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DreamAnalysis | SPX500 at a Crossroads Key Trading Strategies✨ Today’s Focus: SPX500 (US500) – A Key Market Driver We dive into recent price movements and analyze critical market levels to identify potential trends. 📊 Current Market Overview: The price is currently consolidating within the Previous Weekly Range, showing little movement for now. However, it's important to note that the Previous Month's High (PMH) has already been taken, and the market needs to accumulate more liquidity before making a decisive move—hence the consolidation. 🔴 What to Expect: Short-Term vs. Long-Term Scenarios We'll explore both short-term and long-term outlooks, offering insights into bullish and bearish possibilities for day traders. 🗣 Short-Term Outlook: In the short term, we may see a retracement into the Fair Value Zone or the Equilibrium (50% of the range). However, without significant information from higher timeframes, it's best to wait for lower timeframe confirmations before entering a trade. 🗣 Long-Term Outlook: From a long-term perspective, the price may dip lower to absorb sell-side liquidity before continuing its upward trend. 🕓 Key Levels to Watch: Keep an eye on these levels, which could impact price action: - PMH: Previous Month High - PML: Previous Month Low - PWH: Previous Week High - PWL: Previous Week Low - BSL: Buy-Side Liquidity - SSL: Sell-Side Liquidity - Daily FVG: Fair Value Gap (Imbalance Zone) These levels highlight potential liquidity absorption points and areas where price might rebalance. Fair Value Gaps (FVGs) are key zones for potential retracement before the market resumes its trend. 🔔 1Hour Outlook: 📈 Bullish Scenario: For a bullish setup, we need the Previous Week Low (PWL) to be taken out, or we can use the lower timeframes to identify Sell-Side Liquidity (SSL) levels. Once price sweeps these liquidity levels, we can look for an entry model to target the Buy-Side Liquidity, such as the Previous Week High (PWH). 📉 Bearish Scenario: On the bearish side, lower timeframes are already offering potential entry models. With the monthly high (PMH) taken and a Smart Money Technique (SMT) divergence with the NASDAQ (US100), there’s a strong confluence for bearish continuation. 📝 Conclusion: Stay flexible as market conditions shift. Monitor these key levels and setups closely to fine-tune your strategy and seize high-probability trading opportunities. 🔮 Looking Ahead: Keep following as we track developments in NASDAQ, DXY, EUR/USD, and other major markets. Timely insights will be provided as trends unfold. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. Always perform your own research and consult a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
CAPITALCOM:US500
by DreamAnalysis
S&P500 Has it topped?The S&P500 index (SPX) is ahead of critical crossroads for the short-term as the Bullish Megaphone pattern that is in effect since April 01, is showing strong signs of topping. Even though the price isn't on the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Megaphone, the 1D MACD formed a Bearish Cross today and practically is repeating the sequence of the index' previous Leg from April 19 to July 17, which ended also on a MACD Bearish Cross. As you can see besides the Bearish Cross, even the price action between the two fractals has gone through very similar phases. The current Bullish Leg is in the form of a Rising Wedge. Despite the Bearish Cross, the trend remains bullish within this pattern until the Wedge's bottom breaks. As a result, it is more likely to see at least 6000 next. If however the price breaks below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), we will have a confirmed sell signal at hand, based on which we will short and target 5600. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
CAPITALCOM:US500
by TradingShot
$SPX Analysis, Key Levels & Targets for 10.23.24Tomorrow’s implied move in SPX is between 5815 and 5885. That range comes from options and the 30-day average daily volatility, which aligns with Thursday’s implied move of 5805 to 5895. The first level to watch is the 35 EMA, which is cutting right across the trading range. It was below us at yesterday’s close, but depending on where futures open, it could be to the upside. Definitely keep an eye on that level. The next level of resistance is around 5870. We briefly got above this level to make all-time highs at 5878.37, and we’ve seen it hold as resistance before and after making those all-time highs last week. If we get above 5870, the next target is the all-time high, with 5885 as the top of the implied move. 5895 is the top of the implied move on Thursday’s contract. To the downside, if we can’t hold the 35 EMA, the next level to watch is 5825, which acted as support on both Monday and Tuesday. Below that, 5815 is the bottom of the implied move, and 5805 is the bottom of Thursday’s implied move. We also have the 30-minute 200 MA near the bottom of the trading range for the next two days, and with momentum still positive, that level could give us a technical bounce. Pair that with the support from last week around 5815, and it’s a good spot for a potential bounce.
SP:SPX
by SPYder_QQQueen_Trading
The Stock Market Tends To Crash Around October —Historical Trend➖ In 1929, the stock market started a major decline around October. ➖ In 1973, the stock market peaked in January and produced a lower high in October and then a major crash. ➖ In 1987, the stock market crashed in October ➖ In the year 2000, the major decline started right around October. ➖ In 2007 the stock market peaked and a major crash happened in October 2008. What's up with October? The S&P 500 Index is now trading at All-Time Highs. Volume has been dropping since March 2009. It is now October 2024 and the world is at war... Forever higher or market crash? Imagine, can it top in October 2024 and then a crash in October 2025? Based on past history, there are many potential variations for a bearish scenario. Namaste.
SP:SPXShort
by AlanSantana
S&P 500 Is Higher Than Ever. Can Earnings Support the Growth?Tech giants are in the waiting room, prepping their financial updates while investors drool over prospects of AI-fueled revenues. The season kicked off with Wall Street banks posting some convincing numbers for the September quarter, painting an optimistic outlook for Corporate America’s biggest and brightest players. The S&P 500 is hot, hot, hot. Investors just can’t get enough of the 500-strong index and last Friday they pushed it to its 47th record closing high of the year. And they did it with finesse — on the eve of the 37th anniversary of the “Black Monday” market crash. (On Oct. 19, 1987, the S&P 500 wiped out a record 20% and the Nasdaq shed 12%.) Broadly, US indexes are having a bumper year, with most of them up double digits or more. With no time to waste, markets are shifting their attention to the looming slate of big tech earnings reports . Here’s what’s going to be turning heads this week: 📌 On Wednesday , EV maker Tesla TSLA will be the main character in the world of corporate updates. Wall Street is eyeballing earnings north of $25.4 billion, up from $23.4 billion in the year-ago quarter. Besides Elon Musk’s EV giant, Wednesday will bring earnings from Coca Cola KO , Boeing BA , IBM IBM and telecoms mainstays T-Mobile TMUS and AT&T T . 📌 On Thursday , the earnings roll keeps rolling in with e-commerce and cloud computing juggernaut Amazon AMZN reporting after the closing bell. But all that earnings action looks fairly light — wait till you see what’s cooking for next week. *drumroll please* … 🥁 The Magnificent Seven club of tech highflyers will be represented by four of its members. (Tesla and Amazon report the prior week and Nvidia NVDA reports in about a month from now.) 📌 On October 29 , Google parent Alphabet GOOGL is scheduled to report earnings figures. Shares of the tech heavyweight are up about 18% on the year but got stuck recently after the Department of Justice filed a range of possible changes aimed at reducing Google’s search dominance. 📌 On October 30 , Facebook parent Meta META and Microsoft MSFT will reveal how they fared in the three months through September. Mark Zuckerberg’s Meta flaunts a massive 65% year-to-date increase (and some new glow-up for its loose-shirt-wearing tech bro founder.) Microsoft, on the other hand, is up by a more modest clip of 12%. 📌 On October 31 , Apple AAPL will release its highly-anticipated earnings data that will include a glimpse into how well the new iPhone 16 is selling . Shares of Apple are up roughly 27% for the year. These seven mega-cap corporate giants are expected to show an 18% rise in third-quarter profits, according to Bloomberg Intelligence. If materialized, that would be substantially slower than the 36% seen in the second quarter. The sheer size of the pack accounts for about 30% of the total market cap of the S&P 500 (which not long ago celebrated its $50 trillion milestone .) Nvidia and Apple alone are worth more than $7 trillion combined. What’s on your radar for this earnings season? Are you waiting for a tech giant to dip or maybe you're after a bank stock or a car conglomerate? Share your comments below!
Editors' picks
SP:SPX
by TradingView
13
S&P 500 Index - Already dropped and still...Technical Analysis: The price dropped after stabilizing below 5863 and is still running to get 5825 and 5781 If the price breaks and holds above the 5878 level, the next target would be the resistance line at around 5,939. On the downside, a rejection from the liquidity zone could send the price back down towards the support line near 5,825 or even further towards 5,781. Direction: Bearish: If the price fails to break above 5878 and 5,891 and the liquidity zone holds as resistance, the price will likely move towards 5,825 or lower. Bullish: If the price breaks and closes above 5,891, a bullish continuation towards 5,939 is expected. The overall bias is bearish unless there is a confirmed breakout above the liquidity zone. Key Levels: Pivot Point: 5837 Resistance Levels: 5865, 5891, 5915 Support Levels: 5812, 5781, 5761 Trend Outlook: Bearish below 5848 Bullish above 5878
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by SroshMayi
SPX500USD Will Grow! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for SPX500USD. Time Frame: 6h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 5,849.9. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 5,898.0 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by SignalProvider
1
SPX Grand Super Cycle- Possible Target $ 6000 to 7000There is no denial for a short-term pullback in the market, which will be healthy for the market. Also lots of speculation/leverage in the current market So the market maker may shake out the weak hands soon. If we see SPX in the quarterly chart Wave 1 started in 1976 and ended in 2000 which was around 26 years. Wave 2 was from 2001 to 2009. Total nine years for wave two corrections. Wave 3 started in 2009 and correction in 2020 March was quick just two months correction (Most probable it should not be wave 4 correction). This can be a nest (each wave is built of smaller waves and, at the same time, each wave is a part of a bigger wave) and wave II of a second nest. In my opinion, there would be two probable scenarios, the first one is SPX is still in wave three and it will go to 6000/7000 in this decades. As if we go with SPX Grand Super Cycle then- possible targets can be 4700 to 5000 or more before a major crash (Wave 4 correction multi-years) happen and after the wave 4 correction wave 5 targets can be 6000 to 7000 or more The second one is to complete wave 5 around 4600 to 5300 and 60-80 % crash to 1500 - 2000 So just remember a sharp correction/crash wouldn’t be the end of the world, it will be an opportunity to invest for the long term Trend-based fib extension support the first scenario. This is just my view please share your views in the comment section. Thank you Disclaimer This idea does not constitute financial advice. It is for educational purposes only,
TVC:SPXLong
by RNB98
2
S&P500: Best buy entry the 4H MA100.S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 62.185, MACD = 62.800, ADX = 52.249) but neutral on 4H, which given the long-term bullish trend, has started to ring the first buy signals. Technically though, a better opportunity would exist on the 4H MA100 and not the 4H MA50 which was just tested. In fact, the last HL of the 5 week Channel Up was priced on the 4H MA100 when the 4H RSI broke under 40.00 (bearish). We will buy when those conditions are fulfilled and aim for another +3.50% rise (TP = 6,000). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
CAPITALCOM:US500Long
by InvestingScope
7
US500 continues to trade around the all time highs.SPX500USD - 24H EXPIRY Price action continues to trade around the all-time highs. Posted mild net daily gains but all trading confined to the previous days range, an indecisive Inside Day. The 261.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5901 from 5682 to 5766. Due to an Ending Wedge formation, we continue to treat extended gains with caution. Reverse trend line resistance comes in at 5898. We look to Buy at 5848 (stop at 5823) Our profit targets will be 5898 and 5905 Resistance: 5892 / 5898 / 5901 Support: 5848 / 5770 / 5766 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
OANDA:SPX500USDLong
by OANDA
S&P 500 (SPX500) Weekly Market Outlook: Index in Focus: S&P 500 (SPX500) Timeframe: Weekly and Daily Key Technical Patterns: Ascending Trendline on the Daily timeframe Major Correction Zone below 5,000 level Analysis: Daily Ascending Trendline: SPX500 has been moving within a strong uptrend, as indicated by the ascending trendline on the daily timeframe. However, the price has reached a crucial resistance zone just under 6,000. This level is critical, as a rejection here could signal a significant corrective phase. Correction Zone and Targets: The chart suggests that the market is poised for a deep correction if the price breaks the trendline. The first downside target lies at the 5,000 level, which is a psychological support, and further movement could push the index down to the 4,844.37 area, as seen on the chart. Trade Setup: Given the possible rejection near 6,000 and the break of the ascending trendline, we are focusing on sell opportunities in anticipation of a larger market correction. Key Targets: First Target (TP1): 5,000 (psychological level) Second Target (TP2): 4,844.37 (next major support) If the price continues below these levels, we could see an even deeper correction into the lower trendline zones. Conclusion: The S&P 500 is at a critical point where it faces potential downside pressure. Similar to the USD/JPY setup, this index is showing signs of a major correction as momentum weakens near key resistance levels. Keep an eye on the 5,000 level for possible support, but be ready for a bearish move if that level breaks. Stay vigilant for selling opportunities on pullbacks during the week!
FX:SPX500Short
by eddychuksuniversity
13
]S&P 500 Sets a Record: Six Weeks of Steady GainsThe S&P 500 Index has set a new record by completing its sixth consecutive week of gains, a feat that underscores its strength in 2024. With this performance, the index has recorded its 46th and 47th highest closes of the year, underscoring the market's resilience amid challenging economic conditions. Continued S&P 500 Successes The S&P 500's positive streak has been driven by a number of factors, including encouraging financial results from large corporations, which has fostered a climate of confidence among investors. This steady growth reflects renewed optimism about the ongoing economic recovery. Dow Jones milestones Meanwhile, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has surpassed the 43,000-point mark, reaching multiple record closes along the way. This performance highlights the strength of large company stocks, which have played a key role in the overall market advance. Growth Drivers The S&P 500's rise has been fueled by several elements. A positive retail sales report has improved market sentiment, while expectations that the Federal Reserve may achieve a “soft landing” have strengthened confidence in the economy. In addition, the performance of financial institutions such as Morgan Stanley, JPMorgan and Goldman Sachs has indicated a pickup in investment banking activity. Instability in the Technology Sector However, the technology sector has shown some volatility. ASML disappointed by failing to meet quarterly order expectations. However, an outstanding report from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) revived optimism in the sector, reinvigorating artificial intelligence-related trading. Technical Outlook S&P 500 (Ticker AT: USA500) has been moving in a sideways range initiated in May, which was pierced as of September 18 to new highs returning to the long-term trend that can move the index up to 6,000 points with a current high of 5,886.35 points. The control zones show a value in the zone of 5,471 points precisely within this lateral range, sustained by a support at 5,398 points where it has bounced twice. The RSI indicates a slight overbought of 65.18% which could indicate a continuation of the index's growth. The golden crossover indicator indicated an entry from August 13. Golden crossovers occur when the 50-day SMA crosses above the 200-day SMA, indicating a definite uptrend. This trend shows no signs of ending at the moment, so the bullish expansion may last at least until the issuance of the next nonfarm payrolls and fed adjustments. Looking Ahead This week is anticipated to be a key one, with a series of earnings reports from major companies, including electric vehicle manufacturer Tesla. These results could significantly influence the performance of the S&P 500 and other stock indices. The combination of an upbeat macroeconomic outlook and positive financial results suggests that the S&P 500 will continue its upward trajectory. Ion Jauregui - ActivTrades Analyst ******************************************************************************************* The information provided does not constitute investment research. The material has not been prepared in accordance with the legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and such should be considered a marketing communication. All information has been prepared by ActivTrades ("AT"). The information does not contain a record of AT's prices, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Any material provided does not have regard to the specific investment objective and financial situation of any person who may receive it. Past performance is not reliable indicator of future performance. AT provides an execution-only service. Consequently, any person acing on the information provided does so at their own risk.
ULong
by ActivTrades
SPX: not ready to slow downThe S&P 500 counts the sixth straight week of winning streaks, and seems ready to count for more. During the previous week a fresh new all time highest level was reached at the level of 5.876. Only during the previous week the index gained 0,96%. Tech companies were again in the center of the market attention. The environment of decreasing interest rates and posted positive quarterly results of companies included in the index, continue to be main drivers of investors optimism. As per analysts comments, the 75% of companies which posted quarterly results have beaten market expectations, which was another positive boost for the index. On the opposite side are some analysts who are noting that such moves of equities are “atypical” for the election year. Normally, the equity market will post some volatility prior to elections, considering that the US is only three weeks away from the final election day. On the other side are analysts who are more oriented toward the economical background of such strong moves. Namely, they are noting that the ongoing surge in equities is partially due to government deficit spending, as it is currently 14% higher from the same period last year.
SP:SPX
by XBTFX
S&P 500 short: A break down from trendlineFollowing my previous idea on the S&P500 completion of 5-waves (updated here in red), I've updated a 5 wave of a lower degree (in green numbering) and then we have an a-b-c of the same degree (also in green). At this point, we can clearly see that there is a breakdown of a purple trendline. This is a longer term trendline. There is also a shorter term trendline in red that could potentially act as a support. A short now will considered a more aggressive short but with potentially lower risk. A short after a break of the red trendline will be more conservative and even better risk if price drags along the trendline up. It's up to you on the entry, but keep your stop loss above 5880 (c-wave high). Good luck!
OANDA:SPX500USDShort
by yuchaosng