SPX: dead cat bounce last Friday?I examine the latest action which doesn't give me hope that it found a bottom just yet.
SPX trade ideas
SPX/DJT technical analysisChart comparing SPX and DJT.
SPX drawn with expanded flat, (b) is 200% of (a) and completes with ending diagonal wedge.
DJT drawn with regular flat, (b) ~90% of (a), wave (c) began in November of 2024 and currently in wave iii of (c).
Bears looking for SPX pitchfork support to break and become resistance, both SPX and DJT looking to eventually break October 2022 low and approach March 2020 lows to complete their corrective structures.
SPX - short-term analysishi traders,
Let's have a look at SPX.
There are bullish divergences in the 4-hour time frame.
We should get a small bounce, but as the higher time frames are still bearish, I expect this bounce to be short-lifted.
Anyway, it's an opportunity for the Bulls to play the long position.
The target is show on the chart.
Up for SPX500USD again?Hi traders,
At the start of last week the price action of SPX500USD went up as predicted in my outlook but it could not reach the higher 4H FVG and dropped to the target. The bigger (red) WXY correction could be finished.
So next week we could see a (corrective) upmove to the higher 4H FVG.
Let's see what the market does and react.
Trade idea: Wait for a small correction down to finish and after that a change in orderflow to bullish on a lower timeframe to trade longs.
If you want to see more from my analysis, please make sure to follow me, give a boost and respectful comment.
This shared post is only my point of view on what could be the next move in this pair based on my analysis.
If you don't agree, that's fine but I don't need to know it. I do not provide signals.
Don't be emotional, just trade!
Eduwave
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 7, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In the recent weekly trading session, the S&P 500 successfully retested the Mean Resistance level of 5967; however, it subsequently experienced a significant decline. This decline brought the index back to the Mean Support level of 5860 and further down to the next major Key Support level of 5710. After this downturn, the index established a new critical support level at 5683. It is now positioned to target the Mean Resistance level of 5840. Should the index initiate an upward movement from its current position and successfully surpass this key resistance, it may continue to ascend toward the subsequent Mean Resistance level of 5955.
Conversely, suppose the index experiences a decline from the retested level of 5840. In that case, it will likely target the Mean Support level of 5683, with a further descent to an Outer Index Dip of 5576.
SPX to drop 20% on tariff impacts ??I have copied the path taken by market in 2018 in response to Trump tariff, which were less severe compared to now. Of course history never repeats but rhymes. Better go by history than to create my speculative path. This assumes a 20% correction happens. If that happens then SPX would be at 4850, which close to 2022 market peak. However strong POC at 5450
Alternatively f Trump is bluffing than this is the time to buy!
SP500 LOOKS BULLISH FOR FEW DAYS Hi People
I can see some Bulls are interest on the sp500 level , That will shift market up
for Few days in my opinion
Lets See what Happens
S&P500 The Week Ahead 10th March '25 Sentiment: Bearish INTRADAY Price action is consolidating in a tight trading range
Resistance: Key Resistance is at 5920, followed by 6003 and 6010.
Support: Key support is at 5664 followed by 5600 and 5554.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
SPX Price Action Analysis | Swing & Scalping OpportunitiesSPX is currently at a key support zone, showing signs of bullish rejection. A potential long opportunity exists if a strong bullish candle forms, confirming the rejection.
Trade Plan:
📌 Entry: Around the highlighted support zone, once a bullish confirmation appears.
📌 Stop-Loss (SL): Below the rejection candle to minimize risk.
📌 Targets:
Scalping Target: Small resistance area (~5,815)
Medium Target: Next key resistance (~5,880)
Swing Target: Major resistance (~6,000)
If the price fails to hold the support and breaks below, we might reconsider the bullish bias. Keeping an eye on market sentiment and fundamentals is crucial.
Let me know if you need any modifications! 🚀📈
$SPX Trading Levels for March 7 2025
Y’all doing ok after this pullback down to the 200DMA? Now the question… do we hold this level.
200 Day Moving Average right in the middle today.
Weekly 35EMA right above just underneath yesterday’s bear gap.
Top of the implied move on the day is 5840 and 5865 on Mondays contract.
Then if we break the 200DMA then the bottom of the implied move is 5635 and there is a support gap there.
5610 on Mondays contract.
Let’s go Traders!!!
SNP, Much Needed CorrectionOne simple way to manage a U.S. portfolio is to let the ABC correction run its course, hold cash, and rotate into Asian stocks.
As the tariff buzz unfolds, it's best to stay on the sidelines while market volatility shakes out panicked traders.
When it comes to timing the markets, we’ll check back on May 22.
Drill Baby Drill...
S&P500 1week MA50 test is the last before the Cycle tops.S&P500 / US500 tested this week its 1week MA50 successfully as the price almost touched it and rebounded.
We have seen this kind of behavior in the last 9-12 months before a Bull Cycle tops.
In fact with the 1week RSI trending downwards on a bearish divergence, today's price action looks more similar to the October 13 2014 1week MA50 fakeout, which was breached marginally but rebounded immediately.
Based on that, a 6500 Cycle Top target by October 2025 is very much realistic.
Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
BUY SETUP SP500 RIGHT NOWBuy setup with R/R = 1/2.43
Catalyst : After Speech Sp500 tough demand.
That was best entry level but u know Japan time 2:00 A.M something so hard for me,in my opinion.
Next week i expect SP500 retest demand zone.
But i do not wanna lost this high probability win trade .
That why i took entry right now.
We need make more space for price breath.
But ST far from point u think u will put your ST.
This might be wave 5 of the drop complete The action today I feel is a bit suspicious. Doesn't feel like what I'd expect in a usual legit breakout at this level.
This could be a butterfly low, which could setup a rally to over 6000.
Bears should be careful now if we rally.
RSI Divergence : S&P 500 and NASDAQ Giants Due for CorrectionOn monthly timeframe, a RSI divergence has formed on the S&P 500, currently trading at 6044, signaling a potential reversal.
Similarly, to name only a few, NASDAQ, Tesla, Bitcoin, NVIDIA, and Apple are exhibiting the same bearish divergence. Is a healing correction imminent?
Will it happen this year or will the market delay the inevitable until next year ?
Will you be able to avoid these 7 bear traps?Will you be able to avoid these 7 bear traps?
What if the next rally in stocks is simply one of these?
Failed cycle after failed cycle.
Don't be a hero, don't try to catch these.
SPX500 at Key Support Level: Rebound Towards 5,860?FOREXCOM:SPX500 has reached a significant support zone, highlighted by previous price reactions and strong buying interest. This area has acted as a key demand zone, increasing the likelihood of a bullish bounce if buyers step in.
The current market structure suggests that if the price confirms support within this zone, we could see a bullish reversal. A successful rebound could push the price toward 5,860. However, if the price breaks below this zone, the bullish outlook may be invalidated, opening the possibility for further downside.
Just my take on support and resistance zones—not financial advice. Always confirm your setups and trade with solid risk management.
Best of luck!
SPX edges towards the final buy zoneSPX has an anticipated market top of 6650 (view our long term analysis below)
We can see that the ascending channel which the SPX is trading in has been respected since October 2022 (below idea)
Now that the equilibrium level has been broken, we would expect to see a test of the lower channel support trend line, which lines up nicely with previous structure, as well as a 38 Fib retracement on the most recent move. Multiple confluences strengthen the validity of a particular level and add weight to our decision.
Therefore, we will wait for the SPX to come down and test this level at around 5756 which could take another month. Sitting on our hands, being patient, waiting only for the most likely trades is the logical way to play.
Long term SPX:
Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? Tariff Wars, NFP & Range-Bound Markets – What’s Next? | SPX Market Analysis 07 Mar 2025
The market is acting like a drunk sailor, stumbling between a sideways range and a downsloping channel, leaving traders scratching their heads and redrawing trendlines daily.
If this feels frustrating, welcome to the real evolution of price action—the part nobody talks about.
Traders love to show off the perfect trade after it happens, but the real challenge is navigating price movement as it unfolds. One day, it’s a range, the next, it’s a channel, and by the time you’ve figured it out, the market’s already moved on.
For now, I remain hedged and in a no-lose position, watching how this range resolves.With Trump pulling a 2018-style tariff play, and NFP looming, we could be in for a big move soon—or just more of the same slow churn.
Either way, I’ll be ready when the market finally decides to commit.
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Price action is in full “make up its mind later” mode, bouncing between a short-term range and what could evolve into a downsloping channel.
The only certainty? Traders who force trades in this mess will get chewed up.
The problem with trendlines and pattern analysis is that they’re constantly evolving. One day, it looks like a clean range, the next, it’s a slanted consolidation, and suddenly, what looked like a breakout yesterday is just noise today.
This is why I never rely on one rigid framework—instead, I follow my six money-making patterns that adapt as price action develops.
At the moment, I see three scenarios playing out.
If price respects the range, we get a bounce toward the highs.
If it breaks the range, we could see a sharp downside continuation.
And if we keep drifting in no-man’s land, then it’s just more of the same.
Forcing trades when the market hasn’t committed is a recipe for frustration.
Thankfully, I don’t need to guess.
My hedge is holding firm, keeping me in a no-lose position while the market sorts itself out. I’m not eagerly adding trades or picking a direction yet—I’m waiting for the market to show its hand first.
Meanwhile, in tariff news, Trump just announced a temporary removal of tariffs under the USMCA agreement until April 2nd.
If this feels like déjà vu, that’s because it is.
The market is mirroring the 2018-19 trade war, where even in a declining market, we saw strong rallies. No two market cycles are ever exactly the same, but they do tend to rhyme.
So, will NFP be the trigger that finally kicks this market into gear?
Or will we be stuck with another day of watching paint dry on the charts?
Either way, I’ll stay patient, stay hedged, and be ready for when the next real move arrives.
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📢Did you know? In 1987, a trader at Salomon Brothers coined the phrase “Dead Cat Bounce” to describe a brief market rally during a larger downturn. The idea? Even a dead cat will bounce if dropped from high enough.
💡The Lesson? Short-term rallies don’t always mean the trend has changed—a bounce isn’t the same as a recovery.
S&P 500 Index (#US500): Bearish Breakout and Continuation📉 The US500 is showing a bearish trend after breaking below a key support level within a tight consolidation range on the 4-hour chart.
The price is likely to continue its decline, with the next potential support level at 5,710.
Trendline broken - Bounce at 50 EMA or Weekly Trendline Been looking at spx and things are looking interesting on the weekly, we could bounce on the weekly 50EMA but if that is broken the next strong support is the 200 with a broader trend on the weekly.
Retest of the rising wedgeHuge buyings took place today, but on bigger timeframes it looks like just a retest of the rising wedge. There are also hidden bear divergences on 1-4 tf on US500, US100 and US30. I guess we will see continuation of the correction to 5730-5650 area next week. The idea will be invalidated if the price returns into the rising wedge (crosses the purple trendline).
