sit-down), but because nothing’s screaming "go". And when nothing’s screaming, I don’t go running. We’re smack-dab in the middle of the “flip zone” - right around 5700. The market’s pacing like a nervous cat, pretending to pick a direction, but mostly just knocking things off the shelf to keep us on our toes. And honestly? I’m good with it. Because when the market hesitates like this, it’s usually winding up for something worth waiting for. Stick with me and I’ll show you how to turn “nothing happening” into “something smart”. --- Deeper Dive Analysis: Today felt a bit like turning up to a party early and realising no one’s there yet. Just me… and the punch bowl. I’ve barely done a thing trade-wise. And I’m perfectly happy about it. Because when there’s no clear setup, the smartest thing you can do is absolutely nothing. Here’s why: The 5700 level continues to act like the social bouncer of this range - nobody gets through without a convincing ID. It’s the pivot point where bulls and bears are circling, eyeing each other like it’s a West Side Story dance-off. Bear pulse bars? None yet. So while price has dribbled downward in that slow, lazy style, we’ve had no real confirmation of fresh bearish momentum. Bull pulse bars? Not exactly punching through the ceiling either. For that, we need to see solid moves above 5720 and, ideally, a breakout-pullback pattern to load up a fresh bull swing. What’s more interesting is the GEX (Gamma Exposure). This week’s setup highlights 5700 as the flip point, reinforcing what we’ve already seen in price behaviour. When the options market lines up with technicals, I start paying even more attention. The ES futures chart (with overnight data) shows the same range boundaries a little more clearly. It’s painting a picture of compression. And as you know from experience, compression always precedes expansion. I’ve said it before and I’ll say it again: patience pays. We're in the eye of the storm - the kind where people get twitchy, traders get emotional, and portfolios get wrecked... unless you're working the system. So here's the play: No new bear trades until pulse bars form below 5700. Bull trades only trigger on solid breaks above 5720. Until then? Watch. Wait. Brew tea. Because I’d rather miss the first 10 points of the move than get slapped for trying to be clever. --- Fun Fact There’s a stock ticker called YUM. Yes, really. YUM Brands – owner of Taco Bell, KFC, and Pizza Hut – trades under the very appropriate ticker: YUM. Now that’s branding you can taste. YUM Brands spun off from PepsiCo in 1997 and has since become a global fast food empire. With over 50,000 restaurants in more than 150 countries, it’s been gobbling up global market share like it’s a late-night snack. The ticker symbol “YUM” is one of Wall Street’s more deliciously accurate tickers – and proves that branding doesn’t stop at the menu. Fun fact: KFC was once known as “Kentucky Fried Chicken” until the name got a trim for health-conscious times. Go figure.
SP:SPX
by MrPhilNewton
Soft US data stokes recession fears | FX ResearchA round of discouraging survey data out of the US on Tuesday has fueled more selling of the US dollar as the market prices in increased odds for recession. Philly Fed services and consumer confidence polls plunged to post-pandemic lows, while consumer expectations faltered on worry over personal finances. US equities, on the other hand, remained in demand—perhaps feeling good about the implication of the softer data in that it will invite an even more dovish, investor-friendly Fed reaction. Of course, investors are also still worrying about the state of US tariffs and trade, though we have also seen tensions alleviated somewhat on this front in recent days on the news that tariffs will be more targeted. Key standouts on Wednesday's calendar come from UK inflation data, Canada wholesale sales, US durable goods, the Bank of Canada summary of deliberations, and some ECB speak.
TVC:SPX
by BlackBull_Markets
S&P 500 eases back from 200-dayThe S&P 500 has been on an impressive two-week rally but is now encountering a crucial resistance zone. The index is currently testing resistance near the 200-day moving average and a previous support level in the 5770-5800 range. This key area, highlighted in grey on the chart, could determine whether the recent bullish momentum continues. Meanwhile, support is found around 5695-5670, marked in blue on the chart. This zone is significant as it previously served as the launch point for the post-election rally before it lost steam. Reclaiming this level is a bullish signal, but the S&P 500 needs to stay above it through to next week to maintain its upward trajectory. If support at 5695-5670 fails, the bulls could face serious headwinds. A breakdown at this level may trigger renewed selling pressure, similar to the declines seen in previous weeks. The situation could worsen if the index falls below 5600, which was Friday’s low, when a hammer candle was formed. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
FOREXCOM:SPX500
by FOREXcom