Another drop for SPX500USDHi traders,
Last week SPX500USD broke the low of the previous week just as I've said in my outlook. After that it went up again. This pair is still in a bigger correction down.
So next week it could drop again into the direction of the bullish Weekly FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction up on a lower timeframe to trade short term shorts to the previous Weekly lows.
If you want to learn more about trading FVG's & liquidity sweeps with Wave analysis, then please make sure to follow me.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my technical analysis.
Don't be emotional, just trade your plan!
Eduwave
SPX trade ideas
MAJOR TOP IS NOW IN PLACE 5th wave up from 4835 has ended 6059The chart posted is that of the sp 500 and I now have counted 5 waves up as ending based on this wave structure I will look for two things to happen a rather deep ABC if there is a bull market intact and it should decline in 3 waves back to .236/382 area from 6059 - 4835 The 4th wave or A low This MUST HOLD at .382 or The cycle has ended the 5 wave sup from march 23 low 2020 I sold longs this morning based on NAAII exposure and Now have moved to a 100 % long VERY DEEP IN THE MONEY PUTS 2027 Best of trades The WAVETIMER
SPX: geopolitics, Fed, inflationDuring the previous week the S&P 500 was moving in a mixed manner. The trading range was between levels 6.039 and 5.967 where the index is closing the week. Traders and investors had quite a lot of topics to cover in order to decide which side should be traded. The tensions in the Middle East were one of them, continuing for the second week in a row. The FOMC meeting was held, with the Fed holding interest rates steady, for another meeting. Still, the Fed continues to count with two rate cuts till the end of this year. The Fed expects that implemented trade tariffs by the US Administration might affect short term inflationary pressures, but it should be a one-off effect. Some positivity for markets came from the statement of the Fed Governor Waller, who noted that the Fed might make the first rate cut in July. On the opposite side was San Francisco Fed President Mary Daly, who noted that she would be more confident to cut rates, after she is certain that the trade tariffs would not make a significant impact on inflation.
Uncertainty still holds on markets, especially after news posted by the Wall Street Journal, noting that the U.S. might cancel technology waivers, impacting some chipmakers. The tech companies involved in the semiconducting business dropped in value. Friday's trading session Nvidia ended by 1,12% lower, AMZN also closed the week with a drop of 1,33%. This week on the opposite side was Apple, with a gain of 2,25%.
As long as uncertainty shapes investors sentiment, the market will lack optimism. The volatility on the US equity markets might continue, with possibly negative trends. The week ahead brings the PCE data as well as Fed Chair Powell`s testimony in front of the Congress, in which sense, the volatility will most certainly hold.
Us500:What is going to happen?hello friends👋
This time we are here with the analysis of us500, an important and vital index in the market that is being talked about a lot these days.
Well, let's go to the analysis, you will see that with the drop we had, a lower floor was made and the price was quickly supported and pumped by buyers.
Now it is clear that an ascending pattern has been formed, which is a very strong support in the specified area and a good buying point that you can enter into a transaction with capital and risk management.
Note that if the floor is broken and the stop loss is placed, our bullish pattern becomes invalid and we have to wait for lower floors.
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Big CorrectionThe S&P index.
The chart shows the potential end of the final rally from the 2009 low.
Currently, with this rally from the recent 4,800 low, we are still in a correction period that will end in late October (highs and lows are irrelevant), & We have a date coming up in August so let's see what happens there.
After this period, we will have a rally combined with uncertainty and unjustified speculative movements (bubble) that could take us to the final peak, which I expect in 2026.
This remains a possibility, but don't base your trades on it. However, caution is often good.
Double Top Or M Pattern On SPXTraders and Followers , we have another opportunity in SPX/USD .
2 hr chart shows me a M pattern or double top. Lot's of points can be made if one takes a short position if the break-line 6079.9 area gets taken out. I have a sell stop just below that area and looking for 6005.7 as a target area.
A good trader waits for price to setup before entering any trade .
Best of luck in all your trades $$$
SPX vs VIX: Is this a sign of a bullish market?VIX has seen a strong decline in the past 2 months following the massive surge of Feb-March due to the Tariff War. In contrast, the S&P500 rose massively to almost its ATH, which is a natural response as the two assets are negatively correlated. This VIX pattern has been seen during every major market bottom in the past 15 years, the strongest of which was the 2020 COVID crash. This is a sign of a very bullish market, TP = 6,800 by the end of the year.
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S&P500: Channel Up targeting 6,170.S&P500 is bullish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 65.737, MACD = 75.400, ADX = 16.727), unfolding the new bullish wave of the 1 month Channel Up, after a bottom near the 4H MA200. The first bullish wave one reached +4.35%, we expect to repeat that so for a few more candles we will remain bullish, TP = 6,170.
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SPX short analysisLike I wrote in my EUR/USD analysis you never know what could happened.
USA bombed Iran!
This could have huge impact on the US market next week.
My guess is temporarily short... At least to close this gap in spot price of SPX.
Since we're still in bearish market, until we see new highs, and this could be catalyst for another sell off. So the jump could be even bigger and we could see new ATH this year.
For now, I'm seeking a position to short tomorrow after market is open.
This is my entry mark.
There will be higher volatility. However, I expect US market to open in the red, close the gap and to sell off again.
We shall see!
Trade safe this one :)
SPX500 Technical Outlook: Balancing Risk and RewardPost Content:
🔍 SPX500 Analysis - 4H Timeframe
Our latest technical analysis showcases a detailed approach to the S&P 500 Index using Smart Money Concepts, Fibonacci tools, and volume dynamics. Here's the breakdown:
1️⃣ Trend Structure
The price has formed a wedge within the premium zone, indicating potential exhaustion.
BOS and ChOCH markers highlight key pivots, emphasizing a weak high and strong low.
2️⃣ Fibonacci Insights
We're observing equilibrium near 5,668.57, a critical area where price may consolidate or pivot.
Higher Fibonacci extensions suggest an upside target near 6,580.38, should momentum hold.
3️⃣ Risk-Adjusted Strategy
Short Opportunity: Bearish retracement expected toward equilibrium; target around 5,668.57.
Long Opportunity: Look for confirmations to buy at the discount zone or post-retracement breakout above the weak high.
4️⃣ Volume Dynamics
Spikes at key pivot points signal institutional activity, strengthening the validity of liquidity zones.
📊 Trade Setup Overview
Entry: Short near premium zone OR Long near equilibrium/discount zone.
Stop-Loss: Place below the strong low for longs or above weak highs for shorts.
Target: Extensions at 6,580.38 align with the broader bullish sentiment.
🎯 Key Takeaway: This model emphasizes patience, precision, and risk management. Be sure to monitor upcoming macro events and confirm entry triggers before committing to any position.
🌟 Follow WaverVanir International LLC for more actionable insights, technical breakdowns, and AI-driven strategies!
📈 Trade Safe,
Team WaverVanir International LLC
S&P 500: The Wedge, the Oil, and the Yen
The S&P 500 SP:SPX OANDA:SPX500USD CME_MINI:ES1! AMEX:SPY appears to have completed a rising ending diagonal — a classic reversal structure.
The 6050 zone stands out as strong resistance — notably, no monthly candle has ever closed above this level.
🧭 Minimum correction targets:
filling the weekly FVG
a retest of the 20-week moving average
retracement to the 0.382–0.5 Fibonacci zone from the recent leg
📌 Fundamentals support the downside:
Iran–Israel tensions are pushing oil prices higher → which fuels inflation expectations
Rising CPI in Japan may accelerate the carry trade unwind and lead to a stronger yen OANDA:USDJPY
Seasonality also leans bearish during the summer months
⚠️ Bottom line: momentum is fading. A cooling phase is likely next — time to focus on risk management.
The Market Sways and Trump sets a deadline ‼️ Hey hey, hope all is well, don't have too much time so just gonna keep this short and get at what we need right now, thanks for tuning in.
‼️ If you've been following the news then you understand that tensions are pretty high, the conflict in the Middle East is progressively getting worse and worse by the day with The United States now looking to play peacemaker between Iran and Israel.
‼️ Trump himself has given a two week deadline for him to decide on whether or not the United States will join the fight and bomb Iran which notably has the market shaken. Below I've added a link with a reference to an article which highlights the recent news and trumps deadline.
www.npr.org
‼️ Historically, we've seen trump do this before, he's no stranger to setting deadlines, especially when it comes to global conflicts. As the article also references, trump has done this before, take April 24th for example when a reporter asked Trump on his position with continuing military assistance for Ukraine: "You can ask that question in two weeks, and we'll see" responded Trump. It's become a tactic that Trump has used often throughout his term's prompting the question of whether or not we will really see him take action by the end of the two weeks or not. So we should take that understanding and take everything with a grain of salt.
‼️ The market itself is already use to the idea of war or joining a fight like we had to deal with when fighting started between Ukraine and Russia which shook the market before things ultimately got back to routine and the market was able to price in the war. I do have to note though that the global conflicts in Ukraine are much more different than those in the Middle East so that should be taken into consideration as well.
‼️ That being said on Saturday Trump made the announcement that the U.S had launched an attack on three of Iran's main nuclear sites signifying the U.S may be ready to join the fray. That or they have taken advantage of the high tensions to launch an attack of their own to beat at Iran's nuclear progress in order to delay, prevent them from acquiring a nuclear capability understandably.
‼️ I have to go but for technical analysis we'll be watching that 200 EMA for our bullish and bearish convergences, as well as news which will give us an idea of what way the market will head. Definitely one of those times to sit and watch how things play out, we've already come relatively close to retesting our all time high breaking above 6,000 so the market's definitely got some energy. We've dealt with this before but should the U.S really get itself involved with the war and bomb Iran then I would expect the global markets to react heavily. We've seen the U.S offer aid to countries such as Ukraine but when speaking about joining war that's a different matter entirely.
‼️ Definitely be mindful of the news the next few weeks as things progress and don't be to rash with your decision and choices, stick to what's worked and let's focus on what's worked. Paying mind to our indicators and strategies alongside much patience.
‼️ Thank you for tuning in with me as always, appreciate the constant support and wishing all the best. Feel free to keep tuned for more and thanks again.
Best regards,
~ Rock '
SPX is overheated, a correction is necessary📉 Market Update: No, It Has Nothing to Do with Trump
This move has nothing to do with Trump’s dramatic announcements. The reality is simple: the MACD on the daily chart is overheated, and a healthy correction is needed — likely down to the 5,520 level — before resuming the uptrend.
Now, does it surprise anyone that Trump acts like a PR agent for his investors? He always seems to drop “bad news” at the exact moment the charts call for a pullback. My guess? They're shorting right now.
🪙 Bitcoin Stalling
CRYPTOCAP:BTC is also losing momentum, and looks like it’s in need of a short-term correction as well. This suggests a week of consolidation ahead for the whole crypto market.
But let’s be clear:
🚀 The Bull Market Is Not Over
The weekly charts remain very bullish, and this trend could last another 4–6 months. The macro bullish structure for crypto remains intact.
However, in TradFi, there are cracks:
🔻 20-year bonds sold at 5.1% — a major recession red flag
💸 Tariffs are putting pressure on global trade
📉 The entire traditional market is starting to de-risk
🔮 What to Expect
Short-term correction to ~5,518 (first bottom target)
A possible rebound after healthy consolidation
A continued uptrend in crypto unless key support breaks
I’ll publish a new update when conditions change.
📌 Follow me to stay ahead of the market. And as always: DYOR.
#CryptoMarket #Bitcoin #MACD #TechnicalAnalysis #CryptoCorrection #BullishTrend #RecessionWarning #TradFi #Altcoins #BTC #MarketUpdate #TrumpEffect #DYOR
S&P500 Bullish breakout support at 5980A fragile ceasefire is in place between the U.S. and Iran, but both sides are still blaming each other for missile attacks. Tensions remain high, especially as Iran’s stockpile of near-weapons-grade uranium is missing. Markets were shaken—stocks gave back some gains and oil prices dipped after Israel threatened to respond.
In business news, Nvidia’s CEO Jensen Huang began selling shares as part of a plan worth up to $865 million. Starbucks denied it's selling its China business, and Northern Trust said it won’t merge with BNY Mellon.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will speak to Congress today, likely defending the decision to keep interest rates steady until at least September, despite pressure from Trump for major cuts.
NATO leaders are meeting in the Netherlands, with talks focused on defense spending. Trump is expected to push allies to meet the 5% target.
Key Support and Resistance Levels
Resistance Level 1: 6115
Resistance Level 2: 6147
Resistance Level 3: 6180
Support Level 1: 5980
Support Level 2: 5950
Support Level 3: 5910
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
S&P 500 Index.4H CHART PATTERN.the S&P 500 Index (4H timeframe), it appears you're using a combination of Ichimoku Cloud, trend channels, and support/resistance zones to project downside targets. Here's the breakdown of your marked targets:
📉 Bearish Targets:
1. Target 1: Around 5,500
2. Target 2: Around 5,200
3. Target 3: Around 4,950–4,900
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🔍 Technical Observations:
Price has broken below the upward trend channel.
It's entering the Ichimoku Cloud, signaling potential consolidation or bearish pressure.
The large blue downward arrow indicates a bearish expectation, possibly tied to macro/fundamental concerns or technical reversal patterns.
The grey resistance block near 5,960–6,000 suggests failed breakout/retest.
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📌 Summary:
If current bearish momentum continues:
✅ Immediate Target: 5,500 (first major support)
⚠ Medium Target: 5,200
🔻 Final Target Zone: 4,900–4,950 (strong previous support and fib zone)
Let me know if you want stop-loss ideas, confluence indicators, or entry strategy breakdowns!
S&P500: 1D Golden Cross incoming. 6,300 sighted.S&P500 is on an excellent bullish technical outlook on 1D (RSI = 60.006, MACD = 86.860, ADX = 23.325), extending a May 23rd rebound on its 1D MA200. Soon the market will form a 1D Golden Cross, drawing valid comparisons with the 2020 COVID recovery. That pattern, following its 1D MA200 rebound, extended the uptrend all the way to the 1.136 Fibonacci extension before pulling back to the 1D MA50 again. Buy, TP = 6,300.
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