SPX target 6280-6430 area in Jan 2025In my view last bearish move was wave #4 of 1-2-3-4-5 Elliot waves, now I expect last wave targeting area 6280-6430 in the beginning of 2025 then a massive crash will lead SPX to 3375-3400 areaby mpdUpdated 116
SPX analysis at Time One daily timeThis index continues its upward trend and the ceiling of 48,000 will be broken The price has made its protected floor by hitting its local support and is doing fractal behavior to break the price ceiling. I watch the market Not financial advice Longby fiftytwohertzwhaleUpdated 7
US500 bullish analysisWatching for this possibility to develop next week: a push towards ATHs followed by one more move down towards 5528.6 to complete an expanding triangle wave 4. This development would be helpful in terms of validating market structure, as well as a nice trade targeting 5800-6200.by discobiscuitPublished 0
S&P 500 Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Aug 30, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: Throughout the current week's trading sessions, the S&P 500 Index has exhibited notable fluctuations, initially reaching the Mean Support level of 5570 and subsequently demonstrating resilience by rebounding toward the specified targets outlined in the preceding weekly analysis, encompassing the completed Inner Index Rally at 5666 and Key Resistance level at 5667. Beyond those targets, the focus is on attaining the extended rebound targets, specifically the next Inner Index Rally at 5745 and the long-awaited Outer Index Rally at 5840. It is essential to recognize that achieving these targets will likely prompt a selling price action.by TradeSelecterPublished 4
S&P 500 (SPX) Chart and Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; * Asian(Ranging) - London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) * Weekend Crypto Session Trend |Time Frame Conductive | Daily Time Frame - General Trend - Measurement on Session - Signpost * Support & Resistance * Trade Area | Focus & Motion Ahead # Position & Risk Reward | 15 Minutes Time Frame - Measurement on Session * Retracement | 0.5 & 0.618 * Extension | 0.88 & 1 Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | BuyLongby jasper16231Published 0
SPX dollar adjustedSPX is entering into a distribution phase before a leg down. Moves between a 25% range could happen in the distribution phase and could last a long time. The move down afterwards could be very high. by edgargargarPublished 225
SPX500 4hr Buy Stop๐น Indices: ๐ 4hr Long Buy Stop ๐ฏ BUY STOP - 5630.8 ๐ต TAKE PROFIT - 5735.1 ๐ด STOP LOSS - 5596.0 โ ๏ธ Reminder: If price trades below the 10ema remember to cancel/close your buy stop position.Longby angelvalentinxPublished 1
Why ORB + VWAP is Your New Best Friend in Trading -No, SeriouslySP:SPX Hey there, traders! Deno Trading here;๐ Stop feeling like the market is just a one big, mysterious puzzle, and felt you're missing the piece that makes everything click? Well, strap in, because today we're diving into the magic of the Open Range Breakout (ORB) strategy, sprinkled with a little VWAP (Volume Weighted Average Price) magic dust. Spoiler alert: This combo is like peanut butter and jelly for tradersโsimple, effective, and deliciously profitable. The Chart (aka "The Battlefield") Take a look at the chart aboveโour trusty S&P 500 on a 15-minute time frame. Notice those blue zones? Thatโs your ORB, the first 15-30 minutes of market action where all the cool kids (a.k.a. the big institutions) are making their moves. The VWAP line? Thatโs the referee, keeping everyone honest. Now, letโs break down why ORB works most of the time (we're not wizards, after all, just really good strategists). ORB: The Reliable Wingman Imagine ORB as your super-reliable wingman. Itโs there at the start of the trading day, setting the boundaries. If the price breaks out of this range, itโs like getting the go-ahead from your wingman to approachโโYeah, this one's a keeper.โ In our chart, you can see how every time the price breaks above or below the ORB, it either rockets off to the moon ๐ or dives deep into the abyss. And just like in life, we always want to go with the flowโif the price breaks out, weโre in for the ride. VWAP: The Truth Serum Now, letโs talk VWAP. Think of VWAP as the lie detector of the trading world. When the price is above VWAP, itโs like the market is saying, โIโm feeling good, letโs keep pushing higher.โ Below VWAP? Well, itโs like the marketโs had a rough night out, and itโs probably heading home early. In this chart, youโll notice how the price interacts with VWAP after breaking out of the ORB. When the price stays above VWAP after a breakout, itโs a sign that the bulls are in controlโcue the confetti! ๐ But when it dips below, the bears start growling, and you might want to reconsider your long positions. Jokes Aside But Hey: ORB Always Works (Except When It Doesnโt) Letโs be real for a secondโORB mostly works. Kind of like how your Wi-Fi mostly works until you really need it. But when ORB does work, itโs like hitting the jackpot. Youโre basically riding the wave that everyone else is trying to catch. And if it doesnโt work? Well, blame it on the market gremlins and move on. Why and Why again: ORB + VWAP = Trading BFFs Let me wrap up that if youโre not using ORB with VWAP, youโre missing out on a killer combo. These two are like Batman and Robin, or coffee and donutsโthey just make sense together. So, the next time youโre staring at your charts, remember: Trust in the ORB, let VWAP be your guide, and donโt forget to laugh at the marketโs little quirks and use the news as your catalysts. Because at the end of the day, trading should be fun, profitable, and maybe just a little bit magical. Now go forth and conquer those charts, my fellow traders! ๐ Deno Trading in and out!20:00by Deno_TradingPublished 1
Key stores of value over economic history: SP500 vs GoldWhen the pandemic shocked markets in 2020, the Fed quickly printed trillions of dollars (while purchasing bonds to support corporations and the government). As the U.S central bankโs balance sheet surged, so did the broad money supply in close parallel with stock markets and gold prices. Unlike the Fedโs intervention during the Great Financial Crisis โ plus a similarly unprecedented fiscal expansion โ consumer prices spiked at the fastest pace since the 1970โs. Since 2019 (and even as far back as 1971 when the U.S. broke the dollarโs tie to gold), both gold and especially the S&P 500 have been reliable โstores of value.โ Since around 1970, both gold and the S&P 500 (which looks even more impressive accounting for dividends) are up nearly 7,000% versus a dollar designed to lose value every year. Granted there have also been several harrowing drawdowns for both the S&P 500 and gold. Meanwhile, consumer prices are up *only* 700% since the dollar lost its golden luster. If history is any guideโฆ It leaves us with a simple framework for wealth preservation: If you work hard to earn $10,000, donโt let it decay under your metaphorical mattress for multiple decades thereafter. Gold and the S&P 500 have historically been reliable assets to preserve wealth. However, timing is greatly important as well.by MikeCoMacroPublished 0
Opening (IRA): SPX Oct 18th -5590P/Nov 15th 5590P Calendar... for a 30.15 debit. Comments: Opening a calendar here at or near ATH's and in (fairly) low IV. Selling the front month 40 delta put and buying the back month same strike put. I'm indicating that the setup is bearish, but it's starting as basically neutral from a delta standpoint with the metrics being .08 long delta/13.22 theta, but will benefit from movement into the put strikes, as well as any accompanying IV expansion that occurs. Peak profitability of this setup generally occurs when the stock price falls to the strikes near the expiration of the short option, but calculating the max profit is impossible due to the expiration of the short put leg before the long put leg coupled with any rolls of the short put that might be undertaken to reduce cost basis of the setup. Conversely, max loss starts out as what you paid to get filled for the setup, but you'll generally have a few rolling opportunities of the short put to reduce cost basis further in the event that it doesn't hit your take profit before the short put reaches expiration. Here, I'll look to money/take/run at 10% of what I put it on for and look to roll out the front month on approaching worthless to the following week to reduce cost basis in the setup.Shortby NaughtyPinesUpdated 1
SPX500 Bullish Bias!SPX500 went down and Made a retest of a horizontal Support level of 5595.23 And as it is a strong level we Will be expecting a local Bullish rebound!Longby kacim_elloittUpdated 7
SPX forming a top?US500 - 24h expiry Levels above 5630 continue to attract sellers. The 161.8% Fibonacci extension is located at 5544 from 5650 to 5585. Bespoke support is located at 5540. Selling spikes offers good risk/reward. Economic figures could adversley affect the short term technical picture. We look to Sell at 5630 (stop at 5665) Our profit targets will be 5540 and 5470 Resistance: 5630 / 5650 / 5680 Support: 5545 / 5540 / 5470 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (โOAPโ) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.Shortby OANDAPublished 118
SPX versus Money Supply, impacts on gold, silver and oilOBJECTIVE AND UNBIASED ANALYSIS. There never was a bull era for #gold, #silver or #crudeoil until the #Spx broke down versus #moneysupply. This has not happened yet.by BadchartsPublished 117
SP500 : Bearish : Similar patterns with the pastLook carefully at April 2005, October 2007 and Today. A "Sell Off" of 20% took place. History does not usually repeat itself, but in trading the phenomenon of cyclicals exists. It's just AMAZING! What do you think?! In addition, the levels indicated are achievable in the medium term, 2-3 months; In recent days, this is what happened at the macroeconomic level: 1-Jackson Hole Result: No big impact on the markets: Dow Jones or techs. 2-NVIDIA long awaited: Result: The action disappointed and went down Minus 9.86% in total after closing and yesterday minus 6.38%. Cause: Delay in the delivery of new chips, among others... Will NVIDIA always explode the ceilings, while the competition arrives: AMD, GOOGLE, etc... with more efficient chips that do not heat up. Technically the markets are OVERBOUGHT so a return to the 38.2% or 50% of Fibonacci would be perfect for sellers, but also for buyers who would like to buy at a lower price! I remind you that in trading we buy the bottoms and we sell the peaks! Shortby Le-Loup-de-ZurichPublished 5
Analysis of the S&P Index by the Mallicast TeamThe S&P Index, as one of the most important indices in global financial markets, has always attracted the attention of many investors and analysts. In recent periods, this index has experienced a significant upward trend; however, it has not yet been able to surpass its previous high. Nonetheless, technical and fundamental analyses suggest that the S&P Index may soon break through this ceiling and reach new levels. According to forecasts, this index is likely to reach a price of 6124 points. Such a move could indicate economic strength and high investor confidence in the market. Additionally, this upward movement could be seen as a sign of improving economic conditions and strengthening the profitability of major companies included in this index. Longby kiyandokhtkarimiPublished 2
Analysis of the S&P Index by the Mallicast TeamThe S&P Index, as one of the most important indices in global financial markets, has always attracted the attention of many investors and analysts. In recent periods, this index has experienced a significant upward trend; however, it has not yet been able to surpass its previous high. Nonetheless, technical and fundamental analyses suggest that the S&P Index may soon break through this ceiling and reach new levels. According to forecasts, this index is likely to reach a price of 6124 points. Such a move could indicate economic strength and high investor confidence in the market. Additionally, this upward movement could be seen as a sign of improving economic conditions and strengthening the profitability of major companies included in this index. Longby mallicastPublished 1
S&P500 NeoWave IdeaP 500 NeoWave Idea: A Potential Elliott Wave Analysis Disclaimer: While Elliott Wave Theory can provide valuable insights, it's essential to remember that it's a subjective analysis tool, and market movements can be unpredictable. Always conduct thorough research and consider multiple factors before making investment decisions.by ITManager_USPublished 112
SPX, slow weekthe scenario is unchanged, usd pairs are also turning nicely SP:SPX Shortby alapigaborPublished 0
SPX trendlines from back in 1929 - Crash?Simple remakable trendlines back from the 1929 peak. Is there a major resistance in the S&P500 and stock markets?by I00kPublished 222
S&P500 v USD since 2008. Cheap dollar guarantees stock expansionThis is a cross chart analysis between the S&P500 index (SPX) and the U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) since the 2008 Housing Crisis. Ahead of widely anticipated Fed rate cut next month, it is useful to see how the Dollar has impacted from its perspective the stock market on a multi-year basis. As you can see, the DXY has been trading within a Channel Up since the 2009 Housing Crisis bottom. At the moment it is under the Resistance of the Lower Highs trend-line (dashed) and a rate cut should apply even stronger selling pressure and keep it under. There is still some wayt to go until it hits the bottom of the Channel Up again. We believe that the stock market is at the point where it finishes the recovery phase (blue Arc) and will enter the expansion phase (green Channel Up), at the beginning of next year. As a result, a rate cut and as a matter of fact a series of rate cuts by the Fed, will do wonders on S&P500, giving investors steady long-term opportunities to buy low and sell high within a strictured Channel. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE ๐, FOLLOW โ , SHARE ๐ and COMMENT โ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ๐ธ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐ ๐by TradingShotPublished 7796
Next months up or down?If tomorrow forming Dragonfly Doji probably we will see long bearish. If tomorrow forming nice hammer then going up.by mulla77Published 110
S&P500 Sets a new target for 2024Logic; Reacent correction with pessimism created more energy for the bulls We are in 'C' wave of final blow up, 6100 is reachable before nov'24 Happy BULLSLongby selvamBPublished 115
Bulls and Bears zone for 08-29-2024S&P is trying to rally during ETH session. Any test of yesterday's High could provide direction for the day. Level to watch: 5626 ---5624 Reports to watch: Pending Home Sales Index 10 AM ET EIA Natural Gas Report 10:30 AM ETby traderdan59Published 0